River Flood Warning 4, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
416 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT HAS BEEN ADVANCING SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN WE HAD
EARLIER EXPECTED AS WAS ALONG A BONHAM...TO
HILLSBORO...GATESVILLE LINE AS OF 10Z. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE A LITTLE TRICKY AS THE 12Z TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE
THE HIGHS IN MOST AREAS TODAY. IT WILL BE WINDY TODAY BEHIND THE
FRONT WITH NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40
MPH POSSIBLE. THUS WE WILL KEEP THE WIND ADVISORY THROUGH 6 PM.
HAVE REMOVED THE WESTERN TIER OF COUNTIES FROM THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH BUT HAVE KEPT THE REST FOR THROUGH MORNING HOURS. THE UPPER
LOW OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AS OF 10Z WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVES EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS
AND INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS THE
LOW MOVES ACROSS NORTH TEXAS...TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL COOL
SIGNIFICANTLY...AND SOME OF THE RAIN SHOULD MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO
SNOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN THIRD. HAVE PLACED RAIN/SNOW MIX ACROSS
THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND KEPT THE NORTH OF
I-20 AND JUST SNOW ALONG THE RED RIVER TONIGHT. WE COULD SEE SOME
1 INCH ACCUMULATIONS ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES NEAR THE RED
RIVER...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT TRAVEL PROBLEMS ARE EXPECTED...SO WE
WILL NOT ISSUE A SNOW ADVISORY AT THIS TIME. AFTER A COLD
START...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE TUESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. AND WE SHOULD
SEE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY
MORNING. DRY WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
#58

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  45  30  56  38  63 / 100  50   0   0   5
WACO, TX              55  32  62  40  71 / 100  10   0   0   5
PARIS, TX             52  28  49  30  58 / 100  60  10   0  10
DENTON, TX            43  27  56  36  63 / 100  50   0   0   5
MCKINNEY, TX          46  30  56  35  61 / 100  50  10   0   5
DALLAS, TX            47  32  55  38  63 / 100  40   0   0   5
TERRELL, TX           55  31  56  37  64 / 100  40  10   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         61  32  58  37  67 / 100  20   0   0   5
TEMPLE, TX            57  33  64  41  71 / 100  10   0   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
TXZ092>095-103>107-118>123-133>135.

WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES:
TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

58/99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
402 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-041200-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-
NAVARRO-FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-
LIMESTONE-LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
402 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH 6 PM
DUE TO NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING UP TO 40 MPH.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A
GAINESVILLE TO CLEBURNE TO ATHENS LINE THROUGH NOON. 1 TO 3 INCHES
OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON ACROSS NORTH
TEXAS. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 60
MPH ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH INTO
SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
MEANWHILE...LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
AROUND AN INCH OR LESS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON ELEVATED AND GRASSY SURFACES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

SCHULTZ

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
305 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

TXZ142-031000-
MILLS TX-
305 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL MILLS COUNTY

AT 305 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF RICHLAND SPRINGS...MOVING
EAST-NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GOLDTHWAITE AND MULLIN.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
PEA-MARBLE SIZED HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR
EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3142 9872 3141 9884 3146 9900 3148 9900
      3153 9894 3162 9879 3165 9842 3140 9845
      3129 9859
TIME...MOT...LOC 0905Z 247DEG 25KT 3142 9906

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
321 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

TXZ130-141-030945-
ERATH TX-COMANCHE TX-
321 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  CENTRAL COMANCHE COUNTY
  ERATH COUNTY

AT 321 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF COMANCHE...AND 6 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF COMANCHE...BOTH MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE DE LEON...COMANCHE...
GUSTINE...DUBLIN AND STEPHENVILLE.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
PEA-MARBLE SIZED HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE STORMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR
EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3247 9807 3210 9790 3193 9852 3209 9862
TIME...MOT...LOC 0921Z 242DEG 42KT 3205 9847

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
344 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

TXZ143-031015-
HAMILTON TX-
344 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  HAMILTON COUNTY

AT 344 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES EAST OF GOLDTHWAITE...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE HAMILTON AND HICO.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
PEA-MARBLE SIZED HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR
EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3144 9828 3155 9835 3161 9841 3163 9841
      3184 9819 3185 9816 3186 9817 3199 9803
      3170 9778
TIME...MOT...LOC 0944Z 238DEG 35KT 3149 9839

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
348 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

TXZ156-157-031015-
CORYELL TX-LAMPASAS TX-
348 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  WESTERN CORYELL COUNTY
  NORTHEASTERN LAMPASAS COUNTY

AT 348 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES NORTH OF LAMPASAS...MOVING EAST AT 40
MPH.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
PEA-SIZED HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR
EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3158 9792 3121 9771 3121 9824 3138 9831
TIME...MOT...LOC 0948Z 252DEG 37KT 3132 9818

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
350 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

TXZ130>132-031015-
HOOD TX-ERATH TX-SOMERVELL TX-
350 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL ERATH COUNTY
  SOUTHERN HOOD COUNTY
  SOMERVELL COUNTY

AT 350 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF STEPHENVILLE...MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

CITIES IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE GLEN ROSE...GRANBURY AND
DINOSAUR VALLEY STATE PARK.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND
PEA-SIZED HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 AM CST MONDAY MORNING FOR
EASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3251 9763 3219 9767 3219 9770 3215 9775
      3210 9817 3228 9820
TIME...MOT...LOC 0950Z 261DEG 38KT 3220 9808