Areal Flood Warning 21, NWS Indianapolis, IN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
710 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2008

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 071200Z TAF ISSUANCE.
CONTINUOUS TRWS SHOULD FINALLY END MID TO LATE MRNG AS LOW LVL JET
SHIFTS INTO NRN INDIANA. AFTER THAT...KEEP VCTS IN WITH INSTABILLITY
FM THE MODELS AROUND 3000 J/KG BY THE AFTERNOON AND LEFT OVER
BOUNDARIES AND WEAK S/WS FAVOR KEEPING CBS IN THROUGH AT LEAST 00Z
SUN. CU DEVELPOMENT PROGS AND TEMP/DEW PT SPREADS TOMORROW FAVOR A
BRIEF PS OF MVFR CU LATE TOMORROW MRNG THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON...OTHER EXPECT MOSTLY VFR. WINDS WL STAY UP ENOUGH TO KEEP
FOG AWAY. GUSTY SW WINDS ONCE AGAIN TODAY WITH SOME SS CREATING SOME
MIXING.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST FOCUS WILL REVOLVE AROUND TSRA CHANCES TODAY
AND FLOOD ISSUES.

A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP TO THE WEST/SW
OF THE IND CWA THIS MORNING THANKS TO OLD BOUNDARIES PROVIDING FOCUS
FOR DEVELOPMENT AND H85 FLOW PARALLEL TO THE SURFACE BOUNDARIES.
TRAINING OF THESE CELLS HAS BEEN OCCURRING MOST OF THE NIGHT AND
SHOWS LITTLE SIGN OF LETTING UP THIS MORNING.  SATELLITE CLOUD TOPS
CONTINUE TO COOL WHILE MORE DEVELOPMENT IS TAKING PLACE ACROSS
CENTRAL ILLINOIS AT 07Z.

TODAY...WILL RAISE POPS OVER MOST OF CENTRAL INDIANA TO COVER THE
PERSISTANT TSRA ACTIVITY.  QPF WILL BE HIGH IN SOME AREAS WITH STORM
TOTALS POSSIBLY REACHING OVER 5 INCHES.  THE HARDEST HIT AREAS ARE
NOW UNDER AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 915AM AND WILL KEEP THAT
GOING.  WILL CONTINUE TO EVALUATE THE NEED FOR EXPANSION THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS.  AFTER THIS OVERNIGHT ACTIVITY BEGINS TO WANE
LATER THIS MORNING SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.  THIS
IN TURN WILL ALLOW FOR SOME DESTABILIZATION AND MORE TSRA THIS
AFTERNOON.  TEMPS WILL BE NEARLY IDENTICAL TODAY AS YESTERDAY.

TONIGHT...ACTIVITY SHOULD BE OVER BY TONIGHT AS UPPER SUPPORT SHIFTS
NORTH.  TEMPS WILL STILL BE IN THE 70S WITH WARM H85 TEMPS STILL
OVER US.

SUNDAY...QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH ON SUNDAY AS THE
PERSISTENT HIGH OVER THE SE CONUS HANGS TOUGH.  LITTLE AIRMASS
MODIFICATION IS EXPECTED SO TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 80S/LOW
90S FOR HIGHS AND AROUND 70 FOR LOWS.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NEXT SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT CENTRAL
INDIANA ON MONDAY.  IT LOOKS VERY SIMILAR TO THE CURRENT SYSTEM WITH
A SFC LOW TO THE WEST THAT WILL BE SHOVED N/NE INTO THE GREAT LAKES
SINCE EASTWARD MOVEMENT WILL BE THWARTED BY THE SE CONUS RIDGE EARLY
ON.  BY MONDAY NIGHT BOTH THE NAM/GFS SHOW THE FRONT MAKING MORE
PROGRESS INTO CENTRAL INDIANA BRINGING COOLER TEMPS TO THE REGION.
THE COOL DOWN WILL ONLY BE AROUND 4C AT H85 AND THAT WILL GIVE
ROUGHLY LOW TO MID 80S AT THE SFC FOR TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE GFS/ECMWF SHOW H5 RIDGING SHIFTING
FROM THE SE CONUS TO THE SW CONUS.  FLOW OVER INDIANA GOES MORE
ZONAL WHICH WILL GIVE US A PERIOD OF QUIET WEATHER.  TEMPS WILL
STILL BE ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID 80S.  BY FRIDAY ANOTHER COLD FRONT
WILL BE MOVING INTO THE STATE BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF TSRA.

&&

.IND WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

AVIATION...MK
PUBLIC...SALLY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2008

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-080900-
CARROLL-WARREN-TIPPECANOE-CLINTON-HOWARD-FOUNTAIN-MONTGOMERY-
BOONE-TIPTON-HAMILTON-MADISON-DELAWARE-RANDOLPH-VERMILLION-PARKE-
PUTNAM-HENDRICKS-MARION-HANCOCK-HENRY-VIGO-CLAY-OWEN-MORGAN-
JOHNSON-SHELBY-RUSH-SULLIVAN-GREENE-MONROE-BROWN-BARTHOLOMEW-
DECATUR-KNOX-DAVIESS-MARTIN-LAWRENCE-JACKSON-JENNINGS-
449 AM EDT SAT JUN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. A FEW OF THESE STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.

WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL OCCUR MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70 DUE TO NEARLY CONTINUOUS HEAVY RAINFALL OVERNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL STORMS THAT ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON WILL ALSO
CONTAIN HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY. THE HEAT INDEX WILL
REACH THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S. REMEMBER TO SLOW DOWN AND DRINK
PLENTY OF WATER WHEN OUTDOORS IN THE HEAT.

ALSO REMEMBER THAT DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALWAYS A
HAZARD WITH ANY STORM THAT FORMS.

MINOR TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG MANY OF THE RIVERS
ACROSS CENTRAL INDIANA. SEVERAL RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE. SEE THE LATEST HYDROLOGICAL STATEMENT FOR COMPLETE
INFORMATION AND MORE DETAILS REGARDING RIVER FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MANY CENTRAL INDIANA RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL BE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
THROUGH AT LEAST THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/IND (ALL
LOWERCASE)

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1113 AM EDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W PLAINFIELD          39.70N 86.46W
06/07/2008  U4.00 INCH       HENDRICKS          IN   PUBLIC

&&

NIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1119 AM EDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NNW BRAZIL            39.54N 87.13W
06/07/2008                   CLAY               IN   MESONET

            COCORAHS OBSERVER REPORTS FLASH FLOODING, WITH BOATS
            BEING USED IN THE STREETS ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF BRAZIL.
            OBSERVER HAS MEASURED 7.50 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST 15
            HOURS.

&&

NIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1126 AM EDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 S PARAGON             39.35N 86.56W
06/07/2008  M9.85 INCH       MORGAN             IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL OF 9.85 INCHES REPORTED BY COCORAHS OBSERVER.

&&

NIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1131 AM EDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 E FRANKLIN            39.49N 86.02W
06/07/2008  M5.77 INCH       JOHNSON            IN   NWS EMPLOYEE

            2.25 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE LAST THREE HOURS. STORM TOTAL
            SINCE RAIN BEGAN OF 5.77 INCHES. REPORTED BY NWS RETIREE.

&&

NIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1145 AM EDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SPENCER                 39.29N 86.77W
06/07/2008  M9.80 INCH       OWEN               IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 9.80 INCHES.

&&

NIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
1146 AM EDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     HEAVY RAIN       EDINBURGH               39.35N 85.97W
06/07/2008  M9.30 INCH       JOHNSON            IN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            STORM TOTAL OF 9.30 INCHES REPORTED BY EDINBURGH FIRE
            DEPARTMENT.

&&

NIELD