Red Flag Warning 27, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 211955
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-221200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.A.0009.081123T1700Z-081123T2300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081121T2300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0027.081122T1400Z-081123T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
255 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEAST
GEORGIA WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 20 TO
25 PERCENT TO GREATLY ENHANCE FIRE DANGER THROUGH SUNSET. IN
ADDITION...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL INTO THE
LOWER 20S ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BE MUCH LESS ON SATURDAY...BUT
CONTINUED VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WILDFIRES.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT
FOR AROUND FOUR HOURS AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-212300-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081121T2300Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
255 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON ARE COMBINING WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 25 PERCENT TO GREATLY ENHANCE
FIRE DANGER. VERY DRY FUELS COULD LEAD TO THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT
AND SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST UNTIL
SUNDOWN.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND LOW FUEL MOISTURE WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$
07

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 212258
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
558 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-220700-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081121T2300Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0027.081122T1400Z-081123T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0009.081123T1700Z-081123T2300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
558 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. 

WINDS HAVE TAPERED OFF AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS INCREASED SO THE
WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER 20S AGAIN ON SATURDAY.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT BUT VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL CREATE A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WILDFIRES.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND
25 PERCENT FOR AROUND FOUR HOURS AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-220000-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081121T2300Z/
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
558 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

WINDS HAVE TAPERED OFF AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS INCREASED SO THE
WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 220401
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1101 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-221215-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0027.081122T1400Z-081123T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0009.081123T1700Z-081123T2300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1101 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 7 PM EST
SATURDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER 20S AGAIN SATURDAY.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT BUT VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL CREATE A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WILDFIRES.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND
25 PERCENT FOR AROUND FOUR HOURS AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 220755
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
255 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-221600-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0027.081122T1400Z-081123T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0009.081123T1700Z-081123T2300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
255 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 20 PERCENT THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT BUT VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL
CREATE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WILDFIRES.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND
25 PERCENT FOR AROUND FOUR HOURS AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 221536
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1036 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-230000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081123T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.A.0009.081123T1700Z-081123T2300Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1036 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING
ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S WILL COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT
DEWPOINTS THIS AFTERNOON TO LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO
AROUND 20 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT...BUT VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL CREATE A
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WILDFIRES.

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL TO AROUND 25
PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS AGAIN ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY BRUSH WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
WILDFIRES TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

HG

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 221757
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1257 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-230100-
/O.UPG.KGSP.FW.A.0009.081123T1700Z-081123T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0028.081123T1500Z-081124T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081123T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1257 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING.

TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 40S WILL COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT
DEWPOINTS THIS AFTERNOON TO PRODUCE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND
20 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT...BUT VERY LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL CREATE A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF WILDFIRES.

LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS ON SUNDAY WILL ALLOW LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO BOUNCE BACK SLIGHTLY. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES RISING
INTO THE 50S WILL ONCE AGAIN PUSH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES DOWN TO
25 PERCENT OR LESS FOR SEVERAL HOURS. A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AS WELL.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY BRUSH WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
WILDFIRES TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD.

$$

HG

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 222351
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
651 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-230800-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081123T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0028.081123T1500Z-081124T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
651 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 PM EST THIS EVENING WHILE A
RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY.

LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS SUNDAY WILL ALLOW LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY. HOWEVER...TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 50S
WILL PUSH RELATIVE HUMIDITY DOWN TO 25 PERCENT OR LESS FOR SEVERAL
HOURS. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND DRY FUEL WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
WILDFIRES TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EASILY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1248 PM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER OUR REGION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.  AS THE HIGH MOVES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...A MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL WARM TEMPERATURES A BIT AHEAD OF
THE NEXT COLD FRONT.  THIS FRONT SHOULD CROSS OUR AREA MONDAY
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE AGAIN THROUGH THANKSGIVING.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE POTENT VORT LOBE CROSSING THE
REGION IS EXITING ACROSS THE NC PIEDMONT AT THIS HOUR...AND NO
FURTHER STRONG UPPER SUPPORT IS INDICATED. ANY SNOW SHOWERS
DEVELOPING OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS IN THE MORE UNSTABLE PROFILES
SHOULD REMAIN NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

MOIST NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW...HOWEVER...CONTINUES INTO THE WESTERN
NC MOUNTAINS AS WE APPROACH THE NOON HOUR. KMRX RADAR HAS DECENT 20+
DBZ RETURNS FROM THE SMOKIES NORTHWARD AND IR CLOUD TOPS ARE RUNNING
MINUS 20 C OR BETTER IN THE UPSLOPE AREAS. WILL THUS HAVE TO EXTEND
THE CURRENT WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS ALONG THE TN BORDER UNTIL 3 PM.
WILL REMOVE THE EXTREME WRN NC FOOTHILL/MTN ZONES...BUNCOMBE...AND
GRAHAM...FROM THE ADVISORY AS IT APPEARS ALL ACCUMS ARE DONE IN
THOSE AREAS.

THE MTN WIND ADVISORY AND NON MTN LAKE WIND ADVISORY PRODUCTS WILL
BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS IN THE WINTER WX
ADVISORY/WINTER STORM WARNING WILL BE HANDLED VIA THE WINTER WX
PRODUCTS UNTIL THE SNOW ENDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 210 AM FRIDAY...MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM WILL BE CHARACTERIZED
BY VERY COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS...AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES THROUGH MOST OF THE PERIOD. A RATHER POTENT SW TROUGH WILL
SWING ACROSS THE AREA W/IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT SATURDAY NIGHT.
HOWEVER...THE LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN EXTREMELY
DRY...SO INCREASED HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL BE THE EXTENT OF THE EFFECTS
ON OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER.

BY MONDAY...THE UPPER FLOW TRANSITIONS TO ZONAL...AS THE EASTERN
TROUGH MOVES RAPIDLY OVER THE ATLANTIC...AND A SIGNIFICANT STORM
SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
WILL RACE ACROSS THE TENN VALLEY EARLY MONDAY...WITH SHOWERS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS/NORTHEAST GEORGIA BY
AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE DAY WILL BE OFF TO A COOL START...ANY PRECIP
SHOULD OCCUR LATE ENOUGH IN THE DAY TO PRECLUDE WINTRY PRECIP
CONCERNS AT ONSET.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 130 AM FRIDAY...THE LARGE SCALE SYNOPTIC PATTERN CONTINUES TO
LOOK GOOD FOR A NW FLOW SN EVENT TUE. THE MODELS AGREE WELL WITH
EACH OTHER AND HAVE KEPT GOOD TEMPORAL CONTINUITY THE LAST FEW RUNS.
SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE FROM GOING FORECAST. THE GMOS AND THE HPC
POP GUIDANCE SEEM MUCH TOO LOW AFTER 12Z TUE CONSIDERING THE GOOD
MODEL CONFIDENCE AND THEIR RECENT PERFORMANCES. SO...WILL KEEP POPS
IN THE CHANCE RANGE AND PERHAPS BUMP UP A BIT. QPF STILL WILL BE A
CHALLENGE AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE EVENT. THE MODELS CONTINUE WITH
THE EASTWARD DISPLACEMENT OF H85 LOW AND GOOD GL MOISTURE FLUX AND
CONSISTENT VECTORING INTO THE NC MTNS. ALSO...UPPER LEVEL S/W LOOKS
TO ENHANCE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 18Z TUE...ESP ON THE ECMWF. IN
ANY REGARDS...WILL ANTICIPATE A LINGERING EVENT INTO TUE EVENING AND
PERHAPS EARLY WED MORNING...BUT DISSIPATING BEFORE SUNRISE. THE
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EXT
PERIOD WITH SMALL SCALE RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE TN VALLEY LATE
WED INTO THU. THIS SETUP  SHOULD ENABLE MAX TEMPS TO SLOWLY RISE TO
NEAR NORMAL BY WEEKS END...AFTER MAXES OF ABOUT 10 F BELOW NORMAL ON
TUE. MIN TEMPS LOOK TO REMAIN ABOUT 10 F BELOW NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE
EXT AS SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE REGION AND ALLOWS GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING TO DEVELOP EACH NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
COLD CLOUD TOPS ON IR IMAGERY ARE DIMINISHING IN THE VICINITY OF
KAVL...SO NO ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FEATURED AFTER 18Z.
WINDY AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL THUS DOMINATE THE TERMINAL FORECAST
AREA THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. WILL ADVERTISE GUSTS OF 25 TO
35 KT ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK MIXING. WINDS WILL
DECOUPLE SLOWLY LATE THIS EVENING AS THE COLD ADVECTION AND PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAX. LIGHT WEST TO SW WINDS ALONG WITH FEW TO SCATTERED
HIGH CLOUDS ARE ANTICIPATED LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD THROUGH 18Z
SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION LATER
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIPS EAST OFF THE COAST. A
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA MON WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND ASSOCIATED CIG/VSBY RESTRICTIONS. GUSTY WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED
BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH POSSIBLY LINGERING MVFR CONDITIONS AT KAVL
INTO EARLY TUESDAY BEFORE DRY HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN AGAIN.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DEWPOINTS ARE STARTING TO CRASH ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AS THE
MIXING HAS PICKED UP. WINDS STILL APPEAR ON TRACK...WITH GUSTS TO 30
MPH AT TIMES. HAVE ADDED THE NC PIEDMONT TO THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR
THIS AFTERNOON AS RH VALUES SHOULD 25 PERCENT FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS.
WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH RH VALUES 20 TO 25 PERCENT ARE STILL
ANTICIPATED ACROSS NE GA AND UPSTATE SC...SO NO CHANGES NEEDED AT
PRESENT. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE NC
FOOTHILLS WHERE RH VALUES WILL LIKELY BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER
20S.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GAZ010-017-
     018-026-028-029.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GAZ010-
     017-018-026-028-029.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ053-059-
     063>065-501-503-505-507-509.
     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ035>037-
     056-057-068>072-082.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NCZ035>037-056>058-062-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NCZ048-051-052.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NCZ033-
     049-050.
SC...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR SCZ001>014-
     019.
     LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     SCZ001>014-019.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JPT
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...JDL
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...HG
FIRE WEATHER...HG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1157 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-221700-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-
DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-
UNION NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1157 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   RED FLAG WARNING.
   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ048-051-052-221700-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
1157 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ053-059-063>065-501-503-505-507-509-221700-
BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-
1157 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-049-050-221700-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-
1157 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY SNOWFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

NCZ058-062-221700-
GRAHAM-MACON-
1157 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ502-504-506-508-510-221700-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-
1157 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.
   FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1041 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

NCZ502-504-506-508-510-212300-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...
RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS
1041 AM EST FRI NOV 21 2008

...FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA. WIND GUSTS OF 30
TO 35 MPH ARE ALSO LIKELY AT TIMES. IN ADDITION...RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 25 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVELY LOW FUEL MOISTURE TO
ENHANCE FIRE DANGER.

HG