Red Flag Warning 7, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS83 KGLD 241946
RFWGLD

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
146 PM MDT MON MAR 24 2008

COZ253-254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-250000-
/O.EXA.KGLD.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080325T0000Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-SHERMAN-
THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
146 PM MDT MON MAR 24 2008 /246 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON. 

AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE LOWER 70S TODAY...RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES HAVE FALLEN TO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE OVER MOST OF
THE WARNED AREA. THIS...COMBINED WITH WESTERLY WINDS AT 15
MPH...AND A FEW GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
CRITICAL FIRE DANGER.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

COZ252-NEZ079>081-250000-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080325T0000Z/
YUMA-DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
146 PM MDT MON MAR 24 2008 /246 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT /7 PM CDT/
THIS AFTERNOON. 

AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM INTO THE LOWER 70S
TODAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HAVE FALLEN TO BELOW 10 PERCENT OVER
PORTIONS OF THE REGION. THIS...COMBINED WITH WESTERLY WINDS AT 15
MPH...AND A FEW GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH WILL CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR
CRITICAL FIRE DANGER.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

BLM

000 
WWUS83 KGLD 250006
RFWGLD

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
606 PM MDT MON MAR 24 2008


COZ252>254-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-250115-
/O.EXP.KGLD.FW.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080325T0000Z/
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
606 PM MDT MON MAR 24 2008 /706 PM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

ALTHOUGH CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION...WIND
SPEEDS HAVE DECREASED AND TEMPERATURES ARE BEGINNING TO COOL AS
SUNSET APPROACHES. THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AS A RESULT.

$$

LOCKHART

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
526 AM MDT MON MAR 24 2008

.DISCUSSION...UPPER FLOW IS NORTHWEST INITIALLY AND THEN
TRANSITIONS TO ZONAL FLOW BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUES THROUGH
WED NIGHT. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL BE OVER EASTERN COLORADO THIS
MORNING AND SHIFT INTO WESTERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. A
FRONT WILL PUSH SOUTH INTO NORTHWEST KANSAS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING
FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE. ANOTHER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO EASTERN
COLORADO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SUBSIDENCE AND LACK OF MOISTURE WILL
KEEP POPS NIL THROUGH THIS ENTIRE FORECAST.

FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DEAL WITH WHAT TO DO WITH THE CURRENT FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BY BOTH THE NAM/RUC ARE LOW
ENOUGH IN THE AFTERNOON TO JUSTIFY A WARNING. THE GFS HAS HIGHER RH
VALUES SLIGHTLY ABOVE CRITERIA. THE MAIN ISSUE IS WHETHER THE WIND
WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH. WITH A SURFACE TROUGH COMING OVERHEAD DURING
MAX HEATING DO NOT EXPECT WINDS TO BE AS STRONG. ACCORDING THE
BUFKIT DATA THE MAX WIND THAT CAN BE MIXED DOWN WOULD BE 15KTS OR
ABOUT 17 MPH. THIS IS NOT QUITE UP TO THE 25 MPH REQUIRED. ALTHOUGH
THE WATCH COULD BE CANCELED...PLAN TO KEEP IT GOING AND THE DAY
SHIFT CAN ISSUE THE WARNING IN THE MORNING IF IT LOOKS MORE LIKELY
THAT WINDS WILL BE PICKING UP. COORDINATION WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES
INDICATES CONSENSUS ON NOT ISSUING THE RED FLAG WARNING DUE TO
MARGINAL WIND.

STRATUS MAY BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN ZONES BEHIND
THE FRONT.

850MB TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE MID TEENS TODAY. ON TUESDAY A COLD
FRONT COMES INTO THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY WITH SOME COOLER
TEMPERATURES IN THE EASTERN ZONES. MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY SHOULD BE
IN THE LOWER 70S COOLING TO THE UPPER 60S BY WEDNESDAY. MIN
TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE IN THE LOWER 30S. FS
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z TAFS...ONLY CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...SO VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. EXPECT SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15-25 KNOTS TO DEVELOP AFTER 16Z.
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING
     THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-
     042.

NE...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM MDT /11 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING
     THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR NEZ079>081.

CO...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM MDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR COZ252>254.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
412 AM MDT MON MAR 24 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-251230-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
412 AM MDT MON MAR 24 2008 /512 AM CDT MON MAR 24 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

DRY GRASSES AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 15 PERCENT WILL
PROVIDE A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR CRITICAL FIRE DANGER TODAY.
ALTHOUGH FORECAST WIND SPEEDS ARE MARGINAL...ANY FIRES WILL HAVE
THE POTENTIAL TO SPREAD RAPIDLY. ALL OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE
AVOIDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

FS