Winter Storm Warning 6, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WWUS43 KILX 301707
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1107 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...

ILZ027>031-037-038-302130-
/O.EXT.KILX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL
1107 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST MONDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM
CST MONDAY.

PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTH-CENTRAL ILLINOIS TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. PORTIONS OF THE BLOOMINGTON AREA HAVE ALREADY
SEEN ABOUT 5 INCHES OF SNOW SO FAR TODAY..AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY
SNOWFALL WILL BE LIKELY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS
LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES TONIGHT AND MONDAY
MORNING GIVING A STORM TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER
OFF BY MIDDAY MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY. THIS WILL CAUSE
CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL
HAZARDOUS AS TEMPERATURES DROP BACK BELOW FREEZING EARLY THIS
EVENING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

ILZ036-040>053-302130-
/O.EXT.KILX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-
CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...JACKSONVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR
1107 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST MONDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY.

LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FROM TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 1 INCH OF SNOW THIS
AFTERNOON AND 1 TO 2 INCHES TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING WILL GIVE A
STORM TOTAL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES EXPECTED BY MONDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15 TO 25 MPH
AND GUSTY. THIS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW
FREEZING THIS EVENING.


A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

ILZ054>057-061-302130-
/O.EXT.KILX.WW.Y.0009.081201T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLESTON...MATTOON...SHELBYVILLE
1107 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 12 PM CST MONDAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 12 PM CST MONDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WAS
CANCELED FOR TODAY.

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
WEST OF I-57. A STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL MOVE BACK OVER
EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS DURING THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
NOON MONDAY. EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW GIVING A
STORM TOTAL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES BY NOON MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE 
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY.
THIS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WHICH WILL
MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS AS TEMPERATURES SLIP BELOW FREEZING DURING
THIS EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

KH

000 
WWUS43 KILX 302050
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
250 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

ILZ027>031-037-038-010200-
/O.CON.KILX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL
250 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12
PM CST MONDAY.

PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. PORTIONS OF THE BLOOMINGTON AREA
HAVE ALREADY SEEN AROUND 6 INCHES OF SNOW SO FAR TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL
2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE BY NOON MONDAY. THIS WILL GIVE A
STORM TOTAL OF 6 TO 8 INCHES WITH LOCAL 10 INCH AMOUNTS AROUND
BLOOMINGTON. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY MIDDAY MONDAY. NORTHWEST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND BE GUSTY FROM
LATE TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW ESPECIALLY IN RURAL OPEN AREAS...WHICH WILL MAKE
TRAVEL HAZARDOUS AS TEMPERATURES DROP BACK BELOW FREEZING EARLY
THIS EVENING.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

ILZ036-040>053-010200-
/O.CON.KILX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-
CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...JACKSONVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR
250 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM
CST MONDAY.

LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA FROM THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
SNOW IS EXPECTED BY LATE MONDAY MORNING. THIS WILL GIVE A STORM
TOTAL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED BY NOON MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE BY TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15 TO 25 MPH 
AND BE GUSTY. THIS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING
SNOW ESPECIALLY IN RURAL OPEN AREAS...WHICH WILL MAKE TRAVEL 
HAZARDOUS AS TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW FREEZING THIS EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

ILZ054>057-061-010200-
/O.CON.KILX.WW.Y.0009.081201T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
MOULTRIE-DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLESTON...MATTOON...SHELBYVILLE
250 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO 12 PM CST MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM
THIS EVENING TO 12 PM CST MONDAY.

SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY
WEST OF I-57 AND NORTH OF I-72. A STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL
MOVE BACK OVER EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS DURING THIS EVENING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH NOON MONDAY. EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES
OF SNOW GIVING A STORM TOTAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES BY NOON MONDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15
TO 25 MPH AND BE GUSTY. THIS WILL CAUSE CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW ESPECIALLY IN RURAL OPEN AREAS WHICH WILL MAKE
TRAVEL HAZARDOUS AS TEMPERATURES SLIP BELOW FREEZING DURING THIS
EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

KH

000 
WWUS43 KILX 010153
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
753 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

ILZ027>031-037-038-010600-
/O.CON.KILX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL
753 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST MONDAY. 

PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER NORTH
CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. PORTIONS OF THE
BLOOMINGTON AREA HAVE ALREADY SEEN AROUND 6 INCHES OF SNOW SO FAR
TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE BY NOON
MONDAY. THIS WILL GIVE A STORM TOTAL OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY MIDDAY MONDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND BE
GUSTY FROM LATER TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE
SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF
SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN
AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

ILZ036-040>057-061-010600-
/O.CON.KILX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-
CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-
DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...JACKSONVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...
CHARLESTON...MATTOON...SHELBYVILLE
753 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY. 

PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. EXPECT AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF
SNOW GIVING A STORM TOTAL OF 2 TO 5 INCHES BY NOON MONDAY.
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15
TO 25 MPH AND BE GUSTY. THE GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE DRIVING.

$$

BAK

000 
WWUS43 KILX 010257
WSWILX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
857 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING CENTRAL ILLINOIS THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING...

ILZ027>031-037-038-010800-
/O.CAN.KILX.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KILX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
KNOX-STARK-PEORIA-MARSHALL-WOODFORD-TAZEWELL-MCLEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GALESBURG...PEORIA...BLOOMINGTON...
NORMAL
857 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED BY NOON MONDAY. LOCALLY HIGHER SNOWFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE.
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15
TO 25 MPH AND BE GUSTY. THE GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

ILZ036-040>057-061-010800-
/O.CON.KILX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-081201T1800Z/
FULTON-SCHUYLER-MASON-LOGAN-DE WITT-PIATT-CHAMPAIGN-VERMILION-
CASS-MENARD-SCOTT-MORGAN-SANGAMON-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-
DOUGLAS-COLES-EDGAR-SHELBY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAVANA...LINCOLN...CHAMPAIGN...URBANA...
DANVILLE...JACKSONVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...TAYLORVILLE...DECATUR...
CHARLESTON...MATTOON...SHELBYVILLE
857 PM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 12 PM CST
MONDAY. 

PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. STORM TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW
ARE EXPECTED BY NOON MONDAY. NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY TO 15 TO 25 MPH AND BE GUSTY. THE
GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLICK...SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND BE CAREFUL WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
515 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 341 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

SHORT TERM CHALLENGES TODAY INCLUDE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WITH THE
CURRENT SYSTEM OVER THE AREA AND WHEN THE SNOW WILL END...AS WELL
HAS WHETHER TO EXTEND THE ADVISORY. ANOTHER CONCERN IS WHEN WILL
RAIN CHANGE OVER TO SNOW IN SOUTHEAST COUNTIES. ALL MODELS FAIRLY
SIMILAR WITH THE CURRENT SYSTEM AND SEEM TO BE CONSISTENT WITH
PREVIOUS RUNS. THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH WITH EXPECTED OUTCOME OF
THIS SYSTEM NEXT 24-36 HOURS.

THE LONG TERM CONCERNS INVOLVE THE NEXT FRONT EXPECTED TO PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA EITHER EARLY OR LATE WEDNESDAY. GFS AND NAM-WRF
AGREE THAT FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MISS RIVER BY 12Z ON WED...WHILE
ECMWF IS SLOWER AND PUSHES FRONT THROUGH ABOUT 6HRS LATER. THIS
MAKES PCPN AND TEMP FORECASTS TRICKY. CONFIDENCE NOT VERY HIGH AT
THE MOMENT...BUT WITH NAM-WRF AGREEING ON TIMING OF FRONT WITH
GFS...WILL LEAN THAT DIRECTION.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
SNOW IS FALLING ACROSS THE REGION ALREADY WITH RAIN IN THE
SOUTHEAST. ANOTHER BAND OF RAIN IS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHEAST THIS
MORNING...BASED ON RADAR LOOPS...AND BASED ON SFC DEWPOINTS IN THAT
AREA...A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY. REMAINDER
OF THE CWA WILL SEE LIGHT SNOW MOST OF THE DAY.

CURRENT SFC LOW IS LOCATED IN WESTERN KY AREA AND HAS AN INVERTED
SFC TROUGH EXTENDING INTO MO AND THEN BACK INTO IOWA. LOOKING AT
WATER VAPOR LOOP...THE 500MB LOW APPEARS TO HAVE ALREADY OCCLUDED
AND IS LOCATED IN NORTHERN MO. WATER VAPOR LOOP ALSO SHOWS THE JET
MAX ENTERING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH IN NERN TX. THIS JET MAX IS
EXPECTED TO HELP DEEPEN THIS SYSTEM AS IT SITS RIGHT OVER TOP OF THE
ILX CWA. ANOTHER JET MAX IS ALSO SEEN ON WV LOOP AND THIS INDICATES
LITTLE MOVEMENT UNTIL THIS SECOND MAX ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
LATER TODAY. ISENTROPIC LIFT HAS BEEN PLENTIFUL EARLY THIS MORNING
AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM AND BOTH GFS AND NAM-WRF SHOW 2-3 G/KG OF
SPECIFIC HUMIDITY BEING LIFTED INTO THE AREA DURING THE DAY.
SATELLITE LOOPS AND RADAR TRENDS SEEM TO INDICATE A DEFORMATION AREA
ALREADY SETTING UP IN PARTS OF IOWA AND EXTENDING DOWN INTO NORTHERN
MO. CURRENT ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL GET PUSHED NORTH OF THE AREA
TODAY...BUT OMEGA AND QG FORCING POINT TO DEFORMATION FORMATION
CONTINUING INTO NORTHERN IL AND NORTHERN PARTS OF ILX CWA. AS THE
SFC LOW LIFTS INTO INDIANA TODAY AND THEN NORTHEAST INTO THE EASTERN
GRT LKS BY MONDAY 12Z...THE SYSTEM WILL STAY NEGATIVELY TILTED WITH
THE 500MB LOW IN INDIANA BY 12Z MONDAY. THEREFORE THE DEFORMATION
AREA WILL LIKELY STAY IN NORTHERN HALF OF IL THROUGH SOMETIME
TONIGHT.

AS THE SYSTEM FINALLY MOVES FURTHER NORTHEAST TOMORROW...THE
DEFORMATION AREA WILL PUSH EAST AS WELL. LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN
EASTERN AREAS TOMORROW MORNING...BUT ALL AREAS WILL TAPER TO
FLURRIES BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS TRICKY GIVE SEVERAL FACTORS. ONE THING IS
THAT 2 INCH GROUND TEMPS ARE STILL IN THE MIDDLE 30S. ANOTHER THING
IS THAT GIVEN THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE...THIS WILL BE A WET SNOW...AND
WILL BE USING AN 8:1 RATIO FOR SNOWFALL TODAY...THEN 10:1 FOR
TONIGHT. ANOTHER ITEM IS THE MODELS DO NOT INDICATE ANY CONVECTIVE
TRENDS IN THE DEF AREA...BUT ONE WOULD BELIEVE THERE AS TO BE SOME
GIVEN THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE SYSTEM AND THE FACT THAT IS WILL BE
DEEPENING THROUGH THE PERIOD. THEREFORE...BELIEVE 2-4 INCHES WILL BE
WIDESPREAD OVER THE AREA BY MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS OF 4-5...OR EVEN 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS ALONG
AND NORTHWEST OF I-74...WHICH LOOKS TO BE THE AREA THAT WILL BE IN
THE TAIL OF THE DEFORMATION ZONES.

WILL KEEP HEADLINE AS AN ADVISORY SINCE WARNING CRITERIA IS NOT
EXPECT TO BE MET...WHICH IS 6 IN 12HRS OR 8 IN 24HRS. AS EARLIER
MENTIONED...WE MIGHT SEE LOCALLY 6 INCHES IN THE NORTHEAST...BUT IT
WILL LIKELY TAKE LONGER THAN 12HRS TO REACH THAT.

TEMPS WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE THROUGH THE PERIOD AND REALLY DID
NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES FROM GOING FORECAST.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER ON SPEED OF NEXT SYSTEM FOR MID WEEK. AS
MENTIONED EARLIER...LEANING TOWARD GFS WHICH REMAINS CONSISTENT FROM
PREVIOUS RUNS AND HAS OTHER MODEL SUPPORT. SO...WITH FRONT COMING
THROUGH CWA EARLY WED...COLDER AIR WILL BE QUICKER TO ARRIVE IN THE
AREA. SO P-TYPE FOR THIS EVENT WILL AGAIN BE EITHER SNOW...OR
RAIN...OR MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. P-TYPE FORECAST WAS TIED TO SFC
TEMPS THROUGH THE DAY...WITH AREAS NORTHWEST OF THE ILL RIVER SEEING
SNOW ALL DAY AND AREAS IN SOUTHEAST SEEING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE OTHER AREAS WILL SEE MIX THROUGH THE DAY.

TEMPS WILL GET QUITE COLD BEHIND THIS FRONT AND MEX GUIDANCE LOOKED
REASONABLE FOR THIS TIME PERIOD.

AUTEN
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 515 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

SFC LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN NR EVV...WITH ASSOC 500 MB CLOSED LOW NR
STL. THIS SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN AND BECOME VERTICALLY-STACKED OVR
CENTRAL INDIANA BY 00Z MON...BRINGING WINTER STORM CONDITIONS TO ALL
OF CENTRAL IL THROUGH 12Z MON. CIGS SHOULD REMAIN BLO 1K FT WITH
WIDESPREAD VSBYS 3-5SM IN LIGHT SNOW/FOG...ALONG WITH FREQUENT VSBYS
BLO 1SM WITHIN HEAVIER BANDS. THERE MAY BE A TEMPORARY LULL IN THE
PCPN 14Z-18Z IN THE CMI AREA AS A DRY SLOT PUSHES NWD ACROSS ERN
IL...BUT ANY BREAKS WILL BE TEMPORARY. EXPECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
3-5 INCHES ALONG THE PIA-BMI-CMI CORRIDOR...WITH 2-4 INCHES AROUND
SPI/DEC. AS THE SFC LOW DEEPENS AND MOVES NWD TWD IND AFT 21Z
SUN...WINDS OVR IL WILL BECOME NWLY AND INCREASE TO 15-20 KT
SUSTAINED ALONG WITH GUSTS 25-30 KT.

04
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR ILZ027>031-036-
037-040>042-047>051.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST
MONDAY FOR ILZ038-043>046-052>057-061.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
600 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

ILZ027>031-036-037-011200-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-PEORIA-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.
1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER 2 OR 3 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOW WILL BE FROM 3 TO
5 INCHES. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...SO BLOWING SNOW MAY BECOME A
HAZARD AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON MONDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR LESS. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER
RURAL AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ038-043>046-011200-
CHAMPAIGN-DE WITT-MCLEAN-PIATT-VERMILION-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.
2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOW WILL BE FROM 3 TO
5 INCHES. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20
MPH TONIGHT... SO BLOWING SNOW MAY BECOME A HAZARD AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER RURAL
AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ040>042-047>051-011200-
CASS-LOGAN-MASON-MENARD-MORGAN-SANGAMON-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.
1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER 1 OR 2 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOW WILL BE FROM 2 TO
4 INCHES. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...SO BLOWING SNOW MAY BECOME A
HAZARD AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON MONDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF LESS THAN AN INCH. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25
MPH WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER
RURAL AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ052>057-061-011200-
CHRISTIAN-COLES-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-MACON-MOULTRIE-SHELBY-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SNOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.
2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY
ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES TONIGHT. STORM TOTAL SNOW WILL BE FROM 2 TO
4 INCHES. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 MPH
TONIGHT... SO BLOWING SNOW MAY BECOME A HAZARD AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SNOW WILL TAPER OFF MONDAY AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR LESS. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
CONTINUE TO CAUSE AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER RURAL
AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-011200-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
600 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW THIS MORNING SHOULD CHANGE TO ALL SNOW
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT BEFORE THE SNOW TAPERS OFF MONDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
523 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 AM     SNOW             1 E NORMAL              40.52N 88.98W
11/30/2008  M2.0 INCH        MCLEAN             IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            HEAVY WET SNOW...STILL FALLING.

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
610 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             LINCOLN                 40.15N 89.37W
11/30/2008  M0.5 INCH        LOGAN              IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0600 AM     SNOW             PEORIA                  40.74N 89.61W
11/30/2008  M1.0 INCH        PEORIA             IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0600 AM     SNOW             SPRINGFIELD             39.78N 89.64W
11/30/2008  M0.3 INCH        SANGAMON           IL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

0600 AM     SNOW             OGDEN                   40.12N 87.96W
11/30/2008  M2.4 INCH        CHAMPAIGN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
617 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             GALESBURG               40.95N 90.38W
11/30/2008  M1.0 INCH        KNOX               IL   MESONET

0600 AM     SNOW             RANKIN                  40.46N 87.90W
11/30/2008  M1.5 INCH        VERMILION          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
631 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 AM     SNOW             5 W BLOOMINGTON         40.48N 89.07W
11/30/2008  M3.0 INCH        MCLEAN             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            0.33 LIQUID

0600 AM     SNOW             4 NE NORMAL             40.56N 88.95W
11/30/2008  M2.4 INCH        MCLEAN             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            0.38 LIQUID

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
636 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 AM     SNOW             3 NE BLOOMINGTON        40.51N 88.93W
11/30/2008  M3.5 INCH        MCLEAN             IL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            0.39 LIQUID

0630 AM     SNOW             ALTONA                  41.12N 90.16W
11/30/2008  M1.8 INCH        KNOX               IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            0.32 LIQUID

&&

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
702 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             MAHOMET                 40.19N 88.40W
11/30/2008  M3.4 INCH        CHAMPAIGN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     SNOW             OGDEN                   40.12N 87.96W
11/30/2008  M3.3 INCH        CHAMPAIGN          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     SNOW             HOOPESTON               40.47N 87.67W
11/30/2008  M1.0 INCH        VERMILION          IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     SNOW             MOUNT PULASKI           40.01N 89.28W
11/30/2008  M1.6 INCH        LOGAN              IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     SNOW             2 N HOMER               40.06N 87.96W
11/30/2008  M2.8 INCH        CHAMPAIGN          IL   MESONET

&&

25