Tornado Warning 40, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS52 KGSP 261634
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1234 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

SCC023-261645-
/O.CON.KGSP.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080826T1645Z/
CHESTER SC-
1233 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTY...

AT 1228 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF FORT
LAWN...OR ABOUT 7 MILES WEST OF LANCASTER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 16
MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS NORTH OF 
FORT LAWN.

THIS TORNADO WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY HEAVY RAIN AND VERY LITTLE OR NO 
LIGHTNING. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE THE TORNADO BEFORE SEEKING SHELTER. IT 
WILL LIKELY BE TOO LATE. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE 
ABANDONED FOR STURDIER SHELTER. OTHERWISE...GO TO AN INTERIOR ROOM 
ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF YOUR HOME OR PLACE OF BUSINESS.

LAT...LON 3465 8088 3465 8090 3465 8099 3481 8100
      3482 8088 3471 8087
TIME...MOT...LOC 1633Z 213DEG 14KT 3477 8088

$$
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000 
WWUS52 KGSP 261645
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1245 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

SCC023-261652-
/O.EXP.KGSP.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-080826T1645Z/
CHESTER SC-
1242 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTY HAS  
EXPIRED...

THE ROTATION HAS WEAKENED AND MOVED OUT OF THE COUNTY. 

LAT...LON 3465 8088 3465 8090 3465 8099 3481 8100
      3482 8088 3471 8087
TIME...MOT...LOC 1642Z 213DEG 14KT 3480 8086

$$
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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1142 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST
FROM EAST CENTRAL TENNESSEE THIS EVENING TO FAR EASTERN KENTUCKY
LATE WEDNESDAY.  AS THE REMAINS OF FAY MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA...THE
RAIN WILL DECREASE.  HOWEVER...AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS WEEKEND...THE CHANCES OF RAIN WILL RETURN.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WITH THE GRADIENT TIGHTENING BETWEEN THE REMNANTS OF FAY AND THE
HIGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES STATES...WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE OVER
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE MOUNTAINS AND ALONG THE SE SLOPES. A
FEW TREES HAVE FALLEN...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF FALLEN TREES
IN THE GA MTNS. SINCE THIS AREA HAS HAD 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN...A
LOT OF THIS IS THE RESULT OF WET SOIL. I/VE INCREASED WINDS OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AND ADDED SOME GUSTS TO 40 MPH...BUT MOST OF THIS WILL BE
CONFINED TO A FEW AREAS. I DON/T PLAN TO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY.

THE TORNADO THREAT IS ALSO INCREASING OVER THE SE HALF OF THE FA AS
A SFC BNDRY IS SHARPENING ACROSS THE SRN UPSTATE INTO THE SRN NC
PIEDMONT. SB CAPE HAS INCREASED TO AROUND 2000 J/KG ALONG  OUR
BORDER WITH CAE...AND THIS UNSTABLE AIR IS MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHWARD.
HELICITIES ARE RUNNING QUITE HIGH IN THIS AREA WITH SHARP 0-1KM
TURNING ALONG THE BNDRY.

THOUGHT ABOUT EXPANDING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO THE EAST AS MOST OF
THE FLOODING WITH THE EVENT SO FAR HAS BEEN IN THE CHARLOTTE METRO
AREA WHICH IS EAST OF OUR WATCH. HOWEVER...WE ALREADY HAVE FLASH
FLOOD WARNINGS UP FOR MOST OF THE AREA THAT HAS SEEN HEAVY
RAIN...AND A WATCH AT THIS POINT REALLY WOULDN/T HELP TO GET THE
WORD OUT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
AT 3 AM EDT...THE REMNANTS OF FAY WILL BE PASSING BY TO THE WEST OF
THE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY...WITH A SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE
FLOW CONTINUING. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN FAY AND AN EAST COAST
SURFACE RIDGE WILL WEAKEN...DECREASING THE AMOUNT OF UPSLOPE FLOW BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...HOWEVER UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. BY THURSDAY MORNING THE GFS AND NAM DIFFER IN THAT THE NAM
STILL HAS AN UPSLOPE FLOW COMPONENT BETWEEN THE SURFACE RIDGE AND
FAY...WHILE THE GFS MOVES FAY FARTHER EAST IN THE OH VALLEY...DRYING
OUR AREA OUT FROM THE WEST. A COMPROMISE SOLUTION WILL BE USED IN
THIS FORECAST PACKAGE...DRYING OUT THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
AREA...AND MATCHING UP WITH NEIGHBORING OFFICES IN THAT REGARD.

WITH HIGH POPS AND EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER ON WEDNESDAY...MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL CATEGORIES BELOW NORMAL. MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO NEAR NORMAL VALUES ON THURSDAY AS
PRECIPITATION AND CLOUD COVER BEGIN TO DECREASE. MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES WILL RUN NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT 3 AM EDT...THE ECMWF AND GFS BECOME OUT OF PHASE IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD...WITH THE GFS BECOMING
CHARACTERISTICALLY FASTER THAN THE ECMWF. A BLOCK IN EASTERN
CANADA BREAKS DOWN EARLY IN THE PACKAGE...ALLOWING A LONGWAVE TROUGH
TO PROGRESS IN ITS WAKE. THE CURRENT RUN OF THE GFS STILL SUPPORTS
THE LATEST HPC SOLUTION...AND THIS FORECAST WILL BE MAINTAINED AT
THIS TIME. FRI FINDS OUR AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR BETWEEN A WARM FONT
IN THE POTOMAC VALLEY...AND A COLD FRONT IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS
COLD FRONT ADVANCES TO THE OH AND MID MS VALLEYS BY SAT...REACHING
THE CAROLINA COAST ON SUN...AND THE GULF STREAM ON MON. A WARM AND
MOIST AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED CONVECTION.
DRYING WILL FOLLOW THE BOUNDARY ON SUN AND MON. TEMPERATURES WILL
RUN NEAR NORMAL AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THEN LOWER ABOUT A CATEGORY
AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
EXPECT PREDOMINATE IFR CIGS/MVFR VSBY IN GOOD UPSLOPE FLOW THRU THE
DAY AS REMNANTS OF FAY REMAIN OVER THE AREA. RAIN WILL BE HEAVY AT
TIMES WITH LIFR PSBL IN HEAVIER SHOWERS. ISOLD TSTMS PSBL THRU THE
MORNING HOURS WITH SCT TSTMS EXPECTED THIS AFTN-EVE. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE 8-10 KTS FROM THE E...SE AT KAVL.

OUTLOOK...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND LOW CIG/VSBY CAN BE EXPECTED
INTO THU AS FAY MOVES THRU THE AREA. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING CIG/VSBY
RESTRICTIONS AND DIURNAL CONVECTION EACH DAY.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR GAZ010-017-018.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NCZ033-048>053-
     058-059-062>065-501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR SCZ001>007.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...MCAVOY/RB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1041 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>070-072-271445-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
CABARRUS-
1041 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM FAY PASS JUST WEST OF THE
APPALACHIANS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD OVER
THE WESTERN PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL...
ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF
INTERSTATE 85 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 77.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...THEN WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR
ALOFT SPREADS OVER THE MOST AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM THE REMNANTS OF
FAY...CAUSING THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

GAZ026-028-029-NCZ071-082-SCZ008>014-019-271445-
FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-MECKLENBURG-UNION NC-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-
ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1041 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...TORNADO WATCH 866 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.

AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM FAY PASS JUST WEST OF THE
APPALACHIANS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD OVER
THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT OF THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST
GEORGIA TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS. ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS...
ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 85.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...THEN WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR
ALOFT SPREADS OVER THE MOST AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM THE REMNANTS OF
FAY...CAUSING THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

GAZ010-017-018-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-SCZ001-002-004-
005-271445-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
1041 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES TODAY INTO TONIGHT.
GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP AS THE REMNANTS OF FAY MOVE CLOSER
TO THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF WET GROUND AND
GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY DOWN A FEW TREES...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...THEN WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR
ALOFT SPREADS OVER THE MOST AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM THE REMNANTS OF
FAY...CAUSING THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

SCZ003-006-007-271445-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
1041 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...TORNADO WATCH 866 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL SYSTEM FAY PASS JUST WEST OF THE
APPALACHIANS...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD OVER
THE SOUTH CAROLINA UPSTATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. LOCALIZED FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY IN URBAN
AREAS. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH ANY STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE
85.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY...THEN WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS DRIER AIR
ALOFT SPREADS OVER THE MOST AIR LEFT BEHIND FROM THE REMNANTS OF
FAY...CAUSING THE ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME VERY UNSTABLE IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

MCAVOY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1019 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

NCZ082-261500-
UNION-
1019 AM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN UNION COUNTY THROUGH
1100 AM EDT...

AT 1014 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES WEST OF STURDIVANTS...OR 11 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MONROE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND
SMALL HAIL...THIS STORM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF MODERATE ROTATION...AND
IS BEING CLOSELY MONITORED FOR A WARNING.

PEOPLE IN
EASTERN UNION COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

STURDIVANTS AND MARSHVILLE...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA UNTIL 7 PM.

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1200 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

SCZ014-261630-
CHESTER-
1200 PM EDT TUE AUG 26 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTY
THROUGH 1230 PM EDT...

AT 1158 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT LAWN...OR 10 MILES WEST
OF LANCASTER...MOVING NORTH AT 21 MPH.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH...THIS
STORM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF MODERATE ROTATION...AND IS BEING CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WARNING.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN CHESTER COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS...

FORT LAWN...

SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE
WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE
WEATHER THREATEN.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA UNTIL 7 PM.

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