River Flood Warning 99, NWS Wichita, KS

000 
WGUS83 KICT 150125
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
825 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN KANSAS...
 
  CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN AFFECTING SUMNER COUNTY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS OR GO AROUND 
BARRICADES.

KSC191-151325-
/O.EXT.KICT.FL.W.0099.081015T1536Z-081016T1424Z/
/CBNK1.1.ER.081015T1536Z.081015T1800Z.081016T0224Z.NO/
825 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE WILL BE REACHED BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 10.2 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS CAN BE 
  EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH BANK.

&&
 
                     FLD  OBSERVED          FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION             STG  STG  DAY TIME     WED    THU    FRI

CHIKASKIA RIVER
  CORBIN             10.0   8.9  TUE 8 PM      8.6    4.6    3.8

$$

000 
WGUS83 KICT 150131
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
831 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN KANSAS...

  CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN AFFECTING SUMNER COUNTY.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS OR GO AROUND 
BARRICADES.

KSC191-151331-
/O.CON.KICT.FL.W.0099.081015T1536Z-081016T1424Z/
/CBNK1.1.ER.081015T1536Z.081015T1800Z.081016T0224Z.NO/
831 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN.
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO THURSDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...FLOOD STAGE WILL BE REACHED BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 10.2 FEET BY EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS CAN BE 
  EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE SOUTH BANK.

&&
 
                     FLD  OBSERVED          FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION             STG  STG  DAY TIME     WED    THU    FRI

CHIKASKIA RIVER
  CORBIN             10.0   8.9  TUE 8 PM    9.7    8.6    4.6

$$

000 
WGUS83 KICT 151332
FLSICT
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS 
832 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
KANSAS...
 
  CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN AFFECTING SUMNER COUNTY.
 

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS OR GO AROUND 
BARRICADES.

KSC191-151402-
/O.CAN.KICT.FL.W.0099.000000T0000Z-081016T1424Z/
/CBNK1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
832 AM CDT WED OCT 15 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CHIKASKIA RIVER NEAR CORBIN.
* AT  8:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 8.8 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL TO 5.4 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING.


&&
 
                     FLD  OBSERVED          FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION             STG  STG  DAY TIME     THU    FRI    SAT

CHIKASKIA RIVER
  CORBIN             10.0   6.5  WED 8 AM      5.4    3.9    3.5

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1231 PM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

.AVIATION...18Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
MAIN CONCERN FOR AVIATION ARE CONTINUED IFR/MVFR CIGS AND VIS.
RAIN HAS TAPERED OFF SOMEWHAT AT KICT IMPROVING THE VIS BUT CIGS
REMAIN IN THE IFR RANGE. RAIN SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
VALID PERIOD AT KHUT/KRSL/KSLN RESULTING IN LOWERED VIS AND CIGS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY IS MUCH MORE SPARSE IN THE VICINITY OF KCNU SO
ONLY MENTIONED VCSH. CIGS REMAIN IN THE IFR RANGE AT KCNU BUT
THERE HAS BEEN SOME BREAKING UP OF CLOUDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE
TERMINAL. THIS MAY TEMPORARILY IMPACT THE TAF SITE BUT OVERCAST
CIGS IN THE IFR RANGE SHOULD PERSIST. FORECAST SOUNDINGS OVER KHUT
AND KICT SHOW THAT THE RAIN MAY BREAK UP INTO DRIZZLE FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE FILLING BACK IN WITH RAIN OVERNIGHT.
TIMING OF WHEN PRECIPITATION/LOW VIS/LOW CIGS MAY END LOOKS TO BE
AROUND 15Z WEDNESDAY FOR KRSL/KSLN/KHUT. IT SHOULD BE AROUND
18Z FOR KICT AND LATER THAN THAT FOR KCNU. SO THERE WILL BE A
PROLONGED PERIOD OF IFR/MVFR CIGS AND VIS FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

CDB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 635 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008/

AVIATION...12Z TAFS...KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE RAIN...WITH POCKETS OF
HEAVY RAIN...WILL AFFECT MUCH OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. SOUTHEAST KS ACTIVITY WILL BE LESS NUMEROUS.
MOST WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL KS WILL BE THIS
MORNING...WITH FOCUS SHIFTING TO MAINLY CENTRAL KS LATE MORNING
INTO THE AFTERNOON. CIGS IN THE MOST PROLONGED & HEAVIEST SHOWERS
WILL BE IN THE LOW MVFR TO HIGH IFR CATEGORY...WITH IFR CONDITIONS
AFFECTING SOUTHEAST KS MUCH OF THE DAY REGARDLESS OF PRECIPITATION
COVERAGE. CIGS MAY TEND TO RISE IN THE SHORTER DURATION
SHOWERS...AS HIGH AS 2500-3500FT AGL.

KLEINSASSER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 312 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008/

DISCUSSION...
FORECAST CONCERN...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING POTENTIAL TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

THE SHORT TERM MODELS REMAIN FAIRLY SIMILAR IN PROGGING HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KANSAS
THROUGH TONIGHT. BASED ON RECENT AND EXPECTED RAINFALL THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE EXPANDED FURTHER TO INCLUDE A FEW
MORE COUNTIES ALONG AND WEST OF THE TURNPIKE.

THE TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS AHEAD OF THE LAGGING PORTION OF THE UPPER TROF
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. THIS FEATURE WILL EJECT BODILY
NORTHEAST THRU THE NEXT 36 HOURS...ALONG WITH THE ASSOCIATED
LOW AND MID LEVEL WAVE ALONG THE STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE. THE NAM
AND GFS CONTINUE TO SHOW RATHER IMPRESSIVE ISENTROPIC LIFT AND
FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS THE MORE
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY...FOR AREAS WEST OF THE
TURNPIKE THROUGH TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO AROUND
2 INCHES IS LIKELY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN CHILLY TODAY...WITH A GRADUAL RISE EXPECTED LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS DUE TO SOME
WARM/MOIST ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED WEAK SURFACE WAVE.

THE SHORT TERM MODELS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A MORE PESSIMISTIC
RECOVERY ON WEDNESDAY. THOUGH RAINFALL COVERAGE/CHANCES AND
AMOUNTS WILL DECREASE...WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP ITS MENTION FOR
ALL BUT FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS FOR THE AFTERNOON.

DRIER AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK WITH SOME MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES. NO CHANGES TO THE
FORECAST MADE BEYOND THURSDAY.

DARMOFAL

AVIATION...06Z TAFS KRSL/KSLN/KHUT/KICT/KCNU
MAIN AVIATION CONCERN WILL BE PRECIP CHANCES ALONG WITH IFR CIGS.

SURFACE FRONT HAS SWEPT THROUGH THE AREA AND IS STRETCHING FROM NEAR
KJLN THROUGH EASTERN OK. ABOVE THE FRONT MOISTURE ADVECTION
CONTINUES IN THE 850-700MB RANGE WITH THE MAIN PIECE OF UPPER ENERGY
STILL LINGERING OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT ALONG THE 305K SURFACE ALLOWING MORE
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO WORK THEIR WAY NORTH...OVERSPREADING ALL OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KS BY MID MORNING.

SHOWERS HAVE KEPT CIGS FROM STAYING BELOW IFR THIS EVENING WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF KCNU...WHERE PRECIP HAS BEEN MORE SPORADIC. THEREFORE
WILL KEEP MOST SITES ABOVE IFR OVERNIGHT WITH THE THINKING THAT THE
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST.

LAWSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WICHITA-KICT    48  59  44  67 / 100  60  10  10
HUTCHINSON      45  59  42  67 / 100  50  10  10
NEWTON          47  58  43  67 / 100  60  10  10
ELDORADO        49  59  44  67 / 100  70  10  10
WINFIELD-KWLD   51  59  46  67 / 100  70  10  10
RUSSELL         42  59  40  67 / 100  30  10  10
GREAT BEND      43  59  41  67 / 100  30   0  10
SALINA          45  59  41  67 / 100  50  10  10
MCPHERSON       44  59  42  66 / 100  50  10  10
COFFEYVILLE     56  63  46  68 /  60  80  10  10
CHANUTE         54  60  45  67 /  70  80  10  10
IOLA            53  60  44  67 /  70  80  10  10
PARSONS-KPPF    55  63  46  68 /  60  80  10  10

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR KSZ032-033-
047>052-067-068-082-083-091-092.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
416 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-150930-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
416 AM CDT TUE OCT 14 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS...
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAIN WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
CENTRAL KANSAS TODAY...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THE
RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT...BEFORE DIMINISHING OR ENDING ON
WEDNESDAY. THE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN MINOR
LOW-LAND FLOODING TODAY AND TONIGHT...FOR AREAS MAINLY WEST OF
THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLASH FLOOD WATCH
STATEMENT FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.
HOWEVER REPORTS OF FLOODING AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE GREATLY
APPRECIATED.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION...SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE) HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/HWO.PHP

KED