River Flood Warning 3, NWS Des Moines, IA

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 022115
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
315 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

.SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT FROM WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE LED TO RAPID RISES ON THE CHARITON RIVER.  THIS WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ALONG THE CHARITON RIVER THROUGH MONDAY.  

IAC117-032115-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080305T0356Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080302T1901Z.080303T0000Z.080304T0356Z.NO/
315 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 022118 CCA
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
315 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

.SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT FROM WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE LED TO RAPID RISES
ON THE CHARITON RIVER.  THIS WILL PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING ALONG
THE CHARITON RIVER THROUGH MONDAY.  

IAC117-032115-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080305T0356Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080302T1901Z.080303T0000Z.080304T0356Z.NO/
315 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 17.1 FEET BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 030157
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
757 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

.SNOW MELT AND RAIN RUNOFF HAS CAUSED THE CHARITON RIVER AT 
CHARITON TO RISE ABOVE MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY EARLY 
EVENING. COLDER TEMPERATURES HAVE SLOWED RUNOFF AND THE
RIVER HAS BEGUN TO CREST.

IAC117-040157-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080305T0448Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080302T1901Z.080303T0145Z.080304T0448Z.NO/
757 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY NIGHT.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 031036
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
436 AM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...SOUTH FORK 
CHARITON RIVER...SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

.RAPID SNOWMELT OVER THE WEEKEND...COMPOUNDED BY MODERATE RAINS ON
SUNDAY...HAVE PUSHED SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE SOUTH SKUNK AND
CHARITON RIVER BASINS OVER FLOOD STAGE.

IAC123-041036-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0012.080303T1034Z-080308T0900Z/
/OOAI4.1.ER.080303T0955Z.080304T1800Z.080307T0900Z.NO/
436 AM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 20.4 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC007-185-041036-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080304T2022Z/
/PRMI4.1.ER.080302T2138Z.080303T1200Z.080303T2022Z.NO/
436 AM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK CHARITON RIVER AT PROMISE CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.0 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

IAC117-041036-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080306T0651Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080302T1901Z.080303T1200Z.080305T0651Z.NO/
436 AM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY 
  MONDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 032205
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
405 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...SOUTH FORK 
CHARITON RIVER...

.RAPID SNOWMELT OVER THE WEEKEND...COMPOUNDED BY MODERATE RAINS ON SUNDAY...HAVE PUSHED SEVERAL LOCATIONS ALONG THE SHARITION RIVER BASIN OVER FLOOD STAGE.

IAC007-185-042138-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-080304T2138Z/
/PRMI4.1.ER.080302T2138Z.080303T1200Z.080303T2138Z.NO/
405 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK CHARITON RIVER AT PROMISE CITY.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

IAC117-042205-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080306T0300Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080305T0300Z.NO/
405 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY NIGHT.


$$

IAC007-042058-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-080304T2058Z/
/MOLI4.1.ER.080303T0852Z.080303T1700Z.080303T2058Z.NR/
405 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT MOULTON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 35.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 35.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 040207
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
807 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...RACCOON 
RIVER...SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

.THE SIGNIFICANT WARM UP IN TEMPERATURES FROM THIS PAST WEEKEND...HAS
LED TO A RAPID SNOW MELT ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING MINOR FLOODING TO THE RACCOON RIVER...SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...AND
CHARITON RIVER THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

IAC049-153-050207-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-080305T0742Z/
/VNMI4.1.SM.080303T0015Z.080303T1600Z.080304T0742Z.NO/
807 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE RACCOON RIVER AT VAN METER.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 16.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.

$$

IAC123-050207-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080308T0430Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T0130Z.080307T0430Z.NO/
807 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.


$$

IAC117-050207-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080306T0300Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080305T0300Z.NO/
807 PM CST MON MAR 03 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY NIGHT.


$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 040806
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
206 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-050806-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080305T1518Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080304T0715Z.080304T1518Z.NO/
206 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:15 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC123-050805-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080308T0430Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T0200Z.080307T0430Z.NO/
206 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY 
  BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$

IAC117-050805-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080306T0300Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080305T0300Z.NO/
206 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 041534
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
934 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...SOUTH SKUNK 
RIVER...

IAC123-051534-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080308T0800Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080307T0800Z.NO/
934 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC117-051533-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080306T1054Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080305T1054Z.NO/
934 AM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 042200
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
400 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-052200-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080310T2000Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080304T2115Z.080309T2000Z.NO/
400 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

IAC123-052200-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080308T0800Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080307T0800Z.NO/
400 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

IAC117-052200-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080306T1054Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080305T1054Z.NO/
400 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY WEDNESDAY.


$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 050218
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
818 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-060218-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080310T0600Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080305T0600Z.080309T0600Z.NO/
818 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 21.9 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.


$$

IAC123-060218-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080308T0900Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080307T0900Z.NO/
818 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC117-060218-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080307T0036Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080306T0036Z.NO/
818 PM CST TUE MAR 04 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 050905
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
305 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-060905-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080310T0600Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080305T1200Z.080309T0600Z.NO/
305 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 


$$

IAC123-060905-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080308T0900Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080307T0900Z.NO/
305 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.0 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT THURSDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY MORNING.


$$

IAC117-060904-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080307T0036Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080306T0036Z.NO/
305 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  2:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.


$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 051634
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1034 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-061634-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080309T0959Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080305T0445Z.080308T0959Z.NO/
1034 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC123-061634-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080307T1047Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080306T1047Z.NO/
1034 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

IAC117-061634-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080307T1200Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080306T1200Z.NO/
1034 AM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

71

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 052140
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
340 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-062140-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080309T0959Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080305T0445Z.080308T0959Z.NO/
340 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

IAC123-062140-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080307T0459Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080306T0459Z.NO/
340 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TONIGHT.

$$

IAC117-062140-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080307T1200Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080306T1200Z.NO/
340 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 060126
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
725 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-070125-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080307T1851Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080305T0445Z.080306T1851Z.NO/
725 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:15 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.


$$

IAC123-070125-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080307T0409Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080306T0409Z.NO/
725 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW THE FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.


$$

IAC117-070125-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080307T1312Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080306T1312Z.NO/
725 PM CST WED MAR 05 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THIS EVENING AND IS EXPECTED TO BE BELOW ITS FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$
S

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 061016
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
416 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...NORTH RIVER...
SOUTH SKUNK RIVER...

IAC121-181-071016-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-080307T2237Z/
/NRWI4.1.ER.080304T0339Z.080305T0445Z.080306T2237Z.NO/
416 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT NORWALK.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

IAC117-071016-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080307T2113Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080306T2113Z.NO/
416 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

IAC123-061046-
/O.CAN.KDMX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-080307T0409Z/
/OOAI4.1.SM.080303T1006Z.080304T1000Z.080306T0630Z.NO/
416 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH SKUNK RIVER AT OSKALOOSA.
* AT  3:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 12:30 AM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 14.9 FEET BY FRIDAY 
  MORNING.


$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 061436
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
836 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

IAC117-071436-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080308T1800Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080307T1800Z.NO/
836 AM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE FRIDAY. 

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 062234
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
434 PM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

IAC117-072234-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080308T1800Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080307T1800Z.NO/
434 PM CST THU MAR 06 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 4:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$
S

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 070041
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
641 PM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

IAC117-080041-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080309T0712Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080308T0712Z.NO/
641 PM CST THU MAR 06 2008

...FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:16 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.

$$
S

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 070655
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1255 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

IAC117-080655-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080309T0712Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080308T0712Z.NO/
1255 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 071229
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
629 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

IAC117-081229-
/O.CON.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080309T0712Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080308T0712Z.NO/
629 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY.


$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 071611
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1011 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

IAC117-081611-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080309T0600Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080308T0600Z.NO/
1011 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 


$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 072222
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
422 PM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CHARITON RIVER HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

IAC117-072252-
/O.CAN.KDMX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-080309T0600Z/
/CHTI4.1.SM.080302T1901Z.080303T1015Z.080307T1841Z.NO/
422 PM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR 
THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* AT 4 PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 1 PM FRIDAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1225 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

UPDATED TO ADD 18Z AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION.

.SYNOPSIS...
LONG WV TROUGH APPROACHING ROCKIES WITH MATURING JET SEGMENT FROM WY
INTO ND.  ASSOCIATED DIVERGENCE HELPING UVM CO INTO SD.  PRIMARY
SHORT WV OVER CO PRODUCING QG FORCING INTO HIGH PLAINS BUT LACK OF
MOISTURE KEEPING IT FROM RESULTING IN TOO MUCH FOR NOW.
THERMODYNAMIC FORCING ALSO NOTED FARTHER E INTO UPR MO VALLEY AND
BUFFALO RIDGE AREAS BUT AGAIN LACKING MOISTURE.  MUCAPE AXIS IN THE
HUNDREDS IS ALREADY EVIDENT FROM TX/OK INTO SERN NE WITH ISOLATED
OTHER INSTANCES OVER NE/SD.  08Z SFC ANLYS PLACES LOW OVER SERN NE
WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM CO INTO CENTRAL DAKOTAS...AND WRM FRONT
DOWN MO RIVER.  NICE ISALLOBARIC COUPLET TAKING SHAPE BUT NO
SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR SURGE EVIDENT YET.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY CONCERN WILL BE DRAMATIC NW SHIFT IN 00Z DOMESTIC MODELS
BRINGING SIGNIFICANT PCPN THROUGH MUCH OF FCST AREA TONIGHT.  IN THE
MEAN TIME...MOISTURE TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
WRMFNT TODAY...WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW OFF THE GULF. 40F TO 50F
DEWPOINTS ALREADY INTO ERN NE/NW MO...WITH MID 30S ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE CWA.  AS SFC LOW DEEPENS THROUGH THE
DAY...MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO INCREASE INTO THE AREA WITH THE LOW
LEVELS SATURATING BRINGING LOW STRATUS DECK/DRIZZLE/FOG TO THE AREA.
HOWEVER MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND SLOWER WITH THE TIMING...SO HAVE
BACKED OFF DRIZZLE/FOG MENTION NOW UNTIL THE LATE MORNING HOURS WHEN
RUC/NAM/GFS ALL IN AGREEMENT THAT SHOULD HAVE SATURATION BY THAT
TIME. AS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO EXIT THE ROCKIES...AND STRONG
WAA/MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS...HAVE
INCREASING CHANCES OF RAIN/SHOWERS ACROSS THE CWA. SFC FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO BE STRETCHED FROM SW TO NE ACROSS THE CWA...WITH THE
FRONTOGENESIS MAX ALONG A CRESTON TO DES MOINES TO WATERLOO LINE BY
MID AFTERNOON.  THEREFORE HAVE GREATEST POPS IN THIS AREA. NAM AND
TO SOME EXTENT THE GFS ADVERTISING AREA ALONG AND TO THE SOUTHEAST
OF THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA TO BECOME UNSTABLE BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON.
NAM COMPLETELY ERODES THE CAP...BRINGING 500-100J/KG CAPE INTO THE
SOUTH CENTRAL/SOUTHEASTERN CWA BY 21-00Z...WHILE THE GFS STILL
SHOWING SOME CIN. BUFKIT ALSO SHOWING POTENTIAL FOR ELEVATED
INSTABILITY...SO HAVE INCREASED MENTION OF ISO T TO SCT T ACROSS
THIS AREA...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR T IN THE KOTM AREA.
OTHERWISE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO SLIDE THROUGH CWA BY LATE DAY...WITH
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA AS NORTHWEST
WINDS PICK UP BEHIND THE FRONT. POSSIBILITY OF RAIN MIXING WITH SNOW
ACROSS THE FAR NORTHWEST BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SFC TEMPS TO
HOVER AROUND FREEZING SO EXPECT MUCH OF IT TO MELT AS IT REACHES THE
GROUND.

SCENARIO TONIGHT SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS SEEN ON 01/00Z MODELS BUT
SHIFTING ABOUT 140MI NWWD WITH MORE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.  BIGGEST
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN NAM AND GFS APPEARS TO BE THERMALLY WITH NAM
COOLER AND SHOWING MORE SNOW.  WILL FOLLOW GFS FOR SEVERAL
REASONS...ALTHOUGH 00Z ECMWF HAS NOT BUDGED ADDING TO CONCERN.  NAM
APPEARS TO BE TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH COLD AIR SURGE VS CURRENT
OBS...ALTHOUGH OBVIOUSLY NOT GREAT GFS HAS SHOWN BETTER RUN TO RUN
CONTINUITY BEING MORE NWLY IN PAST RUNS...GFS IS NOT AS BIG A SHIFT
FROM PERSISTENCE...AND BEING HESITANT TO FAVOR NAM OVER GFS WHEN IN
DOUBT DUE TO PAST PERFORMANCE.  MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY...GFS SHOWS VERY
STRONG UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IN DENDRITIC LAYER H5/H6 OR 305-310K
ISENT SFCS.  OVERALL QG FORCING NOTHING SPECIAL...BUT NARROW BAND OF
OMEGA IS...APPARENTLY A REFLECTION OF FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING IN
VERY LOW STABILITIES UNDER RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF MN JET SEGMENT.
EPV AND THETA-E LAPSE RATES CERTAINLY SUGGEST CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS
TONIGHT SO WE SHOULD SEE NARROW HEAVY BANDED PCPN RATHER THAN
BROADER DEFORMATION ZONE AS MID LEVEL SATURATION PATCHY.  FOLLOWING
GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS...PCPN SHOULD MAINLY BE RAIN THIS EVE...GOING TO
RAIN/SNOW AND THEN MAINLY SNOW 06-09Z.  WILL LIKELY ALSO SEE SLEET
MIX IN AFTER 03Z AS COLD AIR DEEPENS SOMEWHAT AND CONVECTION COMES
INTO PLAY.  PEAK UVM LOOKS TO BE 03Z-09Z PLACING GREATEST SNOW
POTENTIAL IN BAND FROM FROM AIO-IFA.  ALTHOUGH GFS COBB AMOUNTS
SUGGEST UP TO 9 INCHES POSSIBLE AT CRL...HAVE TRIMMED THAT BACK
SOMEWHAT TO ACCOUNT FOR MELTING AND UNCERTAINTY IN PCPN TYPE.
ISOLATED AREAS COULD CERTAINLY END UP WITH THOSE AMOUNTS...BUT
COVERAGE WILL BE LIMITED SO GOING MORE CONSERVATIVE WILL LIKELY BE
MORE REPRESENTATIVE...HIGHER POD AND LOWER FAR.  WITH UNCERTAINTY IN
MODEL TRENDS...CONVECTION AND THERMAL PROFILE THIS FORECAST IS
ADMITTEDLY RATHER LOW CONFIDENCE AND LIKELY OPEN TO REVISIONS AS
EVENT NEARS.  BECAUSE OF FORECAST SHIFT AND EVEN WARNING POTENTIAL
FEEL SOME SORT OF HEADLINE IS WARRANTED SO FOR A START WILL GO WITH
GENERAL WINTER WX ADVY TONIGHT FROM SW INTO NE IOWA.

SYSTEM SHOULD EXIT MON MORNING WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL ACCUMS.
LOWERED TEMPS SOMEWHAT TONIGHT...ALTHOUGH NOT AS AGGRESSIVELY AS MOS
DEPICTS.  SHOULD SEE LITTLE REBOUND TOMORROW WITH CONTINUED CAA.
NAM ENDS UP COOLER WITH MORE LOW CLOUDS MON NIGHT INTO TUE.  FEEL
THIS IS A BIT TOO EXTREME BUT DID SHADE THINGS DOWNWARD IN THESE
PERIODS FROM A COMPROMISE TO JUST BELOW GFS MOS.  WITH FOCUS ON NEAR
TERM...DID NOT CHANGE LATER PERIODS MUCH BUT DID BUMP POPS UP
SLIGHTLY N TUE NIGHT/WED AS SYSTEM DROPS DOWN MO VALLEY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
BASINS BETWEEN DSM AND OTM HAVE SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS OF 2-4 INCHES
BASED ON NOHRSC ESTIMATES.  WITH WARM TEMPS AND RAIN THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVE...WITH MAY ACCELERATE MELTING.  WILL CONTINUE MENTION IN
THE HWO REGARDING CHARITON...S SKUNK AND DES RIVER TRIBS IN THESE
AREAS. COULD BE PLENTY OF STANDING WATER TOO THAT HAS DIFFICULTY
DRAINING DUE TO FULL SNOWPACKED DITCHES.

&&

.AVIATION...02/18Z
LOTS OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS STREAMING NORTH AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT...BUT IT IS SHALLOW. AFTER LONG TRACK OVER MELTING SNOW ...IT
IS PRODUCING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN NRN IA...WITH IFR CONDITIONS.
DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY EVENING...PROLONGING IFR IN NORTH. FARTH S...SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOPED SE OF KDSM...WITH MVFR
ASSOCIATED. AFTER THE FRONT...MAINLY 03Z-09Z A BAND OF SNOW WILL
SPREAD EWD ACROSS CENTRAL IA PRODUCING IFR CIGS AND VISIBILITIES.
MVFR FOLLOWING THEN CLEARING MON MORNING.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...WINTER WX ADVY TONIGHT
CERRO GORDO-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-HAMILTON-
HARDIN-GRUNDY-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-MARSHALL-AUDUBON-
GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-UNION-TAYLOR-

&&

BSS/KJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1100 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

IAZ004>007-015-016-023-024-033-031100-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-POCAHONTAS-
HUMBOLDT-SAC-
1100 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL AND
NORTHWEST IOWA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

LIGHT RAIN WILL CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD VARY FROM A DUSTING TO TWO
INCHES BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION ENDS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

IAZ017-025>028-034>038-044>049-057>060-070>072-081-082-092-031100-
CERRO GORDO-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-
HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-
MARSHALL-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-POLK-CASS-ADAIR-MADISON-ADAMS-
UNION-TAYLOR-
1100 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL
AND NORTHEAST IOWA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RAIN DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON WILL MIX WITH SLEET...AND THEN CHANGE
TO ALL SNOW THIS EVENING. ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD VARY FROM TWO TO FOUR
INCHES...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. MOST OF THE SNOW
WILL FALL IN JUST A FEW HOURS.  WITH BRISK NORTHWEST WINDS AT SPEEDS
OF 15 TO 30 MPH...VISIBILITIES MAY BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE OR LESS
DURING THE PERIODS OF MORE INTENSE SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. PLEASE REFER
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES
FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED...BUT SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE
ALWAYS APPRECIATED AND ENCOURAGED.

IAZ039-050-061-062-073>075-083>086-093>097-031100-
BLACK HAWK-TAMA-JASPER-POWESHIEK-WARREN-MARION-MAHASKA-CLARKE-
LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-RINGGOLD-DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
1100 AM CST SUN MAR 2 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN IOWA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

FOR AREAS SOUTH OF I-80...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE HAIL.

LATER IN THE EVENING...RAIN WILL MIX WITH SLEET AND SNOW...AND THEN
CHANGE TO ALL SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD VARY FROM
ONE TO TWO INCHES...BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS MAY OCCUR. MOST OF
THE SNOW WILL FALL IN JUST A FEW HOURS...REDUCING VISIBILITY AND
CAUSING SLICK CONDITIONS.

IN ADDITION...WARM TEMPERATURES AGAIN TODAY ARE CAUSING SNOW
MELT...SO SMALL STREAMS AND TRIBUTARIES MAY REACH BANK FULL.
LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING MAY OCCUR DUE TO PONDING OF WATER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR A SHORT TIME LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING...AND SNOWFALL REPORTS ARE ALWAYS
APPRECIATED AND ENCOURAGED.

JUNGBLUTH