Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Lincoln, IL

January 7, 2008Morgan County, Scott County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jan 7, 2008, 5:35 PM CST for Morgan County, Scott County, Illinois. It was in force for 40 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jan 7, 2008, 5:35 PM CST (23:35 UTC)
Expired: Jan 7, 2008, 6:15 PM CST
In force: 40 min
Issued by: NWS Lincoln, IL
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Morgan County, IL, Scott County, IL

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jan 7, 5:37 PM CST	HAIL 1.5	Manchester, IL
Jan 7, 5:40 PM CST	HAIL 1.5	3 Sw Murrayville, IL

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jan 7, 1:52 PM CST	Tornado Watch	SPC	146 days

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 383 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -39 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 635 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 247 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 331 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KILX 072336
SVRILX
ILC137-171-080015-
/O.NEW.KILX.SV.W.0004.080107T2335Z-080108T0015Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
535 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
  SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CST.

* AT 535 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF MANCHESTER...OR ABOUT 5 MILES NORTH OF WHITE HALL...
  AND WAS MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MANCHESTER...
  MURRAYVILLE...
  WOODSON...
  FRANKLIN...
  ALEXANDER...
  WAVERLY...

ANOTHER LOCATION IN THIS WARNING IS...ALSEY.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM. 
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A 
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A 
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG
BUILDING...BUT STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO 
IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY 
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO YOUR LOCAL EMERGENCY
MANAGER...OR THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY...FOR RELAY TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3957 9046 3977 9000 3971 8999 3970 8998
      3964 8997 3955 8992 3953 8993 3951 9002
      3952 9047
TIME...MOT...LOC 2335Z 251DEG 48KT 3951 9036

$$

SHIMON

3 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KILX 072348
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
547 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

ILC137-171-080015-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080108T0015Z/
MORGAN-SCOTT-
547 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN AND SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES...

AT 544 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 4
MILES SOUTH OF MURRAYVILLE...OR ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF WHITE
HALL...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS ARE STILL THREATENED...
  NORTONVILLE...
  FRANKLIN...
  ALEXANDER...
  WAVERLY...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING 60 MPH WINDS...2 MILES WEST OF 
ROODHOUSE IN GREENE COUNTY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3977 9000 3965 8998 3955 8992 3954 8993
      3953 8993 3951 9002 3952 9037 3956 9039
      3960 9039
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 253DEG 45KT 3954 9021

$$

SHIMON

000 
WWUS53 KILX 072357
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
556 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

ILC171-080006-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080108T0015Z/
SCOTT-
556 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 553 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED THAT
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT HAD PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3977 9000 3964 8998 3956 8993 3953 8993
      3951 9002 3953 9030 3964 9030
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 253DEG 45KT 3957 9007

$$

ILC137-080015-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080108T0015Z/
MORGAN-
556 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CST
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY...

AT 553 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...
AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 2
MILES EAST OF NORTONVILLE...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
JACKSONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS ARE STILL THREATENED...  
  FRANKLIN...
  WAVERLY...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO 
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY 
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

METEOROLOGISTS HAVE DETECTED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 3977 9000 3964 8998 3956 8993 3953 8993
      3951 9002 3953 9030 3964 9030
TIME...MOT...LOC 2356Z 253DEG 45KT 3957 9007

$$

SHIMON

000 
WWUS53 KILX 080013
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
613 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

ILC137-080023-
/O.EXP.KILX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-080108T0015Z/
MORGAN-
613 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MORGAN COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 615 PM CST...

AT 612 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED THAT
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT HAD PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3977 9000 3964 8998 3956 8993 3953 8993
      3951 9002 3953 9030 3964 9030
TIME...MOT...LOC 0013Z 253DEG 45KT 3963 8981

$$

SHIMON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jan 7, 5:18 PM CST, 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 7, 5:18 PM CST, 17 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
518 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 256 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THE STRONG SPRING-LIKE STORM SYSTEM FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY IS THE
MAIN CONCERN. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS...AND A TORNADO
WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 03Z. THERE ALSO IS A FLOODING POTENTIAL
WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE. CONSIDERING A FLOOD WATCH FOR
AREAS NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM SPI TO CMI. THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO A
SYSTEM FOR THURSDAY AND ANOTHER ON SUNDAY.

OUR CWA REMAINS IN VERY WARM AIR...WITH A SHARP DROP OFF JUST TO THE
NORTHWEST IN IOWA...ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY. A
FEW SPOTS ARE CLOSE TO BREAKING THEIR RECORD WARM LOW FOR TODAY.
THOSE SAME LOCATIONS WILL MOST LIKELY BE JUST SHY OF THE RECORD
HIGHS.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED NORTHWEST OF THE ILLINOIS RIVER...CLOSER TO
THE STATIONARY FRONT. WIND SHEAR IS INCREASING ACROSS OUR WESTERN
CWA...AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ERUPTING IN THE INSTABILITY AXIS.
THE STRONG BULK SHEAR WILL AID IN PRODUCING SOME ROTATING
THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH WILL INCREASE THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.
HAIL AND STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO A FEW
TORNADOES...PRIMARILY NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM JACKSONVILLE TO
BLOOMINGTON. THE THREAT WILL SHIFT EASTWARD LATER TONIGHT...AS THE
SURFACE LOW IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO MOVES QUICKLY UP THE BOUNDARY
TOWARD WESTERN ILLINOIS. ENHANCED MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IS EXPECTED
ALONG WITH AN EROSION OF THE STABLE LOW BOUNDARY LAYER. SURFACE
BASED CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP...INCREASING THE CHANCES FOR DAMAGING
WINDS TO REACH THE GROUND.

THE MODELS HAVE CONVERGED TOWARD A SLIGHTLY SLOWER EASTWARD MOVEMENT
OF THE SYSTEM. THIS APPEARS REASONABLE...BASED ON THE TIMING AND
PATH OF THE NEXT SURFACE LOW...A BIT FARTHER WEST THAN THE LAST
MODEL RUNS. THAT WILL MOST LIKELY KEEP THE HEAVIER RAINS OUT OF OUR
SOUTHEASTERN AREAS UNTIL LATE TONIGHT OR TUESDAY MORNING.
THEREFORE...I PULLED POPS BACK TO LIKELY SOUTH OF I-70
TONIGHT...WITH CATEGORICAL POPS ON TUESDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAINS
APPEAR TO BE TONIGHT...BEFORE THE SURFACE LOW MOVES OVER OUR CWA ON
TUESDAY. TRAINING STORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY NW OF SPI TO CMI
TONIGHT...AS THE BOUNDARY MAKES ONLY SLOW PROGRESS EASTWARD.

SOME HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTHEAST OF SPI TO CMI...MAINLY
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...AS THE LOW PULLS OUT OF ILLINOIS
AND MOVES THE FRONT EASTWARD. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE LESS TRAINING
OF STORMS FOR A PROLONGED TIME FOR THE SOUTHEAST...AS THE FRONT WILL
BE MAKING STEADY MOVEMENT EASTWARD BY TUE AFTERNOON.

COLD AIR WILL BEGIN TO WRAP IN ON THE NW SIDE OF THE SYSTEM TUESDAY
EVENING...BUT PRECIP WILL BE SHUTTING DOWN BY THEN...SO VERY LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF MEASURABLE SNOW IS EXPECTED FOR AREAS NW OF THE ILL
RIVER.

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

A BREAK IN THE ACTION IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES OVER ILLINOIS...AND PROVIDES SOME SUNSHINE.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON THE TRACK OF THE NEXT SURFACE LOW FOR THURSDAY
AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE 12Z GFS NOW TAKES THE LOW DIRECTLY OVER OUR
CWA THUR AFTERNOON. THAT IS THE THIRD DIFFERENT SOLUTION OVER THE
LAST 3 DAYS. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN A LITTLE MORE CONSISTENT IN KEEPING
THE LOW SOUTH OF OUR AREA...AND PULLING AN INVERTED TROUGH ACROSS
OUR CWA. THERE IS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO MAKE MANY CHANGES TO THE
GOING LOW POP FORECAST FOR THUR AND THUR NIGHT. IT APPEARS MOST OF
THE CWA WILL BE TOO WARM FOR SNOW...BUT THE TRACK OF THE LOW WILL
PLAY A MAJOR ROLE IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE RAIN SNOW LINE.

SOME DIFFERENCES REMAIN BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF FOR THE SUNDAY
SYSTEM AS WELL. THEY DO AGREE BETTER ON KEEPING THE MAIN LOW WELL
SOUTHEAST OF ILLINOIS...BUT DIFFERENCES CONTINUE WITH THE RESULTANT
WEATHER FOR OUR CWA AS THE INVERTED TROUGH PASSES. WILL KEEP SOME
LOW CHANCE POPS IN THE SE HALF OF OUR CWA SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
FOR NOW...WITH SLIGHT CHANCES ELSEWHERE.

A GRADUAL COOL DOWN TOWARD NORMAL TEMPS WILL OCCUR THIS WEEK.
HOWEVER...WE WILL LIKELY REMAIN A LITTLE ABOVE NORMAL EVEN BY NEXT
MONDAY.

SHIMON
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 518 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

COLD FRONT DBQ-IRK-MKC WILL MOVE VERY LITTLE AS LOW PRESSURE
REDEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI THROUGH 12Z TUE.
THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE NORTHEAST ACROSS PIA AROUND 15Z TUE. THE COLD
FRONT WILL THEN ACCELERATE EASTWARD AND BE LOCATED IKK-SLO BY 00Z
WED. NUMEROUS SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR AHEAD OF THE FRONT
THIS PERIOD. OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...EXPECT STRONG SOUTH WINDS WITH
VFR STRATOCU. MVFR CEILINGS IN RAIN WILL SPREAD THROUGH THE AREA
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AFTER 18Z TUE.

04
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 7, 3:04 PM CST, 2 hours 31 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
304 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

ILZ027>031-036>038-040>043-047>050-081200-
CASS-DE WITT-FULTON-KNOX-LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-
MORGAN-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
304 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
ONE INCH POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS AN ISOLATED
THREAT THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
TONIGHT...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAIN ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND MAY
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON CREEKS...STREAMS...AND EVEN ON MAJOR AREA
RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY BUT THEY
SHOULD PUSH OFF TO THE EAST DURING THE DAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

ILZ046-055>057-062-063-066>068-071>073-081200-
CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-
JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-VERMILION-
304 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
ONE INCH POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS AN ISOLATED
THREAT THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
TONIGHT...WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
IN ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAIN ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND MAY
RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.
SIGNIFICANT RISES ON CREEKS...STREAMS...AND EVEN ON MAJOR AREA
RIVERS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY BUT THEY
SHOULD PUSH OFF TO THE EAST DURING THE DAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE
SEVERE...WITH WIND AND HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ044-045-051>054-061-081200-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-MACON-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-SHELBY-
304 PM CST MON JAN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF
ONE INCH POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SLIGHT THREAT
THAT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE TONIGHT...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. IN
ADDITION...THE HEAVY RAIN ON ALREADY SATURATED GROUND MAY RESULT
IN LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS. SIGNIFICANT
RISES ON CREEKS...STREAMS...AND EVEN ON MAJOR AREA RIVERS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON TUESDAY BUT THEY
SHOULD PUSH OFF TO THE EAST DURING THE DAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS EVENING.

HJS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 7, 4:33 PM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
433 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0429 PM     HAIL             DUNCAN MILLS            40.33N 90.18W
01/07/2008  E0.75 INCH       FULTON             IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

0432 PM     HAIL             ST. DAVID               40.49N 90.05W
01/07/2008  M0.75 INCH       FULTON             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

GEELHART

Local storm report, Jan 7, 5:12 PM CST, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
512 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0511 PM     HAIL             MORTON                  40.61N 89.47W
01/07/2008  M1.00 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED NEAR INTERSECTION OF I-74/I-155.

0511 PM     TSTM WND GST     MORTON                  40.61N 89.47W
01/07/2008  E60 MPH          TAZEWELL           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED NEAR INTERSECTION OF I-74/I-155

&&

GEELHART

Local storm report, Jan 7, 5:16 PM CST, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
516 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     HAIL             1 S MORTON              40.60N 89.47W
01/07/2008  E0.75 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GEELHART

Local storm report, Jan 7, 5:19 PM CST, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
519 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0519 PM     TSTM WND GST     MACKINAW                40.53N 89.36W
01/07/2008  E60 MPH          TAZEWELL           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GEELHART

Local storm report, Jan 7, 5:21 PM CST, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
521 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             1 N HOPEDALE            40.44N 89.42W
01/07/2008  M0.88 INCH       TAZEWELL           IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GEELHART

Local storm report, Jan 7, 5:30 PM CST, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
530 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0441 PM     TORNADO          TOPEKA                  40.33N 89.93W
01/07/2008                   MASON              IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            *** 1 INJ *** TORE ROOF AWAY FROM HOUSE. 1 MINOR INJURY.

0400 PM     TSTM WND DMG     RUSHVILLE               40.12N 90.57W
01/07/2008                   SCHUYLER           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE FELL ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF RUSHVILLE.

&&

GEELHART

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jan 7, 3:39 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Cass, Fulton, Mason, Schuyler	52 min
Jan 7, 4:18 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Fulton, Mason, Schuyler	42 min
Jan 7, 4:44 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ILX	Fulton, Mason, Peoria, Tazewell	46 min
Jan 7, 4:51 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ILX	Mason, Tazewell	24 min
Jan 7, 5:14 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ILX	McLean, Tazewell, Woodford	31 min
Jan 7, 5:42 PM CST	Tornado Warning	ILX	McLean	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Illinois, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.