Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Hanford, CA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
245 PM PDT WED JUL 16 2008

.DISCUSSION...CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO FIRE UP OVER THE TULARE
COUNTY MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. DOWN IN KERN...NEW DEVELOPMENT
WAS ALSO OCCURRING WITH FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ALREADY IN PLACE. SO
FAR THIS AFTERNOON...PRECIP REPORTS FROM MOUNTAINS SITE SHOWED
CHIMNEY PEAK AT 0.70 OF AN INCH...JOHNSONDALE AT 0.43 OF AN INCH
AND PEPPERMINT AT 0.24 OF AN INCH. ALL REPORTS WERE FOR PRECIP
FALLING IN THE LAST THREE HOURS OVER THE TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS.

BASED ON THIS MORNINGS SHORT RANGE MODEL PROGS...MAIN FOCUS THIS
AFTERNOON REMAINS OVER TULARE AND KERN COUNTIES...BUT WILL NOT
RULE OUT AREAS TOWARD YOSEMITE. WITH UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS FROM
EDWARDS TO DESERT ROCK AND DOWN TO YUMA ALL SHOWING PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES AT NEAR ONE AND ONE QUARTERS OF INCH (1.25INCH)...
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH ON MODELS PROGS DEEP MOISTURE OVER THE REGION
FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE DAY. THIS MORNINGS NAM12 PROG HAS THE BEST
LI/S AND CAPE VALUE OVER ZONES 95 AND 97 (KERN AND TULARE COUNTY
MOUNTAINS...RESPECTIVELY) UNTIL 800 PM PDT. THEREFORE...WILL
MAINTAIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND
DESERTS THIS AFTERNOON AS CONDITIONS ARE PRIME FOR ANOTHER ACTIVE
DAY.

STILL THINK THURSDAY WILL BE A TRANSITIONAL DAY WITH LINGERING
MONSOON MOISTURE STILL OVER THE DISTRICT. MODELS CONTINUE TO PROG
A DRIER WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN THE EXPANDING
RIDGE PATTERN AND A SHORTWAVE TROF OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR AN END TO THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT OVER OUR
AREA BY FRIDAY. A MORE SIGNIFICANT TROUGH APPROACHING THE WEST
COAST SATURDAY WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND TURN OUR FLOW MORE
SOUTHERLY...POSSIBLY RETURNING MOISTURE TO THE REGION. AT THIS
POINT...WILL KEEP THE DISTRICT DRY FOR SATURDAY AND BEYOND.
TEMPERATURES WILL BOUNCE AROUND DURING THE PERIOD BUT REMAIN
AROUND NORMAL LEVELS.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
SIERRA NEVADA MAINLY SOUTH OF KINGS CANYON AND THE KERN COUNTY
MOUNTAINS AND DESERT THIS AFTERNOON AND BRING LOCAL IFR CEILINGS
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL BEFORE DISSIPATING AROUND 03Z
THURSDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THEREAFTER AND ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTERIOR THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ON WEDNESDAY JULY 16 2008... UNHEALTHY FOR SENSITIVE GROUPS IN
FRESNO... KERN AND TULARE COUNTIES.
FURTHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT VALLEYAIR.ORG

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR CAZ095>099.

&&

PUBLIC...MOLINA
AVN/FW...MV

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY - HANFORD CA
502 AM PDT WED JUL 16 2008

CAZ095>099-170400-
KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SIERRA NEVADA FROM YOSEMITE TO KINGS CANYON-
TULARE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-INDIAN WELLS VALLEY-
SOUTHEASTERN KERN COUNTY DESERT-
502 AM PDT WED JUL 16 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA
NEVADA...THE TEHACHAPI MOUNTAINS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL
9 PM TONIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN SIERRA NEVADA...THE TEHACHAPI
MOUNTAINS AND THE KERN COUNTY DESERTS. FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE
REFER TO SFOFFAHNX /WMO HEADER...WGUS66 KHNX/.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY IN THE WATCH AREA THIS
AFTERNOON.

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT OR
UNUSUAL CONDITIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

WEATHER.GOV/HANFORD

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