Red Flag Warning 28, NWS El Paso, TX

000 
WWUS84 KEPZ 010557 CCA
RFWEPZ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1012 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT THURSDAY UNTIL 
10 PM MDT THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE GILA AND SACRAMENTO WILDERNESS 
AREAS...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...AND FAR WEST TEXAS 
FOR STRONG WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... AND VERY HIGH TO 
EXTREME EXPECTED FIRE DANGER RATINGS...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE ROCKIES AND A STRONG LEE-SIDE 
SURFACE TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WINDS 
OF 20 TO 30 MPH TODAY...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER 
CONDITIONS FROM 11 AM MDT THURSDAY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THURSDAY EVENING.

NMZ110>113-TXZ055-056-011215-
/O.EXP.KEPZ.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-080501T0400Z/
/O.UPG.KEPZ.FW.A.0028.080501T1800Z-080502T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.W.0028.080501T1700Z-080502T0400Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
1012 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 10 PM MDT THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO
10 PM MDT THURSDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SUSTAINED 20-FT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS...ARE EXPECTED FROM 11 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY UNTIL 10 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING.


THIS COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.PLEASE
ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF
TODAYS RED FLAG WARNING AND TOMORROWS FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

PARK

000 
WWUS84 KEPZ 011139
RFWEPZ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
539 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT TODAY UNTIL 10
PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE GILA AND SACRAMENTO WILDERNESS
AREAS...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...AND FAR WEST
TEXAS FOR STRONG WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... AND VERY
HIGH TO EXTREME EXPECTED FIRE DANGER RATINGS...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE ROCKIES AND A STRONG LEE-SIDE
SURFACE TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH TODAY...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. THE
COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FROM 11 AM MDT TODAY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

NMZ110>113-TXZ055-056-020400-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0028.080501T1700Z-080502T0400Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
539 AM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...


SUSTAINED 20-FT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND VERY HIGH
TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS...ARE EXPECTED FROM 11 AM MDT
TODAY UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING.

THIS COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS
IN THE FIELD OF TODAYS RED FLAG WARNING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$


BRICE

000 
WWUS84 KEPZ 020330
RFWEPZ

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
930 PM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT  UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR THE GILA AND SACRAMENTO WILDERNESS AREAS...SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH-CENTRAL NEW MEXICO...AND FAR WEST TEXAS FOR STRONG
WINDS...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY... AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME
EXPECTED FIRE DANGER RATINGS...

.LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE ROCKIES AND A STRONG LEE-SIDE
SURFACE TROUGH OVER EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 20 TO 30 MPH THIS EVENING...WITH WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.
THE COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

NMZ113-021300-
/O.NEW.KEPZ.FW.A.0029.080502T1500Z-080503T0000Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-080502T0400Z/
CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
930 PM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MDT FRIDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM MDT
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WATCH IS FOR FIRE ZONE
113...CAPITAN AND SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS... AND ESPECIALLY FOR THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE ZONE IN LINCOLN COUNTY. 

ANOTHER IMPULSE OF ENERGY WILL SWING AROUND THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING EASTWARD OUT OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND WILL
CONTINUE TO PROVIDE STRONG DOWNSLOPE DRY WINDS TO THIS FIRE ZONE.

SUSTAINED 20-FT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 MPH
ALONG WITH HUMIDITIES BELOW 15%...AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER RATINGS...ARE EXPECTED FROM AGAIN IN ZONE 113 FROM 9AM TO 6 PM
FRIDAY. AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF AREA BY LATER FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
SURFACE WINDS SHOULD START TO DECREASE BELOW CRITERION BY EARLY EVENING.

THIS COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS
IN THE FIELD OF THIS WATCH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

NMZ110>112-TXZ055-056-020430-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FW.W.0028.000000T0000Z-080502T0400Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS AND LOWLANDS-
SOUTH CENTRAL LOWLANDS AND SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY-EL PASO-
HUDSPETH-
930 PM MDT THU MAY 1 2008

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. 

SUSTAINED 20-FT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...SINGLE DIGIT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND VERY HIGH
TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER RATINGS...ARE EXPECTED FROM 11 AM MDT
TODAY UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING.

THIS COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND
WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS
IN THE FIELD OF TODAYS RED FLAG WARNING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXTREME FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$


20 NOVLAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
232 PM MDT WED APR 30 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CREATED WINDY CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON AND THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING
BEFORE DIMINISHING. THE WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN ON THURSDAY AS THE
UPPER LEVEL STORM BRINGS A SURFACE FRONT THROUGH IN THE EVENING.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY SHOULD BE QUIET AS THE WINDS DIMINISH AND
TEMPERATURES REMAIN NEAR NORMAL. AN UPPER LOW MOVES TOWARDS THE
NORTHERN BAJA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THIS PATTERN WILL DRAW IN MOIST AIR
FROM THE EAST AND GIVE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND
MONDAY TO AREAS EAST OF EL PASO.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
LARGE UPPER LOW OVER PACIFIC NORTHWEST INDUCING LEE SIDE TROUGHING
ALONG FRONT RANGE...ENOUGH TO BRING WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE
BORDERLAND TODAY. WIND ADVISORY STILL IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THIS
EVENING LOOKS GOOD...THOUGH LOCAL WINDS LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO THE
MORNING ALONG EAST SIDES OF MOUNTAINS. A REPEAT LOOKS LIKELY ON
THURSDAY AS UPPER LOW PLUNGES DOWN TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES WITH A
COLD FRONT TAGGING ALONG WITH IT. MODELS SHOW COLD FRONT SOUTH OF
AREA BY THURSDAY EVENING. THOUGH GRADIENT MAY BE JUST A SMIDGE
WEAKER ON THURSDAY...MID LEVEL WINDS ARE PROGGED TO BE STRONGER.
HENCE HAVE ISSUED A NEW WIND ADVISORY FOR THURSDAY. MAY TAKE A FEW
HOURS LONGER TO DEVELOP AS MIX DOWN WINDS WILL BE NEEDED.

UPPER LOW RAPIDLY MOVES EAST...TO BE REPLACED BY LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE
FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES REMAINING SEASONAL WITH LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS.

BIG CHANGE ACCORDING TO GFS OCCURS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SURFACE HIGH
SLIDES DOWN INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND NEXT UPPER LOW GATHERING
NEAR THE NORTHERN BAJA. THIS WILL ALLOW A RETURN FLOW TO SET UP
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS HAD BEEN SHOWING THIS BUT
ONLY ALLOWING THE DRYLINE TO JUST SNEAK INTO THE FAR EAST. THIS
MORNINGS RUN NOW VERY AGGRESSIVE WITH THE EAST FLOW AND MOISTURE
FLUX...MOVING HIGH DEWPOINTS AS FAR WEST AS DEMING AND THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. AIRMASS FAIRLY UNSTABLE SO THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE. FOR NOW...NOT WANTING TO JUMP THE GUN...HAVE INTRODUCED
POPS INTO HUDSPETH AND OTERO COUNTIES. WILL LET FUTURE SHIFTS EXPAND
THIS AREA IF MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT. WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR
POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER...AS BOTH STRONG SPEED AND DIRECTIONAL SHEAR
WILL EXIST FROM THE RIO GRANDE EAST ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY...ALONG
WITH HEALTHY BUOYANCY.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 01/00Z-02/00Z...
GENERALLY VFR CONDTS EXPECTED THRU THE PD. BUT VSBYS LIKELY TO
TEMPORARILY FALL INTO MVFR AND IFR CATEGORIES DUE TO BLOWING DUST
THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR SW-W 25-35 G45 KT
WINDS TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS STRONGER WINDS ALOFT MIX DOWN...AND
LOW LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS OUR FLYING AREA.  MDT OR
GREATER TURBC SFC-110 AGL DEVELOPING ALONG AND E OF AREA MTNS TOWARD
06Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WINDY AREA-WIDE THIS EVENING AND THURSDAY.  THIS IS DUE TO A BROAD
TROUGH ALOFT DROPPING INTO THE AREA AND A DEEP SURFACE LOW TO THE
EAST. THE RESULT IS THE TYPICAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN. A
COMBINATION OF DEEP MIXING BRINGING STRONG WIND DOWN FROM ALOFT AND
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT AT THE SURFACE INDUCING STRONG LOW LEVEL
WINDS WILL KEEP WINDS WELL ABOVE 20 MPH (20FT) THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH
WILL BE SLOW TO EXIT. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER TROUGH PULLS AWAY. FRIDAY WILL BE
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER ALTHOUGH STILL BREEZY.
SATURDAY AND AND POSSIBLY SUNDAY COULD BE DOWN DAYS. LATEST MODELS
ARE SHOWING A STRONG MOIST PUSH FROM THE EAST. EARLY INDICATIONS ARE
OF THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL OVER AREAS EAST OF THE RIO GRANDE SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 65  87  55  80  52 /   0   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA TX        62  88  51  77  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              60  87  50  80  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              61  83  47  76  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              39  61  33  54  29 /   0   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   58  82  45  82  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             46  75  41  70  39 /   0   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  58  85  49  80  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               56  85  48  79  46 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR NMZ110>113.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR NMZ110>113.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR NMZ022>025-
     030>032.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR NMZ022>025-
     030>032.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ055-056.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR TXZ055-056.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ055-056.

     WIND ADVISORY FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR TXZ055-056.

&&

HEFNER/BIRD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
614 AM MDT WED APR 30 2008

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-011215-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
614 AM MDT WED APR 30 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT
STRONG WINDS EXPECTED TODAY. IN ADDITION TO THE WINDS THERE WILL
BE A FAIR AMOUNT OF BLOWING DUST SO DRIVERS ON AREA
ROADS...ESPCIALLY THOSE WEST OF LAS CRUCES SHOULD EXPECT LOWERED
VISIBILITIES OR EVEN ROAD CLOSURES DUE TO THE BLOWING DUST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...THOUGH
BLOWING DUST MAY NOT BE AS MUCH OF A PROBLEM ON THURSDAY. FOR
FRIDAY AND BEYOUND...THE WEATHER LOOKS QUIET WITH LITTLE OR NO
CHANCE FOR PRECIPIATION AND NO STRONG WIND EVENTS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...