Alert archive / Illinois / River Flood Warnings in 2008

River Flood Warning 16, NWS Lincoln, IL

February 5, 2008Crawford County, Jasper County, Illinois

NWS Lincoln, IL issued this river flood warning at Feb 5, 2008, 1:18 PM CST for Crawford County, Jasper County, Illinois. It took effect at Feb 6, 2008, 10:12 AM CST. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 5, 2008, 1:18 PM CST (19:18 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 6, 2008, 10:12 AM CST
Expired
Feb 9, 2008, 9:03 PM CST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Lincoln, IL
Flood severity
Moderate

Counties Crawford County, IL, Jasper County, IL

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Embarras River (IL) at Ste Marie (STMI2). The gauge peaked at 19.99 ft at Feb 8, 2008, 12:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderate510152002/0502/0602/0702/0802/0902/1002/11
Action stage
17 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
20 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03345500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KILX 051918
FLWILX
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
118 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS... 

  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES

.SYNOPSIS...BETWEEN A HALF AND 1 INCH OF RAIN FELL MONDAY NIGHT.
BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.5 MORE INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THIS WILL CAUSE THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE TO RISE ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE OVERNIGHT. 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG THIS RIVER NEED TO PREPARE FOR FLOODING.
STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS FLOODING SITUATION. 

ILC033-079-060918-
/O.NEW.KILX.FL.W.0016.080206T1052Z-000000T0000Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080206T1052Z.080208T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
118 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN IL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE.
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 100 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 3 AM TONIGHT AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WATER OVERTOPS A FEW PRIVATE LEVEES IN THE 
  STE MARIE AREA.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  12.1 TUE 1 PM    19.3   22.0   22.1

$$

KH
10 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KILX 060312
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
912 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 
  LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY AFFECTING CLAY AND RICHLAND 
  COUNTIES 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-061712-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.080206T1017Z-000000T0000Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080206T1017Z.080208T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  900 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.6 FEET BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WATER OVERTOPS A FEW PRIVATE LEVEES IN THE 
  STE MARIE AREA.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  15.1 TUE 9 PM    19.4   22.1   22.5



$$

ILC101-061712-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0015.080206T0846Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.2.ER.080206T0846Z.080209T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  750 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 35.6 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 37.0 FEET...THE ROAD ACROSS POTEET BRIDGE FLOODS. SOME 
  HOUSES ARE ISOLATED

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  24.9 TUE 8 PM    32.2   35.6   36.3



$$

ILC025-159-061712-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLAI2.2.ER.080205T2253Z.080207T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM CST TUE FEB 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE WABASH RIVER NEAR CLAY CITY. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  745 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.2 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...THE ROAD 1 MILE EAST OF THE GAGE IS FLOODED.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    WED    THU    FRI

LITTLE WABASH RIVER
 CLAY CITY         16  17.3 TUE 8 PM    21.5   22.0   22.2



$$
SMITH
000 
WGUS83 KILX 060902
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
302 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-062302-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.080206T1612Z-080210T0200Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080206T1612Z.080207T1800Z.080209T2000Z.NO/
302 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* FROM THIS MORNING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  100 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 20.7 FEET BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WATER OVERTOPS A FEW PRIVATE LEVEES IN THE 
  STE MARIE AREA.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  16.5 WED 1 AM    20.6   20.5   19.3



$$

ILC101-062302-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1600Z.080209T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
302 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  140 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 35.0 FEET BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 36.0 FEET...BILLET-VINCENNES RIVER ROAD IS INUNDATED

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  27.8 WED 2 AM    32.8   34.1   34.9



$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 061731
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1131 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES. 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY.  

.EMBARRAS RIVER LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
THE LAST COUPLE DAYS...RAPID SNOW MELT UPSTREAM...AND BACKWATER 
FROM THE WABASH RIVER. THE EMBARRAS RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE LATER TODAY...AND STAY AT HIGH LEVELS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL 
DAYS.

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-070731-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T0224Z.080208T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1131 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  900 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...WATER OVERTOPS A FEW PRIVATE LEVEES IN THE 
  STE MARIE AREA.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  17.8 WED 9 AM    19.8   20.9   20.9

$$
ILC101-070730-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1641Z.080210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1131 AM CST WED FEB 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  950 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE  
  TO RISE TO NEAR 35.1 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 36.0 FEET...BILLET-VINCENNES RIVER ROAD IS INUNDATED. 

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    THU    FRI    SAT

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  29.7 WED 10 AM   32.8   33.9   34.8

$$
GEELHART
000 
WGUS83 KILX 070728
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
128 AM CST THU FEB 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-072128-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080211T2159Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T0906Z.080207T1800Z.080211T1559Z.NO/
128 AM CST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  100 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THIS MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 9 FLOODS BETWEEN STE MARIE 
  AND WILLOW HILL.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  18.8 THU 1 AM    19.5   19.1   19.3



$$

ILC101-072127-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1652Z.080209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
128 AM CST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1150 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.9 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 36.0 FEET...BILLET-VINCENNES RIVER ROAD IS INUNDATED

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  31.1 THU 12 AM   33.7   34.9   34.5



$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 071708
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1108 AM CST THU FEB 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS..
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES
  
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-080708-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080211T2159Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T1436Z.080210T1800Z.080211T1559Z.NO/
1108 AM CST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  900 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 9 FLOODS BETWEEN STE MARIE 
  AND WILLOW HILL.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  19.0 THU 9 AM    19.3   19.1   19.3



$$

ILC101-080708-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1652Z.080209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1108 AM CST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  945 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.7 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 36.0 FEET...BILLET-VINCENNES RIVER ROAD IS INUNDATED

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  31.5 THU 10 AM   33.4   34.7   34.5



$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 080156
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
756 PM CST THU FEB 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS..

  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES
  
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-081556-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080211T2159Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T1436Z.080210T1800Z.080211T1559Z.NO/
756 PM CST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  500 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 9 FLOODS BETWEEN STE MARIE 
  AND WILLOW HILL.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  19.2 THU 5 PM    19.2   19.0   19.3



$$

ILC101-081556-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1652Z.080210T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
756 PM CST THU FEB 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  705 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 34.7 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 36.0 FEET...BILLET-VINCENNES RIVER ROAD IS INUNDATED

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  32.0 THU 7 PM    33.1   34.5   34.5



$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 081620
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1020 AM CST FRI FEB 08 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS..
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-090620-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080211T1800Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T1436Z.080208T1445Z.080211T1200Z.NO/
1020 AM CST FRI FEB 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  900 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 9 FLOODS BETWEEN STE MARIE 
  AND WILLOW HILL.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  19.9 FRI 9 AM    19.2   19.3   19.0



$$

ILC101-090620-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1652Z.080210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1020 AM CST FRI FEB 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  805 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 33.3 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.


&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  32.4 FRI 8 AM    33.1   33.3   33.1



$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 090120
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
720 PM CST FRI FEB 08 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-091520-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080211T2159Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T1436Z.080208T1830Z.080211T1559Z.NO/
720 PM CST FRI FEB 08 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  500 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 9 FLOODS BETWEEN STE MARIE 
  AND WILLOW HILL.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  19.9 FRI 5 PM    19.6   19.6   19.2



$$

ILC101-091520-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1652Z.080210T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
720 PM CST FRI FEB 08 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  430 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 33.3 FEET BY 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.


&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SAT    SUN    MON

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  32.8 FRI 4 PM    33.1   33.2   33.1



$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 091723
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
1123 AM CST SAT FEB 09 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-100723-
/O.EXT.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080212T0000Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T1436Z.080208T1830Z.080211T1800Z.NO/
1123 AM CST SAT FEB 09 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE. 
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  900 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.6 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 9 FLOODS BETWEEN STE MARIE 
  AND WILLOW HILL.

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  19.2 SAT 9 AM    19.5   19.2   17.5

$$

ILC101-100723-
/O.CON.KILX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LAWI2.1.ER.080206T1652Z.080212T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1123 AM CST SAT FEB 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT LAWRENCEVILLE. 
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 1015 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 30.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 35.6 FEET BY 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 36.0 FEET...BILLET-VINCENNES RIVER ROAD IS INUNDATED

&&

                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

EMBARRAS RIVER
 LAWRENCEVILLE     30  33.7 SAT 10 AM   34.5   35.4   35.5

$$
000 
WGUS83 KILX 100303
FLSILX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL 
903 PM CST SAT FEB 09 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
ILLINOIS...
 
  EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE AFFECTING CRAWFORD AND JASPER COUNTIES

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON OBSERVED PRECIPITATION AND 
PRECIPITATION FORECAST THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER A FLOODED ROADWAY...TURN AROUND AND FIND AN 
ALTERNATE ROUTE. STAY TUNED TO LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR 
LATER STATEMENTS AND FORECASTS.

ILC033-079-100333-
/O.CAN.KILX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-080212T0000Z/
/STMI2.2.ER.080207T1436Z.080208T1830Z.080209T1907Z.NO/
903 PM CST SAT FEB 09 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE EMBARRAS RIVER AT STE MARIE.
* AT  500 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT  107 PM SATURDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 17.8 FEET BY MONDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 9 FLOODS BETWEEN STE MARIE 
  AND WILLOW HILL.

&&


                  FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 6AM
LOCATION          STG  STG  DAY TIME    SUN    MON    TUE

EMBARRAS RIVER
 STE MARIE         19  18.8 SAT 5 PM    18.6   17.8   15.7



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lincoln, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 5, 12:31 PM CST, 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 12:31 PM CST, 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1231 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 1040 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON...
WITH WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING BLOSSOMING AREA OF CONVECTION
ACROSS MO/IA IN AREA OF RICH MID-LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND
STEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT UP AND OVER QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY THAT
IS DRAPED ALONG THE I-70/I-44 CORRIDOR.

LEADING EDGE OF MODERATE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS
EDGING INTO THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE CWA... JUST ABOUT UP TO A
SPI-DEC-MTO LINE. RAIN SHOULD MOVE UP TO A PIA-BMI-CMI LINE BY
NOON.

OVERALL FORECAST HANDLES THIS VERY WELL. WILL MAKE MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO MAX T AND INCREASE QPF ACROSS THE WEST AS WELL
CONSIDERING WHAT IS COMING IN.

HARDIMAN

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1222 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008
BAND OF MODERATE RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING UP FROM
THE SOUTH... SHOULD MOVE INTO BMI/CMI BETWEEN 18Z-19Z. EXPECT THIS
WILL HELP TO BREAK UP THE DENSE FOG THAT REMAINS AT THOSE TWO
TERMINALS...HOWEVER CIGS WILL REMAIN IFR THROUGH THE PERIOD.

EMBEDDED THUNDER SEEMS TO BE LIMITED TO RIGHT NEAR THE VORT MAX
WHICH SHOWS UP NICELY ON RADAR... AND ALONG THE BACK EDGE OF THE
PRECIP. ATTEMPTED TO TIME THIS INTO TAF SITES... MAINLY CARRIED AS
VCTS EXCEPT TEMPO TS AT SPI AND DEC. SPI BEING CLOSE TO THE VORT
MAX TRACK AND DEC BEING DOWNSTREAM OF CURRENT CG STRIKES.

BIG DRY SLOT BETWEEN IMPULSES... THOUGH THIS IS LIKELY TO STAY
SOUTH OF A PIA-BMI LINE BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS. ENTIRE AREA WILL
BE IN BROAD AREA OF STEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT WITH PLENTY OF
MOISTURE... SO CANNOT OUTRULE SHOWERS REDEVELOPING WITHIN THE DRY
SLOT... SO KEPT SHRA IN THE TAFS FOR SPI/DEC FOR LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. CONVECTION WITH THE SECOND
IMPULSE IS REALLY JUST STARTING TO GET GOING NOW ACROSS SW MO/NE
OK... AND EXPECT THIS WILL BEGIN TO BLOSSOM LIKE THE FIRST IMPULSE
DID OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS... THUS SHORTENING ANY PRECIP-FREE
WINDOW SIGNIFICANTLY.

HARDIMAN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 206 AM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

VERY ACTIVE SHORT-TERM SHAPING UP ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS...AS VIGOROUS STORM SYSTEM TRACKS FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WHILE STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST KILX CWA. MEANWHILE...BAND
OF DEFORMATION ZONE SNOW WILL IMPACT THE ILLINOIS RIVER VALLEY
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE LIFTING INTO NORTHEAST
ILLINOIS...WITH TRAILING FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD TO ANOTHER
DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.
ALOFT...TROUGH CONTINUES TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST...WHILE
FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY SOUTHWESTERLY OVER THE MIDWEST.

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY

FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS WILL SETTLE
SOUTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHEAST KILX CWA THIS MORNING...TAKING THE
MAIN BAND OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH IT. FURTHER NORTH...A
LULL IN THE PRECIP WILL BE NOTED DURING THE MORNING HOURS...WITH
PERHAPS A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MORNING...HOWEVER VISIBILITIES MAY TEND TO IMPROVE AS
SOMEWHAT DRIER LOW-LEVEL AIR FILTERS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. EVEN
STILL...WITH ALL THE MOISTURE LEFT BEHIND FROM THE RAPID SNOWMELT
AND LAST EVENINGS RAIN...WILL BE LEAVING THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN
EFFECT THROUGH NOON.

SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES STILL EXIST AMONG THE MODELS REGARDING THE
DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TODAY. THE
GENERAL TREND HAS BEEN TO SLOW THE FEATURE...HOWEVER THE BIG
QUESTION IS TO WHAT EXTENT. BASED ON 00Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS...THE
UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS APPEARS TO STILL BE
DIGGING...THUS SUPPORTING A SLOWER EVOLUTION. 00Z 5 FEB GFS DOES
NOT LATCH ONTO THIS TREND...WHILE THE NAM-WRF TAKES IT TO AN
EXTREME BY SLOWING BY ABOUT 6 TO 12 HOURS FROM ITS PREVIOUS RUNS.
MEANWHILE...THE ECMWF/CANADIAN REPRESENTS A MORE REASONABLE MIDDLE
OF THE ROAD SOLUTION...WHICH WILL BE FOLLOWED FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE.

LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK FROM OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI BY
00Z WED...RESULTING IN RAIN OVERSPREADING THE ENTIRE KILX CWA
DURING THE AFTERNOON. BEST INSTABILITY WILL EXIST ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...WHERE LATEST DAY 1 OUTLOOK FROM
SPC INDICATES SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE. FURTHER NORTH...MUCH MORE
STABLE AIRMASS WILL RESULT IN MAINLY RAIN...WITH PERHAPS A RUMBLE
OF THUNDER. WITH STRONG LLJ TRANSPORTING DEEP MOISTURE NORTHWARD
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL
LATER TODAY INTO TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-55.
CURRENT FLOOD WATCH COVERS THIS THREAT WELL AND WILL NOT BE
ALTERED.

ONCE LOW TRACKS INTO THE OHIO VALLEY...COLDER AIR WILL BEGIN TO
FILTER IN FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF THE
ILLINOIS RIVER BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z...BEFORE THE PROFILE COOLS
ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. FURTHER EAST AND
SOUTH...RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR THE BALANCE OF THE EVENING...BEFORE
MIXING WITH SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS LOCATIONS WEST OF I-57.
DEFORMATION ZONE STILL EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS
INTO IOWA THIS EVENING...THEN GRADUALLY SHIFT E/NE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST KILX CWA OVERNIGHT. END RESULT WILL BE A PERIOD OF
SNOW...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A RUSHVILLE TO MINONK LINE. BASED
ON EXPECTED QPF...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY RANGE BETWEEN 2
AND 4 INCHES ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. BASED
ON THE SNOWFALL AND THE EXPECTED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...WILL BE
ISSUING A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ALL COUNTIES CURRENTLY UNDER
THE WINTER STORM WATCH.

LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...BEFORE TAPERING OFF AND
COMING TO AN END BY LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO
THE REGION BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM...RESULTING IN CLEARING AND
COLDER WEATHER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILL UNDERCUT NUMERIC GUIDANCE BY
A FEW DEGREES FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS...DUE TO EXPECTED SNOW COVER.
NEXT SYSTEM QUICKLY APPROACHES ON THURSDAY...HOWEVER IT CONTINUES
TO LOOK WEAK AND MOISTURE STARVED...SO WILL ONLY MENTION SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS AT THIS TIME.

LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY

COOL AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED. BOTH GFS/ECMWF
BRING FAST-MOVING DISTURBANCES THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER THESE FEATURES ARE QUITE WEAK...SO WILL
MAINTAIN CURRENT DRY FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY.

BARNES

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ILZ044>046-051>057-
061>063-066>068-071>073.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 12 PM CST
WEDNESDAY FOR ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-047.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 12:29 PM CST, 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1229 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

ILZ027>031-036-037-040-041-047-061200-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MARSHALL-MASON-PEORIA-SCHUYLER-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
1229 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
12 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT TOWARD THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA
DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH PERIODS OF MODERATE RAIN EXPECTED AS WELL.
SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN...SLEET...AND
SNOW THIS EVENING. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED...WITH 2
TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW LIKELY BY THE TIME THE SNOW ENDS WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ACCUMULATING SNOWS WILL END BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY AS THE STRONG
STORM SYSTEM LIFTS TO OUR NORTH AND EAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW AND
OR ICE REPORTS WOULD BE APPRECIATED FROM OUR SPOTTERS THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.

ILZ038-042-043-048>050-061200-
DE WITT-LOGAN-MCLEAN-MENARD-MORGAN-SCOTT-
1229 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL
HAIL...BUT NO SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED. MODERATE TO LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING WITH ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES...WHICH WILL BRING
MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS TO FLOOD OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW LATER TONIGHT AS THE LOW
PUSHES INTO CENTRAL INDIANA. MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED BY
TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ044>046-051>055-061200-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-MACON-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-
VERMILION-
1229 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT TOWARD THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AS THE SYSTEM APPROACHES.
A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL...HOWEVER SEVERE
STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF FROM 1 TO
2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE TONIGHT WHICH WILL ONLY
AGGRAVATE THE FLOODING CONCERNS FOR THE LOCAL RIVERS AND STREAMS
ACROSS THE AREA.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW TONIGHT. LITTLE OR NO
SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED BY TIME THE SNOW TAPERS OFF LATE
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

ILZ056-057-061>063-066>068-071>073-061200-
CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-
LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-SHELBY-
1229 PM CST TUE FEB 5 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING AS THE STORM SYSTEM
APPROACHES. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...WITH THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN
ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL
IS ALSO POSSIBLE AND MAY RESULT IN FLOODING. RIVERS AND STREAMS IN
A FEW AREAS ARE ALREADY BANKFULL AND WILL PROBABLY GO IN TO FLOOD
WITH THE EXPECTED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS.

THE PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES
WEDNESDAY MORNING. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY
THIS EVENING...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF AN EFFINGHAM TO MARSHALL
LINE. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
WILL OCCUR FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

SMITH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lincoln, IL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 4, 7:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean24 min
Feb 4, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXLogan, Macon, Sangamon33 min
Feb 4, 10:25 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningILXSangamon3 hr
Feb 5, 3:32 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryILXCass, Fulton, Knox, Marshall, Mason, Peoria and 4 more38 hr
Feb 5, 7:04 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningILXPiatt6 days
Feb 5, 10:23 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningILXClay, Richland8 days
Feb 5, 10:45 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningILXVermilion4 days
Feb 5, 10:52 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningILXLawrence12 days
Feb 5, 4:59 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningILXChampaign, Christian, Coles, Cumberland, DeWitt, Douglas and 11 more6 hr
Feb 5, 5:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Macon, Piatt36 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Illinois, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.