Alert archive / South Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 18, NWS Sioux Falls, SD

May 6, 2008Charles Mix County, Gregory County, South Dakota

NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 6, 2008, 1:09 PM CDT for Charles Mix County, Gregory County, South Dakota. It was in force for 51 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 6, 2008, 1:09 PM CDT (18:09 UTC)
Expired: May 6, 2008, 2:00 PM CDT
In force: 51 min
Issued by: NWS Sioux Falls, SD
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Charles Mix County, SD, Gregory County, SD

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 6, 1:30 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	Wagner, SD	IN ADDITION TO THE NICKEL SIZED HAIL, HEAVY RAIN WAS FALLING.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 6, 12:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Aberdeen, SD (KABR), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -356 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2311 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 107 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFSD 061810
SVRFSD
SDC023-053-061900-
/O.NEW.KFSD.SV.W.0018.080506T1809Z-080506T1900Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
109 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN CHARLES MIX COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
  SOUTHEASTERN GREGORY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 200 PM CDT

* AT 109 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES WEST OF PICKSTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 36
  MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  PICKSTOWN...LAKE ANDES AROUND 120 PM CDT...
  RAVINIA...MARTY AROUND 130 PM CDT...
  WAGNER AROUND 140 PM CDT...
  DANTE AROUND 150 PM CDT...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY
BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWEST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4325 9830 4318 9809 4312 9811 4298 9810
      4286 9814 4285 9817 4292 9844 4298 9852
      4297 9867 4300 9878 4317 9878
TIME...MOT...LOC 1809Z 267DEG 31KT 4308 9866

$$

08

3 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KFSD 061832
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
131 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

SDC023-061900-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080506T1900Z/
CHARLES MIX SD-
131 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT 
FOR SOUTHERN CHARLES MIX COUNTY...

AT 131 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR WAGNER...OR 9 MILES EAST OF PICKSTOWN...MOVING EAST AT
55 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY
BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWEST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4325 9830 4318 9809 4286 9814 4285 9817
      4292 9844 4298 9852 4299 9849 4304 9853
      4308 9859 4310 9871 4315 9878 4317 9878
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 258DEG 47KT 4311 9830

$$

08

000 
WWUS53 KFSD 061839
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
139 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

SDC023-061900-
/O.CON.KFSD.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080506T1900Z/
CHARLES MIX SD-
139 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CDT 
FOR SOUTHERN CHARLES MIX COUNTY...

AT 139 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF DANTE...OR 18 MILES EAST OF LAKE ANDES...
MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

AT 130 PM CDT...NICKEL SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN WAGNER.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. GO INSIDE A STURDY
BUILDING AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWEST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4325 9830 4318 9809 4286 9814 4285 9817
      4292 9844 4298 9852 4299 9849 4304 9853
      4308 9859 4310 9871 4315 9878 4317 9878
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 258DEG 47KT 4313 9815

$$

08

000 
WWUS53 KFSD 061901
SVSFSD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
201 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

SDC023-061911-
/O.EXP.KFSD.SV.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080506T1900Z/
CHARLES MIX SD-
201 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CHARLES MIX COUNTY 
HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM HAS EXITED THE WARNED AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
TUESDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWEST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4325 9830 4318 9809 4286 9814 4285 9817
      4292 9844 4298 9852 4299 9849 4304 9853
      4308 9859 4310 9871 4315 9878 4317 9878
TIME...MOT...LOC 1839Z 258DEG 47KT 4312 9815

$$

08

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Sioux Falls, SD wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 6, 11:00 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 11:00 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR SOUTHEAST SD/SOUTHWEST MN/NORTHWEST IA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1100 AM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008

.DISCUSSION...

VERY EFFICIENT SETUP TDA AS GOOD LOW LVL SLY INFLOW OF MORE MOIST
AIR IMPINGES ON STG E/W MID LVL BOUNDARY. INITIAL FOCUS AND
STRONGEST TSTMS FM SCNTRL SD TO MID JAMES VALLEY...WHICH WILL
TRANSLATE ESEWD OVR CWA DURG AFTN. VERY COLD MID LVLS AND STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL CONTRIBUTE TO GOOD HAILERS AND PSBL STG MCS OUTFLOW
WINDS THIS AFTN AS LITTLE LOW LVL HEATING WILL BE REQUIRED. MAIN LOW
LVL INSTABILITY AND HEATING THIS AFTN AND EARLY TNGT WILL DVLP IN SE
HLF CWA WHERE BOXWORK BECOMES MOST LIKELY. BUT HAILERS WILL START
EARLY AFTN IN SWRN CWA WHERE BEST INFLOW STARTS. IN THE MEANTIME...
CUT BACK HIGHS N AND W IN CWA...AND RAISED POPS QUITE A BIT.

RYRHOLM

&&

.AVIATION...
MOSTLY VFR...BUT MVFR CONDITIONS IN SCT STG TSRA DVLPG EWD OVR CWA
FM 17Z THRU 23Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
VERY TRICKY FORECAST TODAY WITH SEVERAL MESOSCALE FEATURES IMPACTING
THE FORECAST. OVERALL PATTERN DEPICTED BY NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS
THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW BECOMES SHEARED APART...SEVERAL PIECES OF
ENERGY ARE EXPECT TO APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING. SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY OVER NORTHEAST MONTANA WILL
SHIFT EAST TODAY AND ASSOCIATE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FORECAST
AREA...BUT MORE ON THAT IN A BIT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO WARM AIR
ADVECTION ALOFT. LOW LEVEL DRY AIR WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR PRECIP
TO REACH THE GROUND...OR REALLY AMOUNT TO MUCH. BAND OF WARM AIR
ADVECTION LIFTS TO THE NORTH BY MID MORNING...AND EXPECT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO FOLLOW SUIT. FOCUS THEN TURNS TOWARDS SHORT WAVE
CURRENTLY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN COLORADO.  WAVE FAIRLY EVIDENT ON
WATER VAPOR...AND IS EXPECTED TO ZIP INTO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BY 18Z.
QUESTIONS REMAIN AS TO WHETHER THIS WAVE WILL BE ABLE TO IGNITE
CONVECTION...AND FOR NOW HAVE BROADBRUSHED POPS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.
PERIODIC WEAK JET STREAKS ALSO PASS THROUGH FORECAST AREA
TODAY...PROVIDING ENHANCED AREAS OF UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT.  MODELS ARE
SUGGESTING THAT CONVECTION WILL HOLD OFF TIL THE MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS AS ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVE APPROACH FROM THE
SOUTHWEST...WITH CAPE INCREASING TO 1000-1500 J/KG. SHEAR PROFILES
DEPICT DECENT SPEED SHEAR...WITH SOME DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AS WELL.
SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT...WHICH MAY
EVOLVE INTO MULTI-CELL CLUSTERS. CAN NOT RULE OUT A QUICK SPIN UP OR
TWO SUPERCELLS GIVEN SHEAR PROFILES...BUT FEEL THE MAIN SEVERE
THREAT WILL BE HAIL WITH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS AROUND 7000-8000 FEET
AGL.

COLD FRONT WORKS THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH CONVECTION
REMAINING AHEAD OF THE FRONT. BREEZY MIXY DAY EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY
WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO BELOW NORMAL LEVELS.

TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAIRLY COOL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK WITH EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW DOMINATING THE PATTERN.  WAVE
CURRENTLY OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND AND
AFFECT FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS IS FASTER THAN MODELS
PREVIOUSLY INDICATED...AND FOLLOWED PROGRESSION OF THE GFS AND
CANADIAN WITH THIS SYSTEM MORE THAN THE ECMWF.  WITH LOW
CLOUDS...EASTERLY FLOW AND POOR MIXING CONDITIONS...HAVE CUT HIGHS
BACK INTO THE 50S.

FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE AN IN-BETWEEN DAY AS OPEN WAVE TROUGH MOVES
THROUGH THE ROCKIES AFFECTING FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.FSD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
MN...NONE.
IA...NONE.
NE...NONE.

&&

Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 11:33 AM CDT, 1 hour 36 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1133 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2008

SDZ038>040-050-052>071-MNZ071-072-080-081-089-090-097-098-
IAZ001>003-012>014-020>022-031-032-NEZ013-014-071200-
AURORA-BEADLE-BON HOMME-BROOKINGS-BRULE-BUENA VISTA IA-
CHARLES MIX-CHEROKEE IA-CLAY-CLAY IA-COTTONWOOD MN-DAKOTA NE-
DAVISON-DICKINSON IA-DIXON NE-DOUGLAS-GREGORY-HANSON-HUTCHINSON-
IDA IA-JACKSON MN-JERAULD-KINGSBURY-LAKE-LINCOLN-LINCOLN MN-
LYON IA-LYON MN-MCCOOK-MINER-MINNEHAHA-MOODY-MURRAY MN-NOBLES MN-
OBRIEN IA-OSCEOLA IA-PIPESTONE MN-PLYMOUTH IA-ROCK MN-SANBORN-
SIOUX IA-TURNER-UNION-WOODBURY IA-YANKTON-
1133 AM CDT TUE MAY 06 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST IOWA...AND NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP NORTH OF INTERSTATE 90
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE POSSIBLE. IN THE
MEANTIME...A STRONGER COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTH CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA AROUND NOONTIME WILL MOVE EASTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 90 OVER SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA...FAR NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA...AND INTO NORTHWEST IOWA LATER THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND WIND
GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THESE STORMS.
THE STRONGEST STORMS SHOULD BE NEAR THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY.

FLOODING...
MINOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE LITTLE SIOUX RIVER FROM NORTH
OF SPENCER TO NEAR LINN GROVE IN NORTHWEST IOWA. THE RIVER SHOULD
FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY...UNLESS SIGNIFICANT RAIN
FALLS TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY BY NOON TIME IN SOUTH CENTRAL
SOUTH DAKOTA...BY 3 PM WEST OF INTERSTATE 29...AND BY 5 PM EAST
OF INTERSTATE 29.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FSD. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

RSR

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 6, 12:27 PM CDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1227 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1222 PM     HAIL             7 S GREGORY             43.13N 99.42W
05/06/2008  E0.75 INCH       GREGORY            SD   PUBLIC

&&

TRM

Local storm report, May 6, 12:39 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
1239 PM CDT TUE MAY 06 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     HAIL             HERRICK                 43.12N 99.19W
05/06/2008  E0.75 INCH       GREGORY            SD   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

TRM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Sioux Falls, SD issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 6, 11:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Gregory	45 min
May 6, 1:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Bon Homme, Douglas, Hutchinson	33 min
May 6, 2:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Yankton	56 min
May 6, 2:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Bon Homme	15 min
May 6, 2:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Clay	36 min
May 6, 3:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Union	25 min
May 6, 4:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Union	39 min
May 6, 4:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Clay, Lincoln, Union	36 min
May 6, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FSD	Lincoln, Union	36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in South Dakota, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.