Alert archive / Missouri / Winter Storm Warnings in 2008
Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Kansas City, MO
NWS Kansas City, MO issued this winter storm warning at Jan 30, 2008, 3:45 PM CST for Johnson County, Linn County, Miami County, Kansas; 7 counties in Missouri. It took effect at Jan 31, 2008, 3:00 AM CST. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 30, 2008, 3:45 PM CST (21:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 31, 2008, 3:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 31, 2008, 3:36 AM CST
- In force
- 36 min
- Issued by
- NWS Kansas City, MO
Counties Johnson County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Bates County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Henry County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Pettis County, MO
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1267 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 72 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 243 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 177 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS43 KEAX 302145 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 345 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .A POTENT WINTER STORM WILL MOVE ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS TONIGHT...THEN SPREAD EAST-NORTHEAST INTO MISSOURI BY THURSDAY MORNING. SEVERAL BANDS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY...SOME OF WHICH WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME GRADUALLY LIGHTER HEADING NORTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. BLUSTERY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO LEAD TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW ACROSS THE AREA. THE STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING. KSZ057-060-105-MOZ037-043-053-310545- /O.UPG.KEAX.WS.A.0001.080131T1200Z-080201T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T0900Z-080201T0600Z/ MIAMI-LINN KS-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON-CASS-BATES- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...OVERLAND PARK... OLATHE...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL...BUTLER...RICH HILL 345 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGHOUT THE DAYTIME AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO THE VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES COMMONLY REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS.. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MOZ044>046-054-310545- /O.UPG.KEAX.WS.A.0001.080131T1200Z-080201T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T1500Z-080201T1200Z/ JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE... CLINTON 345 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN KANSAS THURSDAY MORNING...AND SPREAD INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI LATER THURSDAY MORNING. THE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGHOUT THE DAYTIME AND EVENING HOURS. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA...WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO THE VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES COMMONLY REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ MOZ038>040-310545- /O.UPG.KEAX.WS.A.0001.080131T1200Z-080201T1200Z/ /O.EXA.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1200Z-080201T1200Z/ LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL... FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN 345 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN KANSAS THURSDAY MORNING...AND SPREAD INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI LATER THURSDAY MORNING. THE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGHOUT THE DAYTIME AND EVENING HOURS. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MOZ004>008-011-016-017-310545- /O.EXA.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1200Z-080201T1200Z/ GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY... PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...MOUND CITY... OREGON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE 345 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN KANSAS THURSDAY MORNING...AND MOVE INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI LATER THURSDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE DAYTIME AND EVENING HOURS...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ025-103-104-MOZ021>025-028>033-310545- /O.CON.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1200Z-080201T1200Z/ ATCHISON KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON- LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...LEAVENWORTH... KANSAS CITY KS...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO... CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE... PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY 345 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI BY THURSDAY MORNING...THEN CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS MISSOURI DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. THE SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGHOUT THE DAYTIME AND EVENING HOURS. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ102-MOZ012>015-020-310545- /O.CON.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1200Z-080201T1200Z/ DONIPHAN-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-BUCHANAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TROY...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN... JAMESPORT...TRENTON...ST. JOSEPH 345 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM CST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN KANSAS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND SPREAD INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI MISSOURI LATER THURSDAY MORNING. SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE DAYTIME AND EVENING HOURS...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION EXPECTED ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ 21
3 follow-up statements
000 WWUS43 KEAX 310424 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 .A POWERFUL WINTER STORM THAT WILL TAKE AIM FROM NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...THE OZARKS...INTO THE OHIO VALLEY REGION IS LOOKING TO SPARE MUCH OF THE REGION OF SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...WILL FALL ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY. KSZ057-105-MOZ037-043-311230- /O.CAN.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T0900Z-080201T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ MIAMI-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON-CASS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN SUBURBS DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW FALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. BRISK EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS SNOW CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH...LIMITING POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE AREA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OCCURRING FURTHER SOUTH FROM PAOLA TO HARRISONVILLE. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MOZ044-311230- /O.CAN.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T1500Z-080201T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ JOHNSON MO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARRENSBURG 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE WARRENSBURG AREA AND ADJACENT COMMUNITIES DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS FRIDAY. LIGHT SNOW FALL WILL CONTINUE INTO MID EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF AROUND MIDNIGHT. BRISK EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS SNOW CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH...LIMITING POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE AREA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ060-MOZ045-046-053-054-311230- /O.EXT.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ LINN KS-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUND CITY...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE... BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY MID MORNING AND GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO MID MISSOURI. SNOW MAY BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH 4 TO 7 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO THE VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES COMMONLY REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE EVEN GREATER TOWARD THE OZARKS AS THIS STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ025-103-104-MOZ021>025-028>033-038>040-311230- /O.EXT.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ ATCHISON KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON- LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-LAFAYETTE- SALINE-HOWARD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...LEAVENWORTH... KANSAS CITY KS...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO... CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE... PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...LEXINGTON... CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY MID MORNING AND GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW MAY BECOME MODERATE AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS FURTHER EASTERN ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER. AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE KANSAS CITY METRO. BRISK NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ102-MOZ004>008-011>017-020-311230- /O.EXT.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ DONIPHAN-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW- DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TROY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY... PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...MOUND CITY... OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON... MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN KANSAS BY MID MORNING THURSDAY...AND SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE DAYTIME AND EVENING HOURS...WITH AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH...AREAS TOWARD THE IOWA BORDER MAY SEE LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION. BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ BOOKBINDER
000 WWUS43 KEAX 310455 CCA WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED FRIDAY TO THURSDAY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 .A POWERFUL WINTER STORM THAT WILL TAKE AIM FROM NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...THE OZARKS...INTO THE OHIO VALLEY REGION IS LOOKING TO SPARE MUCH OF THE REGION OF SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...WILL FALL ACROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY. KSZ057-105-MOZ037-043-311230- /O.CAN.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T0900Z-080201T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ MIAMI-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON-CASS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE... KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE... PLEASANT HILL 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE SOUTHERN KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA AND ADJACENT SOUTHERN SUBURBS DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. LIGHT SNOW FALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDNIGHT. BRISK EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS SNOW CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH...LIMITING POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE AREA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA WILL RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OCCURRING FURTHER SOUTH FROM PAOLA TO HARRISONVILLE. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MOZ044-311230- /O.CAN.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T1500Z-080201T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ JOHNSON MO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WARRENSBURG 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE WARRENSBURG AREA AND ADJACENT COMMUNITIES DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS THURSDAY. LIGHT SNOW FALL WILL CONTINUE INTO MID EVENING...BEFORE TAPERING OFF AROUND MIDNIGHT. BRISK EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH COULD LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW. THE STORM SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS SNOW CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH...LIMITING POTENTIAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE AREA. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHERN AREAS. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ060-MOZ045-046-053-054-311230- /O.EXT.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ LINN KS-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUND CITY...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE... BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY MID MORNING AND GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO MID MISSOURI. SNOW MAY BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH 4 TO 7 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY THURSDAY NIGHT. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO THE VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITIES COMMONLY REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE EVEN GREATER TOWARD THE OZARKS AS THIS STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET...OR ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. $$ KSZ025-103-104-MOZ021>025-028>033-038>040-311230- /O.EXT.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ ATCHISON KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON- LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-LAFAYETTE- SALINE-HOWARD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...LEAVENWORTH... KANSAS CITY KS...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO... CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE... PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND... CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...LEXINGTON... CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY MID MORNING AND GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW MAY BECOME MODERATE AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HEAVIER AMOUNTS FURTHER EASTERN ALONG THE MISSOURI RIVER. AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE KANSAS CITY METRO. BRISK NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ102-MOZ004>008-011>017-020-311230- /O.EXT.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ DONIPHAN-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW- DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TROY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY... PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...MOUND CITY... OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON... MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH 1024 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL DEVELOP IN EASTERN KANSAS BY MID MORNING THURSDAY...AND SPREAD INTO NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL BY EARLY AFTERNOON. LIGHT SNOWFALL WILL CONTINUE SPORADICALLY THROUGH THE DAYTIME AND EVENING HOURS...WITH AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA BY FRIDAY MORNING. AS THIS STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH...AREAS TOWARD THE IOWA BORDER MAY SEE LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION. BRISK NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ BOOKBINDER
000 WWUS43 KEAX 310936 WSWEAX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 336 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008 .THE STRONG WINTER STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL TAKE AIM FROM NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...ACROSS THE OZARKS...AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY REGION WILL SPARE MUCH OF THE REGION FROM THE BRUNT OF SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW...WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. KSZ060-MOZ045-046-053-054-311745- /O.CAN.KEAX.WS.W.0001.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ /O.EXA.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ LINN KS-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUND CITY...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE... BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON 336 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE...AND SPREAD INTO EASTERN KANSAS BY MID MORNING AND GRADUALLY SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE DAY. SNOW MAY BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH 3 TO 5 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION...EAST-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO THE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED AT TIMES TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS IN BLOWING SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE GREATER TO THE SOUTH OF THIS AREA...AS THE MAIN STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ KSZ025-102-MOZ004>008-011>017-020>025-311045- /O.CAN.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ ATCHISON KS-DONIPHAN-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT- ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...TROY...ALBANY...STANBERRY... BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING... MOUND CITY...OREGON...SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT... TRENTON...MILAN...GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH... PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE... BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA 336 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS CANCELLED THE SNOW ADVISORY. WHILE SNOW CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST TODAY...WITH EXPECTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY AT AROUND 1 INCH OR LESS AND ONLY POCKETS OF 2 INCHES...SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE THE SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ KSZ057-103>105-MOZ028>033-037>040-043-044-311745- /O.CON.KEAX.SN.Y.0002.080131T1500Z-080201T0600Z/ MIAMI-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL- CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLA...LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS... OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON... LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY... KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON... CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE... HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG 336 AM CST THU JAN 31 2008 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. SNOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND SPREAD EAST- NORTHEAST INTO EAST CENTRAL KANSAS...AND GRADUALLY INTO CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW MAY BECOME MODERATE AT TIMES DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF TOTAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. POCKETS OF 4 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. BRISK EAST-NORTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW...ADDING TO POTENTIALLY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED AT TIMES TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS IN BLOWING SNOW. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NRR
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 30, 3:25 PM CST, 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 30, 3:25 PM CST, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
325 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008
.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM CLEARLY EVIDENT PER WV IMAGERY THIS
AFTERNOON OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION...AND EVEN APPEARS SLIGHTLY
DEEPER THAN FORECAST MODELS HAVE INITIALIZED IN THEIR 12Z RUNS.
ALTHOUGH MODELS HAVE VERY GOOD GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL
PATTERN AND MANY DETAILS THURSDAY...THESE TYPE OF MINOR INTENSITY
DIFFERENCES IN ADDITION TO MESOSCALE RESPONSES DURING PRECIPITATION
GENERATION WILL HAVE LARGE CONSEQUENCES ON EVENTUAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS. NAM-WRF FORECASTS HAVE BEEN FAR TOO VARYING TO
ESTABLISH ANY CONFIDENCE...PLUS RECENT RUNS APPEAR TO HAVE SOME
DEGREE OF CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK ISSUES WITH ELEVATED INSTABILITY ON
THE WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFT WING PRECEDING THE UPPER LOW. BLEND OF THE
12Z GFS/ECMWF STILL LOOKS TO BE THE BEST SOLUTION WITH DEEPENING LOW
PRESSURE PROGRESSING FROM CNTRL OKLAHOMA INTO SRN ILLINOIS THROUGH
FRIDAY MORNING.
AS THE UPPER WAVE DIGS INTO OKLAHOMA THURSDAY MORNING...DEEP
MERIDIONAL FLOW WILL COMMENCE WITH STRONG WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFT
ORIGINATING FROM THE WARM SECTOR AND LIFTING INTO THE COLD SECTOR
WITH DEEPER DRY ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW. INITIAL TOP DOWN SATURATION
DURING THE LATE OVERNIGHT HOURS WILL ACT TO SATURATE THE DRIER
SUBCLOUD LAYERS...HOWEVER THE DEPTH AND BREADTH OF ISENTROPIC LIFT
SHOULD QUICKLY OVERCOME THE DRIER LOW LEVELS. MODELS ALSO INDICATE
VERY WELL DEFINED SLOPING FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING TOPPING AROUND H5
ACROSS NRN MISSOURI...AND SLOPING DOWN TO H8 TOWARDS CNTRL MISSOURI.
IN ADDITION...AS THE SYSTEM INTENSIFIES AND CLOSES OFF APPROACHING
THE AREA...A DEFINITIVE TROWAL SIGNATURE DEVELOPS IN AN ARCING BAND
FROM CNTRL MISSOURI THOUGH NRN OKLAHOMA. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES AND
THE UPPER SYSTEM DEEPENS FURTHER SOUTHEAST...THESE COLLOCATED
FEATURES WILL ALSO ADVECT EWD WITH THE MOST INTENSE PRECIPITATION
RATES GENERALLY POSITIONED ON THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THE TROWAL AXIS
COINCIDENT WITH H7 FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING. AREA CROSS SECTIONS ALSO
INDICATE POCKETS OF LAYERED NEGATIVE EPV AND STATIC INSTABILITY
WHICH COULD LOCALLY ENHANCE SNOW BANDING OVER PARTS OF THE SRN CWA.
BASED ON GFS/ECMWF QPF FIELDS AND BIASES FOR MODELS TO UNDERESTIMATE
QPF AMOUNTS AND PRECIP INTENSITIES IN FAVORABLE BANDING
SITUATIONS...FEEL WARNING CRITERIA SNOWFALL A VERY GOOD BET FOR
AREAS SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR. SEVERAL UNCERTAINTIES
STILL EXIST HOWEVER...NOT WITHSTANDING STORM TRACK AND
INTENSITY...THE AMOUNT OF TIME REQUIRED TO SATURATE THE LOW LEVELS
MAY LIMIT ACCUMULATION SOMEWHAT...PLUS ANY DEEPER CONVECTION THAT
OCCURS IN THE WARM SECTOR COULD EVENTUALLY ROB THE COLD CONVEYOR
BELT AND DEFORMATION ZONE OF THE MOST JUICY AIRMASS. HAVE ALSO
EXPANDED SNOW ADVISORY FURTHER NORTH AS FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING IN
THE MIDLEVELS APPEARS SUFFICIENT THE PRODUCE A COUPLE INCHES OF
WIDESPREAD SNOW SEPARATE FROM THE MAIN DEVELOPING DEFORMATION BAND
TO THE SOUTH.
STORM SYSTEM SHOULD GRADUALLY CLEAR THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY
MORNING AS THE UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO DEEPEN INTO ILLINOIS. CLEARING
SHOULD BE FAIRLY RAPID FROM WEST TO EAST AS DEEP SUBSIDENCE BUILDS
OVER THE AREA TRAILING THE DEFORMATION BAND REDEVELOPING FURTHER
EAST IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE H7 LOW. TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY AND
BEYOND WILL LARGELY BE DETERMINED BY SNOWPACK...AND GIVEN EXPECTED
ACCUMULATIONS TOMORROW...HAVE UNDERCUT ALL NUMERICAL GUIDANCE INTO
THE WEEKEND.
21
MEDIUM RANGE (SATURDAY-WEDNESDAY)...
MEDIUM RANGE CONTINUES TO BE AS CLEAR AS MUD THIS MORNING...AS
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO HAVE DIFFICULTIES RESOLVING BATTERING RAM OF
DISTURBANCES SPINNING OUT OF VORTEX ANCHORED OVER THE SEA OF
OKHOTSK. IN GENERAL...WILL CONTINUE TO STAND ON THE SIDELINES OF THE
ECMWF FOR DAYS 4-6 AS OF ANY MODEL THIS WINTER HAS PREFORMED RATHER
WELL PAST DAY 4. PAST DAY 6 USED A BLEND OF THE NAEFS AND 12Z/29
ECMWF WHICH SEEMED TO CARRY THE BEST BALANCE IN THE LONG WAVE TRENDS.
THIS BEING SAID...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A WEAK DISTURBANCE
TRUDGING THROUGH THE TRANSITIONAL FLOW PATTERN ON SATURDAY. THIS
SYSTEM WILL DROP A DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY THROUGH THE AREA...WITH
VERY MEAGER LIFT SUPPORTING MID-LVL CLOUDS AND VIRGA AT BEST.
READINGS WILL BE TEMPERED SOMEWHAT ON SAT WITH HIGHS AT OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL. BY SUNDAY...MAIN FEATURE FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK WILL
BE SLOWING OOZING DOWN THE WEST COAST. SURGING AHEAD OF THIS LARGE
LONGWAVE TROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE A WEAK UPR-DISTURBANCE.
THIS DISTURBANCE SHOULD HELP KICK LOW-LVL WINDS BACK TO THE
SW...SENDING A SURGE OF MOISTURE NORTHWARD AND KICKING UP A CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS FAR AS TEMPS ARE
CONCERNED...ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED LOWER EVER SO SLIGHTLY ON
SUNDAY...STILL BELIEVE WARM SURGE OF AIR WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND ATTM WILL KEEP READINGS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPR 40S OVER
MUCH OF THE CWA.
AS STATED EARLIER...MANY DIFFERENCES REMAIN IN REGARDS TO UPR TROUGH
EVOLUTION FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER SYNOPTIC SETUP
WOULD INDICATE A WET BEGINNING OF THE WEEK. ALTHOUGH RATHER
PESSIMISTIC WITH FORECAST FOR INDIVIDUAL PERIODS DURING NEXT
WEEK...PER THE NAEFS IF I HAD TO PICK A TIME FOR PRECIP...BEST
CHANCES WILL ARRIVE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY AND THEN AGAIN
MONDAY NIGHT THOUGH TUESDAY AS MAIN UPR WAVE EJECTS EASTWARD.
PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL LIKELY REMAIN RAIN FOR MUCH OF THE EVENT.
WE WILL NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS
ENOUGH COLDER AIR WILL SINCE SOUTHWARD TO INDUCE HIGH PROBABILITIES
OF A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN TRICKY AND HAVE
CONTINUED WELL ABOVE NORMAL READINGS ON MONDAY. TUESDAYS READINGS
MAY ALSO NEED TO BE BUMP UPWARDS IF SYSTEM SLOWS.
DUX
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH 06Z...WITH INTERMITTENT HIGH/MID
LEVEL CLOUDS...AND INCREASING ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW. PRIMARY CONCERN IS
ANTICIPATED SNOWFALL TOWARDS END OF THE TAF PERIOD. HAVE INTRODUCED
TREND OF IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS BEGINNING AFTER 12Z.
21
&&
.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT FRIDAY
FOR MOZ037-MOZ043-MOZ053.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM FRIDAY FOR
MOZ044-MOZ045-MOZ046-MOZ054.
SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM FRIDAY FOR MOZ004-
MOZ005-MOZ006-MOZ007-MOZ008-MOZ011-MOZ012-MOZ013-MOZ014-
MOZ015-MOZ016-MOZ017-MOZ020-MOZ021-MOZ022-MOZ023-MOZ024-
MOZ025-MOZ028-MOZ029-MOZ030-MOZ031-MOZ032-MOZ033-MOZ038-
MOZ039-MOZ040.
KS...SNOW ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM FRIDAY FOR KSZ025-
KSZ102-KSZ103-KSZ104.
WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT FRIDAY FOR
KSZ057-KSZ060-KSZ105.Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 30, 1:03 PM CST, 2 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 103 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-311915- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE- JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER- PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR- BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY- RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD- CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 103 PM CST WED JAN 30 2008 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A POTENT WINTER STORM WILL DEEPEN OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TONIGHT...AND PROGRESS TOWARDS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THURSDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS STORM SYSTEM...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW WILL BEGIN TO BREAK OUT OVER EASTERN KANSAS AND FAR WESTERN MISSOURI BEFORE SUNRISE. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS TO THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA BY SUNRISE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON...BEFORE COMING TO AN END BY FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES...PARTICULARLY FOR LOCATIONS SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER LATE THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS FAR NORTHWEST MISSOURI...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 36 CORRIDOR...AND AS MUCH AS 4 TO 8 INCHES SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR. TRAVEL FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THURSDAY MORNING...AND BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER WINTER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE OUTLOOK AREA TUESDAY...BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL. THE INTENSITY AND TRACK OF THIS STORM SYSTEM IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN...AND POTENTIAL SNOWFALL ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA IS ALSO VERY UNCERTAIN. EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND OTHER INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD CONTINUE OT MONITOR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECASTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR UPDATES ON THIS STORM SYSTEM. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER SPOTTER ARE URGED TO REPORTS SNOWFALL TOTALS ON THURSDAY. 21
The office that day
Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 4:47 AM CST | Snow Advisory | EAX | Atchison, Doniphan, Johnson, Leavenworth, Linn, Miami and 1 more | 43 hr |
| Jan 30, 4:47 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | EAX | Johnson, Linn, Miami | 11 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Missouri, 2008Winter Storm Warnings in Kansas, 2008Every winter storm warning in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.