Severe Thunderstorm Warning 182, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 180638
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1237 AM MDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSC179-180647-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-080618T0730Z/
SHERIDAN KS-
137 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SHERIDAN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING WILL REMAIN EAST OF 
SHERIDAN COUNTY. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND PERHAPS SOME SMALL HAIL WILL 
BE POSSIBLE IN EXTREME EASTERN SHERIDAN COUNTY NEAR THE GRAHAM 
COUNTY LINE THROUGH 2 AM CDT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3945 9959 3914 9960 3912 9981 3913 10015
      3956 10016 3956 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0637Z 336DEG 38KT 3954 9984

$$

KSC065-180730-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-080618T0730Z/
GRAHAM KS-
137 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT
FOR GRAHAM COUNTY...

AT 134 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 14 MILES NORTH OF HILL CITY...OR NEAR EDMOND...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  MORLAND AROUND 145 AM CDT...
  HILL CITY AND PENOKEE AROUND 150 AM CDT...
  BOGUE AND NICODEMUS AROUND 155 AM CDT...
  SAINT PETER AROUND 200 AM CDT...

LAT...LON 3945 9959 3914 9960 3912 9981 3913 10015
      3956 10016 3956 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0637Z 336DEG 38KT 3954 9984

$$

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 180654
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1254 AM MDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSC065-180730-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-080618T0730Z/
GRAHAM KS-
154 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 AM CDT
FOR GRAHAM COUNTY...

AT 153 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS REPORTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR HILL CITY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL SOUTHEASTERN GRAHAM COUNTY AROUND 210 AM CDT...

WINDS OF 69 MPH WERE REPORTED IN HILL CITY. THIS IS A DANGEROUS 
STORM...SEEK SAFE SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3945 9959 3914 9960 3912 9981 3913 10015
      3956 10016 3956 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0654Z 336DEG 38KT 3930 9981

$$

000 
WWUS53 KGLD 180727
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
127 AM MDT WED JUN 18 2008

KSC065-180737-
/O.EXP.KGLD.SV.W.0182.000000T0000Z-080618T0730Z/
GRAHAM KS-
227 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR GRAHAM COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 
230 AM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS LEFT THE WARNED
AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 AM CDT
WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3945 9959 3914 9960 3912 9981 3913 10015
      3956 10016 3956 9961
TIME...MOT...LOC 0727Z 336DEG 38KT 3898 9963

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
705 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008

.DISCUSSION...
229 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008

PERSISTENT LONG WAVE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND
ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS CONTINUES WITH DAILY SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCES
ROTATING OVER THE LEE SIDE...SOME STRONGER...SOME WEAKER. FORECAST
CHALLENGES CONTINUE TO REVOLVE AROUND PRECIP CHANCES AND TIMING
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE WEEK.

THE GLD CWA IS OUTLINED FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
EVERY DAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE WITH
STRONG SHORT WAVE DISTURBANCES AND INCREASED SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL LATE WEDNESDAY THROUGH LATE THURSDAY...THEN AGAIN LATE
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE WEEK...BUILDING SLIGHTLY BY
THE END OF THE WEEK AS THE RIDGE AMPLIFIES NORTHWARD. GFS SEEMS TO
BE THE MOST AGGRESSIVE MODEL IN PUSHING OUT THE SHORTWAVE
DISTURBANCES WHEN COMPARED WITH THE UKMET...NAM...AND ECMWF. SURFACE
WINDS REMAIN FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN
TURN FROM THE NORTH AS THE PROGGED PRECIP/MCS PASSES. WINDS INCREASE
AGAIN FROM THE SOUTH FROM LATE FRIDAY ON. A SLIGHT COOL DOWN IS
EXPECTED THURSDAY...OTHERWISE HIGH TEMPERATURE ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN AROUND 90 DEGREES...WITH LOWS FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
AS WITH THIS AFTERNOON...FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR WEDNESDAY
MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED IF THE EXPECTED LOW LEVEL CLOUDS LINGER
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

FOR DAYS 6 THROUGH 7...MODELS SHOW A FLOW PATTERN ROUGHLY SIMILAR TO
THE CURRENT UPPER LEVEL FLOW. TROUGHS OVER BOTH THE BC REGION/PACIFIC
NORTHWEST AND THE GREAT LAKES/NORTHEASTERN US AND A RIDGE OVER THE
ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND CENTRAL US. THE GFS AMPLIFIES THE RIDGE FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WHILE THE ECMWF TRIES TO AMPLIFY THE RIDGE
ON SATURDAY...BUT SHIFTS IT EAST TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES AND BRINGS
IN A MORE ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS AND CENTRAL US
THROUGH TUESDAY. ALTHOUGH THERE IS ABOVE AVERAGE AGREEMENT ON THE
LARGE SCALE FLOW...UNCERTAINTY REGARDING SMALL SCALE DIFFERENCES
ASSOCIATED WITH SHORT WAVE DETAILS WARRANT A 50/50 BLEND BETWEEN
THE GFS AND ECMWF THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S...LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HPC INTRODUCED ISOLATED AREAS
OF SLIGHT CHANCE RAIN SHOWERS.

BLM
&&

.AVIATION...
705 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008

00Z TAFS...THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF NORTHERN NEBRASKA CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTH AND MAY IMPACT KMCK(POSSIBLY KGLD)AFTER 06-08Z.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY RESULT IN TRANSIENT IFR IN LOW
CIGS/VISIBILITIES TOWARD SUNRISE WHERE PRECIPITATION OCCURS.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN AFTER 20Z ON WEDNESDAY.

26
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
738 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-181300-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
738 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008 /838 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN NEBRASKA THIS EVENING WILL
CONTINUE MOVING SOUTH IMPACTING THE TRI-STATE AREA AFTER 11 PM MDT
(MIDNIGHT CDT). THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
EAST OF THE COLORADO STATE LINE WHERE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH
THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. GIVEN THE COMBINATION OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE
POSSIBLE.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH CLOUD
TO GROUND LIGHTNING BEING THE GREATEST THREAT. IF THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE SAME AREAS...FLOODING WOULD ALSO BECOME
A CONCERN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1134 PM MDT TUE JUN 17 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1133 PM     TSTM WND GST     MCCOOK                  40.20N 100.62W
06/17/2008  M59 MPH          RED WILLOW         NE   ASOS

&&

KJAMES