Red Flag Warning 20, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 011444
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1044 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2008

GAZ018-026-028-029-020000-
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0020.080701T1600Z-080702T0000Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
1044 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR MUCH OF EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

VERY DRY AIR REMAINS OVER THE REGION TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
RISING INTO THE UPPER 80S THIS AFTERNOON WILL COMBINE WITH
DEWPOINTS FALLING INTO THE 40S TO PRODUCE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
OF 20 TO 25 PERCENT FOR SEVERAL HOURS. THESE DRY CONDITIONS WILL
COMBINE WITH VERY DRY BRUSH AND FUELS TO ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR
WILDFIRE DEVELOPMENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE OCCURRING. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR WILDFIRES TO DEVELOP
AND SPREAD EASILY.

$$

GERAPETRITIS

000 
WWUS82 KGSP 011830
RFWGSP

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
230 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2008

GAZ018-026-028-029-021000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.W.0021.080702T1500Z-080703T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGSP.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-080702T0000Z/
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
230 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING.

VERY DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WILL PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. MOST LOCATIONS IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA HAVE BEEN
EXPERIENCING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BETWEEN 20 AND 25 THIS
AFTERNOON...AND SIMILAR VALUES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS
HIGH TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE UPPER 80S IN THIS DRY AIRMASS.
SEVERAL HOURS OF CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY COMBINED WITH
DRY BRUSH WILL ENHANCE THE THREAT OF WILDFIRES.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WARM TEMPERATURES...AND DRY FUELS WILL
HEIGHTEN FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ010-017-021000-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FW.A.0004.080702T1500Z-080703T0000Z/
RABUN-HABERSHAM-
230 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2008

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR RABUN AND HABERSHAM COUNTIES.

HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON WILL COMBINE WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S TO PRODUCE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 25 PERCENT. THESE CRITICAL
HUMIDITY VALUES COULD LAST FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING THE AFTERNOON
AND COMBINE WITH LOW FUEL MOISTURE TO ENHANCE FIRE DANGER.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

GERAPETRITIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
306 AM EDT TUE JUL 1 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES TODAY AND
REMAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BRINGING RELATIVELY COOLER AND DRIER
AIR TO THE REGION. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FRIDAY AND IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME STATIONARY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
DEEP LAYERED DRYING CONTINUES TO ENCROACH UPON THE CWFA TODAY WITHIN
DEEPENING NORTHERN FLOW. LOTS OF SUNSHINE AND UNSEASONABLY DRY
AIR WILL COMBINE WITH MAX TEMPS ABOUT A CATEGORY BELOW EARLY JULY
NORMALS. GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS TONIGHT THANKS TO
LINGERING DEEP DRYING AND SFC RIDING BUILDING INTO THE CWFA TO
PROMOTE RAPID COOLING LEADING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING MINS ABOUT
10 DEG F BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 220 PM TUESDAY...UPPER LEVEL TROF CONTINUES TO PULL NORTH WED
LEAVING THE SE REGION IN BETWEEN THE ATL RIDGE AND A DEVELOPING
BROAD H5 TROF OVER THE MIDWEST. A VERY DRY ATMOS WILL PERSIST INTO
FRI WITH PW VALUES LESS THAN 0.7 INCHES BOTH WED AND THU. A LLVL
THETA/E TROF WILL KEEP MIXING HEIGHTS HIGH WED WITH ONLY FEW FAIR WX
CU EXPECTED. WEAK BL WINDS WILL NOT PROVIDE MUCH MOMENTUM
TRANSFER...BUT TDS SHOULD MIX OUT INTO THE UPPER 40S ACROSS MOST OF
THE CWFA. WITH MAXIMUM INSOLATION EXPECTED...MAX TEMPS WILL REACH
AROUND 90 NON/MTNS...WHICH WILL PRODUCE RH VALUES OF 25 PERCENT OR
LESS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT REGIONS OF SC/NC AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION
OF NE GA. A CONSERVATIVE APPROACH WAS MADE IN DETERMINING TDS WED
AND HIGHER ELEVATION GA TEMPS COULD HAVE A HARD TIME REACHING THE 90
F MARK...SO A LARGER AREA OF LOW RH COULD ACTUALLY BE REALIZED. AT
THIS POINT...RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA SHOULD DEVELOP SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 85 ACROSS NE GA WED. FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS CERTAINLY WONT
GET ANY HIGHER BY WED SO THE MAIN FACTOR WILL BE RH VALUES.

THURSDAY WILL SEE THE INFLUX OF MIDLEVEL GOM MOISTURE AND A DEEPER
S/LY RETURN FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH OFFSHORE HIGH. LLVL THETA/E TROF
WILL MODIFY FAIRLY QUICKLY AND MIN TEMPS WILL BE AROUND 5 F WARMER
THAN TUES LOWS. MODEL SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW GOOD SUBSIDENCE IN
PLACE AS H5 HEIGHTS HAS THE CWFA IN STAGNANT COL PATTERN. INSOLATION
WILL AGAIN BE MAXIMIZED IN THIS ENVIRONMENT AND WILL EXPECT MAX
TEMPS A CAT ABOVE NORMAL.

UPPER LEVEL TROF IMPINGES ON THE CWFA EARLY FRIDAY AND H5 HEIGHTS
WILL LOWER THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT
BRINGING THIS FEATURE INTO THE REGION FRI THE LAST FEW
RUNS...HOWEVER A LOWERING OF THE AMPLITUDE HAS BEEN NOTED. STILL
EXPECT GOOD UPSLOPE FLOW AND INCREASING MOISTURE TO SET OFF SCT MTN
CONVECTION FRI AFTERNOON AND THE INCOMING FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER
S/W ENERGY SHOULD PROVIDE EXTRA LIFT TO WARRANT SCT SHOWERY COVERAGE
ACROSS THE MTNS THROUGH FRI NIGHT. ANOTHER WARM DAY ON HAND FRI WITH
GOOD SW/LY FLOW AND DECENT INSOLATION ENABLING MAX TEMPS A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 250 AM TUESDAY...THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROF
REACHES THE APPALACHIANS AND SWINGS INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS PATTERN
LOOKS TO REMAIN OVER THE AREA AT LEAST THROUGH SUN. THE 12Z ECMWF
LINGERS AND DEEPENS THE UPPER TROF MORESO THAN THE 00Z GFS KEEPING
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT THROUGH MON AND AN ACTIVE SFC FRONT IN THE
VICINITY OF THE CWFA. DUE TO THE BROAD AND RELATIVELY WEAK NATURE OF
THIS TROF AND THE ABSENCE OF MUCH JET SUPPORT...WILL GO WITH THE
MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN ADVERTISED BY THE GFS...WHICH IS ALSO
FAVORED BY THE HPC. SO...WILL EXPECT A WAVY SFC FRONT TO STALL OUT
ACROSS EASTERN TN SAT AND REMAIN THROUGH SUN. THE PROXIMITY OF THIS
LARGE SCALE BOUNDARY TO THE NC MTNS WILL MAINTAIN SHOWERY ACTIVITY
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...MAINLY DIURNALLY
DRIVEN. A SW TO W MID LEVEL FLOW CROSSING THE MTNS WILL SETUP A
WEAK LEE TROF DURING THIS TIME AS WELL...SO SCT -SHRA AND TS WILL
BE EXPECTED IN A DEEPLY MOIST ATMOS ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWFA. ON
MON...THE UPPER TROF WEAKENS AND PULLS NORTH AND A RETURN OF
STRING UPPER LEVEL RIDGING SHOULD SUPPRESS MOST CONVECTION...HOWEVER
ISOL POPS SEEM REASONABLE WITH THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE THAT WILL BE
AVAILABLE. TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE RIGHT AROUND NORMAL
UNDER HIGH CLOUD COVER.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
JUST SPOTTY VFR LVL CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD.
ALL 00 UTC GUIDANCE KEEPS WINDS FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AT KCLT...
KEEPING LEE TROUGH SOUTH OF KGSP/KCLT...BUT PERHAPS ALLOWING A
WSW WIND AT KAND.

OUTLOOK...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH NO RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH
FROM THE NORTHWEST ON FRIDAY...WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASING
INTO THE WEEKEND

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
DEEP MIXED LAYER DEVELOPS TODAY...BUT AVERAGE WINDS THROUGHOUT IT/S
DEPTH ARE FCST TO REMAIN 10 KTS OR LESS. HAVE BLENDED MOS DWPTS
WITH THE DRIER AVERAGE DWPTS THROUGHOUT THE MIXED LAYER AND
COMBINED WITH MAXES ROUGHLY WANT WE HAVE GOT GOING...A MIX OF
MET/MAV...RESULTS IN RH/S LESS THAN 25 PERCENT FOR SVRL HOURS
THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.CLIMATE...
HERE ARE THE DAILY RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES AND THE YEAR IN WHICH
THEY OCCURRED FOR GSP...CLT...AND AVL.

GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG

TODAY     7/1  54 1979
WEDNESDAY 7/2  53 1899

CHARLOTTE

TODAY     7/1  56 1919
WEDNESDAY 7/2  58 1885

ASHEVILLE

TODAY     7/1  51 1984
WEDNESDAY 7/2  44 1988

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...CSH
SHORT TERM...SBK
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...CSH
FIRE WEATHER...CSH
CLIMATE...CSH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1115 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2008

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-020315-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CATAWBA-
ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION NC-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-UNION SC-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
1115 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.