River Flood Warning 1, NWS Des Moines, IA

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 071200
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
600 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

.MELTING SNOW CAUSED THE CHARITON RIVER TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.
PRECIPITATION TODAY WILL HELP TO KEEP THE RIVER AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.


IAC117-081200-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0001.080107T1156Z-080109T1312Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080107T0620Z.080107T1100Z.080108T1312Z.NO/
600 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  5:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.3 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL SLOWLY FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 071519
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
919 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

...A FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE CHARITON RIVER...

IAC117-081519-
/O.EXT.KDMX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080108T1800Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080107T0620Z.080107T1145Z.080107T1800Z.NO/
919 AM CST MON JAN 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

000 
WGUS83 KDMX 071949
FLSDMX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
149 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CHARITON RIVER HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

IAC117-072019-
/O.CAN.KDMX.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-080108T1800Z/
/CHTI4.1.ER.080107T0620Z.080107T1145Z.080107T1652Z.NO/
149 PM CST MON JAN 07 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR 
THE CHARITON RIVER AT CHARITON.
* AT 1 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11 AM MONDAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1139 PM CST SUN JAN 6 2008

.UPDATE...07/06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
WEAK COLD FRONT IS INTO EASTERN IOWA AT MID AFTERNOON WITH ENOUGH
DRYING AND MIXING ON LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT TO
DISSIPATE ANY REMAINING DENSE FOG. TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHEAST HAVE HIT 60 DEGREES...WHILE WEST OF THE FRONT TEMPERATURES
ARE LINGERING IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS IOWA BRIEFLY TONIGHT WHILE BOUNDARY STALLS TO THE SOUTH
AND BEGINS TO RETREAT NORTH LATE. THERE IS CONCERN FOR ANOTHER ROUND
OF DENSE FOG ACROSS NORTHEAST SECTIONS AGAIN TONIGHT SO AN ADVISORY
WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE WATERLOO AREA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THE
OTHER FORECAST ITEM OF NOTE IS THE RAPID INCREASE IN THETA-E
ADVECTION AND ISENTROPIC LIFT WHICH MOVES NORTH ACROSS SOUTHERN IOWA
AFTER 09Z. HAVE LEFT CHC POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF 09-12Z WITH
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED THUNDER SOUTH OF I-80 DUE TO ELEVATED
INSTABILITY...THOUGH BETTER CHANCES OF PRECIP WILL ARRIVE AFTER 12Z.
ALSO HAVE THE POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING RAIN WEST CENTRAL SECTIONS
WHERE SFC TEMPS MAY BE AT OR JUST BELOW FREEZING.

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
DENSE FOG WILL PERSIST OVER PARTS OF THE NORTHEASTERN CWA THROUGH
MID MORNING MONDAY.  TEMPS ON MONDAY WILL HAVE QUITE VARIATION
ACROSS THE CWA AS A STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE SETS UP PUTTING MID TO
UPPER 50S ACROSS MY SE WITH MID 30S ACROSS THE NW.  SURFACE LOW
PROGGED TO PUSH NE LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY PLACING A WARM FRONT OVER
FAR SERN IA.  THE BOUNDARY ALONG WITH POOLING DEWPOINTS AND MUCAPES
OF 300 J/KG OR SO HAS ME PUSHING OUR ISOLATED THUNDER AREA A BIT
FURTHER NORTH THAN THE PREVIOUS RUN.  AS THE LOW LIFTS NE THE
THUNDER THREAT WILL ADVANCE INTO MO AND IL BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE
GFS IS THE FURTHEST NW WITH THE MU CAPE AXIS BUT HAS BEEN CONSISTENT
WITH THIS OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS.   COLDER AIR THEN PUSHES IN
MONDAY NIGHT CHANGING EVERYTHING OVER TO SNOW AS WE GET A BRIEF
PERIOD OF DEFORMATION ZONE PRECIP DURING THE EVENING.  THE NEXT
SYSTEM TO AFFECT CENTRAL IOWA IS STILL ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND THURSDAY.  THE MODELS ARE NOW DIGGING THE TROUGH A BIT MORE
SOUTH WHICH SEEMS REASONABLE.  THE RESULT WILL BE COLDER AIR PUSHING
DOWN INTO IA.  PTYPE NOW APPEARS TO BE ALL SNOW WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF SERN IA WHERE TEMPS DURING THE AFTERNOON MAY WARM ENOUGH FOR A
MIX. TOWARDS DAY 6/7 YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE PUSHES INTO IA BUT THIS
ONE IS WEAKER AND DOES NOT HAVE THE DYNAMICS OF THE PREVIOUS WAVES.
IT WILL DEFINITELY BRING IN COLDER AIR BUT PRECIP CHANCES ARE STILL
UNKNOWN.  I DID THROW SOME SLIGHT CHANCES IN ACROSS OUR NE TO BLEND
WITH NEIGHBORS BUT THIS WILL BEAR WATCHING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS TO SEE IF HIGHER POPS ARE WARRANTED.  TEMPS LOOK GOOD SO ONLY
MINOR TWEAKING WAS DONE TO THOSE GRIDS.

&&

.AVIATION...07/06Z
DENSE FOG HAS LIFTED FOR THE TIME BEING AT KALO BUT STILL BANKING ON
REDEVELOPMENT BEFORE DAY BREAK. OTHERWISE...LIGHT MVFR FOG EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP PRIOR TO RAIN SPREADING INTO IOWA. NAM/GFS ARE CLOSE ON
PRECIP TRENDS AND PLACEMENT AND LOOK REASONABLE COMPARED TO CURRENT
RADAR TRENDS IN KANSAS. THE RAIN SHOULD PUSH OFF TO THE EAST QUICKLY
THIS AFTERNOON. MARGINAL ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD BE GOOD FOR A
FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER...MAINLY IMPACTING KOTM...BUT EXPECTED
COVERAGE DOESN/T WARRANT A MENTION IN THE TAF.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...DENSE FOG ADVISORY WATERLOO AREA
THROUGH 07/15Z.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...KINNEY
LONG TERM...FAB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
332 PM CST SUN JAN 6 2008

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>026-033>037-044>048-057>060-070-071-072145-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-SAC-CALHOUN-WEBSTER-HAMILTON-
HARDIN-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-
POLK-CASS-ADAIR-
332 PM CST SUN JAN 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHERN IOWA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NECESSARY.

IAZ027-028-039-072145-
BUTLER-BREMER-BLACK HAWK-
332 PM CST SUN JAN 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WATERLOO VICINITY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. PLEASE REFER
TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES
FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY
MONDAY NEAR AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 20.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NECESSARY.

IAZ038-049-050-061-062-072>075-081>086-092>097-072145-
GRUNDY-MARSHALL-TAMA-JASPER-POWESHIEK-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-
MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-
DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
332 PM CST SUN JAN 6 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT SOUTH
OF INTERSTATE 80.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE DAY
MONDAY ESSENTIALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 35 AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 20.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NECESSARY.

MOYER