Areal Flood Warning 13, NWS Kansas City, MO

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
559 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-231100-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-
JOHNSON KS-ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-
PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-
BUCHANAN-CLINTON-CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-
RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-
CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
559 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THIS MORNING...WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ANCHORED FROM LAWRENCE TO BUTLER
EARLY THIS MORNING WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHEAST THIS MORNING...BEFORE
GRADUALLY WEAKENING. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL
OVERSPREAD AN AXIS FROM ST. JOSEPH TO KANSAS CITY TO CLINTON. MOST
AREAS WILL RECEIVE AROUND ONE HALF INCH OF RAIN...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES LIKELY IN AREAS WHERE REPEATED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OCCURS. SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

THIS AFTERNOON...THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR ONGOING THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL STILL BE NORTHERN MISSOURI...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED.

TONIGHT...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY RETURN TO THE AREA AS A WARM
FRONT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

FRIDAY...THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS IS POSSIBLE IN EASTERN
KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI. DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY THESE STORMS
MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH DURING THE EVENING
HOURS...BUT ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ENHANCE THE LOCAL FLOODING
POTENTIAL.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...AS DEEP GULF OF MEXICO
MOISTURE MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION. ALTHOUGH WIND FIELDS ALOFT
WILL BE RATHER WEAK AND LIKELY PRECLUDE ANY WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER...MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY PRESENT DURING PEAK
HEATING HOURS ACROSS THE AREA COULD LEAD TO ANY OF THESE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING BRIEFLY SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS THE PRIMARY THREATS.

MORE ORGANIZED AND EXTENSIVE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE POSSIBLE
SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY...AS A COLD FRONT SAGS SLOWLY SOUTH
THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA. AT THIS TIME...ATMOSPHERIC WIND FIELDS
WOULD SUGGEST CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES WOULD BE THE MOST
LIKELY MODE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY TIME FRAME...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL AGAIN THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY...ALTHOUGH REPORTS OF VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL IS REQUESTED. ON FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED...WITH THE MOST LIKELY AREA IN EASTERN
KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS.

MJS/RC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
449 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

KSZ057-060-MOZ053-221030-
BATES-LINN-MIAMI-
449 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN LINN...SOUTHEASTERN
MIAMI AND WESTERN BATES COUNTIES UNTIL 530 AM CDT...

AT 446 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FONTANA TO BUTLER...
MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. THIS INCLUDES THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR FROM
ARCHIE TO RICH HILL.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ARE OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
ALTHOUGH SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED...PERSONS ARE URGED TO
REMAIN INDOORS GIVEN THE DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS AND AMOUNT OF
LIGHTNING OCCURRING. LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY ALSO DEVELOP WITH 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

THE TOWNS OF ADRIAN...AMSTERDAM...MERWIN...NEW LANCASTER AND PASSAIC
ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS.

BOOKBINDER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
614 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

MOZ054-221145-
HENRY-
614 AM CDT THU MAY 22 2008

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR SOUTHERN HENRY COUNTY UNTIL 645 AM
CDT...

AT 609 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MONTROSE...OR 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CLINTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM...AS WELL AS FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  CLINTON AND DEEPWATER BY 645 AM CDT.

THE TOWN OF LA DUE IS ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM.

BOOKBINDER