Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Kansas City, MO

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 030130
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
824 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008


KSC091-103-209-MOC047-095-165-030700-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-080703T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEAVENWORTH KS-WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-PLATTE MO-
824 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...AND WYANDOTTE AND LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST 
KANSAS...AND SOUTHERN PLATTE...CLAY AND JACKSON COUNTIES IN WEST 
CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

AT 820 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES 
HAD ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. AT 818 PM CDT...LOCAL 
LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED WATER RESCUES ONGOING NEAR 15TH AND 
WASHINGTON IN KANSAS CITY KANSAS.  

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN ANCHORED ACROSS 
THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF TWO 
OR MORE INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE THUNDERSTORMS EXIT.  THIS IS A VERY 
DANGEROUS SITUATION...THOSE TRAVELING TONIGHT ARE URGED TO USE 
EXTREME CAUTION AS FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF 
THE NIGHTTIME HOURS.  RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE 
FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING 
INCLUDE...BASEHOR...BLUE SPRINGS...BONNER 
SPRINGS...BUCKNER...CLAYCOMO...COURTNEY...DESOTO...EDWARDSVILLE...
EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...FAIRWAY...GLADSTONE...GRAIN 
VALLEY...GRANDVIEW...GREENWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 3916 9421 3915 9411 3884 9413 3884 9461
      3881 9506 3897 9505 3897 9518 3941 9517
      3942 9496 3941 9496 3945 9461 3946 9422

$$

DUX

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 030220
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
913 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

KSC091-103-209-MOC047-095-165-030700-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-080703T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEAVENWORTH KS-WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-PLATTE MO-
913 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...AND WYANDOTTE AND LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
KANSAS...AND SOUTHERN PLATTE...CLAY AND JACKSON COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

AT 909 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING TO PRODUCE 
SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER 
RADAR ESTIMATED UPWARDS OF THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN 
IN AREAS FROM LANSING KANSAS...THROUGH WOLCOTT...WEATHERBY 
LAKE...AND DOWNTOWN KANSAS CITY.  THIS RAPID RAINFALL HAS CAUSED 
SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN THE CITIES OF LANCING AND 
LEAVENWORTH.  IN ADDITION...HIGHWAY 45 IS CLOSED BETWEEN PARKVILLE 
AND WEATHERBY LAKE DUE TO WATER RUNNING OVER THE ROAD.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION FOR THOSE LIVING IN SOUTHERN 
PLATTE...EASTERN LEAVENWORTH...AND WYANDOTTE COUNTIES. THOSE 
TRAVELING TONIGHT ARE URGED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION AS MANY ROADS 
ARE CURRENTLY FLOODED. SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO 
PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 
COULD APPROACH TWO OR MORE INCHES ACROSS THE KANSAS CITY 
METROPOLITAN AREA.  RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE 
FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE BASEHOR...BLUE 
SPRINGS...BONNER SPRINGS...BUCKNER...CLAYCOMO...COURTNEY...DE 
SOTO...EDWARDSVILLE...EXCELSIOR 
SPRINGS...FAIRWAY...GLADSTONE...GRAIN VALLEY...GRANDVIEW...GREENWOOD 
AND INDEPENDENCE.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY.

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 3916 9421 3915 9411 3884 9413 3884 9461
      3881 9506 3897 9505 3897 9518 3941 9517
      3942 9496 3941 9496 3945 9461 3946 9422

$$

DUX

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 030252
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
946 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

KSC091-103-209-MOC047-095-165-030700-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-080703T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEAVENWORTH KS-WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-PLATTE MO-
946 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...AND WYANDOTTE AND LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
KANSAS...AND SOUTHERN PLATTE...CLAY AND JACKSON COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

AT 943 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS 
WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. DOPPLER 
RADAR AND STORM SPOTTERS INDICATED UPWARDS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES OF 
RAINFALL HAD FALLEN NEAR THE CITIES OF 
LANCING...LEAVENWORTH...WEATHERBY LAKE...GLADSTONE...AND DOWNTOWN 
KANSAS CITY.

AT 946 PM...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED SIGNIFICANT 
FLOODING IN THE CITIES OF LANCING...LEAVENWORTH...WEATHERBY 
LAKE...AND INTO MUCH OF WYANDOTTE COUNTY.  NEAR LEAVENWORTH...FLASH 
FLOODING WAS OCCURRING ON KANSAS HIGHWAY 7 IN LEAVENWORTH.  IN 
ADDITION...KANSAS HIGHWAY 5 JUST EAST OF LANCING AND HIGHWAY 45 NEAR 
PARKVILLE WERE ALSO CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING. 

SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY 
RAINFALL IN THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL 
BEING TO SETTLE INTO THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA FROM THE 
NORTH WITHIN THE NEXT HOURS. RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL 
WILL CAUSE ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. THIS IS A VERY 
DANGEROUS SITUATION FOR MUCH OF THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN 
AREA...THOSE DRIVING THIS EVENING SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE BASEHOR...BLUE 
SPRINGS...BONNER SPRINGS...BUCKNER...CLAYCOMO...COURTNEY. 
DESOTO...EDWARDSVILLE...EXCELSIOR 
SPRINGS...FAIRWAY...GLADSTONE...GRANDVIEW...GREENWOOD AND 
INDEPENDENCE WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED BY THIS FLOODING.


MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 3916 9421 3915 9411 3884 9413 3884 9461
      3881 9506 3897 9505 3897 9518 3941 9517
      3942 9496 3941 9496 3945 9461 3946 9422

$$

DUX

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 030353
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1042 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008


KSC091-103-209-MOC047-095-165-030700-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-080703T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEAVENWORTH KS-WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-PLATTE MO-
1042 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...AND WYANDOTTE AND LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
KANSAS...AND SOUTHERN PLATTE...CLAY AND JACKSON COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

AT 1038 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS SINKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR AND 
STORM SPOTTERS INDICATED UPWARDS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAINFALL 
HAD FALLEN ACROSS AREAS FROM EASTON...TO 
LANSING...WEATHERBY LAKE...GLADSTONE...DOWNTOWN KANSAS 
CITY...INDEPENDENCE...AND LIBERTY EARLIER TONIGHT.  

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION AS FLOODING WILL 
CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  ALL THOSE TRAVELING TONIGHT 
SHOULD EXCESSIVE EXTREME CAUTION...AS IT IS HARDER TO SEE FLOODED 
ROADWAYS AT NIGHT.  NEAR LANCING KANSAS HIGHWAY 5 WAS CLOSED DUE TO 
SEVERAL FEET OF WATER OVER THE HIGHWAY.  IN ADDITION...HIGHWAY 45 
NEAR PARKVILLE WAS ALSO CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.   

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE 
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA IN THE NEXT 
HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

 SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE BASEHOR...BLUE 
SPRINGS...BONNER SPRINGS...BUCKNER...CLAYCOMO...COURTNEY AND DE 
SOTO. EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...FAIRWAY...GLADSTONE...GRAIN VALLEY... 
GRANDVIEW...GREENWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED BY THIS 
HEAVY RAIN.

IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN 
AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO 
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 3916 9421 3915 9411 3884 9413 3884 9461
      3881 9506 3897 9505 3897 9518 3941 9517
      3942 9496 3941 9496 3945 9461 3946 9422

$$

DUX

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 030357 CCA
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1042 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

KSC091-103-209-MOC047-095-165-030700-
/O.COR.KEAX.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-080703T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEAVENWORTH KS-WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-PLATTE MO-
1042 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...AND WYANDOTTE AND LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
KANSAS...AND SOUTHERN PLATTE...CLAY AND JACKSON COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

AT 1038 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A LINE OF 
THUNDERSTORMS SINKING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RADAR AND 
STORM SPOTTERS INDICATED UPWARDS OF THREE TO SIX INCHES OF RAINFALL 
HAD FALLEN ACROSS AREAS FROM EASTON...TO 
LANSING...WEATHERBY LAKE...GLADSTONE...DOWNTOWN KANSAS 
CITY...INDEPENDENCE...AND LIBERTY EARLIER TONIGHT.  

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION AS FLOODING WILL 
CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  ALL THOSE TRAVELING TONIGHT 
SHOULD EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION...AS IT IS HARDER TO SEE FLOODED 
ROADWAYS AT NIGHT.  NEAR LANSING KANSAS...HIGHWAY 5 WAS CLOSED DUE 
TO SEVERAL FEET OF WATER OVER THE HIGHWAY.  IN ADDITION...HIGHWAY 45 
NEAR PARKVILLE WAS ALSO CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.   

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DROP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE 
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE KANSAS CITY METROPOLITAN AREA IN THE NEXT 
HOUR. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE BASEHOR...BLUE 
SPRINGS...BONNER SPRINGS...BUCKNER...CLAYCOMO...COURTNEY AND DE 
SOTO. EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...FAIRWAY...GLADSTONE...GRAIN VALLEY... 
GRANDVIEW...GREENWOOD AND INDEPENDENCE WILL ALSO BE AFFECTED BY THIS 
HEAVY RAIN.

IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED...ACT QUICKLY. DO NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN 
AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO 
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON
FOOT OR IN A VEHICLE.

REPORT FLOODING TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY SO THAT THEY
MAY TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO CLOSE FLOODED ROADWAYS. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL.

LAT...LON 3916 9421 3915 9411 3884 9413 3884 9461
      3881 9506 3897 9505 3897 9518 3941 9517
      3942 9496 3941 9496 3945 9461 3946 9422

$$

MAS

000 
WGUS73 KEAX 030503
FFSEAX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1154 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

KSC091-103-209-MOC047-095-165-030700-
/O.CON.KEAX.FF.W.0032.000000T0000Z-080703T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LEAVENWORTH KS-WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-PLATTE MO-
1154 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL KANSAS...AND WYANDOTTE AND LEAVENWORTH COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST
KANSAS...AND SOUTHERN PLATTE...CLAY AND JACKSON COUNTIES IN WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI UNTIL 200 AM CDT...

AT 1150 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF THREE TO IN EXCESS OF SIX INCHES HAD FALLEN 
ACROSS AREAS FROM EASTON...TO LANSING...WEATHERBY 
LAKE...GLADSTONE...DOWNTOWN KANSAS CITY...INDEPENDENCE...AND LIBERTY 
EARLIER TONIGHT.

THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION AS RUNOFF FROM THIS 
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLASH FLOODING INTO THE 
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ALL THOSE TRAVELING TONIGHT SHOULD USE EXTREME 
CAUTION...AS IT IS HARDER TO SEE FLOODED ROADWAYS AT NIGHT. JUST 
EAST OF LANSING KANSAS HIGHWAY 5 WAS CLOSED DUE TO SEVERAL FEET OF 
WATER OVER THE HIGHWAY. IN ADDITION...HIGHWAY 45 NEAR PARKVILLE WAS 
ALSO CLOSED DUE TO FLASH FLOODING.

WHILE THE STRONGER LINE OF STORMS HAVE MOVED SOUTH...ADDITIONAL 
SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE 
NEXT FEW HOURS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE 
AROUND ONE HALF INCH OR LESS IN MOST LOCATIONS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3916 9421 3915 9411 3884 9413 3884 9461
      3881 9506 3897 9505 3897 9518 3941 9517
      3942 9496 3941 9496 3945 9461 3946 9422

$$

MAS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
707 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

19Z SURFACE ANALYSIS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW NO SHORTAGE
OF BOUNDARIES ACROSS THE REGION EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

1.) CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WRAPS FROM SEDALIA NW ACROSS THE
WESTERN KC METRO
2.) ELEVATED ACCAS BAND EXTENDING FROM TOPEKA-KMCI-CHILLICOTHE
3.) EFFECTIVE SURFACE FRONT FROM XTRM SE NEBRASKA TO DES MOINES
4.) SECONDARY COLD FRONT/MOISTURE AXIS EXTENDING FROM MCV
CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA.

MODEL DATA CAN REALLY BE THROWN OUT AT THIS POINT GIVEN THE VARIETY
OF AIRMASSES AND MESOSCALE FEATURES PRESENT OVER THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE STABILIZED ENVIRONMENT OVER MUCH OF THE CWA AT
THIS HOUR AND NEAR 23C PRESENT AT 850MB...EXPECT THAT BAND OF
ACCAS/ELEVATED SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE NW CWA SHOULD REMAIN
ELEVATED WITH SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDER. STILL...WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL FOR HIGH-BASED STORMS GIVEN ACTIVITY NEAR
PRATT KS.

ATTENTION TURNS TO THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST WHERE BOUNDARY LAYER
CUMULUS WAS JUST NOW BEGINNING TO POP ALONG THE EFFECTIVE FRONT OVER
IOWA. FURTHER NORTH/WEST...DEEP CONVECTION WAS ALREADY ONGOING IN
THE VICINITY OF AN MCV OVER CENTRAL NEBRASKA...AND EXPANDING
EASTWARD ALONG A SLIGHTLY ELEVATED W-E FRONTAL ZONE/MOISTURE POOL
THAT WAS LOCATED WELL BEHIND THE SURFACE FRONT.

CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP RAPIDLY ACROSS
SE NEB/XTRM NW MO/SRN IA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND BEGIN A
SOUTHWARD PUSH AS UPSTREAM DRY AIR AND CONVECTIVE COLD POOLS BECOME
ESTABLISHED. AIRMASS OVER THE NW AND FAR SW CWA WAS ALREADY
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 80S AND DWPTS NEAR
70...AND EXPECT A SIMILAR RECOVERY ALONG THE WRN FRINGES OF THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BY 00Z. SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR MULTI-CELL
STORMS...POSSIBLY A SUPERCELL OR TWO...WITH LARGE HAIL THE INITIAL
THREAT. GIVEN LOW WET-BULB ZERO HEIGHTS AND VERY STEEP LAPSE
RATES...SOME HAIL COULD BE DAMAGING. AN INCREASING WIND THREAT WOULD
THEN OCCUR THIS EVENING AS THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO ORGANIZE AND COLD
POOLS BECOME ESTABLISHED. GIVEN THE BACKED ERLY FLOW ALONG THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...CANNOT COMPLETELY RULE OUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IF
ANY ORGANIZED CELL CAN INTERCEPT THIS BOUNDARY.

HEAVY RAINFALL PROBABLY REMAINS THE BIGGEST QUESTION OVERNIGHT. A
FAIRLY LARGE AREA SAW 1-2 OF RAIN THIS MORNING...WHICH CERTAINLY
DOESNT HELP ANY. IF ACTIVITY CONGEALS AND ACCELERATES SOUTHWARD
OVERNIGHT...THEN THE THREAT OF WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE
DIMINISHED. SO WHILE THERES A COLLECTIVE HOPE THAT THIS
OCCURS...PRECIPITABLE WATERS > 1.6 AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WARRANT ISSUANCE OF A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR
THE SRN HALF OF THE CWA.

MOST OF THE INITIAL ACTIVITY SHOULD PUSH SOUTH OF THE REGION BY
12Z...BUT A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL LIKELY REGENERATE PRECIPITATION
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER THE
SRN CWA COULD AGGRAVATE ANY ONGOING FLOODING ISSUES...SO WILL LIKELY
RUN AN FFA THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY GIVEN SREF MEANS.

THE 4TH LOOKS GREAT WITH PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF THE AREA AND BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

BOOKBINDER

MEDIUM RANGE (SAT-WED)...

MEAN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT NORTHEASTWARD BY THE
BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND AS UPPER SHORT WAVE TROUGH SLIDES INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A DRIER...WARMER TREND FOR THE
WEEKEND TIMEFRAME AS DEEPER LLVL MOISTURE IS DISPLACED FURTHER SOUTH
AND H85 TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO MID 20S C BY THE LATTER
PARTS OF THE WEEKEND. HAVE THEREFORE KEPT MAX TEMPS IN THE LOWER 90S
BY SUNDAY WITH A DRY FORECAST THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEKEND AS
H85 THERMAL AXIS NOSES ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.

THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES AND INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK
BRINING ANOTHER FRONT INTO THE REGION FOR MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING. OPERATIONAL GFS THE MORE AGGRESSIVE BRINING QPF INTO THE
CWA DURING THIS TIME FRAME AND HAVE MAINTAINED SLIGHT CHC TO CHC
POPS FOR THE TIME BEING UNTIL BETTER CONSISTENCY IS REACHED.
HOWEVER...GIVEN RECENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS...WILL LIKELY HAVE TO RAISE
POPS IN FUTURE FORECASTS.

OTHERWISE...WARMER TEMPS WILL LIKELY PREVAIL BY MIDWEEK AS SHORT
WAVE TROUGH SLIDES EAST AND WESTERN US UPPER RIDGE ONCE AGAIN BUILDS
INTO THE PLAINS.

DEROCHE

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 00Z TAFS...WITH SURFACE BOUNDARIES AND MCV/S TOO NUMEROUS TO
COUNT BEGINNING TO LIGHT UP WITH THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...HAVE OPTED TO KEEP THE TEMPO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE
TERMINALS THROUGH 05Z TO 06Z. SOME THUNDERSTORMS EARLY ON IN THE
KANSAS CITY TERMINALS MAY HAVE SMALL HAIL. FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH
THE TERMINALS OVERNIGHT...THOUGH PRECISE TIMING WILL BE DIFFICULT
DUE TO WIND FIELD CONTAMINATION FROM THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. TAPER
THE ACTIVITY TO VICINITY SHOWERS AFTER 08Z...WITH NO PRECIP IN THE
TERMINALS BY 12Z. BEST POTENTIAL FOR REDEVELOPMENT OF THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY SHOULD OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE MOVING
THROUGH THE REGION GETS ASSISTANCE FROM THE HEAT OF THE DAY.
OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECT THIS EVENING...EXCEPT IN THE
WITHIN THE THUNDERSTORMS. BY TOMORROW MORNING CLOUDS WILL HAVE
LOWERED SOME...BUT HAVE KEPT THEM IN THE VFR RANGE AT THIS TIME.

CUTTER

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
100 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-031100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
100 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

 SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING ALONG AND EAST OF A
 GALLATIN TO MARSHALL TO BOONVILLE LINE WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE
 LIMITS AS THEY MOVE EAST THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON.

 ELSEWHERE...AT LEAST PARTIAL SUNSHINE WILL HELP DESTABILIZE THE
 AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF MORNING RAINFALL...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
 THAT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND NORTHEAST KANSAS THIS
 AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME QUITE NUMEROUS ALONG THIS
 FRONT AS IT MOVES SOUTH OVER THE COURSE OF THE LATE AFTERNOON
 AND EVENING HOURS. THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEPEND ON
 HOW QUICKLY TEMPERATURES RECOVER...BUT THERE REMAINS A
 SLIGHT RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAINFALL
 ASSOCIATED WITH ANY STORMS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...
 AS WELL AS RENEWED RIVER FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

 ON THURSDAY...WITH THE COLD FRONT STILL EXPECTED TO BE IN SOUTHERN
 MISSOURI...THUNDERSTORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY IN AREAS
 TO THE SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
 SEVERE WEATHER FROM THESE STORMS WITH ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND
 LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREATS.  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO
 BE A CONCERN.

 FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY...THE FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE
 SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH. STILL THUNDERSTORMS CAN NOT BE TOTALLY RULED
 OUT...MAINLY IN AREAS SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST KANSAS
 AND NORTHERN MISSOURI..AND TONIGHT IN AREAS FROM EAST CENTRAL
 KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. REPORTS OF FLOODING ARE ALSO
 REQUESTED.

BOOKBINDER/PC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
729 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

MOZ002>004-030100-
GENTRY-NODAWAY-WORTH-
729 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR EASTERN NODAWAY...NORTHWESTERN
GENTRY AND SOUTHWESTERN WORTH COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 725 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTH OF RAVENWOOD...OR 11 MILES
NORTHEAST OF MARYVILLE...MOVING SOUTH AT 13 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RAVENWOOD BY 755 PM CDT.

THE TOWNS OF PARNELL...CONCEPTION JUNCTION AND CLYDE ARE ALSO IN THE
PATH OF THIS STORM.

DEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
730 PM CDT WED JUL 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0723 PM     HAIL             RENO                    39.05N 95.12W
07/02/2008  E2.50 INCH       LEAVENWORTH        KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HAIL RANGED IN SIZE FROM GOLFBALL TO TENNIS BALL

&&

SF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
736 PM CDT WED JUL 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 SW BASEHOR            39.08N 95.00W
07/02/2008  E60 MPH          LEAVENWORTH        KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
738 PM CDT WED JUL 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 PM     HAIL             MEADVILLE               39.79N 93.30W
07/02/2008  E0.75 INCH       LINN               MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
744 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

MOZ030-031-038-030115-
CARROLL-LAFAYETTE-RAY-
744 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE...
SOUTHEASTERN RAY AND SOUTHWESTERN CARROLL COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM
CDT...

AT 738 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR RICHMOND...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HARDIN BY 750 PM CDT.
  NORBORNE BY 805 PM CDT.
  WAVERLY AND 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CARROLLTON BY 815 PM CDT.

THE TOWN OF DOVER IS ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

DEROCHE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
751 PM CDT WED JUL 02 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     HAIL             1 S KANSAS CITY         39.11N 94.55W
07/02/2008  E1.00 INCH       JACKSON            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

0620 PM     HAIL             1 S LAKE WAUKOMIS       39.22N 94.64W
07/02/2008  E1.00 INCH       PLATTE             MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MRD