Severe Thunderstorm Warning 151, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS52 KGSP 161840
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
240 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

GAC119-137-241-257-SCC073-161930-
/O.CON.KGSP.SV.W.0151.000000T0000Z-080616T1930Z/
FRANKLIN GA-STEPHENS GA-HABERSHAM GA-RABUN GA-OCONEE SC-
240 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EDT
FOR WESTERN OCONEE...EASTERN RABUN...EAST CENTRAL HABERSHAM...
STEPHENS AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES...

AT 240 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 4 MILES WEST OF LONG CREEK...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
CLAYTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  TALLULAH FALLS BY 245 PM EDT...
  LONG CREEK BY 250 PM EDT...

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN OCCUR
WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND
DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

TO REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...OR FLOODING...THROUGH OUR
AUTOMATED REPORTING SYSTEM...CALL OUR TOLL FREE NUMBER...
1 8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3496 8313 3447 8306 3445 8307 3442 8339
      3446 8340 3446 8341 3492 8346
TIME...MOT...LOC 1840Z 327DEG 13KT 3478 8333

$$

BSH

000 
WWUS52 KGSP 161915
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
315 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

GAC119-137-241-257-SCC073-161925-
/O.CAN.KGSP.SV.W.0151.000000T0000Z-080616T1930Z/
FRANKLIN GA-STEPHENS GA-HABERSHAM GA-RABUN GA-OCONEE SC-
315 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WESTERN OCONEE...EASTERN
RABUN...EAST CENTRAL HABERSHAM...STEPHENS AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LEVELS.

LAT...LON 3496 8313 3447 8306 3445 8307 3442 8339
      3446 8340 3446 8341 3492 8346
TIME...MOT...LOC 1915Z 327DEG 13KT 3467 8325

$$

BSH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
145 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL WEAKEN OVER THE AREA TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL REACH THE MOUNTAINS TONIGHT AND CROSS OUR AREA ON TUESDAY.
COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL RIDGE IN FROM THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT
AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE GULF COAST ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...REMAINING IN
OUR AREA ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THE LATEST NAM AND RUC BOTH MIX DEWPOINTS OUT OVER THE NC FOOTHILLS
AND PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ACTUALLY RAISE THEM OVER THE
WESTERN UPSTATE AND NE GA. THIS RESULTS IN INCREASING CAPE ACROSS
THIS AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THERE IS ALSO AN AREA OF LLVL
CONVERGENCE OVER THE UPSTATE JUST SOUTH OF GSP RIGHT NOW AS CAN BE
SEEN ON THE LATEST VSBL IMAGERY IN THE FORM OF A NARROW BAND OF CU.
TAKING THIS INTO ACCOUNT...I/VE RAISED POPS INTO THE LOW CHANCE
CATEGORY SOUTH AND WEST OF GREENVILLE FOR THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS. ONE THING THAT WILL HURT CONVECTIVE CHANCES IS
INCREASING 500 MB NVA AFTER 18 UTC ACROSS THE FA. I DON/T THINK THIS
WILL BE ENOUGH TO KILL CONVECTIVE CHANCES WHERE THE DEEPER MOISTURE
WILL EXIST...BUT IT CERTAINLY DOESN/T CAUSE TO ME WANT TO GO HIGHER
THAN ABOUT 30 PERCENT.

WEAK COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE N OVERNIGHT SO A CHANCE OF
MAINLY MTN CONVECTION CONTINUES. LOOK FOR MORNING LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S...50S MTNS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM MONDAY...THE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN THIRD OF THE
NATION WILL AMPLIFY ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH A WELL DEFINED
SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH ON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS OUR AREA FROM THE NORTH ON TUESDAY...WITH ENOUGH
INSTABILITY AND MID LEVEL MOISTURE TO SUPPORT ISOLATED CONVECTION.
WITH LITTLE OR NO GULF INFLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...AND RATEHR DRY
LOW LEVELS...IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE A BIG RAIN PRODUCER. BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS SHOW AROUND 15 KNOTS OF UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR IN THE LOWEST
3 KM WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND CAPES AVERAGE AROUND 1000 J/KG BETWEEN
THE 1300 J/KG OF THE MORE AGGRESSIVE NAM...AND 800 J/KG OF THE MORE
DOCILE GFS. THE POSSIBILITY OF HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUED
TO BE MENTIONED IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

DRYING TAKES PLACE BEHIND THE FRONT ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...THOUGH MOISTURE WRAPPING AROUND THE CLOSED UPPER LOW IN
THE NORTHEAST REACHES THE NORTHERN NC MOUNTAINS IN UPSLOPE FLOW LATE
WEDNESDAY...SUPPORTING SHOWERS THERE INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL FROM NEAR NORMAL ON TUESDAY...TO A COUPLE OF
SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 100 AM MONDAY...THE GFS AND ECMWF WERE IN BASIC AGREEMENT ON
THE UPPER PATTERN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN USA...AND HAD MINOR TIMING
DIFFERENCES WITH SHORTWAVE TROUGHS. AN EAST COAST LONGWAVE TROUGH
REMAINS WELL AMPLIFIED THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THEN BEGINS TO
DEAMPLIFY ON SUNDAY. THURSDAY BEGINS WITH A STATIONARY FRONT ALONG
THE GULF COAST...AND OUR AREA IN A COOL AND DRY SURFACE RIDGE.
UPGLIDE OVER THE GULF BOUNDARY FRIDAY AS WELL AS UPPER ENERGY
MOVING INTO THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL RESULT IN CLOUD COVER
AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ELEVATED CONVECTION...WHICH INCREASES IN
COVERAGE SATURDAY AS THE BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTH AS A WARM FRONT. A
WAVE ON THIS BOUNDARY CROSSES OUR AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...DROPPING
POPS IN ITS WAKE...BUT THE TRAILING FRONT IS NOT FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO
REMOVE POPS ENTIRELY.

MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL RUN SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF THE ANOMALOUS UPPER TROUGH. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL
RISE FROM ABOUT TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY...TO NEAR NORMAL
SUNDAY AS CLOUDS COVER LIMITS COOLING.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
SCT TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER THIS
AFTERNOON. STORMS COULD APPROACH KAND...AND I/VE INCLUDED A CB AT
THAT SITE. LATER THIS EVENING ADDITIONAL SCT TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AT KAVL AND KHKY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE MOUNTAINS. DON/T
FORESEE ANY CIG OR VSBY PROBLEMS ALONG THE FRONT OTHER THAN IN THE
SHOWERS AND STORMS.

A LEE TROUGH WILL CAUSE WINDS TO BE VARIABLE AT TIMES THIS
AFTERNOON...THOUGH THEY SHOULD GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE REGION. WINDS WILL VEER AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST A LITTLE
AFTER SUNRISE TUE BEHIND THE FRONT...THOUGH THEY WILL BE OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST THROUGH THE PERIOD AT KAVL. DURING THE AFTERNOON TOMORROW
MANY TAF SITES MAY SEE A CROSS WIND OF AROUND 10 KTS AS WINDS BACK
MORE TO THE WEST.

OUTLOOK...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND FRONT TUE AFTERNOON AND
REMAINS OVER AREA INTO THE WEEKEND. THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF CIG OR VSBY PROBLEMS AS THE AIRMASS WILL BE DRIER AND COOLER THAN
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...MCAVOY/RB
SHORT TERM...JAT
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...MCAVOY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1115 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-SCZ001>014-019-171515-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1115 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER WESTERN
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA AND OVER NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON.
WHILE THE THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL NOT BE THAT GREAT...A FEW OF
THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING PENNY SIZED HAIL AND
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510-171515-
AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-
SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
1115 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD FROM THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTH
CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON...TO THE FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD FROM THESE
STORMS...GUSTY WIND AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

MCAVOY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1144 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     HAIL             BELTON                  34.52N 82.50W
06/15/2008  E1.75 INCH       ANDERSON           SC   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL-SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

&&

PTANNER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
150 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

GAZ010-SCZ001-161845-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-RABUN-
150 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2008

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN RABUN AND WESTERN OCONEE
COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT...

AT 140 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOUNTAIN CITY...OR 5 MILES
NORTHEAST OF CLAYTON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 9 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MOUNTAIN
  CITY...CLAYTON...MOUNTAIN REST AND LONG CREEK.

SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

INTENSE LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF OUTDOORS...STAY
AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID
USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

MCAVOY