Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Wilmington, OH

000 
WWUS51 KILN 090435
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1133 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

OHC017-113-090443-
/O.CAN.KILN.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080109T0445Z/
BUTLER OH-MONTGOMERY OH-
1133 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY AND
EASTERN BUTLER COUNTIES HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 3951 8433 3953 8433 3958 8422 3958 8418
      3947 8409 3943 8422 3940 8428 3939 8433
      3950 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 0433Z 228DEG 64KT 3983 8390

$$

OHC165-090445-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080109T0445Z/
WARREN OH-
1133 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 PM EST
FOR NORTHWESTERN WARREN COUNTY...

AT 1128 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT THE LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD WEAKENED BUT WAS STILL 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED ACROSS 
WESTERN WARREN COUNTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT...LEBANON AND RED LION.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3951 8433 3953 8433 3958 8422 3958 8418
      3947 8409 3943 8422 3940 8428 3939 8433
      3950 8434
TIME...MOT...LOC 0433Z 228DEG 64KT 3983 8390

$$

RYAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
931 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
EXPECT WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS...GUSTY WINDS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE OHIO
VALLEY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
LATEST SFC MAP SHOWS A COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM SFC LOW OVER
LOWER MI...THRU WESTERN INDIANA AND WRN KY INTO THE LWR MS VLY.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS HAVE MOVED INTO THE WESTERN PORTION OF FA
AHD OF THIS FRONT. AS STRONG S/W EJECTS NE...LOW LEVEL JET
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO ABOVE 70KTS INTO OHIO VLY. THIS WL ACT
TO INCREASE LOW LEVEL FORCING WL SHUD INCREASE SHOWER AND TSTM
POTENTIAL. EXPECT CONVECTION TO BECOME MORE LINEAR AND THIS
IS STARTING TO BE OBSERVED IN THE RADAR SIGNATURES TO OUR SW.
GIVEN VERY STRONG WINDS IN THE LOW LEVELS..THE POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR TRANSPORTING SOME OF THESE WINDS TO THE SFC.

HAVE CONTD WIND ADVSY OVERNIGHT GIVEN WIND GUST POTENTIAL OF
45 TO 50 MPH MAINLY IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT. THERE IS DECENT
DIRECTIONAL AND SPEED SHEAR...SO SOME STORMS MAY HAVE ROTATION AS
WELL. PREV FCST IN GOOD SHAPE AND ONLY UPDATED TO FRESHEN UP THE
FCST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
FOR WEDNESDAY...THE FRONT MOVES QUICKLY OFF TO THE EAST AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION.  MORNING CLOUDINESS WILL DECREASE
WEST TO EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.  HIGH TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL BEHIND THE FRONT...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S
NORTH TO SOUTH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN DRY...ALTHOUGH THE NAM IS
STRONGER...FASTER AND FURTHER NORTH AND WEST THAN THE GFS WITH A
WEAK SOUTHERN DISTURBANCE.  LOWS WILL DIP INTO THE LOWER 30S FOR THE
MOST PART.

THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT...THE NAM AND GFS ARE SOMEWHAT IN
DISAGREEMENT WITH BASIC FEATURES. GENERALLY THOUGH...ANOTHER AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES...DRAGGING A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA.  MEANWHILE...A WEAKER CIRCULATION IS
PROGGED TO DEVELOP ACROSS KY AND MOVE NE...WITH MORE ORGANIZED PCPN
LIKELY ACROSS SOUTHERN OHIO AND KY...WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS ELSEWHERE.
HIGH TEMPS THURSDAY WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL...SIMILAR TO HIGH
TEMPS WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NORTHWEST FLOW OFF LAKE MICHIGAN BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE MAY
RESULT IN A FEW RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES MAY
FALL DURING THE DAY IN COLD ADVECTION PATTERN. EXPECT DRY WEATHER ON
SATURDAY UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. WEAK AND SLOW MOVING LOW PRESSURE WILL
BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE LOW ON TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...SLIPPING TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
WENT A BIT WARMER THAN GRIDDED MOS GUIDANCE...IN PART TO MATCH
BETTER WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROF OVER THE PLAINS TO LIFT NE THRU THE OHIO
VALLEY AND INTO THE GREAT LAKES BY WED MORNING. ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT FROM ILLINOIS THRU THE LOWER MS VLY TO PUSH EAST THRU THE
TAF SITES BETWEEN 04Z AND AND 07Z. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT MOIST SWRLY
FLOW COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE FORCING WILL LEAD TO SHOWERS
BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS THRU THE EVENING. SOME ELEVATED INSTBY
AFFECTS MAINLY THE SRN TAF SITES THIS EVENING BUT DUE TO WEAKENING
TREND OF INSTBY AND VERY LIMITED COVERAGE OF POTENTIAL TSTMS...HAVE
ELECTED TO LIMIT MENTION TO CB IN THE TAFS. HAVE CIGS COMING DOWN
INTO MVFR CAT IN PRECIP AND THESE LOW CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO CONT
THRU THE NIGHT. EXPECT THESE CIGS TO CLEAR EARLY WED MORNING. MAIN
CONCERN TONIGHT IS STRONG WINDS. SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THERE WILL BE A PERIOD
OF SEVERAL HOURS WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 45KTS POSSIBLE. GUSTS WILL
DIMINISH TOWARDS 12Z AND CONTINUE TO DROP OFF DURING THE DAY ON
TUESDAY.

OUTLOOK...MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR OHZ026-034-035-
     042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR INZ050-058-059-066-
     073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...CONIGLIO
AVIATION...AR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1031 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

INZ059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-035-043>046-051>056-060>065-
070>074-077>082-088-100345-
UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-
GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-
ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-AUGLAIZE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-
MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-
GREENE-FAYETTE OH-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-
HOCKING-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
1031 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...TORNADO WATCH 12 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL
OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. A FEW
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

INZ050-058-OHZ034-042-100345-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-MERCER-DARKE-
1031 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL INDIANA...MIAMI
VALLEY OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1030 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

INZ066-074-OHZ070-071-077-090430-
FRANKLIN IN-DEARBORN IN-HAMILTON OH-BUTLER OH-WARREN OH-
1030 PM EST TUE JAN 8 2008

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WARREN...BUTLER...
NORTHERN HAMILTON...EASTERN DEARBORN AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM EST...

AT 1029 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
COLLEGE CORNER ON THE INDIANA-OHIO BORDER...TO BRIGHT IN DEARBORN
COUNTY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS AT 50 TO 55 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...HAMILTON...OXFORD...MIDDLETOWN...THE NORTHERN CINCINNATI
SUBURBS...MASON...WEST CHESTER...LEBANON... HARRISON...
COLLINSVILLE...AND LAWRENCEBURG.

THESE STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN...
WHICH MAY FLOOD ROADS...DITCHES AND LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE
INTO PLACES WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD AND AVOID FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT. IF THESE STORMS BECOME
STRONGER...THEN A WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

RYAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1046 PM EST TUE JAN 08 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     TSTM WND GST     DAYTON                  39.78N 84.20W
01/08/2008  M0 MPH           MONTGOMERY         OH   ASOS

            56 MPH GUST MEASURED AT DAYTON INTL AIRPORT

&&

RYAN