Snow Advisory 2, NWS El Paso, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
309 AM MST SUN FEB 3 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS STORM
WILL BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TODAY AND MONDAY. IN ADDITION
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR LATE
TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH SNOW POSSIBLY HEAVY OVER THE HIGHER
MOUNTAINS. COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. WEST WINDS WILL
BRING DRY AND WARMER WEATHER LATER THIS WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
COMPLEX WEATHER SITUATION WILL EVOLVE TODAY AND MONDAY. UPPER
TROUGH IS MOVING INTO THE WESTERN U.S. EARLY THIS MORNING AND
SYSTEM IS FORECASTED TO INTENSIFY AND AMPLIFY DUE TO A 170 KT
UPPER JET STREAK IN ITS WESTERN QUADRANT. TROUGH WILL INITIALLY
MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH ASSOCIATED LEE CYCLOGENESIS OCCURRING
AROUND COLORADO/KANSAS BORDER AREA WITH BOTH LOW AND MID LEVEL
GRADIENTS INCREASING. THUS WINDY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TODAY
THROUGH MONDAY AS TROUGH APPROACHES.

AS TROUGH ADVANCES INTO ARIZONA LATER TODAY DYNAMIC LIFT WILL
INCREASE VIA STRONG DIFFERENTIAL VORTICITY ADVECTION AS UPPER JET
NOSES INTO THE CWA. IN ADDITION SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND WESTERN
TEXAS WILL BE LOCATED IN RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF 130 KT MAXIMUM
WIND AXIS OVER NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO BY 12Z MONDAY. FINALLY LOW
LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL OCCUR AS A STRONG PACIFIC COLD FRONT
SWEEPS WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE CWA BEGINNING MONDAY MORNING. THESE
MECHANISMS WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT FORCING FOR INCREASING
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY.

HEAVIEST RAIN/SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE OVER WESTERN ZONES...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE GILAS WHERE TERRAIN WILL PROVIDE YET MORE UPLIFT.
OPTIMAL TIME FOR SNOW WILL OCCUR FROM AROUND 09Z THROUGH 21Z IN
THE WEST AS COOLING AT BOTH LOW AND MID LEVELS WILL CONTINUE
BENEATH CONTINUED DYNAMIC LIFT. FOR THESE REASONS HAVE ISSUED A
SNOW WARNING FOR THE GILAS AND SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE EXTREME
SOUTHWEST. SNOW ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE SACS BUT AT MOMENT
AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE UNDER ADVISORY CRITERIA. ELSEWHERE RAIN MAY
BECOME MIXED OR CHANGE OVER THE SNOW BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD STAY MAINLY UNDER AN INCH.

NORTHWEST SUBSIDING FLOW BEHIND TROUGH WILL BRING COOLER DRY
WEATHER ON TUESDAY. THEREAFTER FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL WITH MILDER
DRY WEATHER LATER PERIODS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE TO SEVERE TURBULENCE BELOW 7000 FEET AGL THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG EASTERN SLOPES. SCATTERED AREAS OF
MVFR AND ISOLATED AREAS OF IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IN RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS BETWEEN 06Z AND 00Z MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 65  45  56  34  51 /   0   0  30  20   0
SIERRA BLANCA TX        65  43  57  33  49 /   0   0  30  20   0
LAS CRUCES              64  41  54  31  49 /   0   0  30  20   0
ALAMOGORDO              61  38  52  28  47 /   0  10  40  20   0
CLOUDCROFT              46  25  38  18  33 /  10  10  50  30  10
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   61  39  50  28  47 /  10  20  40  30  10
SILVER CITY             56  33  43  26  43 /  10  40  60  30  10
DEMING                  63  39  52  29  49 /  10  20  40  20   0
LORDSBURG               64  39  51  30  50 /  10  30  50  20   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...SNOW ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 6 PM MST MONDAY FOR NMZ030.

     HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM MST MONDAY FOR
     NMZ022.

TX...NONE.
&&

05 ROGASH

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>