Severe Thunderstorm Warning 355, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
415 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

.AVIATION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO ORGANIZE ALONG CONVERGENT BOUNDARY
DRAPED ACROSS THE RED RIVER VALLEY.  EXPECT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO
EMERGE FROM INTENSIFYING COLD POOL AND HELP PUSH STORMS TO THE SOUTH
EARLY THIS EVENING.  HAVE AMENDED METROPLEX TAFS TO SHOW TSRA
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE METROPLEX TAF SITES AFTER 1Z...WHICH MAY BE A
LITTLE SLOW. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH RADAR TRENDS AND MAY HAVE TO
BUMP UP ARRIVAL TIME OF STORMS AN HOUR OR TWO.  TR.92

&&

.DISCUSSION...
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF NORTH TEXAS...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. THESE
STORMS HAVE AMPLE INSTABILITY...BUT POOR VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
THUS...THE STORMS LIKELY WILL WEAKEN AS THE SUN LOWERS LATER THIS EVENING.

BEYOND TODAY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACTIVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
AGAIN SUNDAY...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT MONDAY AND TUESDAY. #26

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  74  91  70  91  75 /  50  40  10  10  10
WACO, TX              77  98  70  94  72 /  20  40  30  20  10
PARIS, TX             74  90  65  90  71 /  50  20  20  10  10
DENTON, TX            72  93  64  93  71 /  50  30  10  10  10
MCKINNEY, TX          73  92  64  92  69 /  50  40  10  10  10
DALLAS, TX            75  93  73  93  77 /  50  40  10  10  10
TERRELL, TX           74  92  67  92  71 /  40  40  20  10  10
CORSICANA, TX         73  91  69  91  72 /  20  40  30  20  10
TEMPLE, TX            73  93  69  91  72 /  20  40  30  20  10

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

26/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH TEXAS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
306 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-291100-
ANDERSON-BELL-BOSQUE-COLLIN-COMANCHE-COOKE-CORYELL-DALLAS-DELTA-
DENTON-EASTLAND-ELLIS-ERATH-FALLS-FANNIN-FREESTONE-GRAYSON-HAMILTON-
HENDERSON-HILL-HOOD-HOPKINS-HUNT-JACK-JOHNSON-KAUFMAN-LAMAR-LAMPASAS-
LEON-LIMESTONE-MCLENNAN-MILAM-MILLS-MONTAGUE-NAVARRO-PALO PINTO-
PARKER-RAINS-ROBERTSON-ROCKWALL-SOMERVELL-STEPHENS-TARRANT-VAN ZANDT-
WISE-YOUNG-
306 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF NORTH
TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEGINNING NEAR THE RED RIVER AND
SPREADING SOUTH THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY
PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY MORNING GENERALLY NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 SLIDING SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS NORTH TEXAS BY THE
EVENING HOURS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS. IN ADDITION HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO
LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20
ON MONDAY.

AREAS SOUTH OF A LAMPASAS TO WACO TO PALESTINE LINE WILL HAVE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS
EVENING.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
254 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

TXZ091-282030-
MONTAGUE TX-
254 PM CDT SAT JUN 28 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  MONTAGUE COUNTY

AT 254 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES NORTH OF
NOCONA TO 15 MILES WEST OF NOCONA...MOVING SOUTH AT 21 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE BOWIE...NOCONA...ST. JO...
FORESTBURG AND STONEBURG.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...PEA-SIZED
HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS.

IF THIS STORM INTENSIFIES...A SEVERE WEATHER WARNING MAY BE NEEDED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3398 9759 3391 9757 3392 9752 3392 9748
      3353 9748 3346 9797 3382 9798 3387 9788
      3387 9784 3389 9780 3394 9775 3400 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 340DEG 18KT 3393 9766 3372 9797

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