Flash Flood Warning 139, NWS Des Moines, IA

000 
WGUS73 KDMX 130908
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
408 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC051-131345-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0139.000000T0000Z-080913T1345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DAVIS IA-
408 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR DAVIS
COUNTY...

AT 354 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER THE 
WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BLOOMFIELD 
...PULASKI...AND FLORIS.

FAR SOUTHEAST DAVIS COUNTY HAS ALREADY RECEIVED AN ESTIMATED 4 TO 5 
INCHES OF RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE 
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE FOX AND LITTLE FOX RIVER 
BASINS...AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND SOUTH WYACONDA BASINS...CARTER 
CREEK...AND THE NORTH FABIUS BASIN...ARE MOST AT RISK FOR FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 4059 9265 4090 9264 4090 9218 4068 9218
      4060 9219 4059 9220

$$

KINNEY

000 
WGUS73 KDMX 131005
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
505 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC051-131345-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0139.000000T0000Z-080913T1345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DAVIS IA-
505 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR DAVIS
COUNTY...

AT 459 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BLOOMFIELD 
...PULASKI...AND FLORIS.

THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF DAVIS COUNTY HAS ALREADY RECEIVED AN 
ESTIMATED 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 
3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE FOX AND LITTLE FOX RIVER 
BASINS...AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND SOUTH WYACONDA BASINS...CARTER 
CREEK...AND THE NORTH FABIUS BASIN...ARE MOST AT RISK FOR FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

LAT...LON 4059 9265 4090 9264 4090 9218 4068 9218
      4060 9219 4059 9220

$$

KINNEY

000 
WGUS73 KDMX 131104
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
604 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC051-131345-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0139.000000T0000Z-080913T1345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DAVIS IA-
604 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR DAVIS
COUNTY...

AT 554 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BLOOMFIELD 
...PULASKI...AND FLORIS.

THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF DAVIS COUNTY HAS ALREADY RECEIVED AN 
ESTIMATED 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 
1 TO 2 ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE FOX AND LITTLE FOX RIVER 
BASINS...AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND SOUTH WYACONDA BASINS...CARTER 
CREEK...AND THE NORTH FABIUS BASIN...ARE MOST AT RISK FOR FLOODING.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

LAT...LON 4059 9265 4090 9264 4090 9218 4068 9218
      4060 9219 4059 9220

$$

KINNEY

000 
WGUS73 KDMX 131204
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
704 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC051-131345-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0139.000000T0000Z-080913T1345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DAVIS IA-
704 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR DAVIS
COUNTY...

AT 653 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN OVER PARTS OF DAVIS COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BLOOMFIELD 
...PULASKI...AND FLORIS.

THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF DAVIS COUNTY HAS ALREADY RECEIVED AN 
ESTIMATED 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN...POSSIBLY APPROACHING ISOLATED 7 
INCH AMOUNTS.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 1 INCH ARE 
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE FOX AND LITTLE FOX RIVER 
BASINS...AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND SOUTH WYACONDA BASINS...CARTER 
CREEK...AND THE NORTH FABIUS BASIN...ARE MOST AT RISK FOR FLOODING.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

LAT...LON 4059 9265 4090 9264 4090 9218 4068 9218
      4060 9219 4059 9220

$$

KINNEY

000 
WGUS73 KDMX 131307
FFSDMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
807 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

IAC051-131345-
/O.CON.KDMX.FF.W.0139.000000T0000Z-080913T1345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DAVIS IA-
807 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 AM CDT FOR DAVIS
COUNTY...

AT 748 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SCATTERED SHOWERS PRODUCING MODERATE RAIN OVER PARTS OF 
DAVIS COUNTY.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BLOOMFIELD 
...PULASKI...AND FLORIS.

THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF DAVIS COUNTY HAS ALREADY RECEIVED 4 TO 6 
INCHES OF RAIN...LIKELY APPROACHING ISOLATED 7 INCH AMOUNTS IN THE 
FAR SOUTHEAST. A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED HIS RAIN GAUGE OVERFLOWED 
AT THE 6 INCH CAPACITY AND NORTH WYACONDA CREEK WAS OUT OF ITS BANKS 
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF 300TH STREET AND URIS AVENUE...6 MILES 
SOUTHEAST OF PULASKI. WATER WAS AFFECTING GRAVEL ROADS AND THE CREEK 
WAS A QUARTER MILE WIDE IN SPOTS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 
1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE 
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS. THE FOX AND LITTLE FOX RIVER 
BASINS...AS WELL AS THE NORTH AND SOUTH WYACONDA BASINS...CARTER 
CREEK...AND THE NORTH FABIUS BASIN...ARE MOST AT RISK FOR FLOODING.

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

LAT...LON 4059 9265 4090 9264 4090 9218 4068 9218
      4060 9219 4059 9220

$$

KINNEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1248 AM CDT SAT SEP 13 2008

UPDATED FOR AVIATION DISCUSSION

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
FAST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES TO PUMP MOISTURE
NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE PACIFIC AND ULTIMATELY THE REMNANTS OF
TROPICAL STORM LOWELL THAT MOVED THAT ARE CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER
WESTERN TEXAS. UNSEASONABLY HIGH MOISTURE IS IN PLACE...WITH PWAT
VALUES INCREASING TO WELL OVER 2 INCHES BY TONIGHT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN CWA. DEWPOINTS ACROSS THE CWA. AT THE SURFACE...DEWPOINTS
CONTINUE TO POOL ALONG A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST STATIONARY FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A SFC LOW CENTERED OVER CENTRAL/EASTERN KS. WITH THE
MAIN FLOW PARALLEL TO THIS FRONT...ABUNDANT MOISTURE IN PLACE...AND
THE STRONGEST LIFT OVER THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CWA THIS EVENING INTO
THE LATE NIGHT HOURS...THE LONG DURATION RAIN EVENT STILL ON TRACK.
AT THIS TIME...RAIN HAS BEEN MAINLY MODERATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH MOST SITES AVERAGING A FEW TENTHS PER HOUR...WITH THE
HEAVIEST RAIN STILL TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWA. AS THE UPPER WAVE
EJECTS EASTWARD FROM THE CENTRAL/NORTHERN ROCKIES THIS EVENING AND
LIFT IS ENHANCED BY THE RIGHT-ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET
STREAK EXPECT RAINFALL INTENSITY TO PICK UP ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CWA. INSTABILITY ALSO TO INCREASE LATE TONIGHT AS
AN APPROACHING JET STREAK HELPS TO STEEPEN MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN THIRD OF THE CWA. IN
ADDITION...LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS WHERE LIFT IS STRONGER TO THE
SOUTH...INDICATE UPWARDS OF AN INCH OR MORE PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES
IN SOME AREAS. WITH WIDESPREAD AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN
EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...AND POSSIBILITY FOR
INCREASING RAINFALL RATES/EMBEDDED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITH THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH DAYBREAK SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY-FRIDAY/...
MODELS HAVE TRENDED TO A FASTER MOVEMENT OF THE RAIN SHIELD OUT OF
OUR AREA SATURDAY MORNING...WITH MAX LIFT PROCESSES SHIFTING EAST
AND NORTHEAST. SO HAVE LOWERED POPS...EXCEPT MAINTAINED HIGH
PERCENTAGES IN THE FAR SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY...AND LOWERED THE
EXPECTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS. HOWEVER...SATURDAY WILL STILL BE MILD AND
MUGGY AS WE AWAIT THE NEXT COLD FRONT WHICH IS NOW DELAYED ABOUT 6
HOURS AND WILL COME THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS ARE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SUNDAY...BUT
DIFFERENCES HAVE ARISEN ONCE AGAIN WITH THE EXACT PATH THE REMNANTS
OF HURRICANE IKE WILL TAKE. THE GFS HAS SHIFTED THE PATH FARTHER
NORTH...TAKING THE CENTER OVER ST LOUIS...AND GIVES OUR SOUTHEAST
COUNTIES ADDITIONAL RAINFALL. HOWEVER...THE BULK OF OUR MODEL SUITE
KEEPS ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN THREAT FROM IKE REMNANTS SOUTHEAST OF OUR
AREA. WE WILL KEEP A MODEST CHANCE OF RAIN FOR THE FAR SOUTHEAST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY TO ALLOW FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF IKES PATH
BRINGING RAIN THAT FAR NORTH.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE AND
MAKE IT FEEL LIKE AUTUMN. TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY RISE 5 TO 10
DEGREES WHILE THE AIRMASS DRIES OUT QUITE A BIT. WILL BE SETTING UP
FOR A CHILLY NIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN. SFC HIGH
PRESSURE SLOWLY MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK...AND
BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS SUPPOSED TO BUILD
OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. THIS WILL FAVOR A WARMER AND DRY PATTERN. SO
HAVE TRENDED DAYTIME TEMPERATURES UP A FEW DEGRESS...BUT NOT AS WARM
AS THE GFS GUIDANCE WOULD SUGGEST. WILL STILL HAVE SEASONALLY COOL
NIGHTS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S.

&&

.AVIATION...13/06Z
WIDESPREAD MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WL PERSIST ACRS ALL OF CNTRL IOWA
THROUGH MID MORNING ON SATURDAY AS WEAK LOW PRES MOVES ACRS THE
STATE.  WINDS WL BE VRBL WITH WDSPRD RAINFALL ACRS THE SOUTHEAST
HALF OF THE STATE.  THE RAIN WL DIMINISH ON SATURDAY MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS EXPANDING ACRS CENTRAL IOWA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH SERN HALF OF
FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...COGIL
LONG TERM...MOYER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
411 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

IAZ049-050-060>062-071>075-081>086-092>097-132115-
MARSHALL-TAMA-POLK-JASPER-POWESHIEK-ADAIR-MADISON-WARREN-MARION-
MAHASKA-ADAMS-UNION-CLARKE-LUCAS-MONROE-WAPELLO-TAYLOR-RINGGOLD-
DECATUR-WAYNE-APPANOOSE-DAVIS-
411 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

RAIN AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TONIGHT. MANY OF
THESE SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL...WHICH MAY OCCUR FOR PROLONGED PERIODS OF TIME. AN
ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN MAY FALL THROUGH DAYBREAK
SATURDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA. PLEASE REFER TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/DESMOINES FOR
MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY AS
WELL...THOUGH ANY THUNDERSTORMS AND MODERATE RAIN WILL BE LIMITED
TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF TAMA TO CHARITON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

THE POTENTIAL FOR SPOTTER ACTIVATION DUE TO SEVERE WEATHER IS
RATHER LOW...HOWEVER REPORTS OF FLOODING OR MEASURED HEAVY RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS ARE ENCOURAGED.

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>028-033>039-044>048-057>059-070-132115-
EMMET-KOSSUTH-WINNEBAGO-WORTH-PALO ALTO-HANCOCK-CERRO GORDO-
POCAHONTAS-HUMBOLDT-WRIGHT-FRANKLIN-BUTLER-BREMER-SAC-CALHOUN-
WEBSTER-HAMILTON-HARDIN-GRUNDY-BLACK HAWK-CRAWFORD-CARROLL-GREENE-
BOONE-STORY-AUDUBON-GUTHRIE-DALLAS-CASS-
411 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON
NORTHWEST OF FORT DODGE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

MOYER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
1035 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NNE WOODBURN            41.01N 93.60W
09/12/2008                   CLARKE             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER COVERING ALL ROADS IN WOODBURN.

1000 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SE OSCEOLA            41.02N 93.76W
09/12/2008                   CLARKE             IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER PARTIALLY COVERING HIGHWAY 69.

1003 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW DERBY              40.96N 93.49W
09/12/2008                   LUCAS              IA   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER COVERING MANY ROADS IN WESTERN LUCAS COUNTY. WATER
            IS OVER 135TH AVE. IN STEVENS FOREST. WATER ALSO BEING
            REPORTED IN SEVERAL BASEMENTS OVER WESTERN LUCAS COUNTY.

&&

FBOKSA