Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Goodland, KS

000 
WWUS83 KGLD 281957
RFWGLD

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1257 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008

COZ253-254-KSZ013>016-027>029-041-042-290000-
/O.CON.KGLD.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080129T0000Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
1257 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008 /157 PM CST MON JAN 28 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST /6 PM CST/
THIS AFTERNOON. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 30 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE
THIS AFTERNOON. WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S COMBINED WITH DRY CONDITIONS
HAVE PRODUCED RELATIVE HUMIDITIES RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL CONTINUE FOR
THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL INCREASE AS SUNSET APPROACHES.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR ARE IMMINENT. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FS

000 
WWUS83 KGLD 282358
RFWGLD

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
458 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008

COZ253-254-KSZ013>016-027>029-041-042-290100-
/O.CAN.KGLD.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080129T0000Z/
KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-
LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
458 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008 /558 PM CST MON JAN 28 2008/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL SLOWLY RECOVER THIS EVENING WITH A BRIEF
LULL IN THE WINDS...THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
348 AM MST MON JAN 28 2008

.DISCUSSION...A RED FLAG WARNING AND A WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN
EFFECT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY.

SHORT TERM FORECAST CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND THE DRY...WARM...AND
WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT EXPECTED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION THIS EVENING. AFTER THAT THE
FORECAST CHALLENGE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

CLOUD COVER AND SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH
OF THE TRI-STATE REGION UNSEASONABLY WARM DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. WITH THE ATMOSPHERE STILL REASONABLY MIXED THIS
MORNING...IT SHOULD NOT BE DIFFICULT FOR IT TO MIX TO A GREATER
DEPTH BY MID DAY...BRINGING THE STRONGER WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
ALOFT DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER WILL BE
COMMON ACROSS ROUGHLY THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. ALONG WITH THESE WINDS...EXPECT SOME DOWNSLOPE DRYING
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AROUND 20 PERCENT. AS A RESULT...HAVE SPATIALLY EXPANDED AND
UPGRADED THE FIRE HIGHLIGHT TO A RED FLAG WARNING ALONG WITH
ADDING GRAHAM COUNTY TO THE WIND ADVISORY.

EXPECT WINDS TO DIE DOWN RAPIDLY AROUND 23Z AS SUNSET APPROACHES
WITH A WIND SHIFT AND AN INCREASE IN SPEEDS AGAIN BETWEEN 06-08Z
AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION. WITH THE
QUICK MOVEMENT OF THE OPEN TROUGH ALOFT AND THE DRY AIRMASS...HAVE
ONLY MENTIONED FLURRIES BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z JUST IN CASE ONE OR
TWO FLAKES MANAGE TO GET SQUEEZED OUT.

EXPECT THE BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING AS THE NEXT SIGNIFICANT UPPER TROUGH MOVES EAST
OF THE ROCKIES. THIS TROUGH DIVES FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES WITH A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING IN THE VICINITY
OF THE PANHANDLE REGION. THE OVERALL PATTERN IS STILL VERY
PROGRESSIVE WITH A SERIES OF TROUGHS CONTINUING TO ENTER THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST...SO HAVE KEPT QPF AMOUNTS MINIMAL AND HAVE
LIMITED PRECIPITATION TO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A GRADUAL WARM-UP WITH DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATE NEXT WEEK
AND INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING AFTER SUNRISE THIS
MORNING. POINT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST A DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
MONDAY AFTERNOON WHILE TIME/HEIGHT CROSS-SECTIONS OF WIND/MIXING
LAYER HEIGHT SUPPORT SOUTHWEST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST MONDAY EVENING AND REMAINING NEAR 35
KNOTS. ALTHOUGH MID CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER LATE IN THE
PERIOD WITH APPROACHING SHORT WAVE TROUGH...CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM MST /11 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
     MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR KSZ013>016-027>029-041-
     042.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM MST /11 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
     MST /6 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR KSZ013>016-027>029-041-
     042.

NE...NONE.
CO...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR COZ253-254.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
     FOR COZ091-092.

&&

LOCKHART/05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
400 PM MST SUN JAN 27 2008

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-281200-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
400 PM MST SUN JAN 27 2008 /500 PM CST SUN JAN 27 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA...NORTHWEST KANSAS AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY.
THIS WILL CAUSE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA.
FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GOVE TO SHARON
SPRINGS TO WILD HORSE...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE. AS A RESULT...A WIND ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS AREA FOR THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.

THE COMBINATION OF UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...AND THE WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO CREATE AN EXTREME
FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HOXIE TO
GOODLAND TO FLAGLER FOR THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

BULLER