Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 191031
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
531 AM EST WED NOV 19 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0025.081119T1500Z-081120T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
531 AM EST WED NOV 19 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

VERY LOW DEWPOINTS COMBINED WITH MILDER TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE VALUES COMBINED WITH LOW FUEL MOISTURES WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND RELATIVELY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE
EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 200002
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
702 PM EST WED NOV 19 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-200115-
/O.EXP.KGSP.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081120T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
702 PM EST WED NOV 19 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITY HAS RISEN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA...SO THE WARNING WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE ON TIME.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
224 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST REGION THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD. ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION EARLY
THURSDAY WITH YET ANOTHER AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVING IN FOR THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
MTN WAVE CLOUDS HAVE DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT OVER THE SWRN MTNS...BUT
CONTINUE OVER THE REST OF THE MTNS. SFC OBS HAVE STOPPED REPORTING
SNOW...BUT RADARS SHOW SNOW SHOWERS STILL UPSTREAM OF THE AREA.
EXPECT MOST OF THE SNOW TO PASS TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER...THERE COULD
STILL BE SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS/FLURRIES OVER THE NRN MTNS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON. WILL KEEP THEM IN THE FCST EARLY...BUT STILL DO NOT
EXPECT ANY ACCUMS. SNOW SHOULD END QUICKLY WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.
WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED SOMEWHAT OVER THE MTNS. THIS TREND SHOULD
CONTINUE AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST...BUT GUSTS WILL
REMAIN HIGH UNTIL SUNSET. THEREFORE WILL LEAVE THE LAKE WIND ADV IN
PLACE. CLOUDS DIMINISH AS WELL OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL BE 15 TO 20
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL TONIGHT...WITH WARMEST TEMPS ALONG THE USUAL
THERMAL BELT AREA.

HEIGHTS RISE WED AS TROF AXIS MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. SFC HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA...BUT WE WILL SEE SOME HIGH CLOUDS AS
WARM FRONT PASSES WELL TO OUR NORTH. THICKNESSES RISE WEST BUT
REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE EAST. THIS WILL LEAD TO HIGHS AROUND 10
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WEST AND AROUND 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL EAST.
ALSO WITH THIS THICKNESS PATTERN...AVL WILL BE AS WARM OR EVEN A
LITTLE WARMER THAN CLT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 PM TUESDAY...SHORT TERM WILL CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY
NW FLOW ALOFT WHICH BECOMES MORE PRONOUNCED TOWARD THE END OF THE
WORK WEEK AS A STRONG SHORT WAVE MOVING FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY CARVES OUT ANOTHER LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN
U.S. THE WEATHER ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NE GA WILL BE
RATHER BENIGN INITIALLY AS MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE THE BENEFICIARY
OF THE DOWNSLOPING NW FLOW. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS LATE WED NIGHT WHEN MARGINALLY HIGHER MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH A CLIPPER LOW MOVING THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REACHES THE
MOUNTAINS. COMBINED WITH THE UPSLOPE FLOW...SOME FLURRIES CANNOT BE
RULED OUT INTO THU MORNING THERE. OTHERWISE...THU SHOULD BE A RATHER
NICE DAY WITH A BREAK FROM THE UNSEASONABLE COLD TEMPERATURES AS LOW
LEVEL THICKNESS INCREASES AHEAD OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT. MAX TEMPS
ARE EXPECTED TO FLIRT WITH SEASONAL AVERAGES EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.
AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE WITH DECENT VORT ENERGY MOVES BY TO THE N
THU NIGHT PUSHING A DRY COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. UPSLOPE
FLOW...AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL RH AND SOME DPVA SHOULD PRODUCE
SOME SNOW SHOWERS IN THE FAVORED AREAS IN THE MOUNTAINS. WILL GO
AHEAD AND INCREASE POPS INTO THE CHANCE RANGE FOR THU NIGHT AND FRI
MORNING IN THE MOUTNAINS. ELSEWHERE...GENERALLY CLEAR CONDITIONS
SHOULD BE THE RULE WITH MAX TEMPS FALLING BACK TO A COUPLE
CATEGORIES BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES ON FRI. CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS
FOR FRI NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM TUESDAY...STAYED CLOSE TO THE HPC SOLUTION FOR THE
MEDIUM RANGE WHICH WAS ESSENTIALLY A COMPROMISE OF THE 06Z GFS/00Z
ECM. GFS AND ECM DIFFER ON TIMING AND DETAILS OF THE STRONG SHORT
WAVE THAT CRASHES THROUGH THE WEST COAST RIDGE THIS WEEKEND. GFS IS
FASTER AND THE 12Z RUN TAKES THIS SHORT WAVE SE INTO GA BY SUN
MORNING. ECM IS SLOWER AND DEVELOPS A LARGE CUTOFF THAT TRAVERSES
THE GREAT LAKES. THE HPC SOLUTION BRINGS THE NEXT COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE REGION IN THE MON-MON NGT PERIOD WHICH WOULD DO NO MORE THAN
PRODUCE ANOTHER ROUND OF NW FLOW SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY IN DOWNSLOPING FLOW. MAX
TEMPS SHOULD REMAIN 1-2 CATEGORIES BELOW AVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FLURRIES AND LOW VFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AT
KAVL BUT DIMINISH BY LATE AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE CLOUDS WILL
DRIFT ACROSS THE OTHER TAF SITES WITH POSSIBLY A BRIEF 060 CIG AT
KHKY. OTHERWISE... WINDS THE BUT STORY WITH NORTH TO NORTHWEST
GUSTS CONTINUING THRU THE AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH BY
EARLY EVENING WITH LOW CLOUDS DISSIPATING AS WELL. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS INTO THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND WED. THERE WILL BE SOME HIGH
CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA WITH WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY BUT
REMAINING LIGHT.

OUTLOOK...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...
AS DRY/COOL HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL. A SERIES OF UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES COULD CAUSE PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS DURING THE
PERIOD.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DEW POINTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST AS DRY WED AS THEY WERE
ON TUE. THIS COMBINED WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WED. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT...SO ONLY NE GA WILL REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA. FUEL
MOISTURES HAVE SHOWN SIGNIFICANT DRYING TODAY ACROSS NE GA AND
SHOULD DRY EVEN FURTHER WED. WILL UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO
A RED FLAG WARNING WITH THE AFTERNOON FWF ISSUANCE.

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR GAZ010-
     017-018-026-028-029.
NC...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-
     048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...RWH
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...RWH
FIRE WEATHER...RWH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1206 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2008

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ001>014-019-191715-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1206 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-191715-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1206 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ051-058-059-062>065-502-504-506>510-191715-
SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
1206 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-048>050-052-053-501-503-505-191715-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
1206 PM EST TUE NOV 18 2008

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION TO THE WIND...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
OR FLURRIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. NO ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.