Severe Thunderstorm Warning 12, NWS Huntsville, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
349 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 17 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH
CENTRAL ALABAMA...

.UPDATE...A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PARTS OF N
CENTRAL AL. REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE BEHIND THE MAIN LINE OF TSTMS
HAVE BEEN RECEIVED OVER THE LAST HR. INCREASING GRADIENT WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HRS BEFORE WEAKENING AS
THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE TN VALLEY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS FROM S MIDDLE
TN SWD TO NW AL AND TO SE MS CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE TN VALLEY. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
BULK OF THE FORECAST AREA FROM W TO E DURING THE REMAINING
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HRS. MUCH OF THESE TSTMS HAVE A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING EITHER LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND THIS THREAT LOOKS TO CONTINUE THRU THE
EARLY EVENING HRS BASED ON THE CURRENT MESOSCALE PATTERN AND
THERMO INDICIES. SHEAR PROFILES BASED OFF THE LATEST RUC13
SOUNDINGS INDICATE ENHANCED CURVATURE IN THE LOWER LEVELS COUPLED
WITH INCREASING POS ENERGY THEREBY SUGGESTING MOST TSTMS LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING WILL TREND TOWARD SUPERCELL
DEVELOPMENT. ALL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING WELL AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY POSITIONED FROM ERN AR SWD TO S CENTRAL LA.
THE LATEST SHORT RANGE MODELS STILL INDICATE THE COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE TN VALLEY DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HRS.
STRONG CONVECTION THOUGH SHOULD BE DIMINISHING OR MOVE E OF THE
AREA WELL AHEAD OF THE ONCOMING BOUNDARY WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING AND SFC BASED INSTABILITY.

A LITTLE BIT OF A COOL DOWN IS THEN IN STORE FOR THE TN VALLEY
BEHIND THE EXITING FRONT STARTING FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO
THE SE REGION. OVERALL TEMPS LOOK TO RUN AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL THROUGH SAT UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS BEFORE THE SFC
HIGH MOVES OFF TOWARD THE NE APPROACHING THE NRN ATLANTIC BASIN.
THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE STILL INDICATING AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING OVER THE NW GULF LATE SAT BEFORE MOVING ENEWD SUN
TOWARD THE SE ATLANTIC COAST. THE EXTENT OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
AND ASSOC PRECIP REMAINS IN QUESTION ALTHOUGH ENOUGH ENERGY ASSOC
WITH THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY GET DISPLACED NWD TO WARRANT
SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SUN AND SUN NT. STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OUT OF THE
PLAINS STATES IS THEN INDICATED TO MOVE INTO THE SE REGION
STARTING MON WITH OVERALL TEMPS RETURNING TO NORMAL READINGS INTO
MID WEEK UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS.
&&

.AVIATION...STRONG TO SEVERE TSTMS WILL BE THE MAIN WX THREAT FOR
THE TERMINALS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS
EVENING...WITH THE HIGHER PROB EXISTING FOR AIRPORTS E OF I-65.
IFR CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS UPWARD TO 45 KTS ARE POSSIBLE THRU 01Z
IN AND NEAR THE TSTM ACTIVITY. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
TO MVFR CRITERIA (CEILING HEIGHTS AROUND 1500 TO 3000 FT) LATER
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ALTHOUGH SFC WINDS MAY CONTINUE TO RUN
NEAR 15 KTS BEFORE DIMINISHING FRI MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD
THEN PREVAIL THRU FRI.
&&

.UPDATED HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING
     COUNTIES: LIMESTONE...LAWRENCE...MORGAN...MADISON...
     MARSHALL.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     LAWRENCE...LIMESTONE...MADISON...AND MORGAN.
TN...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7PM CST FOR THE FOLLOWING
     COUNTIES: LINCOLN...MOORE.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     AND LINCOLN.
&&

DG.09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1015 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-110200-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-LAWRENCE-LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-CULLMAN-MOORE-LINCOLN-FRANKLIN TN-
1015 AM CST THU JAN 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA AND PORTIONS
OF SOUTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...
SOUTHERLY WINDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH A STRONG STORM SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO USHER AN UNSEASONABLY MILD AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS INTO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. THE AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO DESTABILIZE AS
WE CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...AND COUPLED WITH STRONG
WIND ENERGY ALOFT....WILL SET THE STAGE FOR STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY
THREATS WILL BE ISOLATED TORNADOES...DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL.

A SQUALL LINE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS
THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST BY THIS EVENING. THE HIGHER THREAT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST AMONG THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP JUST AHEAD OF THIS SQUALL LINE THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH STRONGER CELLS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE ITSELF. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL END AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE...PARTICULARLY EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65
CORRIDOR WHERE AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES MAY OCCUR IN ISOLATED
LOCATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY AND THIS EVENING.

CBD

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
435 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

ALZ003-004-102315-
FRANKLIN-LAWRENCE-
435 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR FRANKLIN AND LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL
515 PM CST...

AT 435 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BEAR CREEK...OR NEAR HALEYVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  PHIL CAMPBELL.
  MT HOPE.
  LANDERSVILLE.
  MOULTON.
  CHALYBEATE SPRINGS.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

27

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
435 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

ALZ003-004-102315-
FRANKLIN-LAWRENCE-
435 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR LAWRENCE AND SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN
COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CST...

AT 435 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BEAR CREEK...OR NEAR HALEYVILLE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  PHIL CAMPBELL.
  MT HOPE.
  LANDERSVILLE.
  MOULTON.
  CHALYBEATE SPRINGS.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD INTENSIFY QUICKLY...SO BE READY TO ACT IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...COMMERCIAL RADIO...OR YOUR LOCAL
TELEVISION STATIONS FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS
CONCERNING THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

27

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
453 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

ALZ008-102345-
MARSHALL-
453 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR MARSHALL COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM CST...

AT 453 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF MARSHALL
COUNTY. A PARTICULAR STRONG THUNDERSTORM...7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
ARAB...IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PEA SIZE HAIL...WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH...AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH WILL OCCUR...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...
  HYATT.
  MOUNTAIN VIEW.
  GUNTERSVILLE.
  COLUMBUS CITY.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST THURSDAY EVENING
FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA AND CENTRAL TENNESSEE.

DJN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
456 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

ALZ006-007-016-TNZ076-096-110000-
CULLMAN-LINCOLN-MADISON-MOORE-MORGAN-
456 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT UNTIL 6 PM FOR GUSTY WINDS...

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY
LINGERING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTS COULD REACH 40 MPH...
ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THESE WINDS WILL MAKE IT MORE DIFFICULT FOR MOTORISTS ON EAST TO
WEST ROADWAYS...AND MAY BRING DOWN SMALL TREE BRANCHES.

KULA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
519 PM CST THU JAN 10 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 E BREMEN              33.99N 86.81W
01/10/2008                   CULLMAN            AL   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREES DOWN ON INTERSTATE 65 AT MILEMAKER 295.

0430 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 E BREMEN              33.99N 86.81W
01/10/2008                   CULLMAN            AL   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREES DOWN ON INTERSTATE 65 NEAR MILE MARKER 295.

&&

KWEBER