Severe Thunderstorm Warning 142, NWS Duluth, MN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...MESOSCALE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
532 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...CONCERNING SEVERE STORM MOVING INTO BRAINERD
LAKES REGION.

URGENT...STORM MOVING FROM STAPLES AREA INTO NISSWA...BRAINERD AND
GULL LAKE AREA APPEARS TO BE ACQUIRING HP SUPERCELL/BOW ECHO RADAR
SIGNATURES.  THREAT OF 80-100 MPH NON TORNADIC WINDS APPEARS TO BE
HIGH NEXT HOUR ALONG HIGHWAY 210 CORRIDOR FROM STAPLES TO BRAINERD
AND LAKE MILLE LACS.
 MILLER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
145 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

MNZ010>012-018>021-025-026-033>038-WIZ001>004-006>009-121030-
KOOCHICHING-NORTHERN ST. LOUIS-NORTHERN COOK/NORTHERN LAKE-
NORTHERN ITASCA-CENTRAL ST. LOUIS-SOUTHERN LAKE/LAKESHORE-
SOUTHERN COOK/LAKESHORE-NORTHERN CASS-SOUTHERN ITASCA-
SOUTHERN CASS-CROW WING-NORTHERN AITKIN-SOUTHERN AITKIN-
CARLTON/SOUTHERN ST. LOUIS-PINE-DOUGLAS-BAYFIELD-ASHLAND-IRON-
BURNETT-WASHBURN-SAWYER-PRICE-
135 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MINNESOTA AND
NORTHWEST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ONGOING STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MINNESOTA ARROWHEAD
ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER... INCLUDING THE
BOUNDARY WATERS CANOE AREA... FOR MUCH OF THIS AFTERNOON. THE
STRONGEST STORMS WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL... BUT
THESE STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
AFTER 2 PM AS THEY MOVE INTO ONTARIO.

AS A STRONG DISTURBANCE AND FRONT APPROACH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ADDITIONAL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP DURING MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT FROM LAKE OF THE WOODS...
SOUTHWARD TO ALEXANDRIA BETWEEN 2 AND 4 PM.  STORMS ARE THEN
EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MINNESOTA AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND VERY LARGE HAIL APPEAR LIKELY.  IN
ADDITION... THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES. THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST BETWEEN 4
AND 9 PM IN AREAS FROM THE BRAINERD LAKES AREA...NORTHWARD TO
INTERNATIONAL FALLS AND CRANE LAKE.  EVERYONE... ESPECIALLY
VACATIONERS AND ANYONE WITH OUTDOOR OR LAKE PLANS TODAY... ARE URGED
TO STAY CURRENT WITH THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

FINALLY... STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS ON THE SANDY BEACHES OF LAKE SUPERIOR...INCLUDING PARK
POINT...AND ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE TO THE APOSTLE ISLANDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
FAR NORTHERN MINNESOTA...AND ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING IN MOST AREAS.

LSZ121-140>148-121030-
BAYFIELD TO OAK POINT WI-GRAND PORTAGE TO GRAND MARAIS MN-
GRAND MARAIS TO TACONITE HARBOR MN-
TACONITE HARBOR TO SILVER BAY HARBOR MN-
SILVER BAY HARBOR TO TWO HARBORS MN-TWO HARBORS TO DULUTH MN-
DULUTH MN TO PORT WING WI-PORT WING TO SAND ISLAND WI-
SAND ISLAND TO BAYFIELD WI-OAK POINT TO SAXON HARBOR WI-
135 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AT THE SOUTHWEST TIP OF
LAKE SUPERIOR AND PARTS OF THE NORTH SHORE WILL PERSIST INTO MID
AFTERNOON AND RESULT IN WAVE HEIGHTS OF 2 TO 5 FEET.  A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM.  WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE INCREASING OUT OF THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AFTER A FRONT PASSES.

A VERY STRONG SYSTEM WILL BRING A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL
BE VERY LARGE HAIL...GALE TO STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS... AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.

 MILLER

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