Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
328 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

.DISCUSSION...
PER 18Z SOUNDING CAP REMAINS IN PLACE. IT WEAKENED AS THIS
MORNING/S VORT MAX MOVED OVER BUT DID NOT MIX OUT COMPLETELY.
THIS VORT MAX IS CURRENTLY KICKING UP STORMS IN NORTHEAST TX AND
IS LIKELY NO LONGER A FACTOR FOR OUR AREA. LATE THIS AFTN/EVENING
EXPECT NEW ENERGY TO MOVE ACROSS N CNTRL TX/WRN N TX AND PRODUCE
NEW STORMS...ESPECIALLY IN OUR NW THRU W COUNTIES. THIS ENERGY IS
ALREADY HELPING WEST TX STORMS GET GOING BUT IT CURRENTLY HAS
LOTS OF HELP FROM LLVL UPSLOPE FLOW AS WELL.

PRECIP SHOULD LAST THROUGH EARLY MORNING...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
RED RIVER AND OKLAHOMA WHERE THE DYNAMICS ARE STRONGER. LARGE
HAIL IS THE MAIN THREAT WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS WELL...BUT
INCREASING SHEAR THIS EVENING MAY ALLOW AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT MAINLY IN THE NORTHWEST THRU WEST.

THURSDAY SHOULD BE DRY MOST AREAS. DRY LINE SHOULD STAY WEST OF
US BUT WITH GOOD SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY
KICK OFF THERE THURSDAY AFTN. IF THEY DRIFT EAST THEY SHOULD BE
WEAKENING AS THEY HIT THE CAPPED AIR OVER N TX BUT MAY LAST INTO
OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. I ADDED ISOLD THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WEST
THURS AFTN/EVE TO ACCOUNT FOR THESE STORMS.

NEXT COLD FRONT PROGGED TO MOVE ACROSS N TX ON FRIDAY BEGINNING
MID MORNING IN THE NORTHWEST. FRONT STALLS JUST SOUTH OF OUR AREA
AND KEEPS LOW THREAT OF POPS ACROSS SOUTH THRU SATURDAY. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT MOVES THRU SUNDAY WITH MORE POPS. THEN MODELS PROG US
TO DRY OUT BY SUNDAY EVENING AND THAT SHOULD CONTINUE THRU DAY 7.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  66  85  67  78  58 /  70  10  10  30  30
WACO, TX              68  86  68  79  60 /  50  10  10  30  50
PARIS, TX             66  82  65  74  56 /  90  20  10  30  30
DENTON, TX            65  85  67  77  55 /  80  10  10  20  20
MCKINNEY, TX          66  85  67  78  55 /  80  10  10  30  30
DALLAS, TX            67  86  68  78  59 /  70  10  10  30  30
TERRELL, TX           67  85  66  77  59 /  80  10  10  30  40
CORSICANA, TX         67  85  67  79  60 /  50  10  10  30  50
TEMPLE, TX            67  86  67  80  60 /  30  10  10  30  50

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

84/84

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
601 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0557 PM     HAIL             7 NNE GORMAN            32.31N  98.63W
04/23/2008  E1.00 INCH       EASTLAND           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NEAR INTERSECTION OF 2214 AND 571

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
614 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     HAIL             2 NW GORDON             32.57N  98.39W
04/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       PALO PINTO         TX   AMATEUR RADIO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
618 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

TXZ095-240015-
LAMAR TX-
618 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN LAMAR COUNTY

AT 618 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTH OF PARIS...MOVING NORTH AT 22
MPH. SEVERAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS LAMAR
COUNTY MOVING TO THE NORTH.

PEA-SIZED HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE
STORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT THURSDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3341 9540 3344 9543 3345 9551 3347 9555
      3350 9569 3395 9560 3393 9554 3391 9553
      3389 9545 3389 9531 3338 9530
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 171DEG 19KT 3380 9549

82/JLD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
627 PM CDT WED APR 23 2008

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     HAIL             STRAWN                  32.55N  98.50W
04/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       PALO PINTO         TX   AMATEUR RADIO