Wind Advisory 22, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 280101
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
801 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...

...DENSE FOG EXPECTED IN THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...

.A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS
TONIGHT AS A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT THE RIDGE TOPS IN THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS STARTING THIS EVENING...AND LINGERING INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. DENSE FOG WILL DEVELOP IN THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT
TONIGHT...AND WILL LAST INTO SUNDAY MORNING...RESTRICTING
VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE.

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-
510-SCZ004>014-019-281100-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FG.Y.0022.081228T0101Z-081228T1500Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON...
STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...
MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
801 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...FOR THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

DENSE FOG WILL FORM TONIGHT...AND WILL LAST INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...RESTRICTING VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A
MILE.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

$$

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-281100-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
801 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR MUCH
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 3500 FEET..

SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL IMPACT
LOCATIONS ABOVE 3500 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...ESPECIALLY LATER
TONIGHT WHEN SHOWERS BEGIN TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST.

WINDS WILL QUITE A BIT LESS IN THE LOWER MOUNTAIN VALLEYS...WHERE
ANY GUSTS SHOULD BE LIMITED TO 20 MPH OR LESS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$
07

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 280826
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
326 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-
510-SCZ004>014-019-281500-
/O.CON.KGSP.FG.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON...
STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...
MORGANTON...MARION...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
326 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITY TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE PIEDMONT AND FOOTHILLS OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS
AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS MORNING. VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED TO
IMPROVE BY MID-MORNING.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

$$

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-281500-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
326 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL AFFECT PEAKS
AND RIDGE TOPS ABOVE ABOUT 4000 FEET.

WINDS WILL BE QUITE A BIT WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...WHERE GUSTS
SHOULD BE LIMITED TO 20 MPH OR LESS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS THIS MORNING.

$$
LANE

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 281107
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
607 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

GAZ018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-
SCZ008>014-019-281215-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FG.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TOCCOA...HARTWELL...ELBERTON...
STATESVILLE...MOCKSVILLE...HICKORY...SALISBURY...SHELBY...
LINCOLNTON...GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...MONROE...LENOIR...
MORGANTON...MARION...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...
LAURENS...UNION...CHESTER...GREENWOOD
607 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. 

VISIBILITY HAS IMPROVED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...SO THE DENSE FOG
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

NCZ508-510-SCZ004>007-281500-
/O.CON.KGSP.FG.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG
607 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE TO REDUCE VISIBILITY TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS
ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS
OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING. VISIBILITY IS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE
BY 10 AM.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

$$

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-281500-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
607 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL AFFECT
PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS ABOVE ABOUT 4000 FEET.

WINDS WILL BE QUITE A BIT WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...WHERE GUSTS
SHOULD BE LIMITED TO 20 MPH OR LESS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS MORNING.

$$
LANE

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 281220
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
720 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NCZ508-510-SCZ004>007-281330-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FG.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS...GREENVILLE...
SPARTANBURG
720 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS
CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY. 

CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED AS WINDS INCREASED FROM THE THE SOUTHWEST
SO THE ADVISORY IS CANCELLED.

$$

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-281500-
/O.CON.KGSP.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
720 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THE HIGHEST GUSTS WILL AFFECT
PEAKS AND RIDGE TOPS ABOVE 4000 FEET.

WINDS WILL BE QUITE A BIT WEAKER IN THE VALLEYS...WHERE GUSTS
SHOULD BE LIMITED TO 20 MPH OR LESS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION IF TRAVELING ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS THIS MORNING.

$$

000 
WWUS72 KGSP 281445
NPWGSP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
945 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>064-281545-
/O.EXP.KGSP.WI.Y.0022.000000T0000Z-081228T1500Z/
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE...
WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD
945 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THE THREAT OF STRONGER WINDS IN THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS HAS DIMINISHED
SO THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
108 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH OUR REGION FROM THE WEST THIS
EVENING AND CROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS LATE ON SUNDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE
WEEK. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY. LOW
PRESSURE COULD FORM TO THE WEST LATER IN THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE FULL LATITUDE UPPER WAVE OVER THE PLAINS LATE TODAY WILL BECOME
OUT OF PHASE TONIGHT...WITH THE NRN STREAM MOVING NORTHEAST THROUGH
THE GREAT LAKES ON SUNDAY WHILE THE SOUTHERN STREAM LAGS OVER THE
SRN PLAINS. THIS WILL ALLOW THE FRONTAL ZONE TO THE WEST TO SLOW
SOMEWHAT...TAKING ALL DAY TO CROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY.

FOG AND PATCHY DRIZZLE WILL PERSIST TONIGHT IN THE SHALLOW CAD
REGION. THE SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS...WITH DEEPER MOISTURE RETURNING TO THE UPSLOPE AREAS.
MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE LIMITED TO THE EASTERN
ESCARPMENT EARLY ON...WITH POPS THEN RAMPING UP QUICKLY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW. MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT
850 MB FLOW WILL REACH 50 KT TONIGHT. HOWEVER...IN THE WARM
ADVECTION REGIME...ANY ADVISORY WIND CONDITIONS WOULD LIKELY
IMPACT ONLY THE HIGHEST RIDGE TOPS.

FORCING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE FRONTAL ZONE WILL REACH THE WESTERN
MTNS 12Z TO 15Z SUNDAY. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG THE BOUNDARY
ALONG WITH RIGHT JET ENTRANCE REGION DIVERGENCE ALOFT WILL AID
LIFT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WARRANTING LIKELY TO LOW END
CATEGORICAL POPS AT MOST LOCATIONS. THE BEST RAINFALL SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO A NARROW ZONE ALONG THE FRONT...WITH NUMBERS ADDING UP
MOST IN THE SOUTHWEST MTN UPSLOPE REGIONS WHERE A HALF INCH IS
POSSIBLE.

THE LINGERING SFC CAD IN THE PIEDMONT SHOULD ALL BUT REMOVE THE
CHANCE OF THUNDER FOR THE BULK OF THE AREA. DECAYING CONVECTION
COULD REACH THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS WITH THE FRONT AROUND
DABYREAK...AND MODEL CAPES DO BRIEFLY BUBBLE UP ALONG THE SE
PIEDMONT MIDDAY...BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO PUT THUNDER
IN THE FORECAST. A MOS BLEND ON TEMPERATURES LOOK REASONABLE IN
ALL LOCATIONS EXCEPT JUST EAST OF THE ESCARPMENT IN THE DEEPEST
CAD AREA WHERE MAXES WILL BE COOLER SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 PM SATURDAY...NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE SHORT TERM PORTION OF
THE FORECAST PACKAGE AS APPROACHING COLD FRONT SCOURS OUT THE WEDGE
BY SUNDAY NIGHT.  THE ONLY TRICKY PART WAS DETERMINING THE END OF
THE PRECIPITATION AS THE FRONT SLOWS DOWN BEFORE IT MOVES OFFSHORE.
GFS IS MY MODEL OF CHOICE AS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE NAM AND ECWF.
WITH NAM SLOWING PRECIP SHIELD DOWN ANYWAY...IT SEEMED LIKE THE MOST
REASONABLE COMPROMISE.  SO POPS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT WERE INCREASED
ACROSS THE AREA WITH LIKELY CATEGORY ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
TIER OF COUNTIES.

TEMPS DID NOT VARY THAT MUCH WITH THE LATEST GUIDANCE SO I MADE
A FEW MINOR CHANGES...TO MATCH MAV GUIDANCE.

SECOND FRONT DRIVES ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST MIDWEEK.  THE SYSTEM
REMAINS DRY...BUT I PUT A FEW SHOWERS IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS
SINCE IT DOESNT TAKE A LOT OF MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SHOWERS THIS TIME
OF YEAR UP THERE.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM SATURDAY...THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE SOME TIMING
DIFFERENCES BUT THE GENERAL PLACEMENT OF THE SYSTEMS ARE IN
AGREEMENT.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE TUESDAY AND INTO TUESDAY
NIGHT.  THEN A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON
WEDNESDAY WITH SOME MOISTURE POTENTIALLY GETTING INTO THE NC
NORTHERN MOUNTAINS LATE IN THE DAY WITH NO SIGNIFICANCE.  COLDER AIR
STILL HANGING BACK A BIT.  GOING INTO THURSDAY...BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF HAVE A HIGH MOVING INTO A POSITION OF NEAR CLASSIC WEDGE
BRINGING COOL AIR DOWN EAST OF MOUNTAINS.  THE GFS IS RATHER BULLISH
IN DEVELOPING A LOW OVER OKLAHOMA THURSDAY NIGHT AND MOVING IT
NORTHEAST WITH AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT COMING FROM WEST TO EAST
TOWARD US ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.  MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND IT APPEARS THAT THE COOL WEDGE MAY BE
BREAKING DOWN BEFORE THE AMPLE MOISTURE ARRIVES.  IF THE WEDGE HOLDS
ON LONG ENOUGH...THEN SOME PRECIP TYPE PROBLEMS WILL DEVELOP EAST OF
THE MOUNTAINS.  THE EC HAS A MUCH TAMER SOLUTION WITH FAR LESS
PRECIP AND MORE RAPID WEST TO EAST PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
COLD AIR DAMMING PERSISTS AT THE TERMINAL LOCATIONS OUTSIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS. ONLY MINOR IMPROVEMENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...WITH CIG/VSBY LOWERING AGAIN OVERNIGHT.

AT KCLT...WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BUT AN OCCASIONAL
SOUTHEAST WIND IS SHOWING UP AT TIMES IN THE SHALLOW CAD LAYER.
WINDS WILL LIKELY BE PREDOMINANTLY EAST TO NORTHEAST...BUT COULD
TOGGLE SOUTH AT TIMES. CONDITIONS WILL NOT IMPROVE ABOVE LIFR
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE SOUTHERLY WIND COMPONENT WILL
FINALLY STRENGTHEN AS SOME MIXING HELPS TO ERODE THE CAD SUNDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL PERMIT SOME RECOVERY TO MVFR VSBY AND IFR CIG
NEAR THE END OF THE TAF CYCLE.

ELSEWHERE...VLIFR/LIFR CIGS WILL PERSIST AT ALL SITES BUT KAVL.
SOUTHERLY MIXING WILL ALLOW MINOR GUSTS TO DEVELOP AT KAVL THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. AFTER A BRIEF LULL...GUSTS RETURN OVERNIGHT AS A
STRONGER SOUTHERLY JET DEVELOPS. PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL
ZONE WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD IN FROM THE WEST DURING THE LATER HALF OF
THE TAF PERIOD...AND CIGS/VSBY WILL LIKELY RECOVER SOME IN SOUTHERLY
MIXING AFTER 14Z.

OUTLOOK...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION FROM THE WEST SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. CIG/VSBY RESTRICTIONS WILL ACCOMPANY SHOWERS ALONG THE
FRONTAL ZONE...WITH CLEARING EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT. LOW LEVEL COULD
LINGER IN A FEW SPOTS EARLY MONDAY...BEFORE VFR CONDITIONS SET UP
THROUGHOUT AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK UNDER HIGH PRES.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PAT
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...VAD
LONG TERM...DEO
AVIATION...HG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1207 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-
506-508-510-SCZ001>014-019-281715-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1207 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-281715-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
1207 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS...NEAR THE
TENNESSEE BORDER...MAY SEE A PERIOD OF VERY WINDY CONDITIONS.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. LOWER
ELEVATIONS WILL SEE VERY LITTLE WIND OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS COULD CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING HOURS ON
SUNDAY NEAR THE TENNESSEE LINE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.