Flash Flood Warning 6, NWS Hanford, CA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
306 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...AN EASTERLY WAVE SLOWLY PROGRESSING WESTWARD
CONTINUES TO AFFECT INYO AND SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON. SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG WITH REGIONAL DOPPLER RADAR
OBSERVATIONS SHOW CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT MAINLY OVER THE TULARE
AND FRESNO COUNTY MOUNTAINS...AND POSSIBLY STARTING OVER THE KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS. LATEST MODEL PROGS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE BEST
LI/S AND CAPE VALUES RESIDING OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA AND KERN
COUNTY MOUNTAINS. WILL NOT RULE OUT THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
CONVECTION EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AROUND
KERN COUNTY AS DEVELOPMENT DRIFTS OFF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
YET...WILL CONFINE THE DEVELOPMENT TO AREAS OUTSIDE OF MERCED AND
LOWER MARIPOSA COUNTIES AS INSTABILITY BECOMES VERY WEAK IN THOSE
AREAS AND THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE WESTERLY. SHOULD EXPECT
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT BEFORE DEVELOPMENT
BEGINS AGAIN ON SUNDAY.

LOOKING FURTHER OUT...MONDAY WILL SEE A CONTINUATION OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS MODELS SHOW A NORTHWARD SURGE ON
MONSOONAL MOISTURE PUSHING INTO THE DISTRICT. BY TUESDAY...MODELS
BEGIN SHOWING A MORE WESTERLY (ONSHORE) FLOW PATTERN DEVELOPING TO
SHIFT THE MOISTURE EASTWARD. WILL CONFINE ANY FURTHER DEVELOPMENT
TO THE MOUNTAINS BEFORE DRYING THE ENTIRE DISTRICT ON WEDNESDAY.
THE NEXT WEATHER CONCERN WILL ARISE TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD
AROUND SATURDAY AS THE REMAINS OF A DISTURBANCE VEERING EAST AND
INTO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. WHILE STILL IS STILL AROUND THE END OF
THE PERIOD...WILL NOT ADD ANY MENTION OF PRECIP TOWARD SATURDAY.
YET...WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION TO SEE OF THIS TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE MANAGES TO MOVE CLOSER TO THE DISTRICT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR EXCEPT AREAS OF MVFR SFC AND ALOFT IN HZ/FU ACROSS
THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH 00Z MONDAY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY ACROSS THE MTNS
AND DESERTS...POSSIBLY SPREADING WEST INTO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY
AND FOOTHILLS TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...PLEASE SEE SFOAQAHNX

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

PUBLIC...MOLINA
AVN/FW...SANGER

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
612 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2008

CAZ089>099-140000-
WEST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-EAST CENTRAL SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
SOUTHWESTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-SOUTHEASTERN SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY-
MARIPOSA MADERA AND FRESNO COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
TULARE COUNTY FOOTHILLS-KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON-
TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INDIAN WELLS VALLEY-
SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT-
612 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ALL OF INTERIOR CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AIR QUALITY ALERT REMAINS IN EFFECT. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE
REFER TO SFOAQAHNX /WMO HEADER...AEUS76 KHNX/.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING OVER
EASTERN FRESNO, TULARE AND KERN COUNTIES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY
HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY DOWN BURSTS RESULTING IN FLASH
FLOODING OVER PRONE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING IN
THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY AND THROUGHOUT THE WEEK OVER THE MOUNTAIN
AREAS OF FRESNO AND TULARE COUNTIES. ALSO, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE DESERT AREAS THROUGH MID WEEK. THE DESERT
THUNDERSTORMS MAY HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY DOWN BURSTS
RESULTING IN FLASH FLOODING OVER PRONE AREAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

WP

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
331 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2008

CAZ095-097-130015-
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS-TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
331 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2008

...GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE THROUGH 5 PM NEAR GLENNVILLE AND LAKE
ISABELLA...

A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER SOUTHEASTERN TULARE COUNTY WAS MOVING
SOUTH AT 5 MPH TOWARD THE KERN COUNTY LINE. AS INDIVIDUAL
THUNDERSTORM CELLS COLLAPSE...THEY MAY PRODUCE STRONG OUTFLOW
WINDS. THESE WINDS COULD AFFECT THE JOHNSONDALE...GLENNVILLE...
KERNVILLE AND LAKE ISABELLA AREAS THROUGH 5 PM TODAY. BOATERS ON
LAKE ISABELLA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR GUSTY WINDS THAT COULD PRODUCE
ROUGH WATERS AND CAPSIZE BOATS.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR YOUR FAVORITE NEWS SOURCE...FOR
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

SANGER

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY CA
541 PM PDT SAT JUL 12 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0538 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW LAKE ISABELLA      35.59N 118.49W
07/12/2008                   KERN               CA   OTHER FEDERAL

            FIREFIGHTER AT PIUTE FIRE REPORTED FLASH FLOODING ON
            ERSKINE CREEK.

&&

SANGER