Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2008

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 267, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 23, 2008Ness County, Trego County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 23, 2008, 8:29 PM CDT for Ness County, Trego County, Kansas. It was in force for 46 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 23, 2008, 8:29 PM CDT (01:29 UTC)
Expired: Jun 23, 2008, 9:15 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Ness County, KS, Trego County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 23, 8:36 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	14 Ssw Trego Center, KS
Jun 23, 8:50 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	13 Ssw Trego Center, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 729 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2896 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KDDC 240129
SVRDDC
KSC135-195-240215-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0267.080624T0129Z-080624T0215Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
829 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.
  SOUTHWESTERN TREGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 915 PM CDT

* AT 827 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND
  DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES
  NORTH OF ARNOLD AND WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  UTICA...
  ARNOLD...
  RURAL RESIDENCES OF NORTHWESTERN NESS AND SOUTHWESTERN TREGO
  COUNTIES.

BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE
SEEK A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS
PASSED.

THIS WARNING EXTENDS THE PREVIOUS WARNING ISSUED FOR TREGO COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3863 10023 3870 10020 3870 10017 3871 10016
      3877 10016 3891 10010 3874 9971 3848 9997
TIME...MOT...LOC 0129Z 315DEG 3KT 3871 10003

$$

GERARD

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 240200
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
859 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

KSC135-195-240215-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-080624T0215Z/
TREGO KS-NESS KS-
859 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN NESS AND SOUTHWESTERN TREGO COUNTIES...

AT 855 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF UTICA...MOVING WEST AT 7 MPH.

AT 850 PM THE PUBLIC REPORTED NICKEL SIZE HAIL 13 MILES SOUTH 
SOUTHWEST OF TREGO CENTER.

LAT...LON 3863 10023 3870 10020 3870 10017 3871 10016
      3877 10016 3891 10010 3874 9971 3848 9997
TIME...MOT...LOC 0159Z 084DEG 6KT 3871 10013

$$

GERARD

000 
WWUS53 KDDC 240213
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
914 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

KSC135-195-240224-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0267.000000T0000Z-080624T0215Z/
TREGO KS-NESS KS-
914 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN NESS AND
SOUTHWESTERN TREGO COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 915 PM CDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED AND NO LONGER POSES A THREAT TO
LIFE OR PROPERTY...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN...AND SMALL HAIL
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHWESTERN NESS AND SOUTHWESTERN TREGO
COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 3863 10023 3870 10020 3870 10017 3871 10016
      3877 10016 3891 10010 3874 9971 3848 9997
TIME...MOT...LOC 0214Z 084DEG 6KT 3871 10016

$$

GERARD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 23, 3:15 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 23, 3:15 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
315 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

.DISCUSSION...

DAYS 1-2...

FORECAST CHALLENGE THE FIRST 12 HOURS WILL BE THE COVERAGE OF TSRA
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MORNING U/A INDICATES RELATIVE COOL
MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA. ACCAS HAS PERSISTED FROM
ROUGHLY DODGE CITY INTO NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS ALL DAY. AT THE
SURFACE SEVERAL BOUNDARIES WERE APPARENT...ONE OF WHICH APPEARED
TO BE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION. WITH
AFTERNOON MIXING AND HEATING THE MOST SIGNIFICANT BOUNDARY IS
SHOWING UP AS A WARM FRONT STRETCHING FROM SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
INTO EAST CENTRAL COLORADO. MEANWHILE TEMPERATURES HAVE SHOT UP TO AROUND
100 DEGREES IN THE FAR SOUTHWEST. CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES IN THAT AREA
HAD BEEN REACHED AND HIGH BASED TCU HAD DEVELOPED. BACK CLOSER
TO THE WARM FRONT...AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAD FORMED FROM NEAR
LIMON TO WEST CENTRAL KANSAS. THIS MAY BE WHERE THE HIGHEST POPS
WILL BE NEEDED EARLY THIS EVENING AND THEN THIS AREA SHOULD SPREAD
EAST AND SOUTHEAST DURING THE EVENING AS A S/WV TROUGH MOVES OUT
OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES.

QUESTION THEN IS IF ANY ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY WILL BE PRESENT ON
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. I CANT FIND A REASON THAT AT LEAST
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED TSRA WONT OCCUR AT MAX HEATING AS THERE
SHOULD STILL BE AREAS OF SFC CONVERGENCE FROM OVERNIGHT BOUNDARIES
THAT WILL BE LEFT OVER. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT IS NOT APPARENT AT
LEAST AS OF TODAY SO WILL JUST HAVE 10/20 PERCENT POPS.
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL BE SEASONAL.

DAYS 3-7...

THE EXTENDED PERIOD STARTS OUT WITH THE MAIN BELT OF UPPER LEVEL
WESTERLIES TRAVERSING NORTH AMERICA ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER.
THE PAST FEW RUNS OF THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT WITH THE IDEA OF A STRONG WAVE IN THE FLOW MOVING OUT OF
WESTERN CANADA TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THE 00Z GFS AND THE
12Z GFS/CANADIAN AND ECMWF MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN QUITE AS PROGRESSIVE
WITH THIS WAVE. THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS INDICATE THAT THE
OPERATIONAL RUN IS AN OUTLIER AS ONLY ONE OR TWO MEMBERS ARE LEANING
TOWARD A SLOWER SOLUTION. FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE WITH THE SLOWER
SOLUTION REGARDING THE TIMING OF THE FRONT AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES
LATER IN THE WEEK. HAVE RAISED POPS INTO THE CHANCE CATEGORY OVER
PARTS OF THE CWA FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SHOULD BE JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA ON SATURDAY. WITH UPSLOPE
FLOW AND A TONGUE OF HIGHER DEWPOINTS ADVECTING INTO THE HIGH PLAINS
TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT...THINK THAT THERE WOULD BE SOME CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES AND MOVE OUT
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. BY
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK...THE MODELS SHOW
THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDING BACK INTO THE CENTRAL CONUS AS AN UPPER
TROUGH APPROACHES THE WEST COAST OF NOAM. THE GFS SEEMS TO BE OVERLY
AMPLIFIED WITH THIS IDEA AND ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS ARE SPLIT ON THE
IDEA. AT ANY RATE...HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM BACK UP WELL INTO
THE 90S TO AROUND 100 ACROSS SOUTHWEST KANSAS.  THIS SHOULD HOLD
THROUGH MUCH OF THE 8 TO 10 DAY PERIOD.

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER EASTERN COLORADO
AND EXTREME WESTERN KANSAS. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
ORGANIZE INTO A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX THIS EVENING AND MOVE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE AREA WITH THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING TAF SITES GENERALLY
FROM 22Z THROUGH 04Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  65  93  65  95 /  50  20  20  10
GCK  64  94  64  96 /  50  10  10  10
EHA  64  92  65  96 /  50  10  10  10
LBL  65  95  64  95 /  50  10  10  10
HYS  64  92  65  96 /  50  10  10  10
P28  68  95  68  96 /  30  20  20  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

FN07/02

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 23, 5:01 AM CDT, 15 hours 28 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
501 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-241030-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
501 AM CDT MON JUN 23 2008 /401 AM MDT MON JUN 23 2008/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KANSAS...SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...SOUTHWEST KANSAS AND WEST CENTRAL
KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FRONT WILL LINGER ACROSS THIS MORNING AS A STATIONARY FRONT AND
THEN MOVE NORTH THROUGH WESTERN KANSAS AS A WARM FRONT THIS AFTERNOON.
WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS
EARLY THIS MORNING.

AFTER 4 PM CDT...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...FIRST
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM LA CROSSE TO HUGOTON AND THEN MOVING
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REST OF SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS COULD REACH THE MARGINALLY SEVERE CRITERIA WITH HAIL
TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THE HIGHER
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE NORTH OF A SCOTT CITY TO LA
CROSSE LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

12/24

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 23, 6:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
655 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 PM     HAIL             18 N ELKHART            37.26N 101.89W
06/23/2008  E1.00 INCH       MORTON             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MSCOTT

Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
705 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             10 WSW JOHNSON CITY     37.51N 101.92W
06/23/2008  E0.75 INCH       STANTON            KS   PUBLIC

&&

26

Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:44 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
744 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKHART                 37.00N 101.89W
06/23/2008  E64.00 MPH       MORTON             KS   AWOS

&&

26

Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:53 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
753 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKHART                 37.00N 101.89W
06/23/2008  M64.00 MPH       MORTON             KS   AWOS

&&

26

Local storm report, Jun 23, 7:56 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
756 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKHART                 37.00N 101.89W
06/23/2008  M69.00 MPH       MORTON             KS   AWOS

0648 PM     TSTM WND GST     ELKHART                 37.00N 101.89W
06/23/2008  M74.00 MPH       MORTON             KS   AWOS

&&

26

Local storm report, Jun 23, 8:06 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
806 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0751 PM     HAIL             11 SE WAKEENEY          38.91N 99.74W
06/23/2008  E0.88 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

&&

26

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 23, 7:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Morton	55 min
Jun 23, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton	51 min
Jun 23, 7:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	41 min
Jun 23, 8:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Morton, Stevens	59 min
Jun 23, 8:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	43 min
Jun 23, 9:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	54 min
Jun 23, 9:17 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Lane	43 min
Jun 23, 9:54 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hodgeman, Lane, Ness, Trego	96 min
Jun 24, 6:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Haskell	42 min
Jun 24, 6:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant	41 min
Jun 24, 6:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Haskell	47 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2008 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.