High Wind Warning 9, NWS El Paso, TX

000 
WWUS74 KEPZ 261200
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
500 AM MST FRI DEC 26 2008

...STRONG WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR WEST
TEXAS TODAY...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT. STRONGER WINDS ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A JET STREAM
MAXIMUM AND A TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE STRONG WINDS TODAY.
WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
STRONGER WINDS MAY BE POSSIBLE IN SELECTED AREAS ALONG THE EAST
SLOPES OF LOCAL MOUNTAINS AND THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. WINDS WILL
BE SLOW TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG EASTERN SLOPES. 

NMZ025-262300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.W.0009.081226T1400Z-081227T0200Z/
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
500 AM MST FRI DEC 26 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS
EVENING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS
EVENING. 

STRONG WIND SPEEDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG EXPOSED RIDGE LINES...MOUNTAIN PASSES AND EASTERN SLOPES
TODAY. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
ALSO POSSIBLE...RESULTING IN POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS. DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS RECREATIONAL
VEHICLES AND TRACTOR TRAILERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION...AS WIND
SPEEDS AND DIRECTIONS CAN RAPIDLY CHANGE ALONG THE ROADWAY THROUGH
THE MOUNTAINS.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

$$

NMZ022>024-030>032-TXZ055-056-262300-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0026.081226T1400Z-081227T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVER CITY...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...
ALAMOGORDO...LORDSBURG...DEMING...LAS CRUCES...EL PASO...
SIERRA BLANCA...DELL CITY
500 AM MST FRI DEC 26 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
FRIDAY. HIGHER WIND SPEEDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SELECTED AREAS
NEAR THE EAST SLOPES OF LOCAL MOUNTAINS. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST
AREA POSSIBLE WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE LOWLAND
DESERTS....ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 10 FROM LORDSBURG TO LAS
CRUCES...AND ALONG THE I-10 AND 25 CORRIDOR FROM LAS CRUCES TO EL
PASO. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE FRIDAY EVENING AFTER PASSAGE OF A
STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE OUR AREA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRACTOR TRAILERS
SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

LUNDEEN

000 
WWUS74 KEPZ 262240
NPWEPZ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
340 PM MST FRI DEC 26 2008

...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO AND FAR
WEST TEXAS UNTIL EARLY EVENING...AND OVERNIGHT IN EASTERN
PORTION...

.A STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT.
STRONGER WINDS ALOFT AND A TIGHTENING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE STRONG WINDS.
WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.
EVEN STRONGER WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS AND IN
SELECTED AREAS ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF LOCAL MOUNTAINS AND
THROUGH MOUNTAIN PASSES. WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG EASTERN SLOPES.

NMZ025-270645-
/O.EXB.KEPZ.WI.Y.0026.081227T0200Z-081227T1200Z/
/O.CON.KEPZ.HW.W.0009.000000T0000Z-081227T0200Z/
SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MESCALERO...CLOUDCROFT...TIMBERON
340 PM MST FRI DEC 26 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS
EVENING...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM MST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA HAS
ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 AM MST SATURDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING BUT WILL
CONTINUE AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS OVERNIGHT.

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT AND CAUSE STRUCTURAL
DAMAGE. DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS RECREATIONAL
VEHICLES AND TRACTOR TRAILERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION. ITEMS SUCH
AS TRASH CANS...LAWN CHAIRS AND OUTDOOR CHRISTMAS DECORATIONS
SHOULD BE SECURED.

$$

NMZ024-TXZ055-056-270645-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.WI.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-081227T1200Z/
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALAMOGORDO...EL PASO...SIERRA BLANCA...
DELL CITY
340 PM MST FRI DEC 26 2008

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SATURDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST SATURDAY. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...CONTINUING ALONG EASTERN SLOPES OF
LOCAL MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF BLOWING DUST AREA POSSIBLE WITH
REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS THE LOWLAND DESERTS. CONDITIONS WILL
IMPROVE LATER THIS EVENING AFTER PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE OUR AREA.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. DRIVERS OF
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRACTOR
TRAILERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

NMZ022-023-030>032-270200-
/O.CON.KEPZ.WI.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-081227T0200Z/
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SILVER CITY...TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES...
LORDSBURG...DEMING...LAS CRUCES
340 PM MST FRI DEC 26 2008

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM MST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. HIGHER WIND SPEEDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
SELECTED AREAS NEAR THE EASTERN SLOPES OF LOCAL MOUNTAINS. AREAS
OF BLOWING DUST AREA POSSIBLE WITH REDUCED VISIBILITIES ACROSS
THE LOWLAND DESERTS....ESPECIALLY ALONG INTERSTATE 10 FROM
LORDSBURG TO LAS CRUCES...AND ALONG THE I-10 AND I-25 CORRIDOR
FROM LAS CRUCES TO EL PASO. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE LATER THIS
EVENING AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT. DRIVERS OF
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SUCH AS RECREATIONAL VEHICLES AND TRACTOR
TRAILERS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

FAUSETT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
346 PM MST THU DEC 25 2008

.SYNOPSIS...THE SECOND IN A PAIR OF WINTER STORM SYSTEMS...WILL
BRING MUCH COLDER WEATHER AND MORE STRONG WINDS TO OUR AREA FOR
THE END OF THE WEEK. LOOK FOR MOUNTAIN SNOW AND VALLEY RAIN
SHOWERS TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...WITH SNOW LEVELS EVENTUALLY
LOWERING TO THE VALLEY FLOOR BY SUNRISE SATURDAY. COOL DRY
NORTHWEST FLOW RETURNS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
TEMPERATURES SLOWLY REBOUNDING TO SEASONAL NORMALS. THIS PATTERN
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK...AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT IS
FORECAST TO BUILD OFF WEST COAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...EVOLUTION WITH PAIR OF SYSTEMS...THEIR TRACK...CHARACTER
OF UPSTREAM FLOW AND TIMING ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY IS IMPRESSIVE
FOR SUPPORTING A RATHER COLD BOUT OF WINTRY WEATHER ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO LATER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. FLOW AROUND
BUILDING UPSTREAM RIDGE NOW EDGING INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA...HAS
ADVECTED AIR FROM PROGRESSIVELY COLDER SOURCE REGIONS IN WESTERN
CANADA...WHICH HAS HELPED TO SEND THE SECOND OF THE TWO
DISTURBANCES FURTHER SOUTH AND DEEPEN LONG-WAVE TROF ACROSS THE
WESTERN STATES.

GUSTY WINDS...LOWLAND RAIN ACCUMULATING MOUNTAIN SNOW...ARE THE
MAIN IMPACTS WITH THE SECOND STORM FRIDAY AND FRIDAY EVENING. A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ACCOMPANY THIS SYSTEM...AND IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE CWFA FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
NAM...GFS AND EUROPEAN SOLUTIONS NOW IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TIMING
FRONTAL PASSAGE..WITH THE NOGAPS SOLUTION LAGGING BY A FEW HOURS.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION BY SATURDAY MORNING IN THE GILA WILDERNESS
WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ACROSS RIDGES AND HILLSIDES WITH FAVORED EXPOSURE. 1 TO 3 INCHES
TOTAL ACCUMULATION FOR THE SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS APPEARS
A GOOD BET AT THIS TIME CONSIDERING SYSTEM TRACK AND DRY LANDWARD
TRAJECTORY OF UPSTREAM AIRMASS. IT IS ALSO LIKELY THAT SNOW COULD
FLY EVEN DOWN TO VALLEY FLOORS A FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE
SUNRISE SATURDAY MORNING...AS LAYERED THICKNESS ARE FORECAST TO
FALL WELL WITHIN CRITICAL LOWLAND THRESHOLDS. HOWEVER LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION IS ANTICIPATED WITH MOST OF THE MOISTURE ALOFT
NEEDED...IS EXPECTED TO BE OUT OF THE AREA BY THE TIME FREEZING
LEVELS BOTTOM OUT.

AS MENTIONED EARLIER...STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED AREA-WIDE
FRIDAY...AND ARE ALREADY OCCURRING ACROSS SOME OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS WHERE A WIND ADVISORY IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE
SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS. AS WINDS STRENGTHEN FURTHER...AN UPGRADE TO
HIGH WIND WARNING MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING FOR THE SACS. WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA WILL LIKELY BE MET EARLY FRIDAY ACROSS THE GILA
WILDERNESS AND ALL LOWLAND LOCATIONS. WILL LEAVE THIS FOR EVENING
OR MIDNIGHT SHIFT TO EVALUATE.

DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT FOLLOWS THE EXIT OF FRIDAYS STORM...AND
SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
IS FORECAST TO BUILD OFF THE PACIFIC COAST.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 26/0000Z-27/0000Z...
A WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
SOME ASSOCIATED MOISTURE IS RESULTING IN INCREASING CLOUDS AND
LOWERING CIGS. A DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH TO THE NE IS TIGHTENING
THE LOW-LEVEL PRESSURE GRADIENT. THUS THE AREA WILL SEE BREEZY TO
WINDY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING CONDITIONS DEVELOP. SOME
INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. MOST OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVER THE AREA
MOUNTAINS. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH TODAY AND TONIGHT...ABV 7KFT
MSL. SFC WINDS 240/20G30KT WITH MTN TOPS WINDS 270/45 KT WITH OCNL
MDT/SVR TURBC OVR/NR MTNS ESPLY EAST FACING SLOPES. CIGS DROPPING TO
045-055 AREA WIDE.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A RELATIVELY WEAK UPPER-LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS TRACKING
OVER THE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL BE QUICKLY FOLLOWED BY A MUCH
STRONGER ONE TOMORROW. TODAYS TROUGH IS BRINGING SOME ADDITIONAL
LOW AND MID-LEVEL MOISTURE WITH IT. MOST AREAS WILL ONLY SEE
ABUNDANT CLOUDS BUT THE HIGH COUNTRY AND LOWLANDS TO THE NORTH
WILL SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED LOWLAND RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE GILA AND SACRAMENTS
WITH SNOW LEVELS ABOVE 7000 FT MSL. 1-3 INCHES POSSIBLE MTNS ABOVE
7000FT. A MUCH COLDER AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY PRODUCING VERY STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR LOWLAND RAIN SHOWERS
AND HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW SHOWERS ABOVE 6000 FT MSL WITH POSSIBLY
3-7 INCHES IN THE GILA WILDERNESS AND 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE
SACRAMENT MOUNTS. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL DEPART THE REGION LATE
FRIDAY. FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING A STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THE UPPER SYSTEM. THIS WILL BRING MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION
AND FORCE SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO THE DESERT FLOOR. THUS IF ANY PCPN
FALLS FRIDAY NIGHT IT SHOULD BE AS SNOW ALL AREAS. HOWEVER NOT
MUCH IS EXPECTED AS MOST OF THE STORM DYNAMICS WILL HAVE MOVED
EAST. FOR THE WEEKEND CALMER...DRIER..AND COOLER. GRADUALLY
WARMING AND MORE MILD WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 45  59  32  48  25 /  10  20  20   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA TX        42  58  31  45  25 /  10  20  20   0   0
LAS CRUCES              43  58  32  45  23 /  20  30  20   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              40  56  27  45  21 /  20  30  20   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              29  41  20  32  12 /  20  50  40   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   40  51  29  43  20 /  20  40  20   0   0
SILVER CITY             32  42  23  40  19 /  30  60  20   0   0
DEMING                  41  55  30  46  22 /  20  40  20   0   0
LORDSBURG               40  52  27  46  19 /  30  40  20   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MST FRIDAY FOR NMZ022.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR NMZ025.

TX...NONE.
&&

22/14

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
603 AM MST THU DEC 25 2008

NMZ022>025-030>032-TXZ055-056-261315-
SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS/LOWER GILA REGION-SIERRA COUNTY LAKES REGION-
TULAROSA BASIN/SOUTHERN DESERT-SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS-
SOUTHWEST DESERT/BOOTHEEL-SOUTHWEST DESERT/MIMBRES BASIN-
SOUTHERN DESERT-EL PASO-HUDSPETH-
603 AM MST THU DEC 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY IN
THE MOUNTAINS. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL LOWER TO ABOUT 7000 FEET THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FRIDAY AND EARLY SATURDAY...BY AFTERNOON SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH MOST AREAS EXCEPT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 50 MPH IN THE SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS...THEN DECREASE SOMEWHAT
OVERNIGHT. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP NORTHERN
PORTION WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS SOUTH. SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP TO 5000
FEET BY EVENING AND BELOW 4000 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 3 TO 5 INCHES IN THE GILA REGION ABOVE 6000
FEET AND 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE SOUTHERN SACRAMENTO MOUNTAINS.

DRY AND QUIET THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER SERVICES MAY BE NEEDED FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING.

FAUSETT