Severe Thunderstorm Warning 33, NWS Green Bay, WI

000 
WWUS53 KGRB 080147
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
847 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIC015-080157-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0033.000000T0000Z-080608T0215Z/
CALUMET-
847 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CALUMET COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED.

HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS CALUMET COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4420 8840 4423 8804 4394 8804 4392 8830
      4393 8831 4393 8839 4393 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 255DEG 54KT 4410 8792

$$

KURIMSKI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
743 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

.UPDATE...NEW TO.A WILL REPLACE 478...BUT NEW WATCH WILL BE S OF
THE AREA. THERE WILL STILL BE A LINGERING SVR THREAT EARLY
TNGT...BUT THEN IT SHOULD TRANSITION TO MORE OF A HEAVY RAIN
THREAT BY LATER IN THE EVENING. WL BE SENDING UPDATE PRODUCT SUITE
ASAP.

SKOWRONSKI
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...ISSUED AT 707 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008...

UPDATE...STORMS REALLY PICKED UP DURING THE PAST HR...ESP TO THE
NORTH OF CURRENT TO.A. MID-LVL LAPSE RATES ARE STEEPER IN THAT
AREA...AND SFC TEMPS WERE WARMER AS THAT AREA WAS NOT IMPACTED BY
DEBRIS FM SRN WI CONVECTION. STILL THINK MAIN BAND OF STG
CONVECTION WL SET UP TO THE S OF THE FCST AREA LATER THIS EVENING
AND INTECEPT THE LLJ. WE COULD STILL HAVE SCT SVR NORTH OF
THAT...BUT IT SHOULD SETTLE DOWN LATER IN THE EVENING ONCE THE ATM
GETS OVERTURNED AND WE LOSE THE IMPORT OF INSTABILITY FM THE
SOUTH.

COORD WITH SPC AND WILL DECIDE IN THE HOUR WHETHER OR NOT WE NEED
TO ISSUE A NEW WATCH AFTER 01Z.

SKOWRONSKI

DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 558 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008...

UPDATE...SCT TSRA DEVELOPING NEWD ACRS THE FCST AREA. ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO POSE SOME RISK OF SVR. BUT IT APPEARS THAT THE
MAIN LINE OF STORMS WAS DEVELOPING FM N-C IA...NEWD...TO NEAR
ARX...WL BEHAVE SIMILAR TO THE INITIAL BATCH LATE THIS MORNING AND
EARLY THIS AFTN. IT SHOULD WORK EWD AND COULD BRUSH THE SWRN PART
OF THE FCST AREA. IF THAT LINE BECOMES MORE SOLID AND GETS LOCATED
S OF THE FCST AREA...IT WOULD INTERCEPT THE INSTABILITY ARRIVING
ON LLJ FCST TO INTENSIFY LATER THIS EVENING. THAT WOULD KEEP THE
RISK OF SVR WX AND FLOODING LATER TNGT FOCUSED S OF THE FCST
AREA.

SKOWRONSKI

DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 457 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008...

UPDATE...DOUBT WE WILL BE ABLE TO DROP ANY OF TO.A 478 EARLY.
THREAT OF SVR OVER THE NEXT HR DOES NOT APPEAR HIGH. BUT NEW AREA
OF SVR STORMS DEVELOPING ENEWD FM SE MN. IF CURRENT TRENDS
CONT...THOSE WOULD REACH CENTRAL WI ARND 630 PM. PROBLEM IS THAT
THREAT MAY WELL CONT WELL PAST 800 PM AS LLJ STENGTHENS AND HELPS
TO RELOAD THE ATM FOR MORE CONVECTION. THINK STRONGEST ACTIVITY WL
REMAIN TO OUR S...BUT THERE COULD STILL BE A RISK OF SVR IN THE
FCST AREA.

SKOWRONSKI

DISCUSSION ISSUED AT 200 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008...

DISCUSSION...TIME AT A PREMIUM WITH ONGOING SEVERE THREAT.
CORE OF CURRENT CLUSTER SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA...BUT NEED
TO WATCH FOR SOME HAIL OR WIND CLIPPING THE FAR SOUTHERN PART OF
OUR AREA. THUS FAR CONVECTION MORE LIMITED TO THE WEST...AND THAT
WAS ALLOWING THE ATM TO DESTABILIZE. APPEARS MAIN SVR THREAT IN
THE FCST AREA WOULD BE WITH DEVELOPMENT BACK TO THE WEST LATER
THIS AFTN OR INTO THE EVENING.

IN THE LONGER TERM...TOUGH TO PIN DOWN TIMING OF PCPN CHCS. DID
NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES TO LATER PERIODS OF THE FCST. FRONT MAY
STILL BE IN THE AREA TOMORROW...THOUGH IT COULD GET SHOVED BACK S
BY ALL THE CONVECTION. UPR HEIGHTS WL BUILD A BIT DURING THE
WK...THEN ANOTHER STG SYSTEM SHOULD BE HEADED FOR THE AREA LATER
IN THE WK. LOOKS LIKE AN ACTIVE PATTERN.

AVIATION...JUST CARRIED TSRA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE TAFS. WL ADD
TO LATER PERIODS WHEN WE HAVE A BETTER IDEA OF TIMING.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
209 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-081300-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-
MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-
MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN OCONTO-
209 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...NORTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND
NORTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY RISK IS OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. HEAVY
RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

PATCH DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES ALONG THE LAKESHORE TO A
FEW HUNDRED FEET AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS SUNDAY. DAMAGING WINDS
AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER
THE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE OR NOT...THOUGH HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION HAS ALREADY OCCURRED THIS AFTERNOON...AND MAY BE
NECESSARY TONIGHT.

LMZ521-522-541>543-081300-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
209 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY RISK IS OF STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITIES OVER THE LAKE TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS SUNDAY. STRONG WINDS AND
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS. DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE
OVER THE LAKE AGAIN SUNDAY.

THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER
THE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE OR NOT.

JS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
713 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             1 E MOSINEE             44.78N 89.67W
06/07/2008  E1.00 INCH       MARATHON           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BERSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
748 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S ANTIGO              45.14N 89.15W
06/07/2008                   LANGLADE           WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            1 MILE EAST OF HWY 45 AND COUNTY ROAD Y. MINOR STRUCTURAL
            DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDINGS.

&&

BERSCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
750 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

WIZ011-013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-080115-
FOREST-NORTHERN MARINETTE-SOUTHERN MARINETTE-LINCOLN-LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-
NORTHERN OCONTO-SOUTHERN OCONTO-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-WOOD-PORTAGE-
WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-CALUMET-MANITOWOC-
INCLUDING CRANDON...CRIVITZ...TOMAHAWK...ANTIGO...STURGEON BAY...
WAUSAU...WISCONSIN RAPIDS...STEVENS POINT...APPLETON...GREEN BAY...
ALGOMA...WAUTOMA...OSHKOSH...CHILTON AND TWO RIVERS
750 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008

...SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING...

AT 740 PM...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED ACROSS THE AREA. THE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF THE EVENING AND THROUGHOUT THE NIGHT.
THE COVERAGE OF THE STORMS WILL GRADUALLY BE ON THE INCREASE. THERE
WILL STILL BE SOME RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL EARLY THIS
EVENING...BUT THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL TRANSITION TO HEAVY RAIN AND
POSSIBLE FLOODING BY LATE EVENING. THE AREA MOST AT RISK OF HEAVY RAIN
IS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WAUSAU TO KESHENA TO WAUSAUKEE.

SINCE THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH...THE TORNADO
WATCH FOR THE WOOD...PORTAGE...WAUPACA...OUTAGAMIE...BROWN...
KEWAUNEE...WAUSHARA...WINNEBAGO...CALUMET...AND MANITOWOC COUNTIES
WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 800 PM.

BE SURE TO MONITOR NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO OR LOCAL TV OR RADIO STATIONS
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION ON THIS WEATHER SITUATION.

SKOWRONSKI
WEATHER.GOV/GREENBAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
754 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S ANTIGO              45.14N 89.15W
06/07/2008                   LANGLADE           WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            1 TO 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF HWY 45 AND COUNTY ROAD Y.
            NUMEROUS 16 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWNED. COLLAPSED GARAGE.
            POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

BERSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
756 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 PM     HAIL             PEMBINE                 45.63N 88.00W
06/07/2008  E0.50 INCH       MARINETTE          WI   AMATEUR RADIO

            NEAR INTERSECTION OF HWY 8 AND HWY 141.

&&

BERSCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
819 PM CDT SAT JUN 07 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0651 PM     HAIL             BEVENT                  44.76N 89.38W
06/07/2008  E1.00 INCH       MARATHON           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BERSCH