Alert archive / Missouri / Flood Watches in 2008

Flood Watch 2, NWS Kansas City, MO

March 2, 200837 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Kansas

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this flood watch at Mar 2, 2008, 4:15 AM CST for 37 counties in Missouri; 7 counties in Kansas. It took effect at Mar 2, 2008, 6:00 PM CST. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 2, 2008, 4:15 AM CST (10:15 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 2, 2008, 6:00 PM CST
Expired
Mar 3, 2008, 4:12 AM CST
In force
10 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Flood severity
None
All 44 counties

Atchison County, KS, Doniphan County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Adair County, MO, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Bates County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Daviess County, MO, DeKalb County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Henry County, MO, Holt County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Linn County, MO, Livingston County, MO, Macon County, MO, Mercer County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Sullivan County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2008-03-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2008-03-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 15 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2451 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS63 KEAX 021015
FFAEAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
415 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

.A LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
PLAINS WILL TAP INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SEND THIS MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO MISSOURI TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIALLY FORM ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND
TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE
LINE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND IS
NEARLY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAIN AND SNOW EVENTS AND THE GROUND IS
STILL FROZEN BELOW THE SURFACE IN MANY LOCATIONS...IF THE RAIN THAT
IS EXPECTED FALLS MUCH OF IT WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS. THIS COULD RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS AND
AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS.

KSZ025-057-060-103>105-MOZ021>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-
021815-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FA.A.0002.080303T0000Z-080303T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-
CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...
PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...
BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...
WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...
LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...
RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
415 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING 
  THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...JOHNSON KS...
  LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...
  BATES...CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...
  CLINTON...COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...
  LAFAYETTE...LINN MO...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...PLATTE...
  RANDOLPH...RAY AND SALINE.

* FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD RAIN AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
  THE ENTIRE REGION SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE LINE.
  THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER KANSAS CITY AREA...WARRENSBURG...
  SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...CHILLICOTHE....MACON...PAOLA...CLINTON AND
  SURROUNDING AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE AROUND AN
  INCH...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME ACROSS THE SAME
  AREA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING
  AREAS AND RISES ON SOME AREA RIVERS WITH MINOR RIVER FLOODING
  POSSIBLE.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF
A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$

MJ
5 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS63 KEAX 021606
FFAEAX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1006 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

.A LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL TAP INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SEND MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO MISSOURI TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INITIALLY FORM ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO
NORTHWEST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL BECOME MORE
WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND
TWO INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE
LINE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND IS
NEARLY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAIN AND SNOW EVENTS...AND THE GROUND
IS STILL FROZEN BELOW THE SURFACE IN MANY LOCATIONS...IF THE RAIN
THAT IS EXPECTED FALLS MUCH OF IT WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...RIVERS...AND
STREAMS.

KSZ025-057-060-103>105-MOZ021>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-
030000-
/O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0002.080303T0000Z-080303T1200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-
CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...
PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...
BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...
WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...
LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...
RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
1006 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING
THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...JOHNSON KS...LEAVENWORTH...
  LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...BATES...
  CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...
  COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...
  LINN MO...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...PLATTE...RANDOLPH...
  RAY AND SALINE.

* FROM 6 PM CST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD RAIN AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
  THE ENTIRE REGION SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE LINE.
  THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER KANSAS CITY AREA...WARRENSBURG...
  SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...CHILLICOTHE....MACON... PAOLA...CLINTON AND
  SURROUNDING AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE AROUND AN
  INCH...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREA. THESE
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS AND
  RISES ON SOME AREA RIVERS WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE.


A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF
A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$

CUTTER
000 
WGUS63 KEAX 022138
FFAEAX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
338 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

.A LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS HAS TAPPED INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SENT MOISTURE
NORTHWARD INTO MISSOURI TODAY. SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE SPREAD NORTHEAST ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NORTHWEST
MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND
HEAVIER THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE LINE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND IS NEARLY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAIN AND SNOW EVENTS...AND THE GROUND IS
STILL FROZEN BELOW THE SURFACE IN MANY LOCATIONS...IF THE RAIN THAT
IS EXPECTED FALLS MUCH OF IT WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...
RIVERS...AND STREAMS.

KSZ025-057-060-103>105-MOZ021>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-
030600-
/O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0002.080303T0000Z-080303T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-
CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...
PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...
BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...
WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...
LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...
RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
338 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...JOHNSON KS...LEAVENWORTH...
  LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...BATES...
  CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...
  COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...
  LINN MO...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...PLATTE...RANDOLPH...
  RAY AND SALINE.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD RAIN AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
  THE ENTIRE REGION SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE LINE
  TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER KANSAS CITY AREA...
  WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...CHILLICOTHE....MACON...
  PAOLA...CLINTON AND SURROUNDING AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
  AVERAGE AROUND AN INCH...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 2 INCHES
  WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE
  SAME AREA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-
  LYING AREAS PRODUCING RISES ON SOME AREA RIVERS WITH FLOODING
  POSSIBLE.


A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF
A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$

CUTTER
000 
WGUS63 KEAX 030015
FFAEAX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
615 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

.A LATE WINTER STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS HAS TAPPED INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND SENT
MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO MISSOURI TODAY. SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE SPREAD NORTHEAST ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING
INTO KANSAS AND MISSOURI. THE RAIN WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD AND
HEAVIER THIS EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES
WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE LINE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SINCE THE GROUND IS NEARLY
SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAIN AND SNOW EVENTS...AND THE GROUND IS
STILL FROZEN BELOW THE SURFACE IN MANY LOCATIONS...IF THE RAIN THAT
IS EXPECTED FALLS MUCH OF IT WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA STREAMS AND
RIVERS. THIS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...
RIVERS...AND STREAMS. TO THE NORTH OF THE ATCHISON KANSAS TO
KIRKSVILLE LINE AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE ALREADY AGGRAVATED BY
SNOW MELT ACROSS NORTHERN MISSOURI AND IOWA..SO THE FLOOD WATCH HAS
BEEN EXPAND NORTH FOR TONIGHT.

KSZ102-MOZ001>008-011>017-020-030800-
/O.EXA.KEAX.FA.A.0002.080303T0000Z-080303T1200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DONIPHAN-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-
SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TROY...TARKIO...ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...
GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...BETHANY...PRINCETON...
UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...MOUND CITY...OREGON...
SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...
GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH
615 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND 
  MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST 
  KANSAS...DONIPHAN. IN MISSOURI...ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON 
  MO...BUCHANAN...DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...
  HARRISON...HOLT...MERCER...NODAWAY...PUTNAM...SCHUYLER...
  SULLIVAN AND WORTH.

* THROUGH 6 AM MONDAY

* WIDESPREAD RAIN AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
  AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM ST JOSEPH TO KIRKSVILLE.
  RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD AVERAGE UP TO AN INCH BEFORE THE RAIN
  CHANGES TO SNOW TONIGHT. HOWEVER...SNOW MELT FROM THE WEEKEND HAS
  ALREADY AGGRAVATED AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS. THEREFORE...ANY
  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS AND
  PRODUCE RAPID RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS RESULTING IN
  FLOODING.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE
WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF
YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY
FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$

KSZ025-057-060-103>105-MOZ021>025-028>033-037>040-043>046-053-054-
030800-
/O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-080303T1200Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-
CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-
PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...
PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...
BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...
WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...
SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...
LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...
RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...
BOONVILLE...BUTLER...RICH HILL...CLINTON
615 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...JOHNSON KS...LEAVENWORTH...
  LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...BATES...
  CALDWELL...CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...
  COOPER...HENRY...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...
  LINN MO...LIVINGSTON...MACON...PETTIS...PLATTE...RANDOLPH...
  RAY AND SALINE.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* WIDESPREAD RAIN AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT
  THE ENTIRE REGION SOUTH OF AN ATCHISON KANSAS TO KIRKSVILLE LINE
  TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE GREATER KANSAS CITY AREA...WARRENSBURG...
  SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...CHILLICOTHE...MACON... PAOLA...CLINTON AND
  SURROUNDING AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE AROUND AN
  INCH...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO 2 INCHES WILL BE
  POSSIBLE WHERE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY ACROSS THE SAME AREA.
  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS
  PRODUCING RISES ON AREA RIVERS WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN THE
WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS... ESPECIALLY IF
YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP INFORMED...AND BE READY
FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$

CUTTER
000 
WGUS63 KEAX 030515
FFAEAX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1115 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...HEAVY RAIN AND RIVER FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

.HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING THROUGH EASTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI
SUNDAY EVENING HAD LED TO RISES ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. THIS
BAND OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF A HALF INCH TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OVER A
WIDESPREAD AREA WILL BE COMMON. WITH THIS RAIN FALLING ON GROUND THAT
IS NEARLY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAIN AND SNOW EVENTS...MUCH OF THE
RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO RUN OFF INTO AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS. THIS
COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...RIVERS...AND STREAMS.

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-031200-
/O.CON.KEAX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-080303T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO...
ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...
BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON...
SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...
GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...
FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...
PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
1115 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...IN KANSAS...ATCHISON KS...DONIPHAN...JOHNSON KS...
  LEAVENWORTH...LINN KS...MIAMI AND WYANDOTTE. IN MISSOURI...
  ADAIR...ANDREW...ATCHISON MO...BATES...BUCHANAN...CALDWELL...
  CARROLL...CASS...CHARITON...CLAY...CLINTON...COOPER...
  DAVIESS...DE KALB...GENTRY...GRUNDY...HARRISON...HENRY...
  HOLT...HOWARD...JACKSON...JOHNSON MO...LAFAYETTE...LINN MO...
  LIVINGSTON...MACON...MERCER...NODAWAY...PETTIS...PLATTE...
  PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RAY...SALINE...SCHUYLER...SULLIVAN AND 
  WORTH.

* UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY

* WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE FROM EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
  AND WESTERN MISSOURI...INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL
  AMOUNTS SHOULD AVERAGE IN THE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH
  RANGE. NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS HAD ALREADY SWITCHED
  OVER TO SNOW...AND THIS CHANGE OVER SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
  SOUTH AND EAST AS THE NIGHT PROGRESSES. EVEN THOUGH THE
  PRECIPITATION WILL BE CHANGING...RUN OFF FROM THE EARLIER RAINFALL
  WILL STILL BE OCCURRING AND CAUSING AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS TO RISE. 

* SEVERAL FLOOD WARNINGS ON AREA RIVERS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN
  MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS HAVE BEEN ISSUED...WITH ADDITIONAL
  WARNINGS POSSIBLE AS THIS EVENT CONTINUES. WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN
  IS FALLING...PONDING OF WATER IN LOW WATER CROSSING IS ALSO A
  POSSIBILITY. 

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAIN
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED OR IF
A FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

$$
000 
WGUS63 KEAX 031012
FFAEAX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
412 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008


KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-031115-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-080303T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATCHISON...PAOLA...MOUND CITY...TROY...
LEAVENWORTH...KANSAS CITY KS...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...TARKIO...
ROCKPORT...MARYVILLE...GRANT CITY...ALBANY...STANBERRY...
BETHANY...PRINCETON...UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...DOWNING...OREGON...
SAVANNAH...CAMERON...GALLATIN...JAMESPORT...TRENTON...MILAN...
GREEN CITY...KIRKSVILLE...ST. JOSEPH...PLATTSBURG...KINGSTON...
HAMILTON...POLO...CHILLICOTHE...BROOKFIELD...MACON...LA PLATA...
PARKVILLE...PLATTE CITY...WESTON...LIBERTY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...
RICHMOND...CARROLLTON...SALISBURY...KEYTESVILLE...MOBERLY...
KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...LEXINGTON...CONCORDIA...MARSHALL...
FAYETTE...NEW FRANKLIN...RAYMORE...HARRISONVILLE...
PLEASANT HILL...WARRENSBURG...SEDALIA...BOONVILLE...BUTLER...
RICH HILL...CLINTON
412 AM CST MON MAR 3 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND MISSOURI HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. 

BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING THE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED EAST AND OUT
OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...DUE TO THE RUNOFF FROM WIDESPREAD ONE HALF TO
ONE INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS WELL AS THE RECENT SNOW MELT OVER PARTS
OF NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR FORECAST TO
OCCUR ON MANY RIVERS AND STREAMS.

$$

MJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Mar 1, 11:37 PM CST, 4 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 11:37 PM CST, 4 hours 38 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1137 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008

...UPDATED AVIATION FORECAST...

.DISCUSSION...
/416 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008/
MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS AFTERNOONS FORECAST EFFORTS IS ON THE WILD
WEATHER THAT WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVING EAST INTO THE
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON. UNDER IT A DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS
WESTERN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS HAS RESULTED IN RAPID PRESSURE FALLS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA AND SOUTHERN IOWA SOUTH TO OKLAHOMA. THIS
IN TURN HAS TIGHTENED THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE KANSAS AND
MISSOURI BORDER. COUPLED WITH A STRONG 50+ KNOT 850MB JET...AND
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE FOR BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING...WE HAVE BEEN SEEING
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ACROSS THE GREATER KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN
AREA. THE SURFACE WIND SHOULD BEGIN TO SUBSIDE A LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AS SURFACE HEATING FADES AWAY AND THE 850MB WIND DECREASES A LITTLE.
AT THIS TIME I ANTICIPATE LETTING THE ADVISORY EXPIRE AT 4 PM.

THE DEEPENING SURFACE TROUGH TO OUR WEST TODAY WILL BECOME A
PROGRESSIVE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE PLAINS STATES SUNDAY WITH
A SHORTWAVE...CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...
PUSHING IT ALONG. LOOKING TO OUR SOUTH...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS MOISTURE BEGINNING TO SURGE BACK TO THE NORTH AS THE CUMULUS
FIELD SOUTH OF OKLAHOMA HAS BEGUN TO MOVE NORTH. EVEN WITH THE
STRONG SOUTHERLY WIND IT SHOULD TAKE TILL EARLY SUNDAY MORNING FOR
WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER TO FILL IN ACROSS THE REGION.

LATELY MODELS HAVE BEEN A BIT INCONSISTENT WITH THE PROJECTED SPEED
OF THE FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. HOWEVER...WITH
THE SHORTWAVE PUSHING THE FRONT NOW HAVING MADE LANDFALL...THE
GFS/NAM-WRF/SREF HAVE ALL CONVERGED TOWARDS A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
SOLUTION. THOUGHTS ARE STILL THAT THE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...THOUGH WE
SHOULD SEE SOME SHOWERS AND OR THUNDERSTORMS IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT
SUNDAY AFTERNOON. SEVER THUNDERSTORMS STILL DO NOT APPEAR TO BE A
PROBLEM. OTHERWISE...FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SUNDAY I HAVE BUMPED
SUNDAYS HIGH TEMPERATURES UP TO AROUND 70 DEGREES FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
THE MISSOURI RIVER. WINDS COULD BE A BIT STRONG AND GUSTY AGAIN AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AND SURFACE LOW FORMS ALONG THE FRONT
TOMORROW. CLOUD COVER SHOULD INHIBIT THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING
THOUGH...SO NO WIND ADVISORY IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR
SUNDAY.

FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...IT WILL BE A RACE BETWEEN THE
EXITING PRECIPITATION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND THE ADVECTING COLD
AIR MASS TO DETERMINE THE PRECIPITATION TYPE. WITH A SLOWER FRONT
AREAS...ESPECIALLY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...WILL BE PRONE TO MIDNIGHT
HIGHS. OTHERWISE...OVERNIGHT SHIFT HAS ALREADY ACCOUNTED FOR MUCH OF
THIS SLOW DOWN IN THE FRONT...THEREFORE ONLY ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS
WHERE TO INCREASE THEM SOME. DID ADJUST THE PRECIPITATION TYPE TO
INCLUDE A TRANSITION FROM RAIN TO SNOW USING A MIX OF RAIN/SLEET/AND
SNOW.

FOR SUNDAY NIGHT/MONDAY MORNING RAINFALL TOTALS COULD BE ON THE HIGH
SIDE AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL TOP OUT OVER ONE INCH ALONG
AND BEHIND THE FRONT. DYNAMICS LOOKS GOOD WITH A COUPLED JET
STRUCTURE ALOFT...BUT THE QUESTION IS HOW WIDESPREAD IT BE AND WILL
THE CHANGE OVER TO SLEET/SNOW MITIGATE THAT RUNOFF. CURRENT THOUGHTS
ARE THAT THE CHANGE OVER WILL NOT MITIGATE RUNOFF THAT MUCH...AND
THAT THE STORMS MIGHT PROGRESS FAST ENOUGH TO TO LEAVE VALUES JUST
BELOW HEADWATER GUIDANCE VALUES. HOWEVER...THIS WILL NEED CAREFUL
EVALUATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HAVE LEFT CHANCE SNOW POPS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF THE FORECAST
AREA FOR MONDAY.

CUTTER

NEXT SHORTWAVE IN THE SERIES WILL DROP IN BEHIND THE EXITING SYSTEM
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THINK BEST ENERGY/LIFT WILL STAY JUST
NORTH OF THE REGION. SO WITH WEAK LIFT AND LITTLE AVAILABLE
MOISTURE...EXPECT WEDNESDAY TO BE PREDOMINANTLY DRY. HOWEVER THE
COLD FRONT WILL HAVE SOME AFFECT...DROPPING TEMPERATURES FOR
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. HAVE THEREFORE LOWERED EXPECTED HIGHS FOR
THAT TIME-FRAME.

PATTERN REMAINS SOMEWHAT MESSY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH
GENERAL UPPER LEVEL TROUGHINESS AND EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES TRANSLATING
THROUGH THE FLOW. DIFFICULT TO TIME THESE SHORTWAVES. HOWEVER
MOISTURE WILL STRUGGLE TO RETURN...SO REGARDLESS...WILL MAINTAIN
POPS LESS THAN 15 PERCENT THROUGH THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
WILL ALSO HOLD TEMPS TO SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS THROUGH
SATURDAY.

NRR

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAF...WILL CONTINUE THE STRONG LLWS...PER WHAT IS
SHOWING ON THE PROFILERS AND THE VAD WINDS OFF OF THE 88D.
DEWPOINTS ARE STARTING TO CLIMB...AND EXPECT SOME STRATUS TO FORM
AFTER DAYBREAK ACROSS THE TAF SITES AS THIS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO ADVECT INTO THE REGION. MODELS CONTINUE TO SLOW DOWN
ARRIVAL OF THE SURFACE FRONT...SO WILL DELAY IT ARRIVING UNTIL THE
00Z TO 01Z TIMEFRAME.  BETTER LAPSE RATES AND INSTABILITY SHOULD BE
SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...SO WILL KEEP THUNDER
OUT OF THE TAFS...BUT WILL RETAIN THE MENTION OF A CB WITH THE
FRONT. MOST OF THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE POST FRONTAL
SUNDAY EVENING. ANY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOULD BE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
COLD AIR DEEPENS.

PC

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 1:00 PM CST, 15 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
100 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-021200-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
100 PM CST SAT MAR 1 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A STRONG SOUTHWEST WIND WILL PREVAIL ACROSS EAST CENTRAL KANSAS AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI FROM ATCHISON SOUTH THROUGH OLATHE AND LEES
SUMMIT THROUGH 4 PM. THIS WILL INCLUDE THE AREAS AROUND LEAVENWORTH
AND KANSAS CITY THROUGH EXCELSIOR SPRINGS AND BLUE SPRINGS. SUSTAINED
WIND SPEEDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH.
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN AFFECT THROUGH 4 PM AS A RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE LOWER MISSOURI
RIVER VALLEY SUNDAY...DROPPING A COLD FRONT INTO THE NORTHWEST
MISSOURI SUNDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT...SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS DURING THE EVENING HOURS. IN
ADDITION...A COLD RAIN WILL FORM BEHIND THE FRONT.

AT THIS TIME SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED WITH ANY OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...A HIGH AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL LIFT
NORTHWARD...ALLOWING FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DUE TO THE ALREADY SATURATED GROUND
CONDITIONS...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AREA STREAMS AND RIVERS COULD BECOME
SWOLLEN AND FLOOD IF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN DOES FALL.

IN ADDITION...COLDER AIR ABOVE THE GROUND WILL BEGIN TO SINK
SOUTHWARD SUNDAY EVENING. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SNOW TO MIX IN WITH
RAIN AND EVENTUALLY CHANGE COMPLETELY OVER TO SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN
AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI AS WELL AS NORTHEAST KANSAS. THERE REMAINS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON WHERE ANY HEAVY SNOW WILL FALL. AT THIS
TIME AREAS NORTH OF A KANSAS CITY TO KIRKSVILLE LINE HAVE THE BEST
CHANCE TO SEE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ALTHOUGH THE ENTIRE REGION COULD
SEE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION OVERNIGHT SUNDAY. ALL INTERESTED PARTIES
ARE ENCOURAGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE LATEST FORECAST FOR INFORMATION
ON ANY SHIFT IN STORM TRACK AND INTENSITY WHICH COULD PUSH
PRECIPITATION AREAS FARTHER NORTH OR SOUTH.

THE REMAINING PORTIONS OF THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE AREA ON
MONDAY...WITH A LINGERING CHANCE OF SNOW ALONG THE SOUTHEAST PORTIONS
OF THE OUTLOOK AREA MONDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

CUTTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 8:31 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXBuchanan4 days
Mar 2, 4:03 AM CSTWind AdvisoryEAXBates, Cass, Clay, Henry, Jackson, Johnson and 3 more12 hr
Mar 2, 4:26 AM CSTWinter Weather AdvisoryEAXAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison and 3 more20 hr
Mar 2, 8:51 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXLinn, Livingston4 days
Mar 2, 8:51 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Linn, Livingston6 days
Mar 2, 8:51 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXPlatte5 days
Mar 2, 8:51 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXPlatte5 days
Mar 2, 2:17 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXDaviess, Livingston54 hr
Mar 2, 4:37 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXAndrew, Buchanan19 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in Missouri, 2008Flood Watches in Kansas, 2008Every flood watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.