Severe Thunderstorm Warning 50, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1102 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

.DISCUSSION...
JUST A QUICK ZONE UPDATE SENT OUT. STORMS ARE WEAKENING AS
EXPECTED. STILL HAVE A STRONG CLUSTER JUST WEST OF THE CWA AND ONE
IN WASHINGTON COUNTY PULSING UP AND DOWN. ALSO HAVE SOME WEAK S/W
ENERGY RIDING ACROSS SRN ZONES PRODUCING SOME SCT -RA. NUDGED POPS
UP ACROSS SRN ZONES JUST A TOUCH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      64  84  61  66  47 /  40  20  40  60   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              69  85  67  72  48 /  30  20  30  60   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            72  81  71  77  56 /  30  10  20  60  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

DISCUSSION...47

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
339 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

TXZ178-179-199-200-210>214-226-227-235>238-261300-
AUSTIN-BRAZORIA-CHAMBERS-COLORADO-FORT BEND-GALVESTON-HARRIS-
JACKSON-LIBERTY-MATAGORDA-MONTGOMERY-POLK-SAN JACINTO-WALLER-
WHARTON-
339 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
LATE TONIGHT. THIS FRONT MAY GENERATE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 CORRIDOR. HOWEVER...THE
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF THE AREA.

.DAY TWO...SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAY THREE...SUNDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE A ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY. HOWEVER...THE STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE 1/2 TO 1 INCH
WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES.

.DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TXZ163-164-176-177-195>198-261300-
BRAZOS-BURLESON-GRIMES-HOUSTON-MADISON-TRINITY-WALKER-WASHINGTON-
339 PM CDT FRI APR 25 2008

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN THIRD OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
LATE TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE FRONT AS IT INTERACTS WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS
IN PLACE. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
SEVERE...MAINLY NORTH OF A LINE FROM BRENHAM TO HUNTSVILLE TO
TRINITY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS WILL BE THE
PRIMARY THREATS. THE PRIMARY TIME FRAME FOR THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL BE 9 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL 4 AM SATURDAY MORNING.
SPOTTY RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
STRONGER STORMS.

.DAY TWO...SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAY THREE...LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS ON SUNDAY. THIS FEATURE
WILL COMBINE WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE A ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.
A FEW STORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE MAINLY LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 1 INCH WITH
ISOLATED TOTALS OF AROUND 2 INCHES.

.DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING.