River Flood Warning 133, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1124 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2008

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 281800Z TAF ISSUANCE.

CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO ERODE FROM THE NORTH THRU 00Z AS HIGH
PRESSURE WORKS IN. CU SHOULD DEVELOP AT LAF BUT REMAIN IN LOW VFR
CATEGORY. CIGS AT IND/HUF SHOULD LIFT AOA BKN020 BY 18Z AND THEN TO
BKN VFR BY 21Z. BMG WILL TAKE A LITTLE LONGER BUT SHOULD BECOME VFR
BY 23Z.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND KEEP DRY
AIR ACROSS THE AREA. ATTM BELIEVE WINDS SHOULD REMAIN HIGH ENOUGH TO
PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT...BUT WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THINGS
SINCE GROUND IS ESPECIALLY WET AT HUF/BMG. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE ON SAT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM FCST FOCUS WL BE ON MRNG POPS AS STNRY FNT HAS NOW SLID S
OF THE OH RVR AS A CD FNT AS THE LAST SFC WAVE HAS MOVED E INTO OH.
LONGER TERM FOCUS WL BE ON POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD AND PROLONGED TRW
ACTIVITY STARTING OVERNGT SATURDAY NGT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WL KEEP POPS IN ACRS OUR SRN ZONES THROUGH MID MRNG. THEN...MODELS
AGREE CD FNT TO SLIDE ACRS THE MID SOUTH BY AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD
SHUT OFF ALL THE PRECIP. EXPECT GRADUAL AFTERNOON CLRG FM NW-SE
BASED ON SATELLITE TRENDS...LOW LVL RH PROGS AND MODEL TIME SECS.
SFC HIGH PRES WL SETTLE ACRS TNGT WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR AT LEAST
PARTIAL CLRG. WITH TO KEEP AN EYE ON FOG POTENTIAL...BUT WL LEAVE
OUT FOR NOW. HIGH LVL CLOUDS ROLL IN ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SLOWLY DEVELOPING PLAINS SYS THAT WL FEATURE RETURN FLOW...INCRSG
MOIST AND TRW CHANCES STARTING ON SATURDAY NGT. MODELS ALL AGREE ON
A LOT OF QPF WHICH COULD CERTAINLY CAUSE MORE FLOODING PROBLEMS ESP
ACRS SCNTRL INDIANA. WL BUMP POPS UP INTO THE LIKELY CAT STARTING ON
SUNDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH MON NGT.

WENT WITH COLDEST MAV TODAY ESP S WITH NW POST-FRONTAL WINDS AND
CLOUDS HANGING AROUND MUCH OF THE DAY. TNGT...GFS MOS LOOKS TO WARM
WITH CLRG...ALTHOUGH SFC WINDS STAY UP SOME.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

AVIATION...CS
PUBLIC...MK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
652 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>042-045>049-291100-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-
MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-
652 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND
POSSIBLE AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO NEXT THURSDAY. IT IS TOO SOON
TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ043-044-051>057-065-291100-
VERMILLION-PARKE-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-
DECATUR-
652 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE WABASH...EAST FORK OF THE
WHITE...AND THE WHITE RIVERS. SEE THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH...EAST
FORK OF THE WHITE...AND THE WHITE RIVERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO NEXT THURSDAY. IT IS TOO SOON TO
DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

INZ060>064-067>072-291100-
SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-
LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
652 AM EDT FRI MAR 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM EDT.

RISES ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL TAKE PLACE THIS MORNING AND
CAUSE THESE SMALL BODIES OF WATER TO FLOOD TODAY...AND CREATE
FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE WABASH...EAST FORK OF THE
WHITE...AND THE WHITE RIVERS. SEE THE LATEST HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE WABASH...EAST
FORK OF THE WHITE...AND THE WHITE RIVERS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO NEXT THURSDAY. IT IS TOO SOON TO
DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

KOCH