Severe Thunderstorm Warning 362, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
650 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

.640 PM AVIATION UPDATE...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING IN SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF
NORTH TEXAS...BUT MOST LIKELY WILL WEAKEN QUICKLY AS THE SUN LOWERS
AND SETS. A FEW OF THE STORMS WILL PRODUCE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT...AND WEAKEN MONDAY
AFTERNOON. #26

&&

.UPDATE...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY LIES ALONG A LINE FROM NEAR QUITMAN...TO
RICE...TO HILLSBORO...TO HICO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. SOME STORMS ARE
STRONG PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND A ISOLATED STORM COULD
BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE...PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WINDS TO 60 MPH.

QUICK UPDATE TO THE GRIDS FOR CURRENT TRENDS AND TO INCREASE POPS
IN THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. NEW
ZONES WILL BE OUT SHORTLY.

82/JLD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008/
A COLD FRONT THAT EXTENDED SOUTHEAST OF A CLARKSVILLE...TO
HILLSBORO TO LAMPASAS LINE AS OF 20Z....WILL BECOME STATIONARY
ACROSS THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PART OF NORTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT. WE
WILL SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT...AND FEW STORMS THROUGH SUNSET MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL
AND WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH. WE WILL SEE LOW CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
REMAINS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA MONDAY AND
THEN STARTS TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY. IT WILL BE RAIN
FREE WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK ACROSS NORTH TEXAS. #58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  76  97  77  96  75 /  20  30  20  20  10
WACO, TX              74  96  75  96  72 /  40  30  20  20  10
PARIS, TX             69  90  69  94  69 /  20  20  10  10  10
DENTON, TX            72  94  73  95  71 /  20  20  20  20  10
MCKINNEY, TX          71  94  72  94  70 /  20  20  20  20  10
DALLAS, TX            76  96  77  95  75 /  20  20  20  20  10
TERRELL, TX           73  94  73  95  71 /  20  20  20  20  10
CORSICANA, TX         74  96  73  95  72 /  50  30  20  20  10
TEMPLE, TX            73  97  72  96  71 /  40  30  20  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

26/82

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
735 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-140300-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
735 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING AND EARLY NIGHT...
GENERALLY SOUTH OF A ATHENS...CORSICANA...HILLSBORO LINE. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE SOUTH OF I-20...AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF GUSTY
WINDS TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY. MOREOVER...A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY. SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED TODAY...PARTICULARLY
SOUTH OF THE I-20 CORRIDOR.

25

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
548 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

TXZ121-122-135-132315-
VAN ZANDT TX-KAUFMAN TX-HENDERSON TX-
548 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN KAUFMAN COUNTY
  NORTHWESTERN HENDERSON COUNTY
  SOUTHWESTERN VAN ZANDT COUNTY

AT 548 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CANTON TO 11 MILES WEST OF GUN BARREL CITY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
5 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE GUN BARREL CITY...KEMP...
MABANK...SEVEN POINTS...TOOL AND PURTIS CREEK STATE PARK.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND 1/2 INCH HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE
STORMS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO
ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3225 9624 3225 9626 3228 9629 3229 9629
      3231 9630 3230 9631 3231 9633 3240 9644
      3251 9607 3240 9581
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 302DEG 4KT 3245 9605 3236 9632

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
638 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

TXZ145-146-140015-
NAVARRO TX-HILL TX-
638 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN HILL COUNTY
  WESTERN NAVARRO COUNTY

AT 638 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES EAST OF HILLSBORO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
13 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE DAWSON AND HUBBARD.

VERY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3201 9643 3180 9684 3200 9697 3219 9654
TIME...MOT...LOC 2338Z 314DEG 11KT 3199 9679

82/JLD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
658 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

TXZ145-140030-
HILL TX-
658 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN HILL COUNTY

AT 658 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER HILLSBORO...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BYNUM...HILLSBORO AND
HUBBARD.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND 1/2 INCH HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3185 9702 3186 9704 3186 9705 3184 9709
      3184 9710 3199 9722 3207 9708 3184 9678
      3172 9694
TIME...MOT...LOC 2358Z 318DEG 9KT 3199 9711

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
742 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

TXZ159-140115-
MCLENNAN TX-
742 PM CDT SUN JUL 13 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MCLENNAN COUNTY

AT 742 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF LACY-LAKEVIEW...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 17 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BELLMEAD...HALLSBURG...
LACY-LAKEVIEW...MART...NORTHCREST AND RIESEL.

WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND 1/2 INCH HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS
STORM.

LAT...LON 3167 9721 3179 9705 3161 9685 3160 9685
      3154 9681 3147 9691 3147 9693 3144 9698
      3143 9701
TIME...MOT...LOC 0042Z 328DEG 15KT 3166 9706

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