River Flood Warning 18, NWS Grand Forks, ND

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 121602
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1102 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO THE CURRENT WARNINGS FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
  
.AREA RAINFALL HAS PRODUCED ENOUGH RUNOFF TO CAUSE THE WILD RICE RIVER TO RISE.
THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO RISE TO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND
CREST OVER THE WEEKEND. 

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS 

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

MNC107-140402-
/O.CON.KFGF.FL.W.0018.080912T2248Z-080915T0900Z/
/HNDM5.1.ER.080912T2248Z.080914T0000Z.080914T2100Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 9:10 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.9 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.


&& 

DAILY 7 AM CDT/6 AM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         09/13  09/14  09/15  09/16  09/17  09/18  09/19

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           22.4   21.5   17.8   14.5   10.8    8.0    6.2

$$

000 
WGUS83 KFGF 130054
FLSFGF
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
754 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MINNESOTA...

WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM...AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY
 
  THIS IS A FOLLOW-UP FLOOD STATEMENT TO FOR THE 
  WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM AFFECTING NORMAN COUNTY

.DUE TO A BIT MORE EVAPORATION AND ABSORPTION THAN PREVIOUSLY 
EXPECTED THE RIVER IS NEARING CREST NOW. THE RIVER IS FORECAST
TO CREST NEAR 18 FEET LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY THEN 
START TO FALL. AS THE RIVER WILL NOT EXCEED FLOOD STAGE
...THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.

THIS FORECAST IS FOR A 7 DAY PERIOD...THE HIGHEST STAGE INDICATED 
MAY NOT REFLECT THE CREST FOR THIS FLOOD EVENT. FORECASTS ARE 
UPDATED DAILY AND STAGE VALUES WILL CHANGE AS NEW WEATHER AND 
RIVER INFORMATION IS USED. THIS FORECAST INCLUDES ANY 
PRECIPITATION THROUGH 7 PM SATURDAY SEPTEMBER 13.

SAFETY MESSAGES...TURN AROUND, DONT DROWN... 
 
 - DONT TRAVEL THROUGH FLOODED AREAS

 - CONTACT LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT TO REPORT FLOODING.

 - PERSONS LIVING IN THE RED RIVER BASIN SHOULD MONITOR RIVER 
   LEVELS WHILE THE RIVER IS IN...OR NEAR...FLOOD.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...GO TO THE AHPS/RIVER SECTION 
ON OUR WEB PAGE AT:      WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS 

THE FOLLOWING SEGMENTS CONTAIN RIVER INFORMATION FOR 
THE SELECTED LOCATIONS INCLUDED IN THIS MESSAGE.

MNC107-130124-
/O.CAN.KFGF.FL.W.0018.000000T0000Z-080915T0900Z/
/HNDM5.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
754 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE WILD RICE RIVER (MN) AT HENDRUM.
* AT  4:00 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 18.0 FEET 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT STATEMENT(S) - AT 18.0 FEET, FORECAST SERVICE STAGE.

&& 

DAILY 7 PM CDT/6 PM CST FORECAST STAGE IN FEET:

 DATE                SAT    SUN    MON    TUE    WED    THU    FRI
(MONTH/DAY)         09/13  09/14  09/15  09/16  09/17  09/18  09/19

WILD RICE RIVER
  HENDRUM           17.8   16.0   13.2   10.8    8.2    6.3    5.2

$$

EWENS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
857 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT METARS IN PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA CONTINUE TO SHOW
VISIBILITIES LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE. THIS AREA WAS HIT
HARDEST WITH RECENT HEAVY RAIN...AND FOG IS DISSIPATING SLOWER
THAN ANTICIPATED. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL
15Z FOR THESE AREAS. TEXT PRODUCTS FOR THIS UPDATE WILL BE SENT SHORTLY.

&&

.AVIATION...
PREDOMINANTLY VFR CONDS AT ALL TAF SITES...HOWEVER AIRFIELDS IN
PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL CONTINUE TO SEE VERY LOW IFR
CONDS THROUGH ABOUT 10 AM WHILE DENSE FOG DISSIPATES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 405 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
SPLIT FLOW WAS ACROSS NORTH AMERICA WITH NORTHERN STREAM ACROSS
CENTRAL CANADA AND SOUTHERN STREAM OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
PLAINS. WATER VAPOR LOOP INDICATED A SHORT WAVE OVER CENTRAL UT
MOVING SOUTHEAST ABOUT 10 KNOTS. ECMWF APPEARS TO BE FAST WHILE THE
GFS WAS SLOW AND THE NAM A COMPROMISE AT 84 HOURS. GFS IS FARTHER
SOUTH WITH SHORT WAVE LATE SAT THAN THE NAM AND THE ECMWF. WILL USE
THE NAM.

LIGHT WINDS...CLEAR SKIES AND RAIN FROM YESTERDAY HAS PRODUCED PATCHY
DENSE FOG OVER SOUTHEAST ND AND MUCH OF NORTHWEST MN. WILL ISSUE A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR AFFECTED AREAS.

UT SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE INTO IA AND MN SAT MORNING AND MAY BRUSH THE
SOUTHERN ZONES WITH PRECIPITATION. WILL KEEP POPS SAT MORNING.
AFTERNOON HEATING WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SAT AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

NEXT SHORT NOW OVER BC WILL PRODUCE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
SAT NIGHT. GOING POPS ARE REASONABLE.

LONG TERM...MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
AREA REMAINS IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL JET ACROSS
CENTRAL CANADA. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE WITH JET SHIFTING
EAST AND FLOW ALOFT BECOMING MORE ZONAL.

AVIATION...
IFR CONDITIONS DUE TO FOG HAS DEVELOPED MAINLY WHERE RAIN FELL LAST
NIGHT OR FROM SOUTHEAST ND INTO NORTHWEST MN. FOG SHOULD BURN OFF BY
MID MID MORNING. REST OF THE DAY SHOULD SEE VFR CONDITIONS.

HYDRO...FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR THE WILD RICE RIVER AT HENDRUM.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...NONE.
MN...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR MNZ003-024-
     027>032-040.

&&

SPEICHER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
659 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-131200-
WEST POLK-NORMAN-CLAY-KITTSON-ROSEAU-LAKE OF THE WOODS-
WEST MARSHALL-EAST MARSHALL-NORTH BELTRAMI-PENNINGTON-RED LAKE-
EAST POLK-NORTH CLEARWATER-SOUTH BELTRAMI-MAHNOMEN-
SOUTH CLEARWATER-HUBBARD-WEST BECKER-EAST BECKER-WILKIN-
WEST OTTER TAIL-EAST OTTER TAIL-WADENA-GRANT-TOWNER-CAVALIER-
PEMBINA-BENSON-RAMSEY-EASTERN WALSH COUNTY-EDDY-NELSON-
GRAND FORKS-GRIGGS-STEELE-TRAILL-BARNES-CASS-RANSOM-SARGENT-
RICHLAND-WESTERN WALSH COUNTY-
659 AM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ROUGHLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM HALLOCK MINNESOTA TO
MADDOCK NORTH DAKOTA. THE STORMS WILL BE MOST LIKELY AFTER 1 PM
AND SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER 8 PM CDT. THE STORMS WILL MOST PRODUCE
SOME LARGE HAIL.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT OF CANADA AND SWEEP ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. MARGINALLY UNSTABLE
AIR WILL MOVE NORTH AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

HOPPES