Severe Thunderstorm Warning 214, NWS Indianapolis, IN

000 
WWUS53 KIND 060217
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

INC083-153-060245-
/O.CON.KIND.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-080806T0245Z/
KNOX-SULLIVAN-
1017 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 PM EDT
FOR KNOX AND SOUTHERN SULLIVAN COUNTIES...

AT 912 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES WEST OF MEROM TO 10
MILES WEST OF VINCENNES TO 21 MILES WEST OF DECKER...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM ROBINSON TO LAWRENCEVILLE TO 8 MILES WEST OF MOUNT
CARMEL...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  VINCENNES BY 1025 PM EDT...
  SULLIVAN BY 1030 PM EDT...
  DECKER BY 1035 PM EDT...
  WHEATLAND BY 1040 PM EDT...

LAT...LON 3847 8775 3851 8764 3855 8767 3865 8762
      3874 8750 3887 8755 3896 8753 3899 8758
      3907 8758 3915 8766 3910 8737 3896 8725
      3891 8725 3889 8714 3878 8727 3852 8728
      3854 8736 3853 8747 3845 8760 3842 8773
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 278DEG 39KT 3905 8762 3870 8761
          3844 8784

$$

JOHNSON

000 
WWUS53 KIND 060244
SVSIND

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1044 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

INC083-153-060253-
/O.EXP.KIND.SV.W.0214.000000T0000Z-080806T0245Z/
KNOX-SULLIVAN-
1043 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR KNOX AND SOUTHERN SULLIVAN
COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1045 PM EDT/945 PM CDT/...

TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE BUT THE 
STORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

LAT...LON 3847 8775 3851 8764 3855 8767 3865 8762
      3874 8750 3887 8755 3896 8753 3899 8758
      3907 8758 3915 8766 3910 8737 3896 8725
      3891 8725 3889 8714 3878 8727 3852 8728
      3854 8736 3853 8747 3845 8760 3842 8773
TIME...MOT...LOC 0243Z 278DEG 39KT 3901 8726 3866 8725
          3840 8749

$$

JOHNSON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
815 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

.UPDATE...LATEST SFC DATA INDICATE LO LVL CONVERGENCE INCREASING
OVR THE PAST HR OR SO ACRS THE SWRN ZONES...GENERALLY SW OF A
KHUF-KBMG LN AHEAD OF CDFNT. THIS WOULD SUGGEST THAT MCS OVR IL HAS
A HI PROBABILITY OF MOVG OVR THE SWRN ZONES OVR THE NEXT FEW HRS. WL
BUMP UP POPS INTO THE LIKELY CAT IN THOSE AREA AND ADD HVY RAINFALL
THREAT AS WELL GIVEN THE HI P-WAT VAULES. BASED ON CURRENT
MOVEMENT...ACTVTY SHOULD BEGIN AFFECTING THESE AREAS BY 02Z OR SO.

&&

.AVIATION...

DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAFS.

A LARGE AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER CENTRAL ILLINOIS IS MAKING ITS
WAY EAST THIS EVENING. IT SEEMS TO BE TRACKING TOWARDS THE
SOUTHEAST WHICH SHOULD MAKE THE GREATEST IMPACT AT BMG AND HUF.
LAF AND IND MAY SEE JUST SOME BROKEN LOWER CLOUDS BUT STILL VFR.
WILL MENTION SEVERAL HOURS OF LIGHT RAIN AND VCTS AT BMG AND HUF
FOR THE SYSTEM AS THERE IS QUESTION TO HOW FAR SOUTH IT WILL GO AS
FAR AS HOW HEAVY THE RAIN AND LOW THE CIGS WILL BE AT THESE SITES.
AFTER THIS CLEARS OUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE VERY PRIMED FOR FOG
WITH CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS...AND VERY HIGH SURFACE MOISTURE.
WILL INCLUDE MVFR CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
IFR TOWARDS DAYBREAK IN THE FAVORED OUTLYING AREAS. HOWEVER IF THE
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTER LEAVES TOO MANY CLOUDS IN THE AREA IT WILL
INHIBIT GOOD FOG FORMATION. FOR NOW THE GREATER CONFIDENCE IS IN A
GOOD AMOUNT OF LATE CLEARING SO WILL GO WITH THE FOG. THEN VFR
CONDITIONS DEVELOP AFTER 14Z WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 300 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008/

DISCUSSION...

RADAR SHOWS THUNDERSTORMS OVR SWRN FA AND ERN IL. TEMPS ARE IN THE
UPR 70S TO LOW 80S WITH DEWPTS IN THE LOW 70S AND WINDS OF AROUND 10
KTS OUT OF THE SW. FNT STRETCHES FROM C MI THRU NW INDIANA AND C IL
ACRS MO TO KS.

FORECAST FOCUS IS ON POPS/THUNDER CHCS THRU THURSDAY. MODELS IN GOOD
AGREEMENT SO WL USE A BLEND. AS FAR AS TEMP GUIDANCE IS CONCERNED
MAV STILL SEEMS TO BE RUNNING HOT FOR HIGHS AND COOL FOR LOWS SO
STUCK CLOSER TO A NAM/FWC BLEND.

TONIGHT...WEAK FNT MVING THRU INDIANA SHUD CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A
LITTLE FORCING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. BEST CHCS WL BE ACRS THE S
WHERE INSTABILITY IS HIGHEST AND LEFTOVER CONVECTIVE BOUNDARIES
EXIST. N OF THE FNT NOT EXPECTING MUCH. HAVE INCLUDED PATCHY FOG IN
THE N WITH WET GROUND FROM TODAY/S RAIN AND A BIT OF CAA.

WED AND WED NT...FNT STALLS OUT ACRS SRN INDIANA AND COULD SEE A
WAVE MV ALONG THIS FNT TO FORCE SOME MORE THUNDER OVR THIS AREA.
KEPT A CHC ALONG THE SRN COUNTIES DURING THE DAY WED AND A SLT CHC
OVRNIGHT AS BNDY BECOMES EVEN MORE DIFFUSE.

THU AND THU NT...UPR LOW STARTS TO DIG OVR THE ERN US. THIS AND THE
STRENGTHENING RDG OVR THE WRN US SHUD PUSH ANY PRECIP CHCS TO THE
S...KEEPING THE AREA DRY AND ALSO DROPPING TEMPS A BIT.

EXTENDED...WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE BLDING BACK IN TO THE AREA AND THE
UPR LOW JUST TO THE E EXPECTING DRY WEATHER WITH BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 80S AND LOWS IN THE UPR 50S TO LOW
60S. SKIES SHUD BE AT LEAST PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE DAY FROM
DIURNAL CU ABLE TO FORM BECAUSE OF COOLER MID LVL TEMPS. BROUGHT IN
CHCS OF THUNDER STARTING SUNDAY NIGHT AS MDLS SHOW UPR RDG BREAKING
DOWN AGAIN AND FRONTAL SYSTEM ARRIVING FROM THE NRN PLAINS.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...JAS
AVIATION...JOHNSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
858 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-062>065-071-072-061000-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-DECATUR-JACKSON-
JENNINGS-
858 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. PRESENT INDICATIONS
SUGGEST THAT A FEW STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE
MAIN THREAT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE BY NEXT MONDAY. AT THIS
TIME...SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ060-061-067>070-061000-
SULLIVAN-GREENE-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-
858 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS LIKELY TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY BETWEEN ABOUT
1000 PM AND 100 AM. PRESENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST THAT SOME OF THE
STORMS MAY BE SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STORMS...WHICH MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THE MAIN THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 100 AM.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)