Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS43 KGLD 170136
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
736 PM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001-002-013-014-027-NEZ079-080-171000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080318T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
WALLACE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...BENKELMAN...TRENTON
736 PM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008 /836 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM
CDT/ MONDAY...

FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH
SNOW EAST OF THE COLORADO STATE LINE THIS EVENING. FURTHER
WEST...SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO
SPREADING NORTHEAST INTO KANSAS AND NEBRASKA TONIGHT. SNOW MAY
BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE DIMINISHING DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY.
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM FLAGLER TO BENKELMAN BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. FURTHER
EAST...SNOWFALL WILL RANGE FROM TRACE AMOUNTS TO AROUND 5 INCHES
WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

$$

KSZ003-015-028-041-NEZ081-171000-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080318T0000Z/
DECATUR-SHERIDAN-LOGAN-GREELEY-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...HOXIE...OAKLEY...TRIBUNE...
MCCOOK
736 PM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008 /836 PM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM
CDT/ MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM
CDT/ MONDAY. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT WITH
ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH EXPECTED BY EARLY
MONDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING WITH 1 TO
3 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

$$

000 
WWUS43 KGLD 171001
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
401 AM MDT MON MAR 17 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001-002-013-014-027-NEZ079-080-171815-
/O.CON.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080318T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
WALLACE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...BENKELMAN...TRENTON
401 AM MDT MON MAR 17 2008 /501 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008/

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM
CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM
CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. THE SNOW MAY BECOME
HEAVY AT TIMES BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER IN THE DAY. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND WEST OF A
LINE FROM FLAGLER TO SAINT FRANCIS TO TRENTON BY THIS AFTERNOON.
FURTHER EAST...SNOWFALL WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO AROUND 5 INCHES WITH
ICE ACCUMULATIONS UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...OR ICE ARE NOW OCCURRING OR ARE IMMINENT. TRAVEL WILL
BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
FORECAST BEFORE VENTURING OUTSIDE.

$$

KSZ003-015-028-041-NEZ081-171815-
/O.CON.KGLD.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080318T0000Z/
DECATUR-SHERIDAN-LOGAN-GREELEY-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...HOXIE...OAKLEY...TRIBUNE...
MCCOOK
401 AM MDT MON MAR 17 2008 /501 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM
CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM
CDT/ THIS AFTERNOON. 

A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
AREA. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH BY EARLY TODAY.
PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES
OF ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE EXTRA CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING.

$$

BULLER

000 
WWUS43 KGLD 171532
WSWGLD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
932 AM MDT MON MAR 17 2008


COZ090>092-KSZ001-002-013-014-027-NEZ079-080-171645-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-080318T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-SHERMAN-THOMAS-
WALLACE-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YUMA...WRAY...BURLINGTON...
CHEYENNE WELLS...ST. FRANCIS...ATWOOD...GOODLAND...COLBY...
SHARON SPRINGS...BENKELMAN...TRENTON
932 AM MDT MON MAR 17 2008 /1032 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008/

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

SNOWFALL AND FREEZING PRECIPITATION HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING. EXPECT A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AND SOME PATCHY
FREEZING DRIZZLE TO REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA WITH LITTLE
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. 

$$

KSZ003-015-028-041-NEZ081-171645-
/O.CAN.KGLD.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080318T0000Z/
DECATUR-SHERIDAN-LOGAN-GREELEY-RED WILLOW-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OBERLIN...HOXIE...OAKLEY...TRIBUNE...
MCCOOK
932 AM MDT MON MAR 17 2008 /1032 AM CDT MON MAR 17 2008/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED NORTH AND EAST OF THE AREA.
LIGHT RAIN AND PATCHY FOG IS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA...HOWEVER LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.

$$

BURTIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
742 AM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

.UPDATE...
732 AM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

JUST ISSUED AN UPDATE FOR THE WEATHER/PRECIPITATION PHASE. STARTING
TO SEE A REDUCTION IN VISIBILITIES FROM ALONG THE COLORADO AND
KANSAS BORDER INTO EASTERN COLORADO DUE TO FREEZING FOG AND
DRIZZLE. COMPARING THIS TO SATELLITE AND DDC SOUNDING...BELIEVE
WILL SEE MOSTLY FREEZING FOG AND DRIZZLE UNTIL LATER THIS MORNING
AND THE AFTERNOON WHEN THE SOUNDING SATURATES TO A GREATER DEPTH.

BULLER
&&

.DISCUSSION...
242 AM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS UPPER LEVEL CYCLONE DIGGING INTO SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA TONIGHT. SOUTHWEST FLOW AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM HAS TAPPED
TROPICAL MOISTURE WHICH IS STREAMING INTO THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES. STILL A BIT DRY IN THE LOW LEVELS THOUGH...BUT SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY ADVECT HIGHER DEW POINTS INTO THE AREA. LEAD
SHORTWAVE CROSSED THE AREA OVERNIGHT...WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT
SNOW...AND RADAR SHOWS IT CONTINUING NORTH INTO NEBRASKA. WILL HAVE
MORNING MENTION OF LIGHT SNOW BASED ON LAST MINUTE RADAR TRENDS.

FORECAST PROBLEMS WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE PRECIPITATION TYPE AND
QPF. FOLLOWED HPC WINTER WEATHER GUIDANCE CLOSELY FOR THIS PACKAGE.
TAKEN VERBATIM...SOUNDINGS SUPPORT MORNING SNOW...CHANGING TO
AFTERNOON RAIN...THEN BACK TO SNOW OR FREEZING RAIN TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY. ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD BE FAR SOUTHEAST ZONES WHERE AFTER THIS
MORNING RAIN WOULD BE THE MAIN PHASE...AND FAR NORTHWEST WHERE SNOW
WOULD BE DOMINANT. A FEW DEGREES EITHER WAY AT THE SURFACE...OR A FEW
HUNDRED FEET OF SATURATION VERTICALLY...WILL MAKE ALL THE DIFFERENCE
FOR PHASE DURING THIS EVENT. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING
ICE AND SNOW...FELT WINTER STORM WATCH WAS APPROPRIATE ATTM.
WILDCARD IN ALL OF THIS WILL BE CONVECTION...AS BACKGROUND
INSTABILITY ABOVE THE STRONG LOW LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS SUGGESTS GOOD
UPWARD RESPONSE TO THE FORCING. MUCAPE VALUES ARE LOW...STILL
UPRIGHT CONVECTION A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE TONIGHT. IF THAT MATERIALIZES QPF COULD BE UNDERDONE.
FINALLY...BY MONDAY AFTERNOON DRY SLOT OVERTAKES THE FORECAST AREA
ALOFT. RESIDUAL MOISTURE BELOW 700MB LOOKS SUFFICIENT FOR
-FZRA/-RA...POSSIBLY TAPERING TO FZDZ/DZ BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AS
DRY SLOT CONTINUES TO ERODE MOISTURE FROM ABOVE THROUGH THE DAY.
SOUTHERN ZONES MAY SEE AN END TO PRECIPITATION EARLIER...AS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE APPEARS SHALLOWER IN FORECAST SOUNDINGS.

TEMPERATURES WERE A BIT OF AN AFTERTHOUGHT...BUT DID ADJUST FOR
INTERNAL CONSISTENCY WITH FREEZING RAIN/SNOW FORECASTS AND WSW.
BASICALLY FOLLOWED THE COLDER MAV GUIDANCE.

24
&&

.AVIATION...
732 AM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

FOR THE 12Z TAFS...CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DETEORATE THROUGH
TONIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MVFR CEILINGS AT KGLD GRADUALLY
LOWER TO IFR BY LATE THIS MORNING INTO TONIGHT. KMCK TAF WILL
START AT VFR BUT BY 18Z SHOULD LOWER TO MVFR CEILINGS. THE
RESTICTIONS TO VISIBILITY/WEATHER WILL BE TOUGH AND WILL BOUNCE
BACK AND FORTH ON PHASE. AS A RESULT...KEPT DIFFERENT
PRECIPITATION PHASES IN THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE GREATEST REDUCTIONS
IN VISIBILITY SHOULD NOT OCCUR UNTIL LATE THIS EVENING.

BULLER
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH
     MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR KSZ001-013.

NE...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NEZ079.

CO...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR COZ090-091.

&&

WFO GOODLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1051 AM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-171230-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1051 AM MDT SUN MAR 16 2008 /1151 AM CDT SUN MAR 16 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDE RANGE OF
PRECIPITATION TO THE TRI STATE REGION TONIGHT. FREEZING DRIZZLE
AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN HAVE ALREADY STARTED TO FALL OVER PORTIONS
OF THE AREA CAUSING A FEW SLICK SPOTS. ELEVATED SURFACES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MOST AFFECTED BY THIS PRECIPITATION. SNOW WILL
BEGIN TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER EASTERN COLORADO AND WILL
EXPAND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
LATER THIS EVENING. SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS APPEAR
LIKELY...ESPECIALLY OVER YUMA COUNTY COLORADO. AREAS ALONG A LINE
FROM MCCOOK TO GOODLAND TO CHEYENNE WELLS WILL LIKELY SEE A MIX OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT SNOW THROUGH TONIGHT. SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA SHOULD RECEIVE PRIMARILY RAIN WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE UPPER LEVEL STORM WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON
MONDAY BEFORE EXITING THE AREA MONDAY EVENING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN COLORADO WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ELSEWHERE...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM MCCOOK TO TRIBUNE. LOCATIONS TO
THE EAST OF THIS LINE SHOULD RECEIVE PRIMARILY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE REQUIRED...BUT ANY REPORTS OF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

FOLTZ