Alert archive / Arizona / Red Flag Warnings in 2008

Red Flag Warning 5, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

April 16, 2008Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this red flag warning at Apr 16, 2008, 5:20 AM MST for Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona. It took effect at Apr 16, 2008, 10:00 AM MST. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 16, 2008, 5:20 AM MST (12:20 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 16, 2008, 10:00 AM MST
Expired
Apr 16, 2008, 8:00 PM MST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 0.3 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2008-04-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2008-04-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 196 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2669 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
312 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 16, 5:00 AM MST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 16, 5:00 AM MST, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
500 AM MST WED APR 16 2008

UPDATE FOR RED FLAG WARNING

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA TODAY BRINGING
COOLER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH BREEZY WINDS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER
WINDS. FOR THE COMING WEEKEND...A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
USHER IN ANOTHER ROUND OF WINDY CONDITIONS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED OVER
THE SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING. SFC LOW PRESSURE HAS SHIFTED EASTWARD
INTO NM AND THE SFC COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED IN NRN AZ AND SLOWLY
MOVING SOUTHWARD.

TEMPS WILL BE COOLER TODAY AS THE TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.
BEHIND THE FRONT...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND DIMINISH.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
STRONG AND GUSTY. IN THE LITTLE COLORADO RIVER (LCR) VALLEY...WINDS
WILL APPROACH ADVISORY THRESHOLDS. AT THIS TIME...BELIEVE WINDS WILL
NOT BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT AN ADVISORY BUT DAY SHIFT MAY
NEED TO MONITOR CONDITIONS.

A S/W TROUGH WILL DIG SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION ON
THURSDAY BRINGING BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS IN ITS WAKE. FOR FRIDAY...A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL BRING WARMER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND MORE
NORMAL AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH.

OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A
STRONG LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES. THE MAIN
IMPACT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A RETURN OF STRONG WINDS TO ARIZONA
FROM SATURDAY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...WINDS SW-W 15-25G30-40KT WILL
DEVELOP TODAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE AZ/NM BORDER
BETWEEN KSJN AND KRQE. WINDS WILL WEAKEN AFTER 00Z AND SHIFT TO
NORTHERLY OVERNIGHT. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST ARIZONA FROM 10 AM MST THIS MORNING THROUGH 8 PM MST THIS
EVENING. SEE PHXRFWFGZ FOR DETAILS. SEE PHXFWFFGZ FOR FURTHER
DISCUSSION OF DAYS 1 AND 2.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE FOR
FRIDAY...BEFORE GIVING WAY TO A BROAD TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN
UNITED STATES THIS WEEKEND. WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GENERALLY
LIGHT WINDS SHOULD BE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY...THEN WINDY...SLIGHTLY
COOLER...AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FOR THE WEEKEND.
DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN ARIZONA.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FOR FIRE
WX ZONES 111>114-116-117-140 FROM 10 AM MST TO 8 PM MST.

&&

PUBLIC.......DB
AVN/FIREWX...DJO

VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION.
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 15, 9:30 PM MST, 7 hours 50 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 16, 9:06 AM MSTWind AdvisoryFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo11 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Arizona, 2008Every red flag warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.