Red Flag Warning 24, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS83 KGLD 080244
RFWGLD

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
844 PM MDT SAT JUN 7 2008

COZ254-KSZ027-041-042-080345-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-080608T0300Z/
CHEYENNE CO-WALLACE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
844 PM MDT SAT JUN 7 2008 /944 PM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO COOL AND WINDS WILL DECREASE THE
REST OF THIS EVENING. 

$$
MENTZER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
318 PM MDT SAT JUN 7 2008

.DISCUSSION...
129 PM MDT SAT JUN 7 2008

FORECAST CHALLENGE HAS BEEN TEMPERATURES IN THE SHORT TERM ALONG
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEKEND.

THE COLD FRONT THAT PUSHED THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING HAS STALLED IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT...WHICH WAS INITIALLY
EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK NORTH IS RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...HAS NOT MOVED MUCH THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SURFACE LOW AS NOT DEEPENED AS MUCH AS EXPECTED PROBABLY DUE TO
THE WEAK SHORT WAVE THAT HAS NOT LIFTED NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
ROCKIES YET. A LINE OF CU ARE FORMING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS
EXPECTED AS THE INSTABILITY INCREASES IN THE REGION OF BETTER
MOISTURE AND HIGHER TEMPERATURES AS THE CAP ERODES THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER...WITH THE LACK OF A NORTHERLY PUSH...THE LINE OF CU IS
STAYING OUT OF THE FORECAST AREA AND THE COOLER TEMPERATURES TODAY
ARE LIMITING THE AMOUNT OF ENERGY TO OVERCOME THE CAP LATER TODAY.
AS A RESULT...HAVE TRIMMED BACK THE PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND HAVE
LIMITED THE CHANCE TO THE FAR EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
AND THE NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT AS THE CAP STRENGTHENS AND THE ONLY
REMAINING CHANCE OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT UPPER SHORT WAVE
TROUGH LIFTS ACROSS THE REGION AND HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF
INTERACTING WITH THE DEVELOPMENT CURRENTLY OBSERVED ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS IT CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTH THIS EVENING.

THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE BOUNDARY
OVERNIGHT...REINFORCING THE NORTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE
LOW THAT WILL REINFORCE THE COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY. A
STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH
PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT PROVIDING A BETTER CHANCE FOR CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA.

THE UPPER FLOW FLATTENS SOMEWHAT EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SURFACE
SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF A DEEPENING LEE TROUGH. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO RISE INTO THE 80S AND 90S ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES TO FOLLOW ON THURSDAY BEHIND THE NEXT
FRONT THAT PASSES THROUGH THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY. ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ALSO EXPECTED AS THE FRONT AND SHORT
WAVE TROUGH AHEAD OF THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH AXIS TRANSITION THE
REGION.

LOCKHART
&&

.AVIATION...
1150 AM MDT SAT JUN 7 2008

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...THE COLD FRONT THAT PUSHED SOUTH OVER THE TAF
SITES IS EXPECT TO SHIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE THIS THIS EVENING FROM 03Z
THROUGH 09Z NEAR KMCK. BRIEF IFR CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR UNDER THE
STORMS OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD.

BURTIS
&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
NE...NONE.
CO...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1025 AM MDT SAT JUN 7 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-081215-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
1025 AM MDT SAT JUN 7 2008 /1125 AM CDT SAT JUN 7 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER 3 PM MDT.

A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA THIS MORNING WILL
BECOME STATIONARY BEFORE RETURNING NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONT WHICH IS EXPECTED TO LIE BETWEEN INTERSTATE 70 AND HIGHWAY
36...OR ALONG A LINE FROM NEAR NORTON TO IDALIA. AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM MAY ALSO DEVELOP ALONG AND EAST OF A DIFFUSE DRYLINE
FROM GOVE TO OAKLEY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

BURTIS