River Flood Warning 230, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
700 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

.AVIATION...

DISCUSSION FOR 12Z TAFS

LINE OF TRWS FM AROUND KOKOMO TO TERRE HAUTE AT 11Z WL CONTINUE TO
SLIDE ENE AROUND 30 MPH AHEAD OF A SLOW TO MOV E CD FNT. AWIPS
DISTANCE SPEED TOOL HAS THE LINE THROUGH LAF AND HUF BY ISSUANCE
TIME AND HAS THE LINE REACHING IND AROUND 13Z. NOT SURE IF THE LINE
WL HOLD TOGETHER BY THE TIME IT GETS TO BMG THOUGH AS IT WOULD BE
DURING DEFINITE TIME OF DAY WEAKENING TREND. AFTER THIS LINE MOVES
THROUGH...EXPECT MOSTLY VFR CU DECK TO DISSIPATE TODAY AS THE SFC
HIGH PRES RIDGE BUILDS IN FM THE S. W WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BEHIND THE
CD FNT. SKIES TO CLEAR TNGT AND WEAK SFC PRES GRADIENT SHOULD ALLOW
FOR SOME MVFR AND PERHAPS IFR FOG OVERNIGHT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

.FORECAST FOCUS ON TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK. NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN NOT
UNTIL LATE IN THE WEEK.

SURFACE MAP SHOWS THAT THE COLD FRONT HAS CROSSED THROUGH MUCH OF
THE AREA. ONGOING PRECIP IS BEGINNING TO SHOW A WEAKENING TREND.
ALOFT AT H5 WE SEE THE EASTERN RIDGE BEING ATTACKED BY A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...WHICH IS FOLLOWED UP BY A
STRONGER CUTOFF LOW NEAR KSEA...WITH JUST WEAK RIDGING OVER THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.

THE MODELS WERE SIMILAR BUT HPC SUGGESTED NOT USING THE GFS IN THE
LONGER TERM FORECAST AND INSTEAD USE A EUROCENTRIC BLEND.

TODAY THE RAIN SHOULD EXIT EARLY ON AS THE FRONT PULLS EAST AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TO HELP STABILIZE THINGS. WILL LEAVE LOW
CHANCES IN EARLY BUT DRY IT OUT BY AFTERNOON WITH CLEARING. TEMPS
TODAY WILL BE COOLER THAN THE PREVIOUS DAYS AND PROBABLY ONLY
AROUND 80 DEGREES.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN TONIGHT WILL ALLOW FOR A COOL NIGHT AS
LOWS MAY FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S IN RURAL AREAS. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH OUT FOR SOME PATCHY FOG...BUT WILL NOT INCLUDE IN THE GRIDS
DUE TO THE EXPECTED PATCHINESS AT THIS POINT.

A SLOW WARMING TREND FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS YET ANOTHER LOW
OVER THE PLAINS SENDS A STRENGTHENING WARM ADVECTION FLOW INTO
INDIANA AND TEMPS CLIMB BACK UP TO THE UPPER 80S WITH H8 TEMPS OF
+18C.

NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY WITH ANOTHER SLOW
MOVING COLD FRONT AND AN UPPER TROUGH RUNNING INTO THE EAST COAST
RIDGE. GFS SHOWS HEAVY QPF BUT FOR NOW WILL JUST GO WITH HIGH POPS
AND WAIT AND SEE AS THE MODEL TIMING HAS BEEN OFF A BIT ON THIS
SYSTEM SO FAR AND GFS IS NOT PREFERRED.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING FOR INZ021-
028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072.

&&

AVIATION...MK
PUBLIC...JOHNSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1051 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051-052-055>057-060-065-072-111500-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-JOHNSON-SHELBY-
RUSH-SULLIVAN-DECATUR-JENNINGS-
1051 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MINOR TO MAJOR RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG MANY OF THE
RIVERS ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. SEVERAL RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. SEE THE LATEST HYDROLOGICAL STATEMENT FOR
COMPLETE INFORMATION AND MORE DETAILS REGARDING RIVER FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE NEXT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL NOT BE UNTIL FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL OCCUR THEN.

MANY CENTRAL INDIANA RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL BE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ053-054-061>064-067>071-111500-
OWEN-MORGAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-
LAWRENCE-JACKSON-
1051 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

MAJOR TO NEAR RECORD FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE WHITE RIVER AND EAST FORK WHITE RIVER BASINS TODAY. SEE THE
LATEST HYDROLOGICAL STATEMENT FOR COMPLETE INFORMATION AND MORE
DETAILS REGARDING RIVER FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE NEXT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL NOT BE UNTIL FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL OCCUR THEN.

NEAR RECORD FLOODING ON THE WHITE RIVER AND EAST FORK WHITE RIVER
BASINS WILL BEGIN TO RECEDE THIS COMING WEEK. HOWEVER RIVERS WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE IN MANY LOCATIONS FOR SEVERAL DAYS.
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL COULD POSSIBLY WORSEN THE ONGOING
FLOODING OR PREVENT WATERS FROM RECEDING AS QUICKLY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

CO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
947 AM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 PM     TSTM WND GST     MUNCIE                  40.20N 85.39W
06/09/2008  M62 MPH          DELAWARE           IN   ASOS

            62 MPH WIND GUST

&&

COMITT