Severe Thunderstorm Warning 127, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WWUS53 KILX 062158
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
458 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

ILC023-029-033-035-045-079-062245-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0127.000000T0000Z-080606T2245Z/
CLARK-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EDGAR-JASPER-
458 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN EDGAR...CLARK...CUMBERLAND...NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...
NORTHERN JASPER AND SOUTHEASTERN COLES COUNTIES...

AT 457 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
DETECT A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF VERMILION TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
MARTINSVILLE TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF YALE...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 7 MILES EAST OF PARIS TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARSHALL TO 11
MILES NORTHEAST OF NEWTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 57 MPH.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS ARE STILL THREATENED...
  BELLAIR...
  DENNISON...
  ANNAPOLIS...
  ORANGE...
  YORK...
  WEST YORK...
  WEST UNION...
  HUTSONVILLE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 106 AND 154.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3935 8754 3932 8761 3927 8761 3925 8757
      3921 8757 3915 8766 3911 8765 3899 8836
      3940 8836 3972 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 246DEG 50KT 3963 8754 3931 8779
          3914 8806

$$

BARNES

000 
WWUS53 KILX 062217
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
517 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

ILC029-035-079-062227-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0127.000000T0000Z-080606T2245Z/
COLES-CUMBERLAND-JASPER-
517 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CUMBERLAND...NORTHERN JASPER
AND SOUTHEASTERN COLES COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

AT 514 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE THUNDERSTORM THAT HAD PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD MOVED OUT OF 
THE AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3935 8754 3932 8761 3921 8757 3915 8766
      3911 8765 3906 8796 3917 8796 3918 8801
      3924 8802 3948 8801 3949 8796 3955 8796
      3971 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 246DEG 50KT 3973 8722 3941 8747
          3924 8775

$$

ILC023-033-045-062245-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0127.000000T0000Z-080606T2245Z/
CLARK-CRAWFORD-EDGAR-
517 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN EDGAR...CLARK AND NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES...

AT 514 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS REPORTED CAPABLE 
OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE 
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 19 MILES NORTHEAST OF VERMILION 
TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DENNISON TO 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF ORANGE...OR 
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 18 MILES NORTH OF TERRE HAUTE TO 9 MILES 
EAST OF MARSHALL TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARSHALL...MOVING 
NORTHEAST AT 57 MPH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 127 AND 154.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE
SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3935 8754 3932 8761 3921 8757 3915 8766
      3911 8765 3906 8796 3917 8796 3918 8801
      3924 8802 3948 8801 3949 8796 3955 8796
      3971 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2217Z 246DEG 50KT 3973 8722 3941 8747
          3924 8775

$$

BARNES

000 
WWUS53 KILX 062228
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
528 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

ILC023-033-045-062238-
/O.CAN.KILX.SV.W.0127.000000T0000Z-080606T2245Z/
CLARK-CRAWFORD-EDGAR-
528 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN EDGAR...CLARK AND
NORTHWESTERN CRAWFORD COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT.

AT 625 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT
THE THUNDERSTORM THAT HAD PROMPTED THE WARNING HAD MOVED OUT OF THE
AREA...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3935 8754 3932 8761 3921 8757 3915 8766
      3911 8765 3906 8796 3917 8796 3918 8801
      3924 8802 3948 8801 3949 8796 3955 8796
      3971 8753
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 246DEG 50KT 3978 8703 3946 8729
          3930 8757

$$

BARNES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
250 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 215 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008
PROFILERS SHOWING A GRDL WEAKENING OF WIND FIELDS ACRS THE
MIDWEST THIS AFTN AND THIS TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING. STRONGEST WINDS MIXED TO THE SFC DURING THE LATE MRNG AND
EARLY AFTN HOURS WITH THE STRONGER WINDS FIELDS NOW ABOVE 4000
FEET. WL TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT THE FCST SOUNDINGS AND PROFILERS IN
A COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...WL CANCEL THE
WIND ADVSY AT ZONE ISSUANCE TIME.

...HAVE DECIDED TO HOLD ONTO THE WIND ADVSY UNTIL THE EXPIRATION TIME
OF 600 PM CDT THIS EVENING...STILL SEEING WIND GUSTS APPROACH 50 MPH
ACROSS THE NORTH AND WEST THIS AFTN...

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE THIS PERIOD WILL BE WITH THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES TNT AND OVER THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH TEMPS. SHORTWAVE
ENERGY PUSHING OUT OF SW MO WL INTERACT WITH A WEAKENING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACRS PARTS OF THE
AREA THRU THE EVENING HOURS. STORMS DURING THEIR INITIAL STAGES
OF DEVELOPMENT COULD EXHIBIT STRONG LOW LVL ROTATION AND PSBLY
PRODUCE A TORNADO. UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND FIELDS SUGGEST MORE LINEAR
TYPE STORMS EARLY THIS EVENING WITH A STRAIGHT LINE WIND THREAT.
LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...CONCERN SHIFTS MORE TWDS A
HEAVY RAIN THREAT ACRS OUR SOUTHEAST. MORE FAVORABLE LOW LVL
CONVERGENCE AND THETA-E ADVECTION AND NOSE OF 50KT LOW LVL JET
CNTRD ACRS MO INTO SRN IL...MORE ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-72 OVERNIGHT
SO WL CARRY A LITTLE HIGHER POPS THERE.

UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE FORECAST TO BUILD ACRS THE OHIO VALLEY
STARTING ON SATURDAY WITH ANY OVERNIGHT CONVECTION LIFTING
NORTHEAST AND THEN DIMINISHING AS IT ENCOUNTERS WARMING TEMPS
ALOFT. WL CARRY LOW CHANCE POPS DURING THE DAY AS ANY REMNANT
OUTFLOWS FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION COULD IGNITE ADDL STORMS DURING
THE DAY. GFS AND WRF MODELS SUGGEST MODERATE TO EXTREME INSTABILITY
ACRS NE IOWA...NRN IL AND SRN WISCONSIN SAT AFTN AND EVENING AS
THE NEXT SHORTWAVE HEADS NE THRU THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. THIS
SHOULD DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT SOUTHEAST INTO NE IOWA AND SOUTH
CNTRL WISCONSIN BY EVENING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG AND EAST OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAT AFTN AND EVENING AND
THEN TRACK NE...STAYING TO OUR NORTH. WL KEEP POPS LOW SATURDAY
NIGHT AS CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN TO OUR NORTH OVERNIGHT.

VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS THE UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING HOLDS OVR THE MIDWEST. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO
FIRE TO OUR NW ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A GRDL SHIFT SE
INTO OUR FAR NW COUNTIES WHERE THE CURRENT LOW CHANCE POPS LOOK
REASONABLE LATE SUNDAY. BASED ON THE CURRENT GFS AND ECMWF MODELS
OUR BEST THREAT FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING IN LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHIFTS SE INTO
THE LOWER MIDWEST.

LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN TO PREVAIL ACRS MIDWEST DURING THIS PERIOD
AS SEVERAL RATHER STRONG SHORTWAVES FOR THE MIDDLE OF JUNE WL
AFFECT THE FCST AREA TUESDAY MRNG AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY. CONVECTION
CHANCES WILL REMAIN ACRS THE AREA AT LEAST THRU TUE MRNG BEFORE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS BACK OVR THE MIDWEST FOR A BRIEF TIME.
NEXT SHORTWAVE WL PUSH INTO THE NW PORTION OF THE COUNTRY HELPING
TO BUILD HEIGHTS ACRS OUR AREA FOR MIDWEEK. NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY
IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA LATE THU INTO FRIDAY...BUT CONTINUE
TO SEE SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THIS PARTICULAR SHORTWAVE
LATE IN THE PERIOD SO WL KEEP THE POPS IN THE 20-30 RANGE FOR NOW.

SMITH
&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1252 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

HAVE TEMPO GROUPS OF THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL IL TAF SITES THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO MID SAT MORNING. FIRST ROUND
OF STORMS DUE TO OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MOVING EASTWARD FROM THE IL
RIVER/I-55 TOWARD THE IN/IL BORDER BY 00Z. VSBYS COULD BE
RESTRICTED TO 1 TO 2 MILES IN HEAVY RAIN WITH CEILINGS DOWN TO 2500
FT. WINDY WITH SSW WINDS 20 TO 27 KTS AND GUSTS OF 30 TO 38 KTS.
MODELS SHOWING ANOTHER AREA OF CONVECTION LIFTING NE ACROSS
CENTRAL IL BETWEEN 09Z-15Z THEN INTO NORTHERN IL BY SAT AFTERNOON.
SOUTH WINDS DIMINISH TO 13 TO 15 KTS TONIGHT THEN SSW GUSTS OF 20
TO 25 KTS AFTER 13Z SAT.

HUETTL
&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ILZ027>031-
036>038-040>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-071100-
FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME STORMS COULD BE SEVERE FROM I-55 EAST...WITH THE MAIN THREATS
BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT
BE RULED OUT. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY...BUT THE
HIGHEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
AREA. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY AS A FRONT STALLS JUST NORTH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS. AT
THIS TIME THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS
LOW...HOWEVER PEOPLE SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS IN THE EVENT
THAT SEVERE WEATHER BECOMES MORE LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

ILZ038-042-043-047>053-071100-
CASS-CHRISTIAN-DE WITT-LOGAN-MACON-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-SANGAMON-
SCOTT-
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.
SEVERE WEATHER WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY FROM I-55
EAST...WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
ISOLATED TORNADO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IT WILL BE WINDY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS OF
35 TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY...BUT THE
HIGHEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
AREA. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY AS A FRONT STALLS JUST NORTH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS. AT
THIS TIME THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS
LOW...HOWEVER PEOPLE SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS IN THE EVENT
THAT SEVERE WEATHER BECOMES MORE LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED UNTIL 7 PM.

ILZ044>046-054>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-071100-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-
EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-MOULTRIE-PIATT-RICHLAND-SHELBY-
VERMILION-
221 PM CDT FRI JUN 6 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO EASTERN ILLINOIS
DURING THIS AFTERNOON AND THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SOME SEVERE
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM I-55 EAST...WITH THE PRIMARY SEVERE
THREATS BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. IT WILL BE WINDY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO THE
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS
ACTIVITY WILL BE LOW...HOWEVER HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL BE COMMON WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.

RIVER FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE SANGAMON RIVER DOWNSTREAM FROM
MONTICELLO...AND ALSO ALONG THE WABASH RIVER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY...BUT THE
HIGHEST RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
AREA. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY AS A FRONT STALLS JUST NORTH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS. AT THIS
TIME THE THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LOW...HOWEVER
PEOPLE SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS IN THE EVENT THAT SEVERE
WEATHER BECOMES MORE LIKELY.

RIVER LEVELS ALONG THE SANGAMON RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY FALL.
HOWEVER...RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER SOUTH ALONG THE
EMBARRAS AND WABASH RIVERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED UNTIL 7 PM.

KH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
436 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0426 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EFFINGHAM               39.12N 88.55W
06/06/2008                   EFFINGHAM          IL   MESONET

            ETIMATED 60 MPH WIND IN EFFINGHAM WITH A LARGE TREE
            REPORTED DOWN ON EVERGREEN STREET.

&&

OUSLEY