Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Des Moines, IA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
338 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008

.DISCUSSION...
FOCUS IS ON DEVELOPING WEATHER. AMPLE MOISTURE IN PLACE AS 70
DEGREE DEW POINTS STREAMING INTO THE CWA. SC LOW IN MN WITH A WARM
FRONT EXTENDING DOWN FM WRN MN INTO ERN IA AND A COLD FRONT FM THE
DAKOTAS INTO ERN NEB WILL SINK SE THROUGH TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL
SETTLE SOUTH OF IA LATE MONDAY MORNING. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER POSSIBLE WITH 4000-5000 J/KG CAPE OVER THE CWA ALONG WITH
50+ KNOTS OF SHEAR. THE CAP IS VIRTUALLY GONE AS WELL AND WITH
THE SUN BREAKING OUT THERE WILL BE RAPID DESTABILIZATION ACROSS
THE CWA WITH STORMS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY EVOLVE AND BECOME SEVERE.
THE SCENARIO HAS NOT CHANGED IN EVOLVING A COMPLEX OF STORMS OVER
SRN IA TONGIGHT WITH AN INCREASING HEAVY RAIN THREAT AFTER THE
SEVERE EVENT THIS EVENING. AS A RESULT THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE.

THE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES AS FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL
AND SEVERAL SHORTWAVES PUSH ACROSS THE CWA. NEXT SYSTEM HAS
ALREADY BEEN ADVERTISED FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
THEN AGAIN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. AT THIS POINT SEVERE POTENTIAL
LOOKS DECENT FOR THE FRIDAY SYSTEM BUT THERE IS SOME QUESTION ON
TRACK AND TIMING FOR THE MONDAY SYSTEM MAKING IT DIFFICULT TO
DETERMINE ANY SEVERE POTENTIAL AT THIS POINT.

AS FOR TEMPS...A COOL DOWN IS EXPECTED IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM
WITH HIGHS DIPPING INTO THE 60S AND 70S BUT AS FLOW BECOMES
ZONAL...HIGHS SHOULD BE CLOSER TO NORMAL BY MIDWEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...25/18Z
LOW STRATUS DECK PERSISTED THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING HOURS IN
CENTRAL IOWA. BY 18Z...EXPECT ST GO THIN AND DISSIPATE. CDFRONT
MOVG INTO NW IA THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR TSTM
DEVELOPMENT. WL FORECAST 3-4 HOUR TSTM PERIOD IN THE TAF/S AT THE
MOST LIKELY TIMES. IN TIMES WHERE TSTMS ARE STILL PSBL WILL US
VCTS IN TAFS. FRONTAL BOUNDARY SHOULD BE IN SRN IA/NRN MO BY END
OF FCST PD SHIFTING THE TSTM CHANCES SOUTH.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING FOR ADAIR-ADAMS-APPANOOSE-AUDUBON-BOONE-CARROLL-CASS-
CLARKE-CRAWFORD-DALLAS-DAVIS-DECATUR-GREENE-GUTHRIE-JASPER-LUCAS-
MADISON-MAHASKA-MARION-MARSHALL-MONROE-POLK-POWESHIEK-RINGGOLD-
STORY-TAMA-TAYLOR-UNION-WAPELLO-WARREN-WAYNE.

&&

AVIATION...JOHNSON
SHORT TERM/LONG TERM...FAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
831 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008

IAZ044>050-057>062-070>075-081>086-092>097-261345-
CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-
DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-
MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-
DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
831 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY. HOWEVER...MORE INTENSE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP LATE
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN IOWA. THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING TIME FRAMES. THE
STORMS ARE FORECAST TO CONSOLIDATE OVERNIGHT WITH HEAVY RAINS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA. SEVERAL INCHES OF NEW RAIN ARE
POSSIBLE LEADING TO FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN IOWA TONIGHT. PLEASE REFER TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES WEBSITE FOR ADDITIONAL
DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ADDITIONAL THREATS FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AND
EARLY TUESDAY AS WELL AS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO LATE FRIDAY. THE
THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS LIMITED EARLY IN THE WEEK
ALTHOUGH THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINS WILL PERSIST. SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
SPOTTER MAY ALSO BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE CALL HAS BEEN SCHEDULED FOR NOON TODAY.

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-261345-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-
831 AM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY. HOWEVER...MORE INTENSE STORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP LATE
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN IOWA. THESE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING TIME FRAMES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. SEVERE
WEATHER IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
SPOTTER MAY ALSO BE NEEDED THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. AN
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT CONFERENCE CALL HAS BEEN SCHEDULED FOR NOON
TODAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
356 PM CDT SUN MAY 25 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     HAIL             4 NW CLARION            42.78N 93.79W
05/25/2008  E1.25 INCH       WRIGHT             IA   AMATEUR RADIO

            2.5 MILES NW OF CLARION.

&&

KJ

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>