Severe Thunderstorm Warning 34, NWS Gray, ME

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
1001 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD TOWARDS THE REGION FROM CANADA WEDNESDAY...CRESTING ACROSS
NEW ENGLAND FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY AND INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL MIDNIGHT AS ONE FINAL LINE OF STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS OVER WESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE RACE EASTWARD ACROSS
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA. PRECIPITATION SHOULD EXIT MUCH
OF THE AREA BY 07Z.

&&

.SHORT TERM /7 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
NW FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT WILL KEEP SKIES M/CLR IN THE COASTAL
PLAIN...AND SHOULD ALSO WARM THINGS UP FAIRLY WELL IN THE
DOWNSLOPE AREAS. SOME CLOUDS A SHRA OR TSRA WILL BE IN THE MTNS AS
500MB TROUGH AXIS MOVES THRU.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY. RETURN FLOW ON BACK SIDE OF HIGH BRINGS WARMER AND MORE
HUMID AIR INTO THE REGION FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES ON SATURDAY AND WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN
CLOUDS AND THE THREAT OF SHOWERS BY LATE IN THE DAY. THAT FRONT
MOVES OFFSHORE SUNDAY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY...BUT
COOLER AND SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL REDEVELOP EARLY NEXT
WEEK AS COLD AIR ALOFT MOVES EAST.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHORT TERM ...VFR CONDITIONS IN GENERAL...BUT TSRA COULD BRIEFLY
LOWER CIG/VIS TO MVFR/IFR FOR A SHORT PERIOD THROUGH 06. COULD
SEE ISOLATED WIND GUSTS OF 40-50 KT...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND
HEAVY RAIN. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...AROUND 06Z...SHOULD SEE
VFR RIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

LONG TERM...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY. IFR CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.
CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM...WINDS/SEAS TO REMAIN BELOW SCA CRITERIA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MARINERS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT.

LONG TERM...REMAINING BELOW SCA CRITERIA THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY OUT AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
NH...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
400 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-112000-
NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-
SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-
INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-
COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-
COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-
NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-
MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-
COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-
400 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM. THE COMBINATION
OF HIGH AMOUNTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH SURFACE HEATING IN
CONJUNCTION WITH A SWEEPING MID LEVEL JET OF 50-75KT WILL BRING
THE THREAT OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE WIND
DAMAGE. SEE SPC DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK /ACUS01 KWNS/ DISCUSSION
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL OR RADIO IN THEIR REPORTS OF
SEVERE WEATHER.

ANZ150>154-112000-
STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME OUT TO 25 NM-PENOBSCOT BAY-
PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME OUT TO 25 NM-CASCO BAY-
CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA OUT TO 25 NM-
400 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CASCO BAY...PENOBSCOT BAY...
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE ELIZABETH ME TO MERRIMACK RIVER MA...
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT CLYDE ME TO CAPE ELIZABETH ME AND
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM STONINGTON ME TO PORT CLYDE ME.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM. MARINERS
SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

MARINERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
759 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

MEZ008-009-013-014-110045-
CENTRAL SOMERSET-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN
SOMERSET-
759 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOMERSET COUNTY AND FRANKLIN
COUNTY THROUGH 845 PM EDT...

AT 759 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES SOUTH OF STRONG...OR ABOUT 7
MILES NORTH OF FARMINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 27 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND STRONG...AVON...NEW
VINEYARD...NEW PORTLAND...EMBDEN...SOLON...MOSCOW...BRIGHTON AND
BINGHAM THROUGH 845 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

HAYES/TAYLOR

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
837 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

MEZ008-009-110115-
CENTRAL SOMERSET-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-
837 PM EDT TUE JUN 10 2008

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOMERSET COUNTY AND FRANKLIN
COUNTY THROUGH 915 PM EDT...

AT 837 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES EAST OF REDINGTON...OR ABOUT 13
MILES EAST OF RANGELEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND REDINGTON...CARRABASSETT
VALLEY...FLAGSTAFF LAKE AND CARATUNK THROUGH 915 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...HEAVY DOWNPOURS...FREQUENT
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

HAYES/TAYLOR

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