River Flood Warning 2, NWS El Paso, TX

Issued

Jan 28, 2008, 7:59 PM MST (02:59 UTC)

In effect from

Jan 29, 2008, 7:21 AM MST

Expired

Jan 29, 2008, 8:00 PM MST

In force

13 hr

Issued by

NWS El Paso, TX

County Hidalgo County, NM

The Tucson radar (KEMX), 181 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Written for the forecast point Gila River near Virden (GVRN5).

Action stage

9 ft

Minor stage

15 ft

Moderate stage

20 ft

Major stage

28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 09432000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

000 
WGUS44 KEPZ 290259
FLWEPZ
NMZ022-291459-
RIVER FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO, TX 
759 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SANTA TERESA, NM HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...

FOR THE GILA RVR, INCLUDING GILA...VIRDEN...RED ROCK, MINOR FLOODING IS 
FORECASTED.  

HEAVY RAINS SUNDAY NIGHT AND THIS MORNING HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE GILA
WILDERNESS...AND COMBINED WITH WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT...HAVE HELPED
MELT MUCH OF THE EXISTING SNOWPACK AND CREATE A LARGE AMOUNT OF RUNOFF.
FLOODING WAS REPORTED THIS MORNING ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS FEEDING INTO 
THE GILA RIVER...RESULTING IN RAPIDLY RISING WATER IN THE GILA RIVER FROM 
GILA HOT SPRINGS THROUGH THE GILA WILDERNESS AND INTO THE TOWNS OF GILA 
AND CLIFF. AS OF EARLY THIS EVENING AREAS OF THE RIVER ABOVE GILA AND CLIFF 
HAVE EXPERIENCED ANOTHER SHARP RISE AND THIS WATER WILL EVENTUALLY MAKE
ITS WAY DOWNSTREAM PAST REDROCK AND VIRDEN TO THE ARIZONA BORDER.

NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES THROUGH FLOODED
AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE PASSAGE. PEOPLE
WITH PROPERTY ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD STAY ALERT AND TAKE APPROPRIATE 
ACTION.

NMC017-290945-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FL.W.0001.080129T0259Z-080129T0945Z/
/GILN5.1.ER.080129T0000Z.080129T0030Z.080129T0345Z.NO/
759 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SANTA TERESA, NM HAS ISSUED A 

*  FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GILA RIVER AT GILA.
*  FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
   IS CANCELLED.
*  MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
*  FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET.
*  FORECAST...THE RIVER EARLY THIS EVENING WAS AT 12.52 FEET AND HAS
   JUST FALLEN TO UNDER 10 FEET AROUND 7:30 PM.

$$

NMC023-291459-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FL.W.0002.080129T1421Z-080130T0300Z/
/GVRN5.1.ER.080129T1421Z.080129T1500Z.080129T2100Z.NO/
759 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SANTA TERESA, NM HAS ISSUED A 

*  FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GILA RIVER AT VIRDEN.
*  FROM LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
   IS CANCELLED.
*  MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
*  FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
*  FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST 17 TO 19 FEET SHORTLY AFTER
   MIDNIGHT.
*  IMPACT...AT THE LEVELS OF THE FORECAST CREST...FARM AND RANCH LAND ALONG
   THE RIVER IN THE VICINITY OF VIRDEN IS LIKELY TO BE FLOODED.
   
$$

NMC017-291459-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FL.W.0003.080129T0958Z-080129T1645Z/
/RGRN5.1.ER.080129T0958Z.080129T1000Z.080129T1045Z.NO/
759 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SANTA TERESA, NM HAS ISSUED A 

*  FLOOD WARNING FOR THE GILA RIVER AT REDROCK.
*  FROM LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
   IS CANCELLED.
*  MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
*  FLOOD STAGE IS 20.0 FEET.
*  FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO CREST 20.5 TO 21.5 FEET SHORTLY BEFORE
   MIDNIGHT.
*  IMPACT...AT THE LEVELS OF THE FORECAST CREST...FARM AND RANCH LAND ALONG
   THE RIVER IN THE VICINITY OF REDROCK IS LIKELY TO BE FLOODED.

$$

&&


$$
               FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 7AM
LOCATION       STG   STG  DAY TIME    TUE    WED    THU

GILA RVR
  GILA        11.0  12.6  MON 06 PM    4.0    2.7    2.2
  VIRDEN      15.0   6.9  MON 07 PM   11.7    8.0    6.8
  RED ROCK    20.0  11.6  MON 07 PM    9.1    7.5    7.0


$$

HEFNER/NOVLAN

NWS El Paso, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 28, 2:36 PM MST, 5 hours 23 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
236 PM MST MON JAN 28 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT BROUGHT RAIN TO THE AREA YESTERDAY
THROUGH TODAY WILL MOVE OUT INTO THE PLAINS TONIGHT. STRONG
WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA INTO EARLY TONIGHT
BEHIND THAT TROUGH...AND WILL LIKELY BE BREEZY INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SACRAMENTO
MOUNTAINS TONIGHT WITH A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE REST OF THE AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VERY LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS PACKAGE. MADE MINOR CHANGES TO
MAX/MIN TEMPS NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND INCREASED POPS SLIGHTLY FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. NOW THAT WE HAVE A FAIRLY ACTIVE
PATTERN WITH LITTLE SUBTROPICAL INFLUENCE...THE MODELS ARE IN MORE
AGREEMENT AND HAVE MORE RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. ONE TROUGH EXITS
THE AREA TONIGHT...THEN THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL PASS BY
TO THE NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH BREEZY TO PERHAPS WINDY
CONDITIONS. TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THEN
A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL BEHIND THE NEXT SYSTEM THURSDAY. DRY WITH
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THEN YET ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL BRING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AGAIN SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 28/00Z-29/00Z
STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GENERATE MODERATE TO STRONG
MECHANICAL TURBULENCE...ESPECIALLY DOWNSTREAM OF LOCAL MOUNTAINS.
ALTHOUGH WINDS IN GENERAL WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH AFTER
SUNSET...SUSTAINED WINDS OF UP TO 20KTS...AND HIGHER DOWNSTREAM OF
AREA MOUNTAINS...WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 29/12Z.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 40  58  34  60  35 /   0   0   0   0  10
SIERRA BLANCA TX        40  56  38  58  33 /   0   0   0   0  10
LAS CRUCES              39  57  32  59  32 /   0   0   0   0  10
ALAMOGORDO              35  55  31  57  27 /   0   0   0   0  10
CLOUDCROFT              20  42  25  44  10 /   0   0   0   0  20
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   36  55  31  57  27 /   0   0   0  10  20
SILVER CITY             27  51  26  54  21 /   0   0   0  10  20
DEMING                  36  57  32  59  30 /   0   0   0   0  10
LORDSBURG               36  58  29  60  27 /   0   0   0  10  20

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR NMZ022>024-030>032.

     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR NMZ025.

TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR TXZ055-056.

&&

21/24

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
553 AM MST MON JAN 28 2008

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-291300-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
553 AM MST MON JAN 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
STRONG SURFACE WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA.
WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE LOW LANDS OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE STRONGER
IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS WITH 35 TO 45 MPH WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 60 MPH POSSIBLE. THE WINDS WILL BE VERY SLOW TO WEAKEN DURING
THE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
BREEZY WINDS WILL RETURN ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY AS WE CONTINUE TO SEE A PARADE OF UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
MOVE ACROSS NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

River Flood Warnings in New Mexico, 2008Every river flood warning in 2008

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.