Tornado Warning 87, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 062209
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
407 PM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008

KSC181-193-062217-
/O.EXP.KGLD.TO.W.0087.000000T0000Z-080706T2215Z/
SHERMAN KS-THOMAS KS-
507 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2008

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR THOMAS AND SHERMAN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
415 PM MDT/515 PM CDT/...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 73.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 27 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 157 AND 185.

THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND
NO LONGER APPEAR CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES OR OTHER SEVERE 
WEATHER. GUSTY WINDS AND BLOWING DIRT IS POSSIBLE ALONG THIS LINE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR LOWERED VISIBILITIES.


LAT...LON 3914 10071 3913 10204 3955 10204 3956 10073
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 043DEG 11KT 3940 10184 3934 10152
          3929 10125

$$

BURTIS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
201 PM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008

.SHORT TERM... (TONIGHT - WEDNESDAY)
200 PM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008

COLD FRONT SLOWLY MAKING ITS WAY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPARENT ON WATER VAPOR IN CENTRAL
COLORADO WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT RESULTING IN
GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
FRONT PRIMARILY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. SOME
DISCUSSION ABOUT A HEAVY RAIN THREAT...BUT WITH STORM MOTIONS
GREATER THAN 10KTS AND NO SATURATED GROUND TO SPEAK OF DO NOT
BELIEVE IT WILL BE A WIDESPREAD CONCERN. NONETHELESS...WILL HAVE TO
MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL TRAINING GIVEN SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE SURFACE
BOUNDARY AND STORM MOTIONS NEARLY PARALLEL TO IT. FRONT FORECAST TO
BE DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES MONDAY AFTERNOON...AND
BEST CHANCES WILL SHIFT TO THOSE AREAS FOR RENEWED CONVECTION.
ACTIVITY WILL SETTLE INTO SOUTHWEST KANSAS MONDAY NIGHT WITH THE
FRONT. WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW WILL FOLLOW FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
DIFFICULT TO FIND ANY PERTURBATIONS IN THAT FLOW AS QVECTORS
BASICALLY FAVOR AREAS TO THE SOUTH FOR SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT. POST
FRONTAL LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW MAY BE ENOUGH TO INITIATE STORMS ON
THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF COLORADO TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AS INDICATED BY THE NAM...SO LEFT SOME SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN
THE FAR WEST BUT OTHERWISE DECIDED TO KEEP MOST OF THE AREA DRY.

.LONG TERM... (THURSDAY - SUNDAY)
200 PM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008

PATTERN CHANGE WILL BE UNDERWAY AS TROUGH SETTLES INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY. AS THE PATTERN TRANSITIONS...SHORTWAVE RIDGING WILL BE
OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A COUPLE OF DRY AND
HOT DAYS TO START THE PERIOD. AS SOUTHWEST FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED
TOWARDS THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL BE MOVING THROUGH WITH
A DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE FETCH ORIGINATING IN THE BAJA REGION.

24
&&

.AVIATION...
1126 AM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008

FOR 18Z TAFS...MAIN CONCERN WILL BE TSRA DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING AS FRONT HAS STALLED ACROSS THE AREA TO THE
SOUTH OF BOTH KGLD AND KMCK. STORM MOTIONS WILL BRING STORMS TO
THE NORTH. AT THIS TIME...GLD LOOKS TO HAVE THE BEST POSSIBILITY
FOR STORMS AS AIRMASS TO THE SOUTH HAS THE LEAST CLOUD COVER AND
SFC FORCING IS STRONGEST ALONG THE FRONT. STORMS SHOULD BE SLOW
MOVING AND COULD POSSIBLY SEE MVFR VISIBILITIES IN HEAVIER RAIN.
ALSO SOME POTENTIAL FOR IFR CIGS BETWEEN 08-12Z AS FAIRLY HUMID
AIRMASS BUILDS INTO AREA BEHIND FRONT. WITH EXPECT CLOUD COVER NOT
CONFIDENT ENOUGH THINGS WILL COOL OFF ENOUGH FOR FOG/STRATUS
FORMATION AND WILL KEEP IFR CIGS OUT OF FORECAST FOR NOW.

JRM
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

WFO GOODLAND

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1046 AM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-071645-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1046 AM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008 /1146 AM CDT SUN JUL 6 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...PROVIDING THE
FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THIS FRONT
WILL BE NEAR A WESKAN TO NORTON LINE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE BEST
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS FRONT AFTER 2 PM
MDT (3 PM CDT).

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY
STORM THAT FORMS. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WHICH WILL ALSO BRING THE POSSIBILITY OF
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT A LINGERING NORTHEAST
TO SOUTHWEST FRONTAL BOUNDARY COUPLED WITH A SERIES OF UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ALONG IT WILL PROVIDE A GOOD CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD BE SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POTENTIAL
FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE
SEVERAL PERIODS OF RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

JRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
321 PM MDT SUN JUL 6 2008

KSZ002-003-014-015-062145-
DECATUR-RAWLINS-SHERIDAN-THOMAS-
421 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT FOR RAWLINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...DECATUR COUNTY
IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...THOMAS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS AND SHERIDAN
COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

AT 418 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM DRESDEN TO REXFORD
TO LEVANT...AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THESE STORMS.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 37 AND 61.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 73 AND 92.

BURTIS