Alert archive / Iowa / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS Des Moines, IA

April 22, 2008Audubon County, Guthrie County, Iowa

NWS Des Moines, IA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 22, 2008, 1:47 AM CDT for Audubon County, Guthrie County, Iowa. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Apr 22, 2008, 1:47 AM CDT (06:47 UTC)
Expired: Apr 22, 2008, 2:15 AM CDT
In force: 28 min
Issued by: NWS Des Moines, IA
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Audubon County, IA, Guthrie County, IA

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 6.8 hours before the alert went out and 141 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1043 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 126 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDMX 220648
SVRDMX
IAC009-077-220715-
/O.NEW.KDMX.SV.W.0010.080422T0647Z-080422T0715Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
147 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DES MOINES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN AUDUBON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA...
  NORTHWESTERN GUTHRIE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL IOWA...

* UNTIL 215 AM CDT.

* AT 146 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL.  THIS
  STORM WAS LOCATED 19 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAYARD...OR 60 MILES
  SOUTHEAST OF IDA GROVE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 33 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  JAMAICA AND BAGLEY.

MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF YOU LIVE IN A
MOBILE HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING.


LARGE HAIL CAN CAUSE INJURY AND PROPERTY DAMAGE. SEEK SAFETY INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 4186 9492 4185 9429 4151 9473 4151 9475
      4173 9477 4174 9495
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 219DEG 29KT 4165 9479

$$

RUSSELL

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 220711
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
210 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

IAC009-220720-
/O.CAN.KDMX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080422T0715Z/
AUDUBON IA-
210 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN AUDUBON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 207 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE  MOVED OUT OF THE 
AREA...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. 
THEREFORE...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.



LAT...LON 4185 9430 4184 9430 4165 9460 4167 9468
      4170 9472 4175 9473 4185 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0710Z 219DEG 29KT 4179 9463

$$

IAC077-220715-
/O.CON.KDMX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080422T0715Z/
GUTHRIE IA-
210 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTY...

AT 207 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BAYARD...OR 55
MILES WEST OF DES MOINES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 33 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO JAMAICA
AND BAGLEY

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE
HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE
TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL.

LAT...LON 4185 9430 4184 9430 4165 9460 4167 9468
      4170 9472 4175 9473 4185 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0710Z 219DEG 29KT 4179 9463

$$

RUSSELL

000 
WWUS53 KDMX 220721
SVSDMX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
220 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

IAC077-220730-
/O.EXP.KDMX.SV.W.0010.000000T0000Z-080422T0715Z/
GUTHRIE IA-
220 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN GUTHRIE COUNTY HAS
EXPIRED...

AT 219 AM CDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED...AND NO
LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE...THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

REPORT TORNADOES...WIND IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...HAIL LARGER THAN ONE
HALF INCH...OR STORM DAMAGE BY CALLING LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND
ASKING THEM TO RELAY THE REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4185 9430 4184 9430 4165 9460 4167 9468
      4170 9472 4175 9473 4185 9474
TIME...MOT...LOC 0711Z 219DEG 29KT 4180 9462

$$

RUSSELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Des Moines, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 21, 11:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 21, 11:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1132 PM CDT MON APR 21 2008

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS NOW ACROSS CENTRAL IOWA JUST WEST OF INTERSTATE
35. SOME DRIZZLE BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG AND BEHIND OF SFC
BOUNDARY WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIFT IN THIS REGION.
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY CURRENTLY INHIBITED BY CAP ALOFT BETWEEN 700-750
MB WITH THE MID LEVEL BOUNDARY LAGGING AT THE MOMENT. MID LEVEL
COOLING WILL COMMENCE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG INTERSTATE 35 WHERE BEST
LIFT AND LOWEST INHIBITION IS LOCATED THOUGH THE MID LEVEL
CLOUDINESS WILL LIMIT OVERALL INSTABILITY. A SHORT WAVE IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH CENTRAL IOWA OVERNIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES.

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
FRONT WILL BE EAST OF THE AREA BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING WITH
CLEARING SKIES AND DRY AIR ADVANCING EAST BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.
CURRENTLY MUCH COOLER ACROSS THE DAKOTAS BUT MODELS INDICATE THE
COOLER AIR WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE REGION TUESDAY WITH MODERATELY
WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED UNDER THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. RIDGE
REMAINS OVER THE AREA THROUGH MOST OF WED WITH THETAE ADVECTION
BEGINNING TO RETURN BY WED AFTERNOON. INITIAL FORCING LIMITED TO
SPEED SHEAR WITH BETTER FRONTAL AND QG FORCING TO THE WEST. MODELS
CONTINUE TO INDICATE A FAIRLY RAPID RETURN OF MOISTURE AND
SHOWER/TSTORM CHANCES INCREASE LATE WED ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEST IN
FAVORED AREA OF LOW LEVEL JET THAT DEVELOPS OVERNIGHT. OF THE TWO
SHORT TERM MODELS...GFS IS SLOWER INTIALLY WITH THE RETURN OF
THUNDER WEST THUR MORNING WHILE THE NAM IS QUICKER TO INITIALIZE
OVERNIGHT CONVECTION. ATTM...PREFER A SLOWER SOLN BOTH FOR ONSET AND
DEPARTURE OF PRECIP EVENT. CURRENT BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDER LOOK TO
BE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT AS UPPER LEVEL WAVE APPROACHES THE
AREA. WITH SHARPENING TROUGH ALOFT IN RESPONSE TO PERSISTENT MEAN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE...SFC FRONT LOOKS TO BE SLOWING A BIT. WITH THIS
IN MIND...WILL BE EXTENDING PRECIP CHANCES THROUGH FRIDAY AND
INCREASING POP FOR THURS TO LIKELY OVER A LARGER AREA AND FOR A BIT
LONGER. THOUGH CHANCES FOR STRONGER STORMS CONTINUE IN THE OFFING
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK...TIMING OF FRONTAL PASSAGE MAY FAVOR
BETTER ORGANIZATION WEST AND EAST WITH FRONT PASSING OVER THE AREA
THURS NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO FOR
TRENDS. OTHER CONCERN WILL BE RAINFALL POTENTIAL.  ATTM MODELS
CONTINUE TO LACK CONSISTENCY WITH REGARD TO QPF PLACEMENT. BOTH
NAM/GFS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE STRONGER NORTHERN STREAM WAVE FOR
THURS WITH WEAKER SOUTHERN STREAM...THUS BETTER FORCING PROGGED
NORTHWEST OF REGION FOR NOW. MED RANGE MODELS HAVE RAIN HANGING ON
FOR FRIDAY WITH GFS AGAIN A BIT FASTER IN MOVING SYSTEM TO THE EAST.
AS PER ABOVE DISCUSSION...PREFER TO SLOW THINGS DOWN ABOUT 12 HOURS
WITH RATHER PERSISTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE ACROSS THE CENTRAL STATES.

LATER ON SATURDAY ANOTHER WAVE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST AND HAVE
SOME PRECIP ARRIVING FOR SAT AND SUNDAY. HAVE COORDINATED USING HPC
POP GRIDS FOR NOW THOUGH SOME HINT AT SEPARATION BETWEEN SYSTEMS
AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE WEEKEND STORM.  EURO DEEPENS UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM CONSIDERABLY WITH GEM AND GFS OFFERING NEARLY COMPLETELY
DIFFERENT SOLNS. LOW CONFIDENCE CURRENTLY GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF FRIDAY WHEN RAIN COOLED AIR MAY PREDOMINATE.

&&

.AVIATION...22/06Z
CDFNT MAKING LTL PROGRESS AS UPR LVL TROF AND UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX
LIFTS OUT OF CO.  WILL SEE AN INC IN SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY DURG THE
FIRST 6 HRS OF THE TAF PD WITH IMPVG CONDS AFT THAT.  HI PRES BLDG
INTO THE AREA ON TUE INTO TUE NGT WL BRING GUD VFR CONDS ACRS THE
STATE.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

LONG TERM...REV
SHORT TERM...MS APR 08
AVIATION...MS APR 08

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 21, 9:53 PM CDT, 3 hours 54 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
953 PM CDT MON APR 21 2008

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>050-057>062-070>075-
081>086-092>097-222100-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-TAMA-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-JASPER-
POWESHIEK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-
CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-
APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
953 PM CDT MON APR 21 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...THOUGH SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.  SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE
WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MS APR 08

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:20 AM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
120 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     HAIL             6 NNE GRISWOLD          41.30N 95.09W
04/22/2008  E1.00 INCH       CASS               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTED NICKLE TO QUARTER HAIL IN LEWIS.

&&

MRUSSELL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:24 AM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
124 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 AM     HAIL             ATLANTIC                41.40N 95.01W
04/22/2008  E1.00 INCH       CASS               IA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CASS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS QUARTER SIZE HAIL
            FALLING.

&&

LEE

Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:27 AM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
127 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0126 AM     HAIL             3 E ATLANTIC AIRPORT    41.41N 95.00W
04/22/2008  E1.00 INCH       CASS               IA   BROADCAST MEDIA

            PENNY TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL COMING DOWN IN BUCKETS AND
            ACCUMULATING. FROM KJAN RADIO IN ATLANTIC.

&&

SMALL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:33 AM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
133 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 AM     HAIL             5 NNE ATLANTIC          41.46N 94.97W
04/22/2008  E1.00 INCH       CASS               IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL NEARLY COVERING THE GROUND. LASTED FOR SEVERAL
            MINUTES.

&&

SMALL

Local storm report, Apr 22, 1:39 AM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
139 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 AM     HAIL             1 S BRAYTON             41.52N 94.93W
04/22/2008  E0.75 INCH       AUDUBON            IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO PENNY HAIL COVERING THE GROUND.

&&

MRUSSELL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Des Moines, IA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 22, 1:12 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Cass	33 min
Apr 22, 1:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Audubon, Cass	29 min
Apr 22, 3:36 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Hardin, Marshall, Story	39 min
Apr 22, 3:39 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Polk	36 min
Apr 22, 4:15 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Dallas, Madison, Polk, Warren	45 min
Apr 22, 4:50 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Jasper, Polk	28 min
Apr 22, 5:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Clarke, Lucas, Warren	41 min
Apr 22, 5:25 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Clarke, Lucas, Marion	35 min
Apr 22, 5:51 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DMX	Mahaska, Marion, Monroe	39 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Iowa, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.